EDITORIAL

Aya or Gaya?

Some time back we had cursorily referred to the Aya Ram Gaya Ram phenomenon in these columns. Many politicians have made it a practice to switch sides for better "career" opportunities. They may do so for becoming a minister. They can also aim at any other influential position. Their decisions at times may solely be influenced by monetary considerations. Such allegations have often been made in the past rocking our political scene on several occasions. Clearly the ideological convictions have no room in this exercise. Politics in fact is no more associated with principles. It has become a game that must be played to secure power by hook or by crook and retain it at all costs. Some one has aptly remarked: "During Ram's time, polit ..more

Chug chug chug

Slowly and gradually the railway network in the State is being further expanded. In the latest phase a weekly train service has been launched between this city and Kathgodam. It is actually a "garib rath" which is an air-conditioned train with lower-than-normal fares. In addition, the process of electrification of a part of the Jammu-Jalandhar railway line has also been started. Both these activities have been kicked off by the Railway Minister, Mr Laloo Prasad Yadav, during his visit to this city. He has, moreover, reiterated that a survey for ....more

New era in Pakistan

By Wajid Shamsul Hasan

Prime Minister Yusuf Raza Gilani, who has been elected as the 24th Prime Minister of Pakistan, has promised dawn of a new era that will be manifested in the new parliament by its assertive role as the sole arbiter of power. Suave and soft-spoken Gilani fits in a description for a man who is considered good in a world...more

Issues before Congress

By Indranil Banerjea

The constituents of the Congress-led UPA government like the DMK, NCP and RJD will be fighting the Lok Sabha polls on their own strength as leaders of these parties feel that the INC of Sonia Gandhi cannot evolve a winning combination in 2009. The other grouse is that the Congress party doesn't have the culture of running a coalition ......more

What after Bali ?

By Chandra Mohan

It is rather unusual, if not unimaginable, to expect the world's mightiest and the richest nation face the prospect of isolation. Yet that is what the United States of America, the sole super power of the world, faced at the two-week conference on climate in the holiday island of Bali in mid-December. The fear of becoming a pariah nation forced...more

EDITORIAL

Aya or Gaya?

Some time back we had cursorily referred to the Aya Ram Gaya Ram phenomenon in these columns. Many politicians have made it a practice to switch sides for better "career" opportunities. They may do so for becoming a minister. They can also aim at any other influential position. Their decisions at times may solely be influenced by monetary considerations. Such allegations have often been made in the past rocking our political scene on several occasions. Clearly the ideological convictions have no room in this exercise. Politics in fact is no more associated with principles. It has become a game that must be played to secure power by hook or by crook and retain it at all costs. Some one has aptly remarked: "During Ram's time, politics was 'bhakti' (devotion), in Krishna's time it became 'yukti' (skill) and in the hands of Gandhi and Subhash it became 'shakti' (power). Then it became 'mukti' (freedom) while in the hands of patriots Ashfaq Khan and Bhagat Singh but now it has become 'sampati' (property)." Is this decline not the reason why the phrase Aya Ram Gaya Ram has been readily accepted in all languages across the country? There is no change in its connotation anywhere. It was originally used to refer to floor-crossing by legislators in Haryana. Since then it is evoked to mention shifting of loyalties in any manner purely for the sake of personal gains. It continues to have a derogative connotation and its application is confined to politics alone. It is not cited in corporate or other sectors where it is taken for granted that the people will move from one place to the other to get emoluments consistent with their talent. In our State a few workers and middle-level members of the political class have already started floating around. Apparently they are looking for the right platform to contest the coming Assembly elections. The parties that have been affected so far are the National Conference (NC) and the People's Democratic Party (PDP) both of which are heading for a bitter fight in the Kashmir region in particular. The People's Democratic Forum (PDF), a conglomeration of various groups, has also been exposed to certain upheaval on this count.

