EDITORIAL

Ralmil bolo

It gives us immense joy that 52 devotees from Pakistan have undertaken darshan of Mata Vaishno Devi. This is for the first time that such a large group of pilgrims came from the neighbouring country to pay obesaince at the Trikuta hills. The legend has it that only those are able to conclude this trip who get invitations from the Mata. Indeed, their wish has been finally granted by the Goddess. For their part they are extremely happy to have realised a dream. Not surprisingly, therefore, they have described their journey "a miracle" that has become possible because of the blessings of Vaishno Devi. All of them belong to the minority ..more

Dreams never die

All of us wish and pray that Sachin Tendulkar realises his dream of winning the World Cup for India in 2011. In a recent interview he has said: "Winning the World Cup is certainly still an unfulfilled dream and I would love to play in it." He is being realistic: "But 2011 is still some way to go, and I don't want to look that far and commit myself to anything." On current reckoning, however, one can say with a lot of hope that Sachin will still be in the playing arena three years from now. He has repeatedly proved that he continues to be better than cricketers much younger than him. His stamina is unfailing and his technique admittedly the best in the world. It is true ...more

Expanding terror infrastructure

By Jayant Muralidharan

The Students Islamic Movement of India (SIMI), a banned organisation, almost managed a place at a Delhi high table when an international agency organised a meeting between its leaders and UN special rapporteur on freedom of ...more

Indo-Pak relations

By Amulya Ganguli

Pakistan is passing through a curious stage in its short history. Although the dictatorship has suffered a blow, the dictator is still there. Pervez Musharraf may not be as powerful as before, mainly because he is no longer in direct command of the army. But there is no certainty about how he may react if ......more

Food security
with price control

By Sisir Basu

In search of a third alternative, Left parties and the United National progressive Alliance (UNPA) will have a joint nationwide protest against price rise from 16 to 23 April, just after Parliament reconvenes for the second part of the Budget Session. Provoked by rising inflation, the Left parties had announced their independent programmes to highlight the common man's plight. They will now join the ...more

EDITORIAL

Ralmil bolo

It gives us immense joy that 52 devotees from Pakistan have undertaken darshan of Mata Vaishno Devi. This is for the first time that such a large group of pilgrims came from the neighbouring country to pay obesaince at the Trikuta hills. The legend has it that only those are able to conclude this trip who get invitations from the Mata. Indeed, their wish has been finally granted by the Goddess. For their part they are extremely happy to have realised a dream. Not surprisingly, therefore, they have described their journey "a miracle" that has become possible because of the blessings of Vaishno Devi. All of them belong to the minority Hindu community inhabiting Pakistan's Sindh province which is adjoining the Thar desert in Rajasthan in our country. They have made a detour via the Wagah border on a 15-day visa they will avail themselves of to visit the holy cities of Amritsar and Haridwar as well. It means that in the prosperous Punjab town they will get a chance to bow their heads in reverence at the Golden Temple and Durgiana Mandir in addition to having a glimpse of the historic Jallianwala Bagh which represents the stirring common past of India and Pakistan. In Haridwar they will have a dip in the Ganga which is the living Mother Goddess. No other river in the world is held in such reverence as is the Ganga born from the divine feet of Vishnu, preserved in the kamandal of Brahma, sustained in His locks by Shiva and brought to earth by Bhagirath. She is the wife of King Shantnu and the mother of the one and only Bhisham Pitamah. Jawaharlal Nehru has noted: "The Ganges (as the Ganga is often spelt in English), above all is the river of India, which has held India's heart captive and drawn uncounted millions to her banks since the dawn of history. The story of the Ganges, from her source to the sea, from old times to new, is the story of India's civilisation and culture, of the rise and fall of empires, of great and proud cities, of adventures of man…"

One sincerely hopes that the Pakistani guests will remember their pilgrimage for a long time. No effort should be spared to ensure that their stay is comfortable. Their visit has coincided with the completion of three years of "karvan-e-aman", the bus service between Srinagar and Muzaffarabad across the Line of Control (LoC). It is a blissful coincidence. This is evidence enough that the feel-good factor has gained further momentum in the sub-continent. We certainly look forward to a day when the people all over the sub-continent will be able to move around freely without any hindrance. For this to materialise it is incumbent upon us to weed out terrorists and their patrons from among us.

