EDITORIAL

Make it happen

Mere pious sentiments are no substitute for concrete action. This is underlined all the more in the case of bilateral relations between India and Pakistan. Scores of treaties and accords between the two neighbouring countries have not prevented four wars if one takes into account 1947 and 1999 (Kargil) as well. Therefore, one is a little hesitant in extending a forthright welcome to the conclusions of foreign secretary-level talks held recently in the national capital. The proof of the pudding is after all in the eating. For the time being it looks good that New Delhi and Islamabad have decided to set up an anti-terrorism mechanism in pursuance of ............more

Same old tune

Nobel laureate and Myanmar political heroine Aung San Suu Kyi's observation is very appropriate in this instance: "It is not power that corrupts but fear. Fear of losing power corrupts those who wield it and fear of the scourge of power corrupts those who are subject to it." At least the first part of her advice is relevant so far as the leaders of "Azad" Kashmir (as the occupied territory across the Line of Control is known) are concerned. They sing one tune while they are in the opposition and quite another when they assume authority. It is only recent history that Sardar Abdul Qayum had been calling for people-to people dialogue among all regions of the undivided Jammu and Kashmir as it had existed in 1947. .....more

Delhi of today

Men, Matters, Memories

M L Kotru

For someone who has lived in Delhi and lately in neighbouring Gurgaon, for the last 60 years and more I wonder sometimes if this was the Delhi which I came to as a teenager in 1949. Yes, there were very visible traces of partition still around. Like you saw some people ......more

Future of BJP

By Jagdish Dwivedi

Contrary to political spec-ulation, the Utter Pradesh municipal election results have indicated that the BJP and the Congress would mark their presence in a big way in the Assembly election next year. In view of the two parties' journey downhill, many observers felt that the State would go the Tamil Nadu way, with the Samajwadi Party and the BSP becoming .......more

Small towns fuel internet growth

By Arvinder Kaur

Internet users in India reached 37 million in September, up from 33 million in March 2006. During the same pe-riod the number of ‘‘active users’’ rose from 21.1 million to 25 million. According to the joint research by the Internet and Mobile Association of India (IAMAI) and IMRB International, youth are the main drivers of .............more

EDITORIAL

Make it happen

Mere pious sentiments are no substitute for concrete action. This is underlined all the more in the case of bilateral relations between India and Pakistan. Scores of treaties and accords between the two neighbouring countries have not prevented four wars if one takes into account 1947 and 1999 (Kargil) as well. Therefore, one is a little hesitant in extending a forthright welcome to the conclusions of foreign secretary-level talks held recently in the national capital. The proof of the pudding is after all in the eating. For the time being it looks good that New Delhi and Islamabad have decided to set up an anti-terrorism mechanism in pursuance of their joint statement in Havana. It would be headed by fairly senior officers of the level of additional secretaries. They would consider counter-terrorism measures including through the regular and timely sharing of information. Likewise a few other decisions have been taken. Experts will coordinate for joint survey of Sir Creek and adjoining areas "without prejudice to each other's position, as well as to simultaneously conduct discussions on the maritime boundary." This joint survey is targeted to be completed by February 2007. It sounds almost like music that some progress has been made in the direction of reaching an agreement on "reducing the risk from accidents relating to nuclear weapons." The two sides are apparently satisfied with the implementation of the previous "agreement on pre-notification of the flight testing of ballistic missiles." There is concurrence of views on enhancing interaction and cooperation across the Line of Control including the early operationalisation of truck service for trade on agreed items. On humanitarian ground it has been accepted to set free by December 26 this year "all fishermen and prisoners whose national status stands confirmed and who have completed their sentences." The same spirit dominates the resolution to examine the release of prisoners who are detained on minor charges. The other positive features are: early finalisation of updated visa regime, expansion of the list of shrines under the 1974 bilateral protocol, early signing of revised protocol on shipping services and fixation of the next round of foreign secretaries' meeting in Islamabad in February next year.

Who will deny that these decisions if translated into reality will go a long way in strengthening mutual goodwill and bonhomie in the sub-continent? We in this State especially will be the direct beneficiary if there is total peace along the LoC and the International Border. One can't, however, wish away certain intriguing developments that pose a question-mark about the climax. It is extremely odd that Pakistan's Foreign Secretary should meet the State's secessionist leaders in New Delhi. One also finds it unbelievable that he should strive to forge unity among them. Will our Foreign Secretary be permitted to conduct a similar exercise in Islamabad? Will he be able to meet the Baloch leaders, for instance, and tell them to rip Pakistan apart? It is also glaring that the neighbouring country never makes any commitment to switch off the terrorism on its turf.

