EDITORIAL

How cold? Too cold!

One wishes that these were the days when one could be a philosopher. The chill is visiting us with a vengeance. We keep wondering: how cold is too cold? One is frozen during late evenings specially. There are people who have developed a dislike for room heaters. They would like to live with the nature. In their conduct and perception they believe that humanity cannot live without nature. Somehow, however, nature, it seems, can live without humanity. Dipping temperatures throughout the last week have virtually benumbed our senses. Not only have we found every winter colder than the previous one. Meteorologists say it in cold figures. Their hearts appear to have already frozen. How can they be so insensitive? The problem is that even if they tamper with their work just to keep us happy the reality will not change. The fact is that it is too cold. We can't agree with the wise man who has said: "Winter must be cold for those with no warm memories". To lesser mortals like us it looks as if he has never stayed in this city. Who can be warmer than us? We have gone through three bitter wars and two of their somewhat mini versions in 1947 and 1999. We have nerves of steel. How many can claim such baptism of fire? The weather is an entirely different proposition. One can take care of one's enemy. How does one overcome nearly zero degree Celsius in this city? One tends to sympathise with fellow-State subjects living in higher reaches of this region, Kashmir Valley and in Ladakh across the Himalayas. How do they manage to survive .more

All crime and no
punishment

By Joginder Singh

The crime profile in India is changing. Crime is no more as it used to be understood in the past, like murders, dacoity, thefts, cheating or road accidents. Infact, change is something, which is going on all the time. There used to be mafia organised crimes in 1980, which in 1990's was replaced by the likes of Dawood Ibrahim, Chotta Rajan, and Shakeel, who changed their tracks by diversifying into smuggling of silver, gold and electronic goods, apart from extortion and protection business. Generation of money of black variety through crime has been used to multiply by investing it in film industry, real estate and big business, ......more

Obesity epidemic

By Jyotsna Pandit

In the post-liberalisation era more and more young people of marriageable age are taking to liposuction to reduce unwanted body weight. A study coordinated by the All India Institute of Medical ........more.

Rising Food prices
hit the poor

By Nantoo Banerjee

If good rainfall, higher agricultural production, huge inflow of foreign direct investment (FDI), improved performance of the manufacturing, core and infrastructure sectors, and the record high stock indices, Sensex and ..more

EDITORIAL

How cold? Too cold!

One wishes that these were the days when one could be a philosopher. The chill is visiting us with a vengeance. We keep wondering: how cold is too cold? One is frozen during late evenings specially. There are people who have developed a dislike for room heaters. They would like to live with the nature. In their conduct and perception they believe that humanity cannot live without nature. Somehow, however, nature, it seems, can live without humanity. Dipping temperatures throughout the last week have virtually benumbed our senses. Not only have we found every winter colder than the previous one. Meteorologists say it in cold figures. Their hearts appear to have already frozen. How can they be so insensitive? The problem is that even if they tamper with their work just to keep us happy the reality will not change. The fact is that it is too cold. We can't agree with the wise man who has said: "Winter must be cold for those with no warm memories". To lesser mortals like us it looks as if he has never stayed in this city. Who can be warmer than us? We have gone through three bitter wars and two of their somewhat mini versions in 1947 and 1999. We have nerves of steel. How many can claim such baptism of fire? The weather is an entirely different proposition. One can take care of one's enemy. How does one overcome nearly zero degree Celsius in this city? One tends to sympathise with fellow-State subjects living in higher reaches of this region, Kashmir Valley and in Ladakh across the Himalayas. How do they manage to survive at this time of the year with mercury going much below zero? Firewood is scarce. Power cuts are both scheduled and unscheduled. Had we not been promised that we would have nothing to worry if we had electronic metres in our houses? We hurried to opt for the equipment but have been terribly let down. Only a humorist would say: "I like these cold, grey winter days. Days like these let you savour a bad mood." Given our plight it apparently implies that there is nothing else left to feel once even one's thinking faculties are iced up. Where is the question of one having a good or bad frame of mind?