For the moment, however, let us celebrate the arrival of guests from Pakistan and join them in hailing Vaishno Devi: "O Prem Se Bolo Jai Mata Di, O Sare Bolo Jai Mata Di, O Ralmil Bolo Jai Mata Di, O Meetha Bolo Jai Mata Di" (let's state it with love, let all of us say it with one voice, let all of us speak it together, let us hail in the sweetest voice Glory to You O Divine Mother).

Dreams never die

All of us wish and pray that Sachin Tendulkar realises his dream of winning the World Cup for India in 2011. In a recent interview he has said: "Winning the World Cup is certainly still an unfulfilled dream and I would love to play in it." He is being realistic: "But 2011 is still some way to go, and I don't want to look that far and commit myself to anything." On current reckoning, however, one can say with a lot of hope that Sachin will still be in the playing arena three years from now. He has repeatedly proved that he continues to be better than cricketers much younger than him. His stamina is unfailing and his technique admittedly the best in the world. It is true that his form has nosedived on occasions. Once he has been booed in Mumbai, of all places, for a poor performance. Injuries too have taken a toll of him: in fact, he has been rested for the second and third Tests against South Africa in the ongoing series on the home turf because of groin injury. Nevertheless he has suffered less on all these counts compared to the majority of other players. All cricketers have their share of fine and adverse moments. Sachin is a great exception in the sense that he has been mostly good. He himself puts it rather humbly: "I am enjoying my cricket at the moment and don't want to think too much into the future. I have been playing almost non-stop for 20 years and want to focus only on the present. I prefer to take series by series." His achievements are momentous. He has scored the most centuries in Tests and one-day cricket and is just 171 runs away from becoming Test cricket's highest run-getter, a feat that he should attain sooner rather than later. If he plays in 2011 which millions of his fans will like him to do he will be achieving another milestone --- a record sixth appearance in the World Cup which is to be jointly hosted then by South Asian neighbours India, Pakistan, Sri Lanka and Bangladesh. Sachin has so far fulfilled his ambition "to play well and score as many runs as possible. That has been my motivation." Of course, with his latest utterance he has reminded us of British scholar C.S. Lewis's celebrated observation: "You are never too old to set another goal or to dream a new dream."

Dreams are parts of everyone's life. It is the only the brave and virtuous who don't give up their pursuit. The last lines of a song sung by Tiffany (incidentally her career was down at that stage) are: "I've still got my dreams. And they will never die. Never, never, never." It is the beauty of human mind that it can dream anything that it wants to dream. What is required is the courage and strength to translate it into a reality. Sachin has displayed plenty of both the qualities. He apparently believes: "Excellence can be obtained if you: care more than others think is wise; risk more than others think is safe; dream more than others think is practical; expect more than others think is possible." Good luck to him in his latest hunt.




 

Expanding terror infrastructure

By Jayant Muralidharan

The Students Islamic Movement of India (SIMI), a banned organisation, almost managed a place at a Delhi high table when an international agency organised a meeting between its leaders and UN special rapporteur on freedom of religion, Asma Jehangir. The international agency retreated when the government got a whiff of the proposed meeting and told the meeting's hosts that SIMI was a banned outfit and any meeting would invite charges under Unlawful Activities Prevention Act.

SIMI has of late has been making attempts to protect its assets by purveying a spurious theory about a hard-liners' and moderates' split in its ranks. The so- called moderates recently convened a meeting in Kerala to devise a strategy for selling the theory. A section, which bough into the claim, advertised that moderates were unhappy with subversive activities of the hard-liners.

Recent reports in the media had talked about former SIMI president Shahid Badr Falahi convening a meeting of its activists in Kerala's Aluva. This meeting sought revocation of the ban on the outfit. Intelligence officers familiar with the functioning of the outfit said the attempts to project a section as 'political Islamists' is part of an attempt to regroup.

The onslaught of slain jungle emperor Veerappan, the picturesque State of Karnataka is beset with a more fatal problem-- that of a well-oiled terror hub operating as much from the heart of its jungles as it is from the centre of its hi-tech city. Coming from well-placed and educated professionals, terror in Karnataka has become a point of worry in top echelons.

This could well be the first time that a terrorist camp used by Islamist fundamentalists has been detected in southern India, where a spate of terror attacks in the last few years, such as the Hyderabad's Mecca mosque and the Indian Institute of Science in Bangalore, have been witnessed. These attacks expose a serious chink in the country's intelligence armour. This chilling evidence came to light during the interrogation of three Islamist radicals arrested recently--Riyazuddin Nasir alias Mohammed Ghouse, Asadullah Abu Bakar and Mohammed Asit.

