EDITORIAL
Dream
merchants
Should it surprise anyone
that the people from as far as Kerala have joined hands
to cheat inhabitants of Poonch of crores of rupees? They
have done it through a modus operandi which is by now all
too familiar. From the official accounts it is evident
that they had calculated in advance that the residents of
remote areas could be easily duped. They floated
non-banking finance companies and offered alluring
schemes under collective investment plans with high rate
of interest and prompt returns. This was enough to enable
them to spread their net wide. Apparently the gullible
depositors did not bother to check whether these
agro-based business concerns had obtained any mandatory
approval, for instance of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI)
and Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI). They
were taken in by the promise of quick monetary benefits
and now find themselves left high and dry. Having staked
their hard-earned . ...more
Pakistan
again
Only the naive will be
surprised by Pakistan's move to rake up the Kashmir issue
again in a United Nations Committee last weekend.
Speaking at the UN Decolonisation Committee a Pakistani
delegate has demanded "right of
self-determination" for the people of Jammu and
Kashmir. He has referred to the Security Council
resolutions in this behalf. He has stated that a solution
of the "dispute" over the State is central to
the establishment of durable peace in ....... ...more
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Global
warming
By Tukoji R Pandit
The British
entrepreneur, Sir Richard Branson, may be famous for his
flamboyant style of doing business and living. But some
serious issues of the day, particularly environment, also
seem to interest him. He is not alone when he urges a
more focused approach to solving the global warming ....more
Failure
of growth models
By J.D. Sethi
Economists
invented the phrase 'stagflation;' decades ago when they
encountered for the first time, a situation in which
stagnation and inflation existed simultaneously although
it had been though until then that the two phenomena were
mutually contradictory and both could not exist at the .......more
Will
Musharraf relent now?
By Sarla Handoo
Of the 15
persons arrested in 7/11 Mumbai blasts case, 11 have been
found to be Pakistanis, not just nationals but the ones
who got training in Pakistan to cause blasts in Mumbai.
This has been proved not by politicians in India but by a
duly established court of law. The hand of ISI,
Pakistan's intelligence Agency, in the blasts has been
established. If it has put Islamabad in a tight corner
after its repeated denials of any involvement in the
blasts it has also ......more
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EDITORIAL
Dream merchants
Should it surprise anyone
that the people from as far as Kerala have joined hands
to cheat inhabitants of Poonch of crores of rupees? They
have done it through a modus operandi which is by now all
too familiar. From the official accounts it is evident
that they had calculated in advance that the residents of
remote areas could be easily duped. They floated
non-banking finance companies and offered alluring
schemes under collective investment plans with high rate
of interest and prompt returns. This was enough to enable
them to spread their net wide. Apparently the gullible
depositors did not bother to check whether these
agro-based business concerns had obtained any mandatory
approval, for instance of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI)
and Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI). They
were taken in by the promise of quick monetary benefits
and now find themselves left high and dry. Having staked
their hard-earned money they rue their decision to have
blindly invested it. It is the same method that dream
merchants have tried earlier even in this city and Kathua
where one of them had travelled all the way from Chennai.
Much to our anguish they have done it successfully
without fail. Strange although it may appear the people
succumb to such temptations despite adverse publicity
about their proven fraudulent nature. This can only be
attributed to proverbial human greed. One facet of it, of
course, is that it drives one section of unscrupulous
people to feast on the innocence of the other. Jammu's
Crime Bench has done well to identify the alleged
culprits who belonged to Chandigarh and Mohali (Punajb),
apart from Kerala. Its search for the accused had taken
it to UP as well. It is again a feather in its cap that
it has found out the property these companies had bought
with the help of money illegally collected from the
people. Its seizures include immovable property including
land, a mineral water plant, shopping complex and a
printing press, among other things. While most of these
ill-gotten assets were in the Jammu region, one of them
was located in Saharanpur (UP) and some in Punjab. This
confirms the range of deceit and deception. It is not for
nothing that no recovery of cash has been reported in
this scandal. The reason is too simple to merit any
elaboration.
What is inexplicable,
however is the inability of the police and administrative
apparatus to spot and nail such exploiters in time. In
the present instance also they had arrived in the Mandi
area of Poonch way back in 2001. Surely they must have
carried out some sort of publicity --- either through a
word of mouth or printed handbill --- as a decoy. Why
should it have gone unnoticed? This raises a suspicion
about some sort of collusion at the official level unless
those concerned have been too naïve. It does appear odd
that a large body of persons --- about 300 in this case
--- should have been taken for a ride without causing an
eyebrow to be raised till they are rendered penniless.
