EDITORIAL
Aya
or Gaya?
Some time back we had
cursorily referred to the Aya Ram Gaya Ram
phenomenon in these columns. Many politicians have made
it a practice to switch sides for better
"career" opportunities. They may do so for
becoming a minister. They can also aim at any other
influential position. Their decisions at times may solely
be influenced by monetary considerations. Such
allegations have often been made in the past rocking our
political scene on several occasions. Clearly the
ideological convictions have no room in this exercise.
Politics in fact is no more associated with principles.
It has become a game that must be played to secure power
by hook or by crook and retain it at all costs. Some one
has aptly remarked: "During Ram's time, polit ..more
Chug
chug chug
Slowly and gradually the
railway network in the State is being further expanded.
In the latest phase a weekly train service has been
launched between this city and Kathgodam. It is actually
a "garib rath" which is an
air-conditioned train with lower-than-normal fares. In
addition, the process of electrification of a part of the
Jammu-Jalandhar railway line has also been started. Both
these activities have been kicked off by the Railway
Minister, Mr Laloo Prasad Yadav, during his visit to this
city. He has, moreover, reiterated that a survey for ....more
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New
era in Pakistan
By Wajid Shamsul Hasan
Prime
Minister Yusuf Raza Gilani, who has been elected as the
24th Prime Minister of Pakistan, has promised dawn of a
new era that will be manifested in the new parliament by
its assertive role as the sole arbiter of power. Suave
and soft-spoken Gilani fits in a description for a man
who is considered good in a world...more
Issues
before Congress
By Indranil Banerjea
The
constituents of the Congress-led UPA government like the
DMK, NCP and RJD will be fighting the Lok Sabha polls on
their own strength as leaders of these parties feel that
the INC of Sonia Gandhi cannot evolve a winning
combination in 2009. The other grouse is that the
Congress party doesn't have the culture of running a
coalition ......more
What
after Bali ?
By Chandra Mohan
It is rather
unusual, if not unimaginable, to expect the world's
mightiest and the richest nation face the prospect of
isolation. Yet that is what the United States of America,
the sole super power of the world, faced at the two-week
conference on climate in the holiday island of Bali in
mid-December. The fear of becoming a pariah nation forced...more
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EDITORIAL
Aya or Gaya?
Some time back we had
cursorily referred to the Aya Ram Gaya Ram
phenomenon in these columns. Many politicians have made
it a practice to switch sides for better
"career" opportunities. They may do so for
becoming a minister. They can also aim at any other
influential position. Their decisions at times may solely
be influenced by monetary considerations. Such
allegations have often been made in the past rocking our
political scene on several occasions. Clearly the
ideological convictions have no room in this exercise.
Politics in fact is no more associated with principles.
It has become a game that must be played to secure power
by hook or by crook and retain it at all costs. Some one
has aptly remarked: "During Ram's time, politics was
'bhakti' (devotion), in Krishna's time it became 'yukti'
(skill) and in the hands of Gandhi and Subhash it became 'shakti'
(power). Then it became 'mukti' (freedom) while in
the hands of patriots Ashfaq Khan and Bhagat Singh but
now it has become 'sampati' (property)." Is
this decline not the reason why the phrase Aya Ram
Gaya Ram has been readily accepted in all languages
across the country? There is no change in its connotation
anywhere. It was originally used to refer to
floor-crossing by legislators in Haryana. Since then it
is evoked to mention shifting of loyalties in any manner
purely for the sake of personal gains. It continues to
have a derogative connotation and its application is
confined to politics alone. It is not cited in corporate
or other sectors where it is taken for granted that the
people will move from one place to the other to get
emoluments consistent with their talent. In our State a
few workers and middle-level members of the political
class have already started floating around. Apparently
they are looking for the right platform to contest the
coming Assembly elections. The parties that have been
affected so far are the National Conference (NC) and the
People's Democratic Party (PDP) both of which are heading
for a bitter fight in the Kashmir region in particular.