The only satisfaction at this juncture is that the two countries have again started talking to each other. Any day it is a better option than the armed combat. How long will it continue like this? What will eventually count are the results.

Same old tune

Nobel laureate and Myanmar political heroine Aung San Suu Kyi's observation is very appropriate in this instance: "It is not power that corrupts but fear. Fear of losing power corrupts those who wield it and fear of the scourge of power corrupts those who are subject to it." At least the first part of her advice is relevant so far as the leaders of "Azad" Kashmir (as the occupied territory across the Line of Control is known) are concerned. They sing one tune while they are in the opposition and quite another when they assume authority. It is only recent history that Sardar Abdul Qayum had been calling for people-to people dialogue among all regions of the undivided Jammu and Kashmir as it had existed in 1947. This had marked a significant departure from his avowed philosophy of the entire State's merger with Pakistan. He sounded so sincere that few thought that it was his way of conveying a subtle message to the Pakistan Government. Indeed, it was a calculated effort on his part to tell Islamabad that it could afford to rub him and his family on the wrong side only at the cost of losing his support and loyalty. It is too early to say whether Pakistan President Pervez Musharraf had got the hint or whether he wanted to expose the duplicity of the Sardar's stance. He and his administration posed no hindrance in the way of the Sardar's politician-son Sardar Attique Ahmad Khan becoming the "Prime Minister" of "Azad" Kashmir. It is too much of a coincidence that the elderly Sardar has since assumed a back seat. No more is he is as vocal on the issue of peace and consensus in the pre-1947 State as he was before his son got the coveted post. So far as Sardar Attique is concerned he keeps sending fidelity notices to Gen Musharraf from time to time. He has reverted to his party Muslim Conference's fundamental pro-Pakistan stand. His latest utterances are in the same line. According to him, "liberation of Kashmir and its accession to Pakistan is part of our faith and Allah willing we will soon achieve this goal…Pakistan runs in our veins like blood and it's primary responsibility of every Kashmiri to defend this fort of Islam." He wants young persons of his region to "inculcate the ideology of Kashmir's accession to Pakistan, apart from other good things, so that they could utilise their energies to translate this thought into a reality." Thus he and his ilk are back to the pernicious two-nation theory based on religion. What is worse is that he has conveniently overlooked the mischief being played by Pakistan in this part of the State. He has instead harped on the theme of "organised resistance movement" through "an armed struggle by the Kashmiris." His slogan "for the last 16 years" has been "long live Pakistan army."

Does Sardar Attique think that the people are too naïve to see through his ploy? His predecessor Sardar Sikandar Hayat Khan had drawn fire in Muzaffarabad from a visiting delegation of journalists from this State for "getting innocent boys killed" on this side of the LoC. It was in 2004. Sardar Attique seems to be oblivious of this incident as, of course, of other realities.

Delhi of today

Men, Matters, Memories

M L Kotru

For someone who has lived in Delhi and lately in neighbouring Gurgaon, for the last 60 years and more I wonder sometimes if this was the Delhi which I came to as a teenager in 1949. Yes, there were very visible traces of partition still around. Like you saw some people still sheltered in the alcoves of the granite walls in Kashmiri Gate, some where still reluctant to leave their abodes in Purana Qilla. But simultaneously I had witnessed the coming up of not particularly well laid out "refugee" colonies. Some were coming up in what is now East. West and South Patel Nagar, some others around Lajpat Nagar. The Green Parks and Hauz Khases were still on the drawing boards as were the Gul Mohar Parks, the Greater Kailashes and Defence Colonies.

The Lutyens city was verdant with giant neem trees lining the well-planned roads that cut across and along the rows of bungalows; the barracks built to accommodate the rash of military offices and masses, required for the Allied Forces, mainly British, still stood in orderly rows. These were inherited after the British left by various Government offices.

There, for instance, was P Block, a barracks, that served as the headquarters of the Press Information Bureau. The Jodhpur barracks, the Princess Park, Central Vista barracks et al had been taken over by Army, the Navy and the Air Force to serve as residential quarters and the mandatory officers' mess. The encroachments within the hallowed Red Fort, enforced by the British Occupiers, in the form of solid granite barracks, were appropriated by the Army which even managed to stay put there until recently with the officers, mess in low. The Jama Masjid was surrounded by a rash of temporary wooden structures, shops built overnight, some of these selling priceless antique books and records and gramophones left behind by the departing Brits.