The people at large should
be extremely careful while making investments. This is an
era of competitive tax regimes. It is a hard reality. How
can there be space for any delusion?
Pakistan again
Only the naive will be
surprised by Pakistan's move to rake up the Kashmir issue
again in a United Nations Committee last weekend.
Speaking at the UN Decolonisation Committee a Pakistani
delegate has demanded "right of
self-determination" for the people of Jammu and
Kashmir. He has referred to the Security Council
resolutions in this behalf. He has stated that a solution
of the "dispute" over the State is central to
the establishment of durable peace in South Asia. He has
sung a familiar tune: "A peace resolution will need
to be acceptable to Pakistan, India, and above all,
people of Jammu and Kashmir." Of course, he has
pointed to the ongoing composite dialogue between the two
neighbouring countries. He has taken care to express the
hope that the "recent meeting between President
Musharraf and Prime Minister Manmohan Singh in Havana
will help carry forward the peace process" and lead
to a decision on all outstanding issues. The only element
of surprise in his statement is that it has taken
Pakistan so long to break its silence about the State in
the world body. It had not only kept mum in the UN
General Assembly and other forums for several months but
also declared time and again that the UN resolutions were
no more relevant to the prevailing situation. That does
not mean that it had shut its mouth while talking to New
Delhi or other countries. In bilateral engagements it had
insisted upon describing J&K as the "core'
issue. This was despite the fact that the United States
and other countries had always turned its face towards
India for finding a cure to its headache. The turnabout
at the UN is another clear indication that Pakistan will
never give up its Kashmir itch. It will not mend its ways
till it is made to realise the futility of its pursuit.
It needs to be pointed out that the Decolonisation
Committee does not have J&K on its formal agenda.
Pakistan's utterance may well be designed to persuade the
Committee to see merit in its stand.
Evidently it believes in
the philosophy of Nazi Propaganda Minister Joseph
Goebbbels: "If you tell a lie big enough and keep
repeating it, people will eventually come to believe it.
The lie can be maintained only for such time as the State
can shield the people from the political, economic and/or
military consequences of the lie. It thus becomes vitally
important for the State to use all of its powers to
repress dissent, for the truth is the mortal enemy of the
lie, and thus by extension, the truth is the greatest
enemy of the State." One has just to substitute
Pakistan for "the State' in this observation.
Goebbels' boss Adolf Hitler was more succinct: "Make
the lie big, make it simple, keep saying it, and
eventually they will believe it." The fate that
Hitler and Goebbels met because of their reckless
speeches and ruthless conduct is not a secret. They had
to literally find their own graves. Can the destiny of
their followers be different? Pakistan is mistaken if it
thinks that it can again beguile the Anglo-American bloc.
Its support to terrorism is too transparent to be
ignored. It should see the writing on the wall and behave
like a good neighbour.
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Global
warming
By Tukoji
R Pandit
The British
entrepreneur, Sir Richard
Branson, may be famous for his
flamboyant style of doing
business and living. But some
serious issues of the day,
particularly environment, also
seem to interest him. He is not
alone when he urges a more
focused approach to solving the
global warming problem because
neglecting it would only lead the
world towards catastrophe. While
pledging a sum of $3 million for
renewable energy initiatives in
Britain, he has dwelt on the need
for the aviation industry, his
main business, to cut down carbon
dioxide emissions. A country like
India where the ill effects of
global warming are already
visible could perhaps profit from
his approach.
Though the aviation
industry accounts for only two
per cent of global CO2 emissions
his ideas on ways to reduce the
release of this greenhouse gas
into the atmosphere deserve
serious consideration. By his
reckoning CO2 emissions can be
brought down by as much as 150
million tonnes a year through
some simple measures to be taken
up by airlines, airports and
governments.
First tow aircraft
by a small tug to their starting
point and switch on the engines
about 10 minutes before take-off.
Similarly, descend should also be
made slower and smoother to cut
down fuel consumption while
landing. Generally, the aircraft
engines are switched on an hour
or more before take-off, both for
reaching the takeoff point and
then waiting for clearance for
takeoff. Branson's suggestions
will get an additional welcome in
many Indian cities like Mumbai
and Hyderabad where the airports
appear to be almost in the middle
of the metropolis and the noise
from planes only adds to the
already high noise pollution
levels.
Branson wants a
single air traffic control system
for Europe to optimise the use of
airspace. A study by the
International Air Transport
Association suggests that a more
efficient air traffic control
system can effect a saving of 12
per cent in global aviation CO2
emissions.