The People's Democratic Forum (PDF), a conglomeration of
various groups, has also been exposed to certain upheaval
on this count.
It is anybody's guess that
the to-and-fro movement of politicians will step up with
the approaching polls. Those denied nominations by their
parent organisations will desperately try to move to
other outfits that are willing to accommodate their
electoral dreams. It is in these situations that the term
Aya Ram Gaya Ram assumes relevance. It denotes
essentially an individual activity not conforming to
acceptable standards of public life. One will find that
the idiom is not used in the case of political leaders
who change their allegiance by publicly taking a
principled stance. For instance, Mufti Mohammad Sayeed
has moved from the Congress to the Janata Dal before
setting up the PDP. For each of his actions he has a
plausible explanation. Prof Saifuddin Soz has joined the
Congress after having served the NC for long. He had left
the NC after exercising conscience vote against the
National Democratic Alliance (NDA) Government in 1999.
Both the leaders have not gone back to their original
parties either. Another leader in their company is former
PDP minister Ghulam Hassan Mir whose activities are
political and pronounced. For more than one reason all of
them can't be placed in the category of Aya Rams Gaya
Rams. However, such allowance can't be made about those
leaders who were with the NC before letting down Dr
Farooq Abdullah in 1984 and are again back in his fold.
The forced exit of Dr Abdullah as the Chief Minister in
1984 and before that the dismissal and arrest of Sheikh
Abdullah in 1953 figure in an altogether different class
as the events scuttling the democratic processes.
Admittedly there are
strong anti-defection laws to deal with elected political
leaders. It is not easier for them to defect. The problem
nevertheless is that at the Central level these
well-intentioned measures have been subjected to varied
interpretations leaving scope for manipulations. Even
today while the "splits" are not recognised the
"mergers" are permitted. There is, therefore, a
revolving door. The State also has a deterrent against
defections. The legislation has not faced any trial so
far. As a result the presiding officers have not yet been
called upon to judge it in the light of actual
situations. All said and done, nothing prevents the
politicians from walking in and out of different parties
at least till the elections. Let us, therefore, keep our
fingers crossed and wait for Aya Rams Gaya Rams to
exhibit their distinctive craft in front of us.
Chug chug chug
Slowly and gradually the
railway network in the State is being further expanded.
In the latest phase a weekly train service has been
launched between this city and Kathgodam. It is actually
a "garib rath" which is an
air-conditioned train with lower-than-normal fares. In
addition, the process of electrification of a part of the
Jammu-Jalandhar railway line has also been started. Both
these activities have been kicked off by the Railway
Minister, Mr Laloo Prasad Yadav, during his visit to this
city. He has, moreover, reiterated that a survey for
bringing Poonch on the country's railway map will too be
undertaken. Linking the State with Nainital via Kathgodam
is a good proposition. Among other gains "Garib
rath" will increase this state's connectivity
with the neighbouring Punjab and western Uttar Pradesh.
The issue of electrification of track in the State has
been pending for too long. It is absolutely essential to
do so from environmental viewpoint. Jammu and Kashmir is
one of the few states richly endowed with green cover
which is required to be zealously guarded. Smoke
emanating from chugging engines is a big spoiler. One
hopes that the Jammu-Udhampur stretch will also be
electrified sooner rather than later. Any rail link with
Poonch is to be heartily welcomed. It will lead to the
exploration of countless new tourist venues in this
region from Akhnoor onwards.
Having noted these
positive developments we may draw the attention of the
Railway Minister to two more urgent tasks that should be
taken up immediately. One is to consider building a ring
rail in the trans-Himalayan territory of Leh which has
emerged as a top national and international tourist
destination. The other is that Jammu should be upgraded
as the divisional headquarters. This will help speedier
implementation and close monitoring of all projects on
hand. Besides, it will bring into play innovative ideas
consistent with the State's natural grandeur.