As the blessed (any doubt?) human beings, however, we can't afford to give up. After all, philosophers also belong to our ilk. This thought should propel us through difficult times. A French priest's advice comes to mind at this juncture: "It does not matter if the water is cold or warm if you are going to have to wade through it anyway." What we can't ignore is this fait accompli would not have been thrust upon us had our political bosses judiciously used the Central help. Why could we not be a fully developed State by now despite all liberal assistance? This is food for thought. This also shows that we may be down but we are not out. We would not allow anyone to take us for a ride whatever our level of discomfiture. Our rich traditions tell us: "Hot heads and cold hearts never solved anything." We would better place our faith in an Irish blessing: "May you have warm words on a cold evening, a full moon on a dark night and a smooth road all the way to your door." We shall strive hard to build a monument of warm and affectionate humankind which endures, as an American poet has said, till the sun grows cold.

All crime and no punishment

By Joginder Singh

The crime profile in India is changing. Crime is no more as it used to be understood in the past, like murders, dacoity, thefts, cheating or road accidents. Infact, change is something, which is going on all the time. There used to be mafia organised crimes in 1980, which in 1990's was replaced by the likes of Dawood Ibrahim, Chotta Rajan, and Shakeel, who changed their tracks by diversifying into smuggling of silver, gold and electronic goods, apart from extortion and protection business. Generation of money of black variety through crime has been used to multiply by investing it in film industry, real estate and big business, through sending it back to India, through the legal channels. Bollywood connections opened new avenues for crime and extortion as it was perceived to be an easy method of making money. In the absence of people like Dawood, many other gangs have sprung up, providing the same services and using the same methods of extortion. In the brush with Police, many were eliminated in encounters. But it does not mean that the gangs are finished once for all.

With liberalisation of economy and a lot of money floating around, new types of economic crimes are coming up, like the human trafficking, prostitution, fake recruitment and fake visas, for sending people abroad drug, trafficking, bank scams, stock exchange scams, credit card, internet and lottery frauds. The free economy and temptation to make money has led to a surge in business frauds and corruption. The murder, robbery, assault and other types of violent and property crimes might fluctuate from time, to time, but liberalisation has led to a marked increase in accounting and corporate infractions, fraud in health care, Government procurement and bankruptcy, identity theft, illegal corporate espionage and intellectual property piracy. With increasing frequency, white-collar and indulging in corruption seems to be the crime of choice of modern generation.

No week goes by without news of credit and frauds or cheating the banks or selling fake securities or Bonds, despite there being many criminal trials against the offenders.

White collar crime. But otherwise, economic offences, are much more dangerous, than thefts, and pick pocketing and have a potential of wiping off a person's total life savings. Infact, the focus of the crime is changing so fast, that it has left the traditional crime behind. The motive of all crime is economic whether it is, a lap top, car, motorcycle, gold, diamond, silver, wrist watches, sun glasses, CD players, or a jewellery thief, or a robber or a dacoit of an MBA stealing cars or any army officer indulging in illegal sale of liquor. The crime is with a view to get rich quickly, without working for it. There is an interesting case of thief whose profile, as under reads like that of an officer worker.

Workdays; weekdays

Work hours : 9 am to 5 pm

Holidays: Saturday, Sunday and gazetted holidays

Attire : business formal, with a laptop on shoulder

Transport: car or motorbikes

Language: fluent in English and Hindi

With his polished personality, fluency in English and immaculate timing, this Calss X-pass 30-year-old thief had kept the police of four states on their toes for the last one decade. He burgled over 550 houses in Delhi, Mumbai, Uttar Pradesh and Haryana, All dressed up, the educated thief used to target up per-floor houses that were locked during the day. He used to break open locks easily by a small iron rod and picked up whatever cash, jewellery and electronic items, he could lay his hands on. He didn't spend more than 15 minutes in one house. His target was to earn Rs 10,000 a day and did not mind stealing from more than one house per day, to make up this figure.

Another type of crime, which has emerged recently, is the fraud of internet, which cashes on the gullibility and greed of the victims. Many become victims of it, in their desire to get rich quickly. This takes the form of cheating people through claims of fake lottery wins. A typical email reads as under;

Dear friend,

‘‘ I know that this mail will come to you as a surprise. I am the bill and exchange manager in bank of Africa Burkina Faso. I hoped that you will not expose or betray this trust and confident that I am about to repose on you for the mutual benefit of our both families.

We need your urgent assistance in transferring the sum of $22.5 million immediately to your account. The money has been dormant for years in our bank here without any body coming for it.

We want to release the money to you as the nearest person to our deceased customer (the owner of the account) who died along with his supposed next of kin in an air crash since July 2002.