The Karol Bagh area, particularly down from Arya Samaj Road to Gurdwara Road was home to hand-drawn carts which turned into fried fish, seekh kebab, halwa joints at night, a pertromax providing the light for the patrons. The main Daryaganj Bazar was similarly infested by hundreds of carts, including the one which later converted itself into the famed Moti Mahal restaurant, presided over by its legendary owner, the late Kundan Lal whose hallmark it was to bow down to every customer, trying to reach for the visitors' feet.

Yes, the scene looked chaotic but with all that construction going around us one had hoped that Delhi would grow into a calmer, more organized city. Reminds me of Sergeant Buttons of the traffic police, driving up and down the roads of New Delhi, Lutyen's city essentially, a one-man force keeping the flow of traffic well regulated. Since bicycles were the principal mode of transport for the city then, the DTC under another nomenclature, was in its infancy and for a population one fifth of the present, Delhi boasted of 8 lakh bicycles and it was Sergeant Buttons who would haul you up for the missing bell on the handlebar, for the missing flasher at the rear, for not keeping to the cycle track or driving erratically. Justice was instant. No challans, no bribery; simply your back tyre was deflated which meant you had to walk some 500 yards before the roadside cyclewallah beckoned, "Babuji 'do' paise puncture ke-it became an anna later - and hawa muft". (Two paise per puncture and free air to inflate the tube). If Button Sahab had removed the valve of the tube you were done; it cost another anna. Incidentally, you could rent a bicycle for Rs. 6 a month then).

Good-bye to nostalgia, the following years saw Delhi growing into a megapolis, sadly built by myopic men, who never visualized Delhi's potential as the capital. You see the consequences of their myopia now. Each single or double storey house in Greater Kailash has been converted into five storeys plus mansions thanks to the builders who managed to build at least two residential sets on each floor. On an average each house now has six to seven car owners and the tiny lanes, which Gkeins call a road can hardly take more than one car and with cars parked on either side of the narrow stretch God save the visitor who inadvertently chooses to take his car to the doorstep of the family he is visiting!

Add to this the confusion which the politicians, the municipal ward members, the local MLAs have added to the lives of ordinary citizens. The Delhi Development Authority, and the Municipal staff with their ever growing appetite for graft, most houses, smaller ones included, in the capital have created spaces for shops. The bigger houses like those in Greater Kailash have of course converted what should normally have been a residential place into commercial complexes; these complexes, mind you, are better looking than some of the so-called malls.

A whole house, all three to five storeys of it, may now be a jewellery shop or a guest house or a car showroom or may be offering the latest in computers or music or even foreign fabrics and imported fashion gear. If the shoppers occupy the better part of the road by parking their cars outside these establishments it hardly matters to them. Who cares if an ordinary citizen suffers as a consequence.

That's what brings me to the agitation by so-called "60 lakh" shopkeepers, who thanks to the electronic media, have made lives of the genuine 60 lakhs (we are a crore plus in fact in Delhi) a living hell). Yes, there are some 44,000 unauthorised shops which in the first place should never have been there and which as the Supreme Court has repeatedly stressed must shut down. These shops are complexes are a menace as much in the so-called posh colonies as they are in the smaller ones.

But the politicians, in this case the Delhi State Government and the BJP as well, have joined hands with the blackmailing traders and the result is closing down of schools, burning of buses by people who say closure of shops means death for them. Given their frenzy they threaten to run berserk yet again.

The three-day bandh last month followed by another on November 7 and once again two days late may have paralyzed life in the city but the shopkeepers, acting like performing fleas, never tire of threatening and beating their chests thanks to the bytes-hungry electronic media.

You can any time, if you are a Delhiwallah, see four split images on your TV screen each interviewing one of the law-breaking traders. The Central Government's role in this entire episode has been extremely questionable as much as that the BJP's. Like the Congress - led UPA Government at the Centre, the Delhi Government and the BJP are cannily assessing the after-effects of implementing the Supreme Court orders, an eye always fixed on the upcoming municipal, and State elections.

Anarchy obviously gets priority over genuine democratic functioning with everyone showing no respect for the law of land.

As a footnote I must add what a friend with whom I used to share a popular watering hole in New Delhi. Said he: "Last evening when I came here (the club) it was teeming with people and many of the faces were the same I had been seeing on TV, wailing over the Supreme Court verdict.

Most of them were happily drunk and celebrating another "triumph" on the streets of Delhi. Some poverty! Some threat! Everyone apparently is happy, the illegal shopkeepers the BJP, the Congress, the UPA. Except, of course, the people and the Supreme Court.