New
era in Pakistan
By Wajid Shamsul Hasan
Prime
Minister Yusuf Raza Gilani, who has been elected
as the 24th Prime Minister of Pakistan, has
promised dawn of a new era that will be
manifested in the new parliament by its assertive
role as the sole arbiter of power. Suave and
soft-spoken Gilani fits in a description for a
man who is considered good in a world where
deceit is the order of the day. Whatever contact
I have had with him ever since I met him first in
1988, I have found him to be a perfect gentleman.
Why not-he has a Sufi background and comes from a
well-reputed political lineage.
I met
him through the courtesy of late Pyar Ali
Allana-a PPP stalwart- at a lunch in Karachi
where we three discussed politics and future
course of events at when General Zia was at the
height of power. This was a sort of precursor to
his meeting with Mohtarma Benazir Bhutto and his
subsequent joining of PPP the same year. Gilani
made his mark at first in the PPP hierarchy as a
Federal Minister. Later as Speaker he earned more
laurels for being an upright man who earnestly
believed in the supremacy of Parliament, rule of
law, justice and fair play. I found him to be a
man who would go out of the way to take a stand
for a cause.
I was
with Benazir Bhutto in Islamabad when many names
were being mooted for NA Speakership in 1993. She
did not want to make a wrong choice because an
upright Speaker was-according to her-the need of
the hour for a strong Parliament in a polity that
had been vulturised by politics of
divide-and-rule pursued by General Zia.
After
great deliberations Gilani was chosen to be the
PPP candidate for Speakership. Some seniors
thought he was too young for the job (he was in
his thirties) but Bhutto had known his sterling
qualities as a man who was well-versed in high
stake human management skills. Gilani
disappointed his critics by his outstanding
performance. He set new traditions for
strengthening the parliamentary norms. And in no
time he was recognised as the most outstanding
Speaker that the National Assembly ever had after
erstwhile East Pakistani veteran parliamentarian
Maulvi Tamizuddin Khan. His assumption of the
office of Prime Minister is not only the
acknowledgement of the confidence that his late
Chairperson had in him but also the entire party
and its leadership.
The
office of the Prime Minister in Pakistan has
never been a bed of roses. It takes the incumbent
onto a path that is strewn with thorns. The
conditions now are even more deplorable than ever
before. Gilani has taken over at a time when the
country has been rendered in to an Augean stable.
His election with an overwhelming majority (264
votes) is more a recognition of his leader
Benazir Bhutto's sacrifice in blood.. While
emphasising on the need for an enormous changes
in the socio-economic order for equitable
distribution of wealth, bridging up of the
widening gap between rich and the poor- the new
Prime Minister hit the right node in reasserting
Parliament's supremacy as the sole arbiter of
people's power.
In
this context I would like to underscore the major
contributions by martyred Zulfikar Ali Bhutto and
his daughter for the empowerment of the people.
ZAB by his populist politics and establishment of
PPP-unshackled the chained masses, gave them a
strong voice and self-respect hitherto curbed by
the establishment. His gifts to the toiling
masses endeared him with the successive
generations of the poor that he continues to rule
the country from his grave and his vote bank has
remained in tact despite the worst possible
oppression, persecution and prosecution of his
followers.
His
daughter picked up the pieces from where he left
in 1979. She gave it renewed hope in itself and
the destiny of Pakistan. She could have launched
an armed struggle to get rid of Zia following
Bhutto Sahib's execution and stormed the GHQ on
her tumultuous return in April 1986 with millions
in the streets. Yet she preferred to establish
supreme power of the vote against the barrel of
the gun. Indeed, her father gave voice to the
muted majority, gave them self respect and by
walking to the gallows head high imbibed in them
never to bow to the usurper.
Benazir's
lasting contribution--from where there would not
be a turning back--is to make the people and
parliament the sole arbiters of power. Now the
people will not let any usurper to get away with
it. Gillani's reassurance that there would be no
compromise on the supremacy of Parliament is the
best tribute to her supreme sacrifice.