The nature's bounty is being abused by human intervention, not just the existence of the camp and the fact that the likes of prime suspect Ghouse allegedly worked for a terror organisation in Pakistan through intermediaries is of vital importance.

According to officials, students are the main targets for SIMI activists who brainwash them to take to Islamic cause. Active members of SIMI closely observe Muslim students, especially of engineering and medical streams and evaluate them on various parameters including their religious faith, temperament and other attributes.

Meanwhile, in what could unravel the actual penetration of terror in southern states, especially Karnataka, in major crackdown on the banned SIMI the Madhya Pradesh police raided several places in Indore a fortnight back and arrested 13 top leaders of the organisation, including its Karnataka head. Other heads in the net are from Kerala, Uttar Pradesh, Haryana, Maharashtra and Madhya Pradesh.

Among those in the police net are SIMI's Madhya Pradesh chief Safdar Nagori, his brother Kamruddin Nagori, Aamir Pervez, Hafiz Hussain and Shivli. Their names figure in number of bomb blasts in other states. While Hussain is the SIMI chief of Karnataka, Shivli is the mainstay of SIMI operations in Kerala. Shivli too is wanted for several blasts. The MP police have sent out teams to the states concerned to find out more about the activities of these two.

Back in Bagalore, the arrest of Yahya Kammakutty, a B. Tech graduate and a former employee of Tata Infotech and GE Wipro Healthcare, by the Karnataka police last month had revealed SIMI's rising clout among educated Muslim youths in Karnataka and Kerala. Among the half-a-dozen persons arrested in Karnataka for suspected SIMI links, at least four were found to be medical students and some IT professionals.

SIMI's major funding source is suspected to be charities in Saudi Arabia. Interrogation of Yaha had revealed that he had made several trips to the Middle-East. These visits were probably made in connection with raising funds. The banned outfit operates through several front organisations registered as NGOs and has several publications, printed regularly, professing its ideology.

The intelligence and investigating agencies had indicated that the Muslim IT Professionals Association, a Bangalore based voluntary organisation, is propagating fundamentalist values and fostering terror links among IT professionals in the guise of social service. However, there have been strong reactions from Muslim techies.

Analysts talk of two theories in this context. While some feel that Karnataka may not be the target for terrorist attacks, but a safe zone for scheming attacks in different parts of Southern India, including Hyderabad and Tamil Nadu, others feel that the state is as vulnerable as any other in the region. The vulnerability is largely attributed to the fast stride that the state has made in terms of economic and commercial activities in fields like IT and biotechnology. INAV




 

Indo-Pak relations

By Amulya Ganguli

Pakistan is passing through a curious stage in its short history. Although the dictatorship has suffered a blow, the dictator is still there. Pervez Musharraf may not be as powerful as before, mainly because he is no longer in direct command of the army. But there is no certainty about how he may react if the new government makes a serious attempt to clip his wings. The army, too, may not like one of its former chiefs being humiliated in any way, for that will be a direct assault on its prestige.

India, therefore, has to tread cautiously, as it has always had to do, in dealing with the new regime. Although there have been hopeful signs, as when Asif Ali Zardari sought to put Kashmir on the back burner. But his subsequent reference to the "martyrs" who had laid down their lives for Kashmir's "independence" showed that no Pakistani leader, military or civilian, can go beyond a point on this issue.

Kashmir is not the only impediment for an immediate improvement in ties. Even more troublesome is the continuing assistance which the ISI provides to the terrorists. For India, a great test of goodwill of the new government will be the steps it takes to dismantle the terrorist infrastructure, which includes the subterranean links between the militants and the rogue elements in the Pakistan establishment. Whether Zardari and Nawaz Sharif have the necessary will and the gumption to uproot these poisonous weeds are still unclear.

Central to any initiative which the leaders of the Pakistan People's Party and the Muslim League (Nawaz) may take curb the jehadis in the country's polity is the question of the durability of their alliance. There can be little doubt that it is a makeshift arrangement necessitated by Benazir Bhutto's sudden death. Prior to that, the PPP under her was an ally of Musharraf with American support. Only the public anguish over her death, and the belief that Musharraf was at least indirectly responsible, compelled her party to align with Nawaz Sharif in spite of the latter's pronounced antipathy towards Musharraf and, as a spin-off, towards the US.

