China is key to changing the global economic order

K N Pandita
knp627@gmail.com
For nearly four decades, Beijing and Tehran have both been seriously reflecting on Washington’s dangerous move of imposing sanctions on countries that Washington thinks pose an obstruction to America’s global hegemony and unipolarity.
Russia (Soviet era and after) has been a long-time victim of American sanctions. The other country that has been bearing the brunt of sanctions for decades is Iran. Iran’s economy depends on oil exports to major consumers such as China, India, Japan, Australia and many more. The American sanctions not only hurt the Iranian economy but also the economies of the countries that dare to override American sanctions on Iran and continue buying Iranian oil.
Wherein lies Iran’s strength?
China and Iran share a 25 – year Comprehensive Strategic Partnership signed in 2021, theoretically pledging up to US $ 400 billion in Chinese investment across Iranian energy, infrastructure, and transportation sectors. In return, China receives a steady, heavily discounted supply of Iranian crude oil.
President Xi has a strong argument that disarmed President Trump during their recent meeting in Beijing. President Xi said the Strait of Hormuz must remain open to international trade and commerce.
Iran-Israel-US war is running its 85th day of missile, drone, air strikes, B2 bombardment, killing of the Iranian supreme leader and his associates, blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, and everything, including threats of civilizational annihilations. The world’s number one superpower asked Iran to surrender, but Iran reinforced counterattacks, rebellious activities and forceful retaliation. Imagine to what depths of humiliation the so-called superpower is reduced.
While this holds true, the core of Iran’s potent retaliatory capacity resides elsewhere -a reality that Washington has consistently shied away from confronting. It is the reorientation of the fabulous Central Asian Silk Route, recast not in sand or mud but in an iron and steel freight railway line of 10,400 kms length originating in the Chinese town of Xian and passing through the Gobi desert, chugging across five Central Asian States of Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, Afghanistan and ending up in Tehran (Iran). The Chinese vessels carrying Iranian oil via Hormuz, the Indian Ocean, and the Strait of Malacca to the Chinese seaports normally take 40 days. But the oil containers carrying Iranian oil from Iran to China via the aforementioned freight railway line take just 14 days.
While Washington was thrusting sanctions upon sanctions on Iran and also the countries that wanted to conduct trade with Iran, the regime in Tehran quietly and without even giving the slightest clue, cooperated with China over many years and also socialised with the crucial Central Asian States including Afghanistan, to bring about a drastic hange in cross-country overland rail connectivity that would not only blunt the hitherto lethal American sanctions but also immensely reduce the strategic importance of both Hormuz and Malacca to the transportation of oil and goods between the two countries.
China-Iran oil supply freight railway line bypasses US maritime blockades by utilising land corridors through Central Asia (Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan). It evades sanctions via covert barter agreements (disguising oil sales as Iranian infrastructure investments), uses non-dollar-denominated payment mechanisms, and leverages private Chinese refineries to bypass international banking networks. The integration of a China-Iran railway link to supply oil circumvents maritime blockades and threats in several targeted ways:
Bypassing Sanctions & Financial Chokepoints
Trade is decoupled from the U.S. dollar, settling in Chinese Yuan through non-SWIFT financial messaging frameworks. Oil shipments are sometimes recorded as “construction projects” to obscure the true nature of the trade. The crude is primarily routed to small, independent Chinese refineries (“teapots”) that have minimal exposure to Western financial systems, making them largely immune to standard global sanctions.
Escaping Maritime Blockades & Tolls
By routing freight via trains through Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan directly to Iran (such as the Aparin Dry Port near Tehran), the oil supply avoids vulnerable maritime chokepoints like the Strait of Hormuz and the Strait of Malacca. Using inland routes prevents international naval forces from enforcing port blockades or intercepting tankers. While overland rail transit is more expensive than sea transport, it relies on bilateral or trilateral transit agreements that entirely avoid disputed international maritime tolls or naval blockades.
Mitigating Security Threats
Moving energy across friendly Central Asian states and through heavily patrolled, land-based zones offers a militarised security blanket. Conventional sea-based “shadow fleets” carrying Iranian oil have faced tracking disruptions and cargo seizures. The rail supply avoids open-water maritime sabotage and piracy.
Broader Strategic Context
While rail transport cannot completely replace the sheer volume of seaborne shadow fleets, it guarantees a foundational level of energy security for China. Despite the higher logistical and transport costs, both nations are willing to absorb the premium as a necessary price to blunt Western pressure.
The great vision of China
China isn’t just trading through Iran; it’s building a sanctions-proof fortress. In May 2025, Beijing quietly activated the 10,400 km China-Iran railway. Trains now run from Xi’an straight through Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan to Tehran’s Aprin Dry Port in just 15 days, slashing the old sea route by more than half.
Goods, containers, and soon oil moving overland in tank cars, settled in Yuan, backed by barter, will be the new norm of conducting commercial activities across the great Steppes of Central Asia. No navy, no Strait of Hormuz or Malacca, and no blockade
While Washington’s obsession with naval chokepoints persists, China has rewritten the map with rail. The New Silk Road just got armour, giving an edge to multi-polarity. The story of this project’s concept and completion spans several years and serves as a major geopolitical shift for trade along the ancient Silk Road.
In May 2025, China completed one of the most ambitious infrastructure projects in modern history: a 10, 400 km freight railway connecting China to Iran, cutting delivery time from 40 days by sea to just 15 days by land. This is not just an engineering milestone. It is a direct challenge to the economic and military dominance that the United States has built over decades through its control of the world’s most critical ocean trade routes. For the first time, two of America’s most sanctioned adversaries now have a functioning supply corridor that no Western navy can patrol, no sanctions regime can easily disrupt, and no financial institution can monitor. What makes this railway truly alarming for Washington goes far beyond speed and logistics. It is part of a much larger strategy. China and Iran signed a 400 billion dollar, 25-year cooperation deal in 2021. China now buys 77 per cent of Iran’s oil, paid in Yuan, deliberately bypassing the US dollar.
A Five Nations Railway Corridor is already expanding the network further into Central Asia. And in the frozen Arctic, Russia and China are building a second alternative trade route that cuts Europe’s travel time by 15 days. Together, these moves represent the most serious challenge to Western-controlled global trade infrastructure in generations.
(The author is the former Director of the Centre of Central Asian Studies, Kashmir University, India)