Greenhouse emission
is a big problem because the
world's dependence on fossil
fuels has not been decreasing
despite all the talk about
renewable and alternative sources
of energy, which are also
cleaner. Many environmentalists
worry that despite the
availability of technology for
producing carbon-free fuel global
warming remains unchecked. It has
to be added here that the
environmentally friendly
technology is still to be
introduced on a mass scale.
There is a view that
global warming is one of the
natural phenomena that had
visited the world in the past
also-10000 years or so ago.
Glaciers were melting then too.
The earth had gone through the
cycle of warming and cooling. So,
their contention is if the world
survived the effects of global
warming in the past so why cannot
it do so now? Some also point to
'benefits' from global
warming-longer growing season and
hardier crops.
It might be
erroneous to become complacent
about the effect of global
warming in today's world, which
is after all very different from
the world that existed 10,000
years ago or before that. A major
difference about the current
global warming is that it has not
happened due to natural causes
but is a contribution of the
inhabitants of the planet earth.
The deterioration in climate has
been more pronounced since the
last decades of the previous
century. According to the UN
Inter-governmental Panel on
Climate Change today's atmosphere
has 30 per cent more CO2 than 100
years ago.
A native Canadian
proverb says we did not inherit
our planet from our parents but
borrowed it from our children. It
is a telling reminder of the harm
that will come mankind's way if
the phenomenon of global warming
continues to grow, largely
because of apathy of governments
in countries responsible for
large-scale greenhouse gas
emissions. In fact, the earth
today is believed to be warmer
than it has ever been in at least
in the last million years. Many
environmentalists are writing
doomsday scenarios about global
warming-droughts and floods and
rising sea levels that will
inundate many coastal areas in
the world.
By the end of this
century sea levels can rise up to
a meter, thanks to global
warming. It is also being said
often enough that in future
nations may be going to war over
water and not territory. In fact
in many Indian cities a sort of
war over water is witnessed every
summer. All across the northern
hemisphere, summer temperatures
have been rising. It has been
reported that in some European
countries nuclear plants have
been forced to cut down output
because the river water that is
used to cool the reactors is
becoming too warm. Forest fires
are being reported from many
European countries too. The
situation will not improve as
long as greenhouse gases
emissions are not brought down.
The 1997 Kyoto
protocol to limit greenhouse gas
emissions (to 1990 levels) does
not seem to have done enough to
reduce the danger of global
warming. The US, the world's
biggest emitter of greenhouse
gases, refused to sign the
protocol (otherwise signed by 120
countries) because it says that
it will amount to enforcing 'an
energy diet' that will slow down
the economy.
This line of
argument obviously overlooks
certain crucial facts. In the
first place what makes the task
of cutting down greenhouse gas
emissions difficult is that CO2
has a life of 50 to 100 years in
the atmosphere. Ocean warming
further compounds the problem.
Heat will continue to enter the
ocean and make the climate warmer
for a long time even if CO2
levels are brought down today.
Carbon dioxide emissions cannot
be brought down overnight by
capturing the gas and then
sequestering it.
What becomes clear
is that there is no shortcut to
reversing the trend of high gas
emissions, especially when
dependence on fossil fuels does
not show signs of lessening at
the moment. However, all may not
be lost still if efforts to
contain greenhouse gas emissions
are made more earnestly-and
urgently. (Syndicate Features)
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Failure
of growth models
By
J.D. Sethi
Economists
invented the phrase
'stagflation;' decades
ago when they encountered
for the first time, a
situation in which
stagnation and inflation
existed simultaneously
although it had been
though until then that
the two phenomena were
mutually contradictory
and both could not exist
at the same time.
Political scientists and
economists now have to
show the same kind of
verbal inventiveness
because we have situation
today in India in which
two contradictory
phenomena are going on
simultaneously. After
more than five decades of
planning, the rural
sector has become an
island of mass poverty.
It is totally
disorganised in contrast
to urban sector, which is
buoyant, well-knit. It is
generally conceded though
grudgingly that growth
models adopted by us
failed to eliminate
rural-urban dichotomies.
The
real problem is that the
power elite have been
found deficient in
meeting serious
challenges of rural
destitution. They are
unable to explain the
slowdown of the growth
rate of rural economy
despite what is called
the 'green revolution',
continuous increase in
the number of people
being pushed down the
poverty line in villages.
It
is not surprising,
therefore, if the need
for organising the poor,
particularly the rural
poor, is now being
debated, though without
an intensive analysis.