It is anybody's guess that the to-and-fro movement of politicians will step up with the approaching polls. Those denied nominations by their parent organisations will desperately try to move to other outfits that are willing to accommodate their electoral dreams. It is in these situations that the term Aya Ram Gaya Ram assumes relevance. It denotes essentially an individual activity not conforming to acceptable standards of public life. One will find that the idiom is not used in the case of political leaders who change their allegiance by publicly taking a principled stance. For instance, Mufti Mohammad Sayeed has moved from the Congress to the Janata Dal before setting up the PDP. For each of his actions he has a plausible explanation. Prof Saifuddin Soz has joined the Congress after having served the NC for long. He had left the NC after exercising conscience vote against the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) Government in 1999. Both the leaders have not gone back to their original parties either. Another leader in their company is former PDP minister Ghulam Hassan Mir whose activities are political and pronounced. For more than one reason all of them can't be placed in the category of Aya Rams Gaya Rams. However, such allowance can't be made about those leaders who were with the NC before letting down Dr Farooq Abdullah in 1984 and are again back in his fold. The forced exit of Dr Abdullah as the Chief Minister in 1984 and before that the dismissal and arrest of Sheikh Abdullah in 1953 figure in an altogether different class as the events scuttling the democratic processes.

Admittedly there are strong anti-defection laws to deal with elected political leaders. It is not easier for them to defect. The problem nevertheless is that at the Central level these well-intentioned measures have been subjected to varied interpretations leaving scope for manipulations. Even today while the "splits" are not recognised the "mergers" are permitted. There is, therefore, a revolving door. The State also has a deterrent against defections. The legislation has not faced any trial so far. As a result the presiding officers have not yet been called upon to judge it in the light of actual situations. All said and done, nothing prevents the politicians from walking in and out of different parties at least till the elections. Let us, therefore, keep our fingers crossed and wait for Aya Rams Gaya Rams to exhibit their distinctive craft in front of us.

Chug chug chug

Slowly and gradually the railway network in the State is being further expanded. In the latest phase a weekly train service has been launched between this city and Kathgodam. It is actually a "garib rath" which is an air-conditioned train with lower-than-normal fares. In addition, the process of electrification of a part of the Jammu-Jalandhar railway line has also been started. Both these activities have been kicked off by the Railway Minister, Mr Laloo Prasad Yadav, during his visit to this city. He has, moreover, reiterated that a survey for bringing Poonch on the country's railway map will too be undertaken. Linking the State with Nainital via Kathgodam is a good proposition. Among other gains "Garib rath" will increase this state's connectivity with the neighbouring Punjab and western Uttar Pradesh. The issue of electrification of track in the State has been pending for too long. It is absolutely essential to do so from environmental viewpoint. Jammu and Kashmir is one of the few states richly endowed with green cover which is required to be zealously guarded. Smoke emanating from chugging engines is a big spoiler. One hopes that the Jammu-Udhampur stretch will also be electrified sooner rather than later. Any rail link with Poonch is to be heartily welcomed. It will lead to the exploration of countless new tourist venues in this region from Akhnoor onwards.

Having noted these positive developments we may draw the attention of the Railway Minister to two more urgent tasks that should be taken up immediately. One is to consider building a ring rail in the trans-Himalayan territory of Leh which has emerged as a top national and international tourist destination. The other is that Jammu should be upgraded as the divisional headquarters. This will help speedier implementation and close monitoring of all projects on hand. Besides, it will bring into play innovative ideas consistent with the State's natural grandeur.




 

New era in Pakistan

By Wajid Shamsul Hasan

Prime Minister Yusuf Raza Gilani, who has been elected as the 24th Prime Minister of Pakistan, has promised dawn of a new era that will be manifested in the new parliament by its assertive role as the sole arbiter of power. Suave and soft-spoken Gilani fits in a description for a man who is considered good in a world where deceit is the order of the day. Whatever contact I have had with him ever since I met him first in 1988, I have found him to be a perfect gentleman. Why not-he has a Sufi background and comes from a well-reputed political lineage.

I met him through the courtesy of late Pyar Ali Allana-a PPP stalwart- at a lunch in Karachi where we three discussed politics and future course of events at when General Zia was at the height of power. This was a sort of precursor to his meeting with Mohtarma Benazir Bhutto and his subsequent joining of PPP the same year. Gilani made his mark at first in the PPP hierarchy as a Federal Minister. Later as Speaker he earned more laurels for being an upright man who earnestly believed in the supremacy of Parliament, rule of law, justice and fair play. I found him to be a man who would go out of the way to take a stand for a cause.

I was with Benazir Bhutto in Islamabad when many names were being mooted for NA Speakership in 1993. She did not want to make a wrong choice because an upright Speaker was-according to her-the need of the hour for a strong Parliament in a polity that had been vulturised by politics of divide-and-rule pursued by General Zia.