We don't want the money to go into our bank treasury as an abandoned fund. So this is the reason why I contacted you, so that we will can release the money to you as the nearest person to the deceased customer. Please we would like you to keep this proposal as a top secret and delete if you are not interested.

Upon receipt of your reply, I will send you full details on how the business will be executed and also note that you will have 30 per cent of the above mentioned sum if you agree to transact the business with me, 10 per cent will be set aside for expenses incurred during the business, I will not fail to bring to your notice that this transaction is hitch free and that you should not entertain any storm of fear.

I expect that your reply for more details immediately you receive this letter. Yours faithfully.

After a person has received the email, then he is told to send some money as processing fee. Fraudsters make their fortunes out of the processing fee collected and then disappear. People have been caught, but still there is no end to this fraud.

In this kind of fraud, experts in internet, who have worked in BOP companies even in India have been involved and some even arrested. This kind of a crime does not find any mention in the crime manuals or even of the Indian Penal Code. But the omnibus Evidence Act and Criminal Procedure Code are applicable everywhere, in the absence of any specific laws. We need not only to update our laws, but also be willing to change and scrap them with the change in circumstances and conditions. But one thing is certain that with the increase in population, the crime is bound to increase, and the understaffed, ill equipped and ill trained is hardly a match for the new demands placed on it. In short, the police in our country is plagued by multifarious duties, which have only marginal connection with the actual work of prevention and detection of crime.

To declare that in the administration of criminal law the end justifies the means- to declare that the Government may commit crimes in order to secure conviction of a private criminal-would bring terrible retribution. Of course, the citizens expectations are that a criminal should be caught in the morning, tried in the afternoon and convicted by evening. This happens only in films, whch necessarily has to be finished within three hours.

In 1830 by the then Governor of Bombay, Sir John Malcolm, observed as under, about the laws made by the British, which are incidentally still governing the police system in the country. ‘‘The task of seizing the most notorious criminal is easy as compared to that of proving their guilt, according to the principles and the forms of our courts of justice.

There is seldom that full evidence they require, and the consequence is the annual discharge of well known plunderers to recommence their career of guilt and to take ample vengeance on those whom they suspect of having aided in their apprehension. If our laws are not modified to meet this evil, it can alone be mitigated by the change in the executive branch of the police, in those province that are inhabited or subject of the in-roads of predatory tribes.’’

Unfortunately, the Governments irrespective of the party in power, have failed to improve the situation. (PTI)

(Author is former Director CBI)

Obesity epidemic

By Jyotsna Pandit

In the post-liberalisation era more and more young people of marriageable age are taking to liposuction to reduce unwanted body weight. A study coordinated by the All India Institute of Medical Sciences (AIIMS), New Delhi, late last year showed that 43 per cent of the 35,000 people surveyed in 10 industrial cities-including Bangalore, Coimbatore, Delhi and Dibrugarh-are overweight. The incidence of abdominal obesity for men and women (waistline 90 cm and 85 cm, respectively) is more than 30 per cent. Two years ago, when AIIMS studied obesity trends in children from the high-income group in Delhi, it found that 27 per cent of them were overweight and seven per cent obese.

The number of people joining weight-loss clinics is another indicator of the size of the problem. Rupam, centre manager of a Vandana Luthra Curls and Curves clinic in Delhi, says that five years ago, an average of 100 people visited the centre daily. These days, the number of people walking in is about 250 a day.

Obesity in India-or elsewhere in South Asia-has a unique racial feature. Unlike people in the West, South Asians have less muscle tissue in the body. And they have a propensity to accumulate fat on the abdomen, unlike Europeans who usually accumulate flab all over their body, and Africans who tend to put on weight on their buttocks.

Experts dealing with obesity in India have realised one thing: Western standards for judging it are ineffective. A back-of-the-envelope calculation often involves what is known as the body mass index (BMI)-a person's weight (in kilograms) divided by his or her height (in metres) squared. Someone who is 1.7 metres tall and weights 80 kg will have a BMI of 27.68 (80/1.7x1.7). The National Heart, Lung and Blood Institute in the US considers the BMI range of 18.5-24.9 normal. Those belonging to the 25.0-29.9 range are overweight, and a BMI of 30 or more makes someone obese.