The
military-civil and judicial troika backed by the
vested interests did not allow Benazir to
complete her two elected tenures. She
single-handedly overcame all hurdles-big and
sinister--put in her way and took on her
opponents from the front -mobilising the masses
from within and networking with leaders and think
tanks abroad-to defeat the anti-people ruler at
his own game. She was staunchly backed by the
fathomless perseverance of her supporters in the
masses, poor PPP workers and the dauntless
determination of persons like her husband Senator
Asif Ali Zardari (11 years in detention) and Syed
Yusuf Raza Gilani (over five years in prison)
--to name some-- who braved long periods of
incarcerations-- shunning all offers of pelf and
power as compared to others stealthily pursuing
their selfish interests.
The
machinations of the known enemies and their
quislings within could not destroy her steeled
determination to challenge the dictator. And--
not to create any hindrances on the return of
leaders in exile. It was clear he was stalling to
gain time and to strike nearer the date of
elections. And that is what he did on November 3
when he imposed emergency, sacked the Chief
Justice and 60 other judges and planted his own
puppets to instantly legalise all his actions
including his election as president from a
parliament that had no mandate.
The
first test of the supremacy of Parliament will be
when it debates and reviews Pakistan's policy
against terrorism according to the wishes of the
people that it represents and not the dictates
that it had been receiving in the past. Secondly,
it will have to resolve the judicial crisis.
However, its foremost task would be to provide
instant relief to the poor and the jobless who
cannot afford even one meal a day due to high
prices of essential edibles. (Syndicate Features)
(The
writer is a former Pak High Commissioner in
London and a senior PPP leader)
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Issues
before Congress
By Indranil Banerjea
The
constituents of the Congress-led UPA government
like the DMK, NCP and RJD will be fighting the
Lok Sabha polls on their own strength as leaders
of these parties feel that the INC of Sonia
Gandhi cannot evolve a winning combination in
2009. The other grouse is that the Congress party
doesn't have the culture of running a coalition
and they react with the astonishment of injured
innocence. There is a dominant feeling that
coalition is merely a compulsion and a
"passing phase" for the Congress before
its dominance return as the single ruling party.
Some
Congress leaders do believe now that touching the
magic figure of 272 is impossible in the near
future but they don't recognise the need to sew
up an NDA-like coalition at the national level.
That would mean either yielding its pre-eminent
position to the BJP or accepting that both the
parties were at par.
Congress
leaders hence rely on other parties' compulsions,
taking it for granted that the Left and the RJD
cannot slip into the NDA camp and there will not
be enough space for the third front if some of
its essential components remain stuck with the
BJP. In Tamil Nadu, the Congress knows either the
DMK or the AIADMK will fall into its lap and the
same is true of Uttar Pradesh where the BSP and
Samajwadi Party can't swim together.
Despite
these calculations, the Congress feels compelled
to "appeal" to secular parties to join
hands and fight the communal forces because of
the charge levelled against it by even friendly
parties that it was "arrogant" and not
ready to accommodate smaller groups.
The
desperation in Kanpur where Rahul Gandhi was
projected as the future leader of the party had a
tag of "arrogance" than for entering
into pre-poll alliances with other
"secular" parties. But Sonia Gandhi's
"appeal" created more bitterness than
cooperation. Veteran Congress leader Pranab
Mukherjee has recently asserted that no other
party can decide who should be the leader of the
Congress.
Mukherjee
puts the issue in perspective: "Most of the
parties were born out of anti-Congressism. Today
they ridicule Rahul Gandhi's leadership but
didn't they oppose Indira and Rajiv too? We
understand their politics but they should know
politics is not static. Today they should
understand that the biggest danger to the nation
is communalism and it is bad enough to compel
them to set aside every other consideration,
including their anti-Congressism. The Congress
has not appealed to them to grab power but to
emphasise how the country is faced with a serious
danger and all right-thinking people should
unite."