After great deliberations Gilani was chosen to be the PPP candidate for Speakership. Some seniors thought he was too young for the job (he was in his thirties) but Bhutto had known his sterling qualities as a man who was well-versed in high stake human management skills. Gilani disappointed his critics by his outstanding performance. He set new traditions for strengthening the parliamentary norms. And in no time he was recognised as the most outstanding Speaker that the National Assembly ever had after erstwhile East Pakistani veteran parliamentarian Maulvi Tamizuddin Khan. His assumption of the office of Prime Minister is not only the acknowledgement of the confidence that his late Chairperson had in him but also the entire party and its leadership.

The office of the Prime Minister in Pakistan has never been a bed of roses. It takes the incumbent onto a path that is strewn with thorns. The conditions now are even more deplorable than ever before. Gilani has taken over at a time when the country has been rendered in to an Augean stable. His election with an overwhelming majority (264 votes) is more a recognition of his leader Benazir Bhutto's sacrifice in blood.. While emphasising on the need for an enormous changes in the socio-economic order for equitable distribution of wealth, bridging up of the widening gap between rich and the poor- the new Prime Minister hit the right node in reasserting Parliament's supremacy as the sole arbiter of people's power.

In this context I would like to underscore the major contributions by martyred Zulfikar Ali Bhutto and his daughter for the empowerment of the people. ZAB by his populist politics and establishment of PPP-unshackled the chained masses, gave them a strong voice and self-respect hitherto curbed by the establishment. His gifts to the toiling masses endeared him with the successive generations of the poor that he continues to rule the country from his grave and his vote bank has remained in tact despite the worst possible oppression, persecution and prosecution of his followers.

His daughter picked up the pieces from where he left in 1979. She gave it renewed hope in itself and the destiny of Pakistan. She could have launched an armed struggle to get rid of Zia following Bhutto Sahib's execution and stormed the GHQ on her tumultuous return in April 1986 with millions in the streets. Yet she preferred to establish supreme power of the vote against the barrel of the gun. Indeed, her father gave voice to the muted majority, gave them self respect and by walking to the gallows head high imbibed in them never to bow to the usurper.

Benazir's lasting contribution--from where there would not be a turning back--is to make the people and parliament the sole arbiters of power. Now the people will not let any usurper to get away with it. Gillani's reassurance that there would be no compromise on the supremacy of Parliament is the best tribute to her supreme sacrifice.

The military-civil and judicial troika backed by the vested interests did not allow Benazir to complete her two elected tenures. She single-handedly overcame all hurdles-big and sinister--put in her way and took on her opponents from the front -mobilising the masses from within and networking with leaders and think tanks abroad-to defeat the anti-people ruler at his own game. She was staunchly backed by the fathomless perseverance of her supporters in the masses, poor PPP workers and the dauntless determination of persons like her husband Senator Asif Ali Zardari (11 years in detention) and Syed Yusuf Raza Gilani (over five years in prison) --to name some-- who braved long periods of incarcerations-- shunning all offers of pelf and power as compared to others stealthily pursuing their selfish interests.

The machinations of the known enemies and their quislings within could not destroy her steeled determination to challenge the dictator. And-- not to create any hindrances on the return of leaders in exile. It was clear he was stalling to gain time and to strike nearer the date of elections. And that is what he did on November 3 when he imposed emergency, sacked the Chief Justice and 60 other judges and planted his own puppets to instantly legalise all his actions including his election as president from a parliament that had no mandate.

The first test of the supremacy of Parliament will be when it debates and reviews Pakistan's policy against terrorism according to the wishes of the people that it represents and not the dictates that it had been receiving in the past. Secondly, it will have to resolve the judicial crisis. However, its foremost task would be to provide instant relief to the poor and the jobless who cannot afford even one meal a day due to high prices of essential edibles. (Syndicate Features)

(The writer is a former Pak High Commissioner in London and a senior PPP leader)




 

Issues before Congress

By Indranil Banerjea

The constituents of the Congress-led UPA government like the DMK, NCP and RJD will be fighting the Lok Sabha polls on their own strength as leaders of these parties feel that the INC of Sonia Gandhi cannot evolve a winning combination in 2009. The other grouse is that the Congress party doesn't have the culture of running a coalition and they react with the astonishment of injured innocence. There is a dominant feeling that coalition is merely a compulsion and a "passing phase" for the Congress before its dominance return as the single ruling party.