Experts cite a host of reasons for Indians getting fatter: there is an unending list of 'new' habits to be blamed. "Dramatic changes in our foods are primarily responsible for the mess," comments Delhi-based nutritionist Vimala Chandra. "We've drifted quite far from our traditional diet which used to be well balanced. We eat much less home-made items these days. What the restaurants and fast food joints offer is loaded with fats and refined sugars." But fast food, argues psychiatrist Sameer Parikh of Max Health Care, New Delhi, has become "a necessity in the fast life that people lead today."

A busy work schedule, clearly, affects one's health. Most of Roopam's patients in Gurgaon, for instance, are IT professionals. "They work long hours, eat at odd hours and complain that work doesn't permit them any time for exercise, outdoor activities or recreation," she observes.

Cardiologist Naresh Trehan aptly sums up the situation when he says, "Indians now prefer to drive to the toilet." He notices what he calls "a socio-psycho-economic factor" at play. "The economy of our country is stronger now," he says. "Sociologically, we have an expression of success, while psychologically, we want to express love." Notes Trehan, "Indians tend to show affection through food. The fact that dads and moms have more to spend these days means more indulgence in food."

Habits apart, are Indians genetically predisposed to obesity too? Yes, says Arup Ratan Gautam, anthropology department, Delhi University. He cites the so-called 'starving gene' theory to explain the phenomenon. "Because we've been underfed for thousands of years," explains Gautam, "we've endowed with genes that help store fat so that we can withstand famine. Though those conditions are no longer there, our genes still are."

Worldwide, researchers are also delving deep into the link between obesity and type 2 (adult-onset) diabetes. According to D. Prabhakaran, associate professor, cardiology, AIIMS, abdominal fat in Indians is suspected to resist the production of insulin, heightening the risk of diabetes. In a study involving 212 people aged 30-years and above, A.B. Das Chaudhuri, professor of anthropology and human genetics at Delhi University, found that 47 per cent of the abdominally obese people suffered from problems such as diabetes and high blood pressure.

"The obesity epidemic in Indian society is critically felt among the adolescents," comments Vandana Luthra, proprietor of a chain of fitness and slimming centres in the country. Launched 17-years ago, her outfit has 84 centres in 46 cities now. Of late, it has also started interactive sessions in some public schools in Delhi to make parents aware of the impact of their children's eating habits.

Not everyone, however, is oblivious to the dangers ahead. And among those who glimpsed a new awareness was Pepsi Foods, which introduced Diet Pepsi to the Indian market five years ago. Abhiram Seth, executive director of the company, won't divulge figures, but says the market for the diet drink is small and primarily urban. "But it's a core consuming group which is calorie conscious," he says.

The soft drink market reveals the Indian mindset. Though the craving for a careless calorie intake-reflected in the high sales of carbonated drinks-is still enormous, the concern for the new epidemic-shown in the demand for the diet brands-is mounting. Waking up to the menace is a must, or else most Indians will soon become diabetics, hypertensives or patients of some form of cancer. (INAV)

Rising Food prices hit the poor

By Nantoo Banerjee

If good rainfall, higher agricultural production, huge inflow of foreign direct investment (FDI), improved performance of the manufacturing, core and infrastructure sectors, and the record high stock indices, Sensex and Nifty, were some of the high points of Indian economy in 2007, the outlook for the year 2008 appears to be less positive. The soaring food prices in both the local and global markets, rising costs of energy and the lack of political consensus on development issues threaten to play the spoilsport and affect the economic growth in 2008.

The country's current political scene marked by a growing antagonism among the national as well as regional parties, the rise of ultra-leftist and fundamentalist elements, social and communal tensions and the increasing menace of the Pakistan-sponsored cross-border terrorism is likely to put the economy under pressure in the pre-Lok Sabha election year. In fact, the political scene is so uncertain, especially after the massive debacle of the Congress in Gujarat and Himachal Pradesh Assembly elections, that the rift among the members of the Congress-led United Progressive Alliance (UPA) and their Left supporters, constantly indulging in blame game, may widen further leading to even an early national election around November this year.