Future of BJP

By Jagdish Dwivedi

Contrary to political spec-ulation, the Utter Pradesh municipal election results have indicated that the BJP and the Congress would mark their presence in a big way in the Assembly election next year. In view of the two parties' journey downhill, many observers felt that the State would go the Tamil Nadu way, with the Samajwadi Party and the BSP becoming the DMK and AIADMK of Uttar Pradesh. However, the BJP has emerged as a much bigger force which may compel Chief Minister Mulayam Singh to call for an alliance of all secular parties. He might even join hands with the Congress.

This notwithstanding, leaders of the third force would like to see Mulayam's boat sinking. The former Prime Minister, V.P. Singh, Raj Babbar, Sharad Yadav and the likes are drawing comfort from the SP's drubbing at the civic polls. They cannot forget how Mulayam had split almost every party for his gains. Mulayam Singh had used his position to render all of them totally irrelevant in UP. Now V.P. Singh and the company are eager to forge a front without Mulayam. The two Communist parties and Ajit Singh's Lok Dal are trying to come together. The BJP, on its part, believes that the voters who do not want to vote for the SP and the BSP might come to it.

Those who thought that the Congress in UP would rise after defeating the BJP at the Centre have been proved wrong. Despite the fact that the Congress plunged itself headlong in the election fray under Sonia Gandhi and Rahul, the party did not gain. Union Minister of State Sri Prakash Jaiswal camped in his hometown Kanpur, Mahavir Prasad in Gorakhpur and Akhilesh Das in Lucknow but failed to win the mayoral elections. How important these polls were for the Congress can be gauged from the fact that many meetings were held at 10- Janpath; first to choose the party candidates and then to review the results. Hoping that the BJP would be nowhere in the picture, the Congress had chalked out a roadmap to enter the Assembly with a bang. Just the opposite happened.

The Congress lost sitting Mayors in Kanpur and Ghaziabad and in places which had elected Congress MPs. If the trend is any indication, the party may only retain its present strength of 20-25 MLAs in the next Assembly.

The results have shattered the Congress dream of being able to play kingmaker in the forming the next government if the BSP and the SP failed to get a majority. That the Congress candidate in Kanpur lost by a huge margin and independent Muslim candidates secured as many votes only show that the party has not been able to retain its present electoral base, let alone expand it.

It can now be said that the BJP, which was almost dead in UP due to non-functioning leadership, swept the polls courtesy the RSS. The BJP bagging eight of the 12 Mayoral positions was no ordinary achievement.

The reservation issue and the utterances of Muslim leaders also contributed to its success. From Meerut to Ghaziabad in the West, to Kanpur and Lucknow in central UP, the BJP fielded new faces with clean image. They got full support from party president Rajanth Singh who took instructions from the RSS. In Meerut and Kanpur, the BJP campaigners fully exploited the minority appeasement factor to help polarize votes of its supporters. Whatever the Congress and the SP did to woo the Muslim votes ultimately benefited the BJP.

Undoubtedly, the strategy drawn up by Rajnath Singh with the blessings of RSS has succeeded. It would not only boost Rajnath's popularity but also enable the Sangh to tighten its grip on the BJP. It is evident that the Hindu card would bring more positive results to the RSS-BJP combine in reaction to the increased efforts of V.P. Singh, Congress and Ajit Singh to win over the Muslims. But it cannot be taken as a sign of BJP's revival.

The two vital factors that are going to trouble the BJP in the coming years are leadership crisis and the growing influence of the Rashtriya Sawamsevak Sangh (RSS). Though Atal Behari Vajpayee keeps playing hide and seeks, L K Advani is doubtless the most acceptable and the most capable leader in the Sangh Parivar today. The manner in which he was pushed aside indicates the saffron camps confusion about the very fundamentals of politics. Vajpayee as Prime Minister did his best to restrict the influence of the RSS in matters of governance and Advani had begun to realise the importance to moderation.

The euphoria over UP civic body polls notwithstanding, ground realities too aren't very encouraging for the party. It is not important that the party has won bypolls in Madhya Pradesh. What is important is that Ms. Uma Bharti has sliced away over a lakh vote without the party's muscles. If this trend continues, Ms. Bharti will be soon in a position to offer Madhya Pradesh on a platter to the Congress. There is more bad news from another stronghold, Jharkhand. The astounding victory of Babulal Marandi from Koderma means big trouble for the BJP. INAV

Small towns fuel internet growth

By Arvinder Kaur

Internet users in India reached 37 million in September, up from 33 million in March 2006. During the same pe-riod the number of ‘‘active users’’ rose from 21.1 million to 25 million. According to the joint research by the Internet and Mobile Association of India (IAMAI) and IMRB International, youth are the main drivers of internet usage in India. College students and those below the age of 35 are the biggest segment on the Internet. Both these segments have the highest proportion of conversion of ‘‘Ever’’ Users to‘‘Active’’ users of Internet.