Neither conceptually nor
operationally has it been
found easy to give shape
to it. In fact, there is
some scepticism about the
whole exercise. The 12th
Plan documents (under
preparation) vaguely talk
about organising the
rural poor as a necessary
condition for the success
of distributive justice,
which Prime Minister
Manmohan Singh want to be
given to the villagers.
If
is not just another
expression of a pious
hope, critical for the
success of all
redistributive laws,
policies and programmes
is that the poor be
organised and made
conscious of the benefits
intended for them.
Organised tenants have to
see that the tenancy laws
are implemented.
Organisations of landless
have to see that surplus
lands are identified and
distributed to them in
accordance with the laws
within a reasonable
period. Local leaders of
the poor have to ensure
that all area plans and
sectoral plans designed
for the benefit of their
localities and target
groups are effectively
administered.
There
are five identified ways
in which the poor can be
organised. History and
experience of other
countries may suggest
that the best and the
surest method is some
kind of rural unionism.
Some peasant
organisations like Kisan
Sabha were created on a
trade union pattern but
only after a prolonged
struggle over a wide
area. But the peasant
movement somehow did not
make a mark. Trade
unionism does not cover
the whole of this labour
force, even in industry
and plantations. The
scope for its extension
to the rural areas where
three-fourths of the
population live is even
more in doubt.
The
very fact that rural
workers are not spatially
concentrated makes their
being on traditional
trade union lines a
hopeless enterprise. That
was one of the reasons
that Marx denied a
radical character to the
peasantry. Even
cooperatives, which
inbibe some elements of
trade unionism, have not
made much headway because
the rural poor are kept
out of cooperative
movement.
A
second possible method of
organising the poor is
mobilisation by political
parties in terms of their
objective of acquiring a
mass political base and
educating the common
people. Through their
cadre and other party
functionaries, political
parties can organise
small groups belonging to
different economic or
social classes. But such
an approach presupposes a
wide spectrum of
cadre-mass parties of the
kind that does not exist
in India.
Political
parties of all hue and
variety often operate
through the rural power
structure which is
practically pitted
against the poor, and in
some cases against the
class interest as a
whole. Even organising
the rural ploretariat,
not to speak of other
class of rural poor,
points to difficulties of
organising the rural
masses.
A
third way of getting the
poor organised is by
deliberately transforming
the political,
administrative and social
structure into a highly
decentralised system of
power. Most prevailing
models of democracy
exclude direct
participation of the
people in political
institutions except once
electing so-called their
representatives to
parliament and state
legislatures. Literally,
this process over the
years has turned out to
be nothing more than a
ritual.
The
argument that the local
political power structure
is highly iniquitous and
that the decentralisation
of power will go against
the interests of the poor
is at best, a half-truth
and is put forward by
those who now control the
power structure and are
unwilling to part with
it. There is no evidence
to show that
decentralisation along
with democratisation has
stood in the way of the
poor benefiting from the
process of social and
economic development.
However,
it is a patent fact that
one of the important
instruments which have
proved a hurdle in the
operation of the rural
poor is the local
bureaucracy. The
bureaucracy of the
colonial days was
structured as an
authoritarian instrument,
the same system
continues. In fact, the
local bureaucracy is part
of both the local and the
higher power structure
and does not in any way
look with favour upon any
scheme of organising the
rural poor which would
then challenge their
power. It is partly for
this reason that the
bureaucracy is generally
against decentralisation
in general and its
extension to the rural
areas in particular.
Whatever programmes are
there for the
under-privileged, the
bureaucrats would like to
run them through system
of patronage.
Fourth,
since there are limits to
trade unionism being
extended to the rural
areas, cooperatives might
be the best method of
organising the rural
society in which the poor
can also join. This is
not new idea.
Cooperatives have been a
great success in many
areas in a variety of
fields such as marketing
and distribution of
inputs and credit. But
the movement has
generally acted in favour
of rich and middle
peasants who have some
assets of their own. The
rural poor have never
been able to benefit from
the cooperatives to any
significant degree. In
fact, the cooperative
movement have become an
instrument for the
appropriation of the
resources allocated for
local development by a
small minority of the
rich farmers.
A
fifth method widely
advanced and practised is
the use of voluntary
association in organising
the weaker sections and
the urban under-oriented
voluntary organisations
in the rural areas has
not always been a happy
experience. In fact, in
some cases it has proved
positively harmful. Only
those voluntary
organisations which are
both totally
rural-oriented and rural
located or based in small
or medium towns, nearest
to the rural areas, can
make some headway. (INAV)
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Will
Musharraf relent now?