That Washington still has a soft corner for the President is no secret. Hence, the reports that it is trying to ensure that its man in Islamabad is not forced to swallow the bitter pill of all the deposed judges, especially the former chief justice Iftikhar Mohammed Chaudhary, being reinstated. It is not impossible that both Musharraf and the US are biding their time, waiting for any sign of rift between the PPP and the Muslim League (N).

Notwithstanding America's professed preference for democracy, it is apparently uneasy about politicians in this region, mainly because of their intrinsic anti-Americanism, which, in turn, is a reflection of the sentiment among large sections of the ordinary people. Musharraf is also stoking this feeling by claiming that the US military may attack the tribal regions if he is removed as the head of state, and whisk away A.Q.Khan for interrogation.

India, on the other hand, cannot hope to emulate the Americans by waiting. It has to take forward the momentum of improved ties from the Musharraf days to the present period lest it be accused of harbouring feelings of schadenfreude. Since India subscribes to the thesis that democracies do not go to war, this is the best time to try and mend relations since there is little likelihood of a military coup in the near future. It may be worthwhile to recall in this context that the wars of 1965 and 1971 took place when Pakistan was under the military dictatorships of Ayub Khan and Yahya Khan while the Kargil conflict was instigated by the then army chief Musharraf behind Nawaz Sharif's back.

India's hope, therefore, lies in the belief that, given time, democracy will sort out most problems even if the customary display of contentious views in public gives the impression of a "functioning anarchy", as India was once described by John Kenneth Galbraith. Among the positive signals emanating from Pakistan is the selection of a woman, Fehmida Mirza, as the Speaker of the National Assembly, dispelling the impression that the country was sliding into some kind of a less virulent Afghanistan where women's position in society was concerned. Considering that not long ago, militant women and young girls - "chicks with sticks", as they were called in Pakistan - had occupied a mosque in the heart of Islamabad, the latest developments denote a marked change of the social climate.

Zardari and Nawaz Sharif, too, have been speaking in measured tones, at least to the Indian media, suggesting that they have understood the futility of an endless confrontation with India - something which even Musharraf had realized, even if under American pressure. It will be also fair to point out that Nawaz Sharif had responded warmly to Atal Behari Vajpayee's remarkable initiative in undertaking the bus journey to Lahore in 1999. If Nawaz Sharif carries on from where he left off on being deposed by Musharraf, then the chances of a new beginning in mutual relations are bright.

Manmohan Singh's proposed visit, therefore, will arouse more than the usual interest. In addition to his talks with the new Pakistan Prime Minister, Syed Yousaf Raza Gillani, his interaction with Zardari, who has said that he wants to be the power behind the throne like Sonia Gandhi, and with Nawaz Sharif will show whether the two countries can successfully continue the process of putting the past behind them. (IPA Service)




 

Food security with price control

By Sisir Basu

In search of a third alternative, Left parties and the United National progressive Alliance (UNPA) will have a joint nationwide protest against price rise from 16 to 23 April, just after Parliament reconvenes for the second part of the Budget Session. Provoked by rising inflation, the Left parties had announced their independent programmes to highlight the common man's plight. They will now join the Samajwadi Party Telugu Desam Party-led UNPA for a "joint struggle" on the issue, and to show their solidarity on pro-people issues. A major event during the protest week will be a symposium in New Delhi on April 19, where economic experts will join the Left and UNPA leaders in presenting the economic perspective on the price-rise issue.

It is felt that people are aware of the nexus between a section of dishonest businessmen and politicians who are finally responsible for rising prices. It's surprising that when millions are dying due to spiralling prices, the government is reluctant to clamp down and, instead, claims that the international economic situation is responsible for this. Ordinary people are resigned to their fate and this has led to the poor becoming poorer and the rich richer. No one in India seems capable of unravelling this price rise mystery. It's unfair that a section of people cast aspersions on the media that it twiddles it thumb at the price rise. Those who think the media is doing nothing except making a virtue out of necessity should understand that in our decaying society, what the media is doing for the welfare of people beggars description. The volte-face by both the government and industrialists has become the order of the day.

There was a time when the government and industrialists would give importance to media reports against mismanagement and profit making. Because of this, the government would rectify the policies laid down and extend a helping hand to the common people. But those precedents no longer hold good. It's true that common people have resigned to price escalation. But what can they do? Profits made at their cost take a heavy toll and any number of venal politicians know how to tackle protesters. There is a lack of good leaders who can tackle rigged markets and serve responsibly.

