Afghan kidnappings
prompt big security review

KABUL, Oct 29: The abduction of three foreign election workers in Afghanistan could force aid groups to reduce their international. .....more

US forces poised to
attack rebel Iraqi cities

FALLUJA, IRAQ, Oct 29: US marines prepared today for a "decisive" assault on the Iraqi cities of Falluja and Ramadi to crush Sunni Muslim .....more

Bush Presidency marked
by war on terror and Iraq

WASHINGTON, Oct 29: George W Bush’s Presidency was meandering along until the September 11 attacks gave it a purpose, and his vigorous.....more

Kerry rises from political ashes to face Bush

WASHINGTON, Oct 29: A tall, rugged, blueblood war veteran from Massachusetts with the initials JFK, senator John Forbes Kerry rose from.......more

Holy water, prayers of peace for new Cambodian king

PHNOM PENH, Oct 29: Cambodia’s outgoing king, Norodom Sihanouk, anointed his son with holy water from Angkor wat today in a traditional.....more

ABC airs videotape of man making Al-Qaeda threat

WASHINGTON, Oct 29: ABC news broadcast a videotape it obtained last week of an English-speaking man who threatens bloody new Al-Qaeda.....more

Iraq expected to
dog next US President

WASHINGTON, Oct 29: The Iraq war that might have been President George W Bush’s defining glory may instead turn ....more

Sick Arafat to head for France, cancer suspected

RAMALLAH, WEST BANK, Oct 29: Yasser Arafat, badly weakened by what doctors believe may be Leukaemia, was to fly to Paris for treatment today, ....more

Scientists find new clues for dementia in elderly ......

Germany asks will the British Queen say sorry? .....

Iran-EU3 talks to resume Nov 5 as deadline looms .....

Red wine slows lung cancer, white raises risk: Study .....

Afghan kidnappings prompt big security review

KABUL, Oct 29: The abduction of three foreign election workers in Afghanistan could force aid groups to reduce their international staff in a country that just finished counting votes in its first direct Presidential election.

It was the first kidnapping of foreigners in Kabul and raised fears that militants fighting nearly 28,000 US or NATO forces in the country were copying tactics used by insurgents in Iraq.

As Afghan police and international peacekeepers hunted for the kidnapped foreigners today, officials from aid groups and embassies said an immediate security review would be launched and some had already confined foreign staff to their heavily guarded offices or residential compounds.

The three — a woman with dual Irish and British citizenship, a woman from Kosovo and a Filipino — were abducted by a gang of armed men as they were being driven in a un-marked car during peak traffic in a busy part of the Afghan capital yesterday.

"At the end of July we were looking at guidelines for the threats out there, but kidnapping wasn’t even mentioned," said Aine Fay, Country Director for the Irish aid group concern.

"But this has just changed. If it’s going down the road to an Iraq kind of situation, then aid agencies will be asking whether they should reduce the number of international staffers they have."

The abductions come days before the US Presidential election in which President George W Bush is hoping a successful Afghan election will prove a foreign policy fillip when US forces are increasingly bogged down in Iraq.

Official results of the Afghan poll have yet to be announced, but the count shows incumbent Hamid Karzai is assured of victory.

A breakaway faction of the Taliban known as the Jaish-e-Muslimeen (army of Muslims) took responsibility for the abductions, but their claims have not been verified.

UN officials estimate around 2,000 western foreigners are based in Afghanistan — mostly diplomats or aid workers — but there are thousands more from Pakistan and several dozen from African and Asian nations as well.

More than 1,000 people, mostly Afghans, have been killed during a campaign of violence waged in the past year by remnants of the Taliban — ousted by a US-led coalition in November, 2001, for supporting Osama bin Laden and his Al-Qaeda network.

Previously, the group’s main strategy for attack was remote-controlled roadside bombs, ambushes or rocket attacks, but fears exist the militants may be switching tactics.

Witnesses reported seeing up to seven armed men stop the un vehicle, beat the Afghan driver and push the three at gunpoint into a four wheel-drive pickup truck with tinted windows.

"We had planned to kidnap at least six election workers about a week ago, but we could abduct only three," said Mullah Ishaq Mansoor, commander of the group that claimed responsibility.