By Sarla
Handoo
Of the 15 persons arrested
in 7/11 Mumbai blasts case, 11 have been
found to be Pakistanis, not just
nationals but the ones who got training
in Pakistan to cause blasts in Mumbai.
This has been proved not by politicians
in India but by a duly established court
of law. The hand of ISI, Pakistan's
intelligence Agency, in the blasts has
been established. If it has put Islamabad
in a tight corner after its repeated
denials of any involvement in the blasts
it has also embarrassed New Delhi since
it recently decided to have a joint
mechanism with Pakistan to fight
terrorism.
The Court verdict has
vindicated India's stand that Pakistan
has a hand in the blasts. In the earlier
cases also it has come out with proofs to
establish its allegations of terrorist
activities taking place in India at the
behest of Pakistan which Islamabad has
been rejecting out of hand. Will Pakistan
respond now?
Despite its best efforts it
is becoming increasingly difficult for
Pakistan to negate its involvement in
terrorist activities. Look what the
Afghan president Hamid Karzai has to say
about Musharraf. He holds Pakistan
responsible for the recent upsurge of
Taliban violence in Afghanistan. He told
UN General Assembly that NATO forces
would not be able to deal with insurgents
in Afghanistan unless "terrorist
sanctuaries" outside Afghanistan are
destroyed. He clearly meant the bases
existed in Pakistan.
Though Musharraf rejected
the allegations, Hamid Karzai remains
unconvinced. During their recent
concurrent visit to the US, the two used
epithets like 'ostrich' and 'snake' to
describe each others' efforts in dealing
with terrorism.
Karzai minced no words in
saying that Pakistan has been harbouring
Taliban rebels and that General Musharraf
has failed to draw people away from the
Islamic militants. He said Pakistan's
toleration of Militants helped make
Afghanistan unstable. He went to the
extent of saying some in the region
(meaning Pakistan) used extremists to
maintain political power.
No less important is the
truce, which the General has arrived with
the militants in tribal pockets of North
Western Frontier Province (NWFP) by
ending the military campaign against the
terrorists, in exchange for no attacks
against his forces. He has thus given up
to the terrorists. Hamid Karzai equates
this with "trying to train a snake
against somebody else."
Though Musharraf tries to
defend the deal by saying that the
agreement is with the tribal leaders and
not the terrorists, it finds no takers
across the world. Even the US, which
cautiously endorsed the deal, is
disturbed. And that prompted President
Bush to remark that if he finds concrete
evidence of presence of Osama-bin-Laden
in Pakistan he would order his forces to
enter Pakistan. The verbal brawl between
America's two important allies in the
fight against terror has put the US into
an odd situation.
As if that was not enough,
the secret report by the British Defence
Ministry made public by the BBC, has
added to the General's misfortunes. It
says that the ISI is indirectly backing
Islamist terrorism and that Pakistan
Intelligence Agency should usefully
"be dismantled." The leaked
report was written by a British Army
officer for the Defence Ministry
think-tank. It criticizes the ISI for its
continuing support to Al-Qaida. The
British Government says the report has
"no standing" with it, but has
not denied its existence.
Upon his own admission,
Pakistan received bounty money to the
extent of $70 to 80 million, from the US
for handing over wanted Al Qaida
terrorists. If that is the case, it only
indicates that General Musharraf is more
concerned about his own welfare than
meeting the terrorist challenge.
It appears that Musharraf is
aware that time is running out for him
and the US may stop funding him any time.
That would make his position extremely
tenuous. The campaign to promote the
sales of his book launched from the US
seems to be part of the same realization.
And look at the rage in
Canada on General Musharraf's remarks
about Canadians whining at a few
causalities of their soldiers in
Afghanistan. Leading Canadian papers
Globe and the Mail questioned Pakistan's
bonafides in the war on terror. They
described Pakistan "at best a
reluctant and marginal ally in the fight
against terrorism".
So, who is convinced by what
General Musharraf is saying about his
'magnificent' role in curbing terrorism!
No one really! But who will
tell the General that he is wasting his
time in trying to impress the world. The
world knows the role played by his
country in dealing with terrorism. It is
only because of strategic compulsions
that Pakistan continues to be a favourite
of the US so far.
Perhaps the General too
knows it well. Is his so called
cooperation too a strategic compulsion
for him? May be yes.
The crucial question is will
the General relent now or will he
continue to take refuge under what he
calls "conclusive evidence".
(Syndicate Features)
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