Food security calls for long-term planning in order to correct the mismatch between demand and supply. Foodgrains don't fetch attractive prices and farmers are migrating to cash crops. The trend is not unique to India; in countries like the US farmers are shifting from corn to biofuels. As rice and wheat prices off the farm don't reflect the increase in input costs, there is need to incentivise cereal production. One way to make foodgrain cultivation profitable is to increase productivity.

Experts claim that a 50 per cent increase in yields is possible if we judiciously use technology that is currently available. Our average yields per hectare in rice and wheat are half that of China. Moreover, the pressure on land is only going to increase as India rapidly urbanises, as such, the focus ought to be on increasing productivity and plugging leakages in procurement and distribution. Better extension services and procurement and distribution networks are necessary if food prices are to be kept under check. All such policies have to benefit both producers and consumers. Else, onion-tears will be shed.

The present predicament is compounded by the sins of omission and commission of many past governments, all of whom neglected agriculture. But the Indian public is known to be merciless when it comes to punishing governments that are unable to deliver on the price front. Hardly the scenario any government would like to countenance in the run-up to the polls!

The problem is there isn't very much the government can do to cool prices. With global prices of food and oil showing little signs of easing-the latest issue of The Economist magazine shows food and oil prices up 54 per cent and 66 per cent respectively over the year -- pressure on the wholesale price index from both primary articles and energy prices is likely to continue. Add to that the recent increase in metal prices that has spilled over into higher prices for manufactured product and the outlook on the price front is distinctly gloomy. If inflationary expectations intensify, as they are likely to, over the coming months (post the Sixth Pay Commission (SPC) Report and increased government spending on social schemes), the government could be well set for a hell of a closing.

It is no consolation that slowing growth and rising inflation seems to be global phenomena. Of the 43 countries for which The Economist lists data on consumer prices, every single one had higher prices than a year ago. But that is unlikely to cut any ice with the man on the street. So where does that leave the government? The answer; not very far! Policy makers have tried a number of fiscal steps--cutting tariffs-- as well as administrative steps like banning exports of selective food items. And though the full impact on prices is yet to be felt, it is unlikely to be significant.

Arm twisting producers into cutting/ capping prices will only cause trade to go underground and will have long-term deleterious effects as well. Monetary tightening will not be of much help either, as monetary policy acts with a lag. Worse, it has broad-brush impact that is not advisable when growth is already slowing. Rupee appreciation is an option that might help but, again, only at the margin.

But politics is about playing to the gallery. No government, least of all one with elections hangings over its head, can afford to be seen like Nero, fiddling while Rome burnt. Hence the desperation!

In the circumstances the best bet would be to reduce tariffs further (wherever possible), cut back on wasteful spending, refrain form fuelling inflationary expectations (read, stagger the pay outs from the SPC report and credit arrears to provident fund accounts), crack down on smuggling of rice through the Indo-Bangladesh border and improve delivery for those priced out of the market, if necessary by restricting the public distribution system (PDS) to those below the poverty line.

That's in the short-term. Long-term, there is no alternative but to make amends for years of neglect of agriculture; in other words, increase public investment, restore the extension system that played a vital role in the Green Revolution of the 1960s, revitalise the Seed Corporation and most important of all, introduce market-based reform.

Unfortunately, the reform process of the 1990s has completely bypassed agriculture even as it has liberated industry from the shackles of the licence-permit raj. Under the guise of supporting agriculture, we subsidise inputs (read, provide free/under- priced power, water and fertilisers). So we have cropping patterns that bear no relation to soil-agro-climatic conditions- for instance, water-intensive sugar cane is grown in the semiarid areas of the Deccan, and as quid pro quo for this support we impose all kinds of restrictions on output- on sale/pricing and export.

The result is a maze of controls and distortions suppressing both market signals and the animal spirits of farmers. All these controls need to be scrapped. Yes, small farmers and landless labourers might get hurt in the process. However the answer to that is not to tie farmers up in knots but to adopt a differentiated approach for large and small farmers. Remove all controls on large farmers and allow them access to market-based mechanisms like futures markets. For the rest, including small farmers, landless labourers and others who may be priced out of the market, have a well functioning PDS through grains procured from the market. INAV


 
 
 



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