Domestic food prices are ruling at all-time high levels. The year-end Indian tender to import one million tonnes of wheat for delivery in March 2008 and the news of the precarious wheat and rice stocks position of the state-owned Food Corporation of India jacked up the prices of these food grains in both the domestic and international markets. The new arrival of kharif crops has failed to ease the prices of rice, which is normally cheaper during this time of the year. The trading in commodity futures and the growing tendency towards forging a price linkage between the local and global markets by speculators are likely to keep the prices of agricultural commodities firm at higher levels throughout the year.

The retail prices of rice have gone up by 15 cent to 25 per cent. The edible oil price per litre (910 gram) is inching towards the Rs. 100 mark. The popular brands of sunflower oil now cost around Rs. 93 per litre, over 20 per cent higher than the price a year ago. The prices of bread, butter, Cheese and other daily-use processed foods are at their all-time high levels. This is bound to raise the inflationary pressure on the economy during 2008. Further, a weak monsoon will only add to the problem.

A food shortage in the world's second most populous country could rock the global food prices. This is already taking place in anticipation that an economically wealthier India will be required to import more cereals, pulses and edible oil during this year as well as in the coming years unless there is a radical change in its agricultural policies and practices. Experts feel that food prices may reach crisis levels by the middle of 2008.

Simultaneously, global food prices too have reached a record high. At the Chicago grains exchange, wheat and rice prices for delivery in March have jumped to an all-time peak level. Soybean prices are at 34-year high. Corn prices are at an 11-year peak. According to Advanced Economic Solutions, a US consultancy firm, the food prices increase is "their fastest since 1980s, but the full brunt of those increases will begin in earnest in 2008." High demand, poor harvests and low stockpiles are primarily responsible for the global rise in food prices. High cereals prices are here to stay, feels Morgan Stanley. This is bad news for India, where food, fuel and fertiliser traditionally continue to be the most compelling and dominating areas of import. With crude oil prices peaking at around $ 100 a barrel, higher food prices are bound to increase the inflationary pressure on the economy and, as a result, slow down its growth.

The power position is already tight. The peak hour power shortage in the country is over 15,000 MW. The quality and availability of power in smaller towns and rural areas continue to be poor. The rural business and agriculture are getting increasingly dependent on diesel generation, which is expensive as well as polluting. Even in modern industrial complexes such as Noida in Uttar Pradesh and Gurgaon in Haryana, more and more companies are going for high-powered diesel sets for a 100 per cent auxiliary power back-up to keep their establishments running during frequent and often prolonged periods of power cuts. Most of the ongoing power projects are running behind schedule.

Although the Securities & Exchange Board of India (Sebi) has cleared the controversial mega-issue of Reliance Power with riders in December, it will take at lease three years for the ambitious Anil Ambani project to see the light of the day. Most of the new mega-thermal power projects are based on gas to be made available from the fields in the Krishna-Godavari basin at prices which the electricity generating companies are finding uneconomic. Power shortage may turn out to be the single biggest hurdle to high industrial growth during 2008.

The political factor during the pre-election year may also slow down the pace of industrial growth as some of the regional political parties are joining extremist forces and realty sharks to make land acquisition for mega-projects more difficult in 2008. The prospective promoters of special economic zones (SEZs) may be forced to defer their projects by another year or so until the new government, hopefully with a strong public mandate, takes charge of the situation and plays a more effective role in industrial promotion and economic governance. Some 400 SEZs have so far been cleared by the government. The combined land requirement for these projects is over 80,000 hectares. The total investment lined up is close to Rs. 3,00,000 crore. These proposed SEZs, which are targeted to be ready by 2009, are expected to create some 21 lakh jobs directly. But, the growing political opposition to land acquisition may seal the fate of most of these SEZs. For instance, the government of Goa has already surrendered to its political opposition and local activists to denotify 12 out of the 15 proposed SEZs in the state.

The present government is unlikely to take its political opponents head on in order to pursue the sensitive issues such as land acquisition and the entry of the organised sector in the retail trade. At stake are huge investments in the infrastructure, core and services sectors. Indecision on such matters is bound to delay new power projects, including nuclear projects, steel mills, new airports and sea ports, expansion of national highways and development of mines. Unfortunately, this is a price the nation has to pay for its political indifference to developmental issues, in general, which is reflected on the polity through fractured election mandates, successive multi-party governments at the Centre and increasing power play by regional parties in the matters of national interest. Long-term economic goals are being sacrificed for short-term political gains. The results of the next Parliamentary election hold the key to the growth and progress of the Indian economy. (IPA)



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