Another spokesman, Akbar Agha, told : "We have done it. We will decide about the demands in our Shura (council). We have not harmed them and we have not decided to kill them."

Analysts say the Taliban’s morale has been hurt by the high turnout in the Oct 9 election, and its inability to sabotage the vote or prevent large numbers of people from casting ballots. (AGENCIES)

US forces poised to attack rebel Iraqi cities

FALLUJA, IRAQ, Oct 29: US marines prepared today for a "decisive" assault on the Iraqi cities of Falluja and Ramadi to crush Sunni Muslim insurgents and Arab militants behind suicide bombings and beheadings of hostages.

"We are gearing up for a major operation," Brigadier General Denis Hajlik told reporters at a base near Falluja. "If we do so, it will be decisive and we will whack them."

Hajlik, Deputy Commander of the 1st marine expeditionary force, said the expected operation against Falluja and Ramadi, west of Baghdad, would also involve Iraqi forces.

Iraq’s US-backed interim Government has vowed to pacify the whole country before nationwide elections due in January.

The US military has been pounding targets in Falluja for weeks to try to cripple what it says is a network of Iraqi and foreign fighters led by America’s top enemy in Iraq, Jordanian Abu Musab-al-Zarqawi, with bases in the city.

Zarqawi’s Al-Qaeda-allied group threatened on Tuesday to behead a Japanese hostage within 48 hours unless Tokyo withdrew its 550 non-combat troops from Iraq. Japan rejected the demand.

The deadline passed without any firm word on the fate of Shosei Kado, 24, but Japan’s Foreign Ministry said it was checking into a report that an Asian body had been found in Tikrit, Saddam Hussein’s home town.

Police in Tikrit confirmed on Friday they had found an unidentified body, but it seemed unlikely to be that of Koda.

The bullet-riddled body, with what appeared to be rope burns on the wrists, was found near Tikrit, 175 km north of Baghdad early n yesterday morning.

Police said the victim was dark-skinned, had a moustache and was dressed in a white shirt and baggy pants commonly worn in India and Pakistan, which does not fit Koda’s description.

Another Islamist group said yesterday it had kidnapped a Polish-Iraqi woman and demanded that Poland pull its troops out of Iraq. Warsaw said its contingent would stay put.

"Of course there is no question of negotiating with the terrorists about the withdrawal of troops or about any other issues," Polish Prime Minister Marek Belka declared.

The militants made no explicit threat to kill the woman, named by Polish media as Teresa Borcz Khalifa, but Al-Jazeera television aired a video of her seated between two masked men dressed in black, one pointing a gun to her head.

Poland has 2,500 soldiers in south-central Iraq and commands a multinational division of 8,000 troops.

Kidnappers in Iraq are also holding a British-Iraqi woman, two French journalists and a score of other foreigners from a dozen countries. Some may be held for ransom, others as part of a calculated campaign to drive foreign workers from Iraq.

They have stepped up demands for the withdrawal of foreign troops in the US-led multinational force with just days to go before Tuesday’s US Presidential election.

In new abductions, militants seized two truckers from Sri Lanka and Bangladesh working with US forces, Arabic Al-Jazeera television said yesterday.

Zarqawi’s Al-Qaeda organisation for holy war in Iraq has beheaded several foreign hostages and claimed responsibility for some of Iraq’s bloodiest attacks, including suicide bombings and last weekend’s slaughter of 49 unarmed Iraqi army recruits.

Marine intelligence officer Major James West said guerrilla violence could continue in Iraq even if Zarqawi was eliminated.

"Even if we get Zarqawi, that doesn’t necessarily mean it’s over," he told reporters near Falluja.

West said Falluja’s population had dropped to 50,000 or 60,000 from 350,000 because many people had fled for safety.

Residents said the city was generally quiet on Friday after some overnight shelling in an eastern district.

The interim Government has told Falluja’s leaders they must surrender Zarqawi and allow Iraqi security forces to regain control of the city or face military action.

Interim Prime Minister Iyad Allawi urged the people of Falluja yesterday to seize what he said could be the "last chance" for a peaceful solution, but set no deadline.

Residents of the city say they know nothing of Zarqawi’s network.

Talks between the interim Government and a negotiating committee representing tribal and insurgent factions collapsed earlier this month, but on-off contacts have continued.