But
Mukherjee laments that all these parties,
including the Left, chose to work with the BJP in
the past to fight the Congress but are raising
trivial issues for not rallying behind his party
to fight the communal threat. "It is a
different thing to talk about secularism in
theory but very difficult to adopt it
practically. We would sincerely like to see a
broad-based agreement among secular
parties," he adds.
This
again is no indication that the Congress has
changed its mental orientation to accept the
coalition reality. Mukherjee merely indicates his
party is willing to take others' help to solve a
problem. Specifically asked if the Congress will
be accepted by other parties as a leader of an
alternative coalition, he says, "Political
system can't operate in vacuum. There has to be a
government if no party gets simple majority. We
will decide then what has to be done in
2009."
As of
now India has not evolved a real coalition
culture. It requires consensual approach to
politics and capacity to respect diversity. The
coalition culture can be developed only if there
is a high degree of institutionalisation and a
healthy growth of party systems.
The
party wants a strategic understanding with the
BSP to bolster its prospects but not a pre-poll
alliance. On the contrary, many senior leaders
believe that the main reason for the pitiable
state of affairs in Uttar Pradesh was P.V.
Narasimha Rao's decision to enter into pre-poll
alliance with the BSP. The coalition with Sharad
Pawar's NCP in Maharashtra is also a Hobson's
choice and both the parties will have great
difficulty in seat-sharing at election time.
In
case of the Samajwadi Party too, the Congress
held its horses after going so far as to help
Mulayam Singh Yadav form a government. The party
knows Yadav will never allow it to flourish
because he occupies so much political space only
at its expense. This is true in the case of Laloo
Yadav as well. He has encroached upon the
Congress party's Dalit-Muslim base in Bihar. This
brings into focus the same question of
anti-Congressism that Mukherjee was so carefully
talking about; the same issue of anti-Congressism
that has so successfully been exploited by the
BJP. Politics is dynamic and these parties should
shed their anti-Congressism to fight the BJP.
This at a time, when the Congress has gone full
steam ahead to claw back its Dalit-Muslim support
base, putting it in direct conflict with the
non-BJP parties which have occupied that space.
The
Congress is in a real mess. It has to battle new
social elite that has grown in its own
ideological stable and its splinter groups. At a
theoretical level, the Congress may be a better
option to lead a coalition, but in practice, the
BJP is far ahead. It is no magic then that a
George Fernandes is sitting in the BJP's lap. It
is pure politics which doesn't seem like turning
over a new leaf. INAV
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What
after Bali ?
By Chandra
Mohan
It is rather unusual, if not
unimaginable, to expect the world's
mightiest and the richest nation face the
prospect of isolation. Yet that is what
the United States of America, the sole
super power of the world, faced at the
two-week conference on climate in the
holiday island of Bali in mid-December.
The fear of becoming a pariah nation
forced the US delegation at Bali to fall
in line with the wishes of the majority
of the 190 nations that had assembled in
the hope of preparing the roadmap for a
new climate treaty after the Kyoto
protocol ends in 2012.
And President George W. Bush of the US
had lost no time in signing into law an
energy bill which sets out some new
conservation measures including higher
fuel economy standards for new cars. He
said the bill was 'a major step toward
energy independence and easing global
warming.' That remains to be seen.
Critics were pointing out that the
measures were too limited and not due for
implementation for years.
It was reported that some eleventh hour
negotiations on the last day of the Bali
conference culminated in the US come 'on
board.' The US President had often said
that the dire predictions about global
warming were exaggerated and, hence, he
continued to resist carbon emission
curbs, enshrined in the Kyoto protocol.
Whether Bush, soon to be out of office,
now thinks those fears look real to him
cannot be said. Doubts about the US in
curbing emissions will linger because
when it comes to protecting US business
and trade interests there is really not
much difference in the attitude of the
Republican administration and the
Democrats who are expected to sweep the
next Presidential poll.