Some Congress leaders do believe now that touching the magic figure of 272 is impossible in the near future but they don't recognise the need to sew up an NDA-like coalition at the national level. That would mean either yielding its pre-eminent position to the BJP or accepting that both the parties were at par.

Congress leaders hence rely on other parties' compulsions, taking it for granted that the Left and the RJD cannot slip into the NDA camp and there will not be enough space for the third front if some of its essential components remain stuck with the BJP. In Tamil Nadu, the Congress knows either the DMK or the AIADMK will fall into its lap and the same is true of Uttar Pradesh where the BSP and Samajwadi Party can't swim together.

Despite these calculations, the Congress feels compelled to "appeal" to secular parties to join hands and fight the communal forces because of the charge levelled against it by even friendly parties that it was "arrogant" and not ready to accommodate smaller groups.

The desperation in Kanpur where Rahul Gandhi was projected as the future leader of the party had a tag of "arrogance" than for entering into pre-poll alliances with other "secular" parties. But Sonia Gandhi's "appeal" created more bitterness than cooperation. Veteran Congress leader Pranab Mukherjee has recently asserted that no other party can decide who should be the leader of the Congress.

Mukherjee puts the issue in perspective: "Most of the parties were born out of anti-Congressism. Today they ridicule Rahul Gandhi's leadership but didn't they oppose Indira and Rajiv too? We understand their politics but they should know politics is not static. Today they should understand that the biggest danger to the nation is communalism and it is bad enough to compel them to set aside every other consideration, including their anti-Congressism. The Congress has not appealed to them to grab power but to emphasise how the country is faced with a serious danger and all right-thinking people should unite."

But Mukherjee laments that all these parties, including the Left, chose to work with the BJP in the past to fight the Congress but are raising trivial issues for not rallying behind his party to fight the communal threat. "It is a different thing to talk about secularism in theory but very difficult to adopt it practically. We would sincerely like to see a broad-based agreement among secular parties," he adds.

This again is no indication that the Congress has changed its mental orientation to accept the coalition reality. Mukherjee merely indicates his party is willing to take others' help to solve a problem. Specifically asked if the Congress will be accepted by other parties as a leader of an alternative coalition, he says, "Political system can't operate in vacuum. There has to be a government if no party gets simple majority. We will decide then what has to be done in 2009."

As of now India has not evolved a real coalition culture. It requires consensual approach to politics and capacity to respect diversity. The coalition culture can be developed only if there is a high degree of institutionalisation and a healthy growth of party systems.

The party wants a strategic understanding with the BSP to bolster its prospects but not a pre-poll alliance. On the contrary, many senior leaders believe that the main reason for the pitiable state of affairs in Uttar Pradesh was P.V. Narasimha Rao's decision to enter into pre-poll alliance with the BSP. The coalition with Sharad Pawar's NCP in Maharashtra is also a Hobson's choice and both the parties will have great difficulty in seat-sharing at election time.

In case of the Samajwadi Party too, the Congress held its horses after going so far as to help Mulayam Singh Yadav form a government. The party knows Yadav will never allow it to flourish because he occupies so much political space only at its expense. This is true in the case of Laloo Yadav as well. He has encroached upon the Congress party's Dalit-Muslim base in Bihar. This brings into focus the same question of anti-Congressism that Mukherjee was so carefully talking about; the same issue of anti-Congressism that has so successfully been exploited by the BJP. Politics is dynamic and these parties should shed their anti-Congressism to fight the BJP. This at a time, when the Congress has gone full steam ahead to claw back its Dalit-Muslim support base, putting it in direct conflict with the non-BJP parties which have occupied that space.

The Congress is in a real mess. It has to battle new social elite that has grown in its own ideological stable and its splinter groups. At a theoretical level, the Congress may be a better option to lead a coalition, but in practice, the BJP is far ahead. It is no magic then that a George Fernandes is sitting in the BJP's lap. It is pure politics which doesn't seem like turning over a new leaf. INAV




What after Bali ?