Falluja, 50 km west of Baghdad, and Ramadi, 110 km from the capital, have been cauldrons of anti-US insurgency since last year’s war toppled Saddam Hussein. (AGENCIES)

Bush Presidency marked by war on terror and Iraq

WASHINGTON, Oct 29: George W Bush’s Presidency was meandering along until the September 11 attacks gave it a purpose, and his vigorous response, drawing world praise that dissipated over his invasion of Iraq, ultimately shaped his quest for re-election.

Two wars after the attacks, Bush, 58, faces a closely divided electorate in his election battle on Tuesday with democratic Sen John Kerry of Massachusetts, hopeful Americans will agree with him his decision to topple Saddam Hussein makes him the best commander in chief.

"I had a choice to make. Do I forget the lessons of September 11 and trust a Madman, or take action to defend America? Given that choice, I will defend our country every time," was a frequent Bush refrain on the campaign trail.

Terror and war are the two themes hammered home day after day by Bush, who saw a rise in poll ratings after the republican national convention evaporate following his three presidential debates with Kerry.

The bad news from Iraq, whether missing explosives that can fall into the hands of terrorists or the latest casualty or beheading, never put Bush off his stride and only seem to heighten the personal attacks against Kerry.

"A political candidate who jumps to conclusions without knowing the facts is not a person you want as commander in chief," Bush told a crowd this week.

"Unfortunately that is part of a pattern of a candidate who will say anything to get elected," he added to cheers.

It was the Sept 11, 2001, attacks that created the most dramatic moments of the Bush Presidency and put an everlasting mark on Bush, who walked and talked with a Texas swagger that belies his family’s patrician east coast roots.

It was not yet a year since Bush had taken office after a bitter, 36-day recount battle in Florida was ultimately decided in his favor by the Supreme Court, even though democrat Al-Gore had won the popular vote in the 2000 election.

Americans, having seen Bush in action, were not all that impressed. He pushed through a big tax cut as promised but otherwise appeared to be coasting.

Caught out of town when the attacks on the world trade center in New York and the Pentagon near Washington killed about 3,000 people, Bush drew criticism for his initial, tentative response when he vowed "to hunt down and to find those folks who committed this act."

He then took a circuitous route back to Washington aboard air force one while Vice President Dick Cheney was making decisions in an underground bunker.

It was not until Sept 14 that the American people and the rest of the world would see another side to Bush, when he visited the smoking ruins at Manhattan’s ground zero, stepped up on a crumpled fire engine and addressed cheering police, firefighters and rescuers. "I can hear you. The rest of the world hears you. And the people who knocked these buildings down will hear all of us soon," he said.

The attacks were condemned around the world on Oct 7, 2001, Bush ordered US forces into Afghanistan to dislodge the Taliban militia from control of the country and to destroy the Al-Qaeda network behind the September 11 attacks.

Bush divided the world into those who were with the United States in its quest to destroy terrorism and those who were not, revealing the good-versus-evil worldview that has won him ardent admirers and bitter enemies.

A fervent Christian, Bush stressed the war on terrorism was not a war on Islam, although he angered Muslims by initially describing the coming US response to the attacks as a "crusade."

A new sense of mission quickly transformed US foreign policy, with Bush labeling Iraq, Iran and North Korea an "axis of evil" and announcing a pre-emptive strategy that would attack foes before they could become a threat.

Al-Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden escaped a US-British dragnet in Afghanistan and to Bush’s dismay remains at large, and a report on the attacks by a Bipartisan Commission investigating the Sept 11 attacks found there had been widespread intelligence failures about the attackers.

The attacks battered a US economy already sagging from the bursting of the stock market bubble at the end of the eight-year Clinton administration.

Bush’s re-election campaign struggled to put the best face on a lackluster economy in which job growth had failed to catch up with other economic indicators showing positive activity. He faced the possibility of being the first President since Herbert Hoover to suffer a net loss of jobs on his watch.

With the situation in Afghanistan seemingly under control, Bush turned his attention to the supposed threat presented by Iraq’s Saddam in late 2002, triggering a confrontation that would offset the international goodwill in response to the Sept 11 attacks.