The optimists returned from Bali claiming
that a single notable gain at the end of
two weeks of the often acrimonious
deliberations was assigning forestry the
key role in future climate change
negotiations. The Kyoto protocol did not
provide for a mechanism for protecting
forests when deforestation accounts for
up to 20 percent of man-made global
warming.
Environmentalists and scientists are
almost unanimous in declaring that the
world is doomed if the problem of
greenhouse gas emissions is not dealt
with urgency in the next few years.
Carbon emissions stay in the air for 200
years! Some are already talking of the
countdown to the doomsday beginning
before the middle of this century, if
efforts to curb carbon and other harmful
emissions continue to be as casual as
they have been so far. Small island
nations and even mega coastal cities
(including Mumbai) are in danger of being
sunk by rising sea levels. The eco
systems are overburdened, natural
disasters are becoming more frequent and
visions of a 'water war' have been raised
because of recurring drought and fast
depleting sources of water.
All this points to urgency in dealing
with the problem of climate change. The
Kyoto protocol obliged the rich and
industrialised nations to bring down by
an average of 5 percent their greenhouse
gas emissions from the 1990s levels
during the period 2008-2012. The counting
for the Kyoto targets actually begins on
January 1, 2008 though the document was
signed in 2005. But in the last three
years emission levels have arisen in 6 of
the 15 'old' European (industrialised)
nations.
The US was among the most glaring
exceptions among the rich and highly
industrialised nations that had refused
to sign the Kyoto protocol. Luckily
another rich nation that had followed the
US example, Australia, just had a change
of heart but only because elections
brought a prime minister who had avowed
to upturn his predecessor's anti-Kyoto
stance.
Many have advocated a commitment by the
rich nations to reduce emissions by 40
percent by the year 2020. The need is to
limit carbon concentrates to about 400
ppm, which was 280 ppm in the
pre-industrial era and currently averages
380 ppm. To achieve that target it may be
necessary for the world, especially the
rich nations, to alter their rather
lavish and wasteful style of living which
is in stark contrast to the continuing
abysmal poverty in the developing world.
Action has to begin in right earnest; the
average rise in global temperature has to
be restricted to less than 2 degree
Celsius above the pre-industrial era
levels. In another half a century global
emissions must approximate near zero.
There are some climate control measures
which can be put in place without
generating any controversy. Some of them
are: change the crop pattern and species;
improve sea defence and flood protection;
curb water use in drought-hit areas;
install early warning systems for extreme
events.
For a country like India, the efforts at
climate control do pose a dilemma. There
is no doubt that if India has to maintain
a higher growth trajectory it will not
find it easy to curb emissions very
strictly. Predictions are that in a few
years time India will be the second
highest polluter after China. Aware of
this danger that will come from India
(and China) the developed and rich
nations have started to talk tough
against India, asking it to embark on the
low emission route right now.
The dilemma is that without the
replacement of the conventional sources
of energy by the cleaner-but
expensive--technologies India will find
it hard to meet any 'tough' climate
targets that it might be asked to accept.
India and many other developing
countries, including China, think it is
unfair to ask them to cut their emissions
(at the cost of development) when the
climate problem is primarily the creation
of the rich and industrialised nations,
led by the US. The poorer nations are
being asked to pay for the sins of the
rich nations who should first set an
example by lowering their emissions.
It helps neither India nor the world to
enter into arguments over 'you first' on
the question of obligations for curbing
greenhouse gas emissions. The US may not
have any moral right to ask countries
like India to mind their carbon emissions
in view of their own record on emissions,
but in future the developing nations,
eager to catch up with the industrialised
rich nations, will be bigger emitters
than the developed nations. It is obvious
that both the developed and the
developing nations have to act together
because our planet can be saved only when
all the nations of the world act
resolutely to arrest the adverse effects
of global warming. (Syndicate Features)
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