By Chandra Mohan

It is rather unusual, if not unimaginable, to expect the world's mightiest and the richest nation face the prospect of isolation. Yet that is what the United States of America, the sole super power of the world, faced at the two-week conference on climate in the holiday island of Bali in mid-December. The fear of becoming a pariah nation forced the US delegation at Bali to fall in line with the wishes of the majority of the 190 nations that had assembled in the hope of preparing the roadmap for a new climate treaty after the Kyoto protocol ends in 2012.
And President George W. Bush of the US had lost no time in signing into law an energy bill which sets out some new conservation measures including higher fuel economy standards for new cars. He said the bill was 'a major step toward energy independence and easing global warming.' That remains to be seen. Critics were pointing out that the measures were too limited and not due for implementation for years.
It was reported that some eleventh hour negotiations on the last day of the Bali conference culminated in the US come 'on board.' The US President had often said that the dire predictions about global warming were exaggerated and, hence, he continued to resist carbon emission curbs, enshrined in the Kyoto protocol. Whether Bush, soon to be out of office, now thinks those fears look real to him cannot be said. Doubts about the US in curbing emissions will linger because when it comes to protecting US business and trade interests there is really not much difference in the attitude of the Republican administration and the Democrats who are expected to sweep the next Presidential poll.
The optimists returned from Bali claiming that a single notable gain at the end of two weeks of the often acrimonious deliberations was assigning forestry the key role in future climate change negotiations. The Kyoto protocol did not provide for a mechanism for protecting forests when deforestation accounts for up to 20 percent of man-made global warming.
Environmentalists and scientists are almost unanimous in declaring that the world is doomed if the problem of greenhouse gas emissions is not dealt with urgency in the next few years. Carbon emissions stay in the air for 200 years! Some are already talking of the countdown to the doomsday beginning before the middle of this century, if efforts to curb carbon and other harmful emissions continue to be as casual as they have been so far. Small island nations and even mega coastal cities (including Mumbai) are in danger of being sunk by rising sea levels. The eco systems are overburdened, natural disasters are becoming more frequent and visions of a 'water war' have been raised because of recurring drought and fast depleting sources of water.
All this points to urgency in dealing with the problem of climate change. The Kyoto protocol obliged the rich and industrialised nations to bring down by an average of 5 percent their greenhouse gas emissions from the 1990s levels during the period 2008-2012. The counting for the Kyoto targets actually begins on January 1, 2008 though the document was signed in 2005. But in the last three years emission levels have arisen in 6 of the 15 'old' European (industrialised) nations.
The US was among the most glaring exceptions among the rich and highly industrialised nations that had refused to sign the Kyoto protocol. Luckily another rich nation that had followed the US example, Australia, just had a change of heart but only because elections brought a prime minister who had avowed to upturn his predecessor's anti-Kyoto stance.
Many have advocated a commitment by the rich nations to reduce emissions by 40 percent by the year 2020. The need is to limit carbon concentrates to about 400 ppm, which was 280 ppm in the pre-industrial era and currently averages 380 ppm. To achieve that target it may be necessary for the world, especially the rich nations, to alter their rather lavish and wasteful style of living which is in stark contrast to the continuing abysmal poverty in the developing world. Action has to begin in right earnest; the average rise in global temperature has to be restricted to less than 2 degree Celsius above the pre-industrial era levels. In another half a century global emissions must approximate near zero.
There are some climate control measures which can be put in place without generating any controversy. Some of them are: change the crop pattern and species; improve sea defence and flood protection; curb water use in drought-hit areas; install early warning systems for extreme events.
For a country like India, the efforts at climate control do pose a dilemma. There is no doubt that if India has to maintain a higher growth trajectory it will not find it easy to curb emissions very strictly. Predictions are that in a few years time India will be the second highest polluter after China. Aware of this danger that will come from India (and China) the developed and rich nations have started to talk tough against India, asking it to embark on the low emission route right now.
The dilemma is that without the replacement of the conventional sources of energy by the cleaner-but expensive--technologies India will find it hard to meet any 'tough' climate targets that it might be asked to accept. India and many other developing countries, including China, think it is unfair to ask them to cut their emissions (at the cost of development) when the climate problem is primarily the creation of the rich and industrialised nations, led by the US. The poorer nations are being asked to pay for the sins of the rich nations who should first set an example by lowering their emissions.
It helps neither India nor the world to enter into arguments over 'you first' on the question of obligations for curbing greenhouse gas emissions. The US may not have any moral right to ask countries like India to mind their carbon emissions in view of their own record on emissions, but in future the developing nations, eager to catch up with the industrialised rich nations, will be bigger emitters than the developed nations. It is obvious that both the developed and the developing nations have to act together because our planet can be saved only when all the nations of the world act resolutely to arrest the adverse effects of global warming. (Syndicate Features)

 
 
 



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