‘‘Active User’’ is an internationally accepted and widely used category to define users who have used the internet at least once in the last 30 days while ‘‘Ever User’’ is the one who has used the Internet at least once.

Besides the youth, the internet hungry small towns are further fuelling the growth. Smaller metros and towns are increasingly embracing the Internet evolution and are pushing growth from below. Smaller cities and towns have shown a whopping 142 per cent year-to-year growth and now account for 25 per cent of all internet users.

Experts say the next round of growth will be driven by new and innovative applications such as blogs, video-on -demand and online gaming, while the old favourites such as email and Chat will drive first time users to the medium.’’

The study estimates that the Internet User base is likely to cross the 40 million mark by March 2007, when the ‘‘Ever’’ User base is likely to hit 42 million and the Active User base is likely to hit 28 million. By March 2008, the Ever User base should cross the 50 million mark. The active user base would reach a staggering figure of 43 million users by the same time.

While the US continues to lead with nearly 200 million Internet users at the end of 2005, China and India are now in second and fourth place among Internet users. Internet penetration in India has been facilitated by low rates for broadband connections, now available for Rs 199 per month, and introduction of affordable PCs priced at Rs 10,000, which enables the common man to overcome the first obstacle of accessing the internet.

However, Cyber Cafes or Public Access points with 39 per cent share of users continue to be the most important internet access points in India. It is, however, doubtful as to how long this dominance will continue, since the share of cyber cafes has been steadily declining from a peak of 52 per cent in 2003.

Access from home showed a marginal increase to 22 per cent from 20 per cent in 2003. It has steadily risen from 23 per cent in 2003 to 31 per cent in 2006 and prima facie seem to be gaining on the loss of market share by cyber cafes. According to estimates access from schools and colleges however remained insignificant at 6 per cent. This remains a major cause of concern since internet access through schools and colleges not only creates the next generation of users but also goes a long way in reducing digital and hence socio-economic divide.

Nearly 53 percent school going kids and 53 per cent college going students access internet from cyber cafes followed by 47 per cent of non-working women. Non-working women, significantly, account for the highest percentage of access from homes (47 per cent) followed by older men (39 per cent). Access from offices is dominated by older men and working women (41 per cent and 38 per cent respectively).

Around 38 per cent of all internet users in India are heavy users and on an average spend about 8.2 hrs per week on the internet, according to the I-Cube 2006 report.

The report also revealed that the percentage of heavy internet users in India is rapidly increasing: from 16 per cent in 2001, 20 per cent in 2004 to 38 per cent in 2006 of the overall internet users. Similarly, the percentage of light internet users has steadily declined from 63 per cent in 2001 to 28 per cent in 2006.

Thus the average time spent on internet in terms of minutes per week increased with the increasing age of the user. The active internet users exhibit a marked increase in internet usage as they graduate from school to college, and then onto their professional lives. The internet has surely stamped its presence in the urban Indian landscape.

It also shows that internet has now penetrated beyond the communication needs of the active user population and is no longer an avenue for exploring their curiosity. The active user population has found greater and diverse uses beyond communication and this is where the opportunity lies for far greater growth and adoption.

And it is not just in India, but entire Asia Pacific region where internet access services will continue to see increasing revenues, with explosive growth in first-time user markets like India, Indonesia and Philippines being a key source, according to Frost & Sullivan.

It pegs the overall Asia-Pacific Internet subscriber base at 161.8 million (5.9 per cent growth) as of 2005 end. Covering 13 major Asia-Pacific countries, it suggests that revenues, amounting to $24.6 billion in 2005, could hit $40.3 billion by 2012 end.

Broadband is crucial to fixed line service providers in reclaiming lost fixed lines. Also, with end users increasingly migrating to broadband, it has already outstripped (at 53.3 per cent) the existing narrow band subscriber base. This number is expected to reach 40 per cent by 2012 end, growing at 12.7 per cent. Southeast Asia, China and India will stimulate much of this growth, with China alone accounting for more than 45 per cent.

However, broadband penetration in homes has not been as favourable in the region. Poor broadband infrastructure, lower PC literacy and Internet usage, affordability issues and slow unbundling of the local loop have inhibited this spread, except in tier-1 markets like Japan, South Korea, Hong Kong and Singapore.

As the broadband access services market develops and matures, market forces are likely to lower the prices for such services which could also shoot up the subscriber base.

PTI Feature



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