Bush argued Iraq posed a grave and gathering danger and had to be dealt with, in the context of what happened on sept. 11. He built his case on intelligence that iraq possessed dangerous weapons and was prepared to use them.

US and British forces invaded Iraq in March and by May 1 Bush felt confident enough of victory to don a flight suit, climb into the cockpit of a military jet and land aboard the USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier where, with a "mission accomplished" banner behind him, he declared major combat operations over in Iraq.

That turned out to be premature, and US-led forces soon faced a guerrilla insurgency that has killed hundreds of US and allied troops. Many more have been wounded. Weapons of Mass Destruction have not been found.

Bush was the first Presidential son since John Quincy Adams in 1825 to follow his father into the White House.

For his first 45 years, Bush was not seen as Presidential timber. Until elected Governor of Texas in 1994, Bush was known as the undistinguished son of his distinguished father.

As Governor, Bush proved cautious and pragmatic, willing to reach across party lines to build alliances with democrats.

The eldest son of George and Barbara Bush, George Walker Bush was born in New Haven, Connecticut, in 1946.

After gaining a bachelor’s degree from Yale, Bush worked at several jobs, distinguishing himself in none, until years later when he became part-owner of the Texas rangers baseball team.

During the Vietnam war, he enlisted in 1968 as a pilot in the Texas Air National Guard and spent the war in the United States.

Bush gained an MBA from Harvard Business School in 1975. Two years later, he married Laura Welch, a Librarian who became a steadying influence on him. The couple have twin daughters, Jenna and Barbara. (AGENCIES)

Kerry rises from political ashes to face Bush

WASHINGTON, Oct 29: A tall, rugged, blueblood war veteran from Massachusetts with the initials JFK, senator John Forbes Kerry rose from the political dead to challenge President George W Bush for the White House.

An early bet as the democrats’ best hope, he was running far behind in last year’s pre-primary polls in Iowa and New Hampshire but recovered ground as voters took a second look at the field and rewarded him with a stunning comeback in the first two contests of the political campaign.

"They were saying ‘oh, Kerry’s dead. He’s dashed expectations. He can’t win," former President Bill Clinton said this week. "He just kept being John Kerry. ... And he won the nomination for President."

Despite breaking his party’s fund-raising records, raking in about 200 million dollars by tapping into the internet and a fervent desire among democrats to oust Bush, Kerry the nominee was once again all but written off.

"They said ‘oh, Kerry’s beat. He’s too far behind. He’s dead as a doornail,"’ Clinton recalled. " and then he gave us three magnificent performances in those debates."

Kerry, widely considered to have done well against Bush in all three debates, retooled his campaign’s message shop to bring in former White House aides who sharpened his focus and quickened his response to republican efforts to portray him as an irresolute northeastern liberal who flip-flops on important issues like the Iraq war.

The sometimes-stiff senator from Massachusetts with a deliberative decision-making style and a reputation as a fearsome closer in tight election races, hammered away at Bush’s economic and national security record with an ‘’eyes on the prize’’ Mantra.

Kerry applied the same laser-like focus when he trailed his opponents in the race for the democratic nomination. The decorated Vietnam war Veteran, who boasts a Yale education, two decades in the senate and a cadre of experienced advisers, never stopped fighting.

The 60-year-old senator’s problems then — and later in the general election campaign — sprang from his stance on the Iraq war. He voted to authorize the US-led invasion, but then criticized Bush for "rushing" into conflict without an international coalition or a Postwar plan.

Kerry explained his position by blaming the President for misleading Congress on the evidence used to justify the war.

In August, he complicated matters again by saying he would have voted to give Bush the authority to use military force even if he had known there were no Weapons of Mass Destruction in Iraq.

But it was another vote — and another explanation — that gave republicans valuable ammunition.

Kerry voted against the President’s 87 billion dollars request to support US troops in Iraq and Afghanistan and pay for reconstruction after efforts to offset the cost by repealing some of Bush’s tax cuts failed.

"I actually voted for the 87 billion dollars before I voted against it," Kerry said in west Virginia.

While a delighted Bush team pounced on his statement, using it to raise doubts about his fitness to be Commander in Chief, a group called swift boat veterans for truth launched a well-funded AD campaign to discredit Kerry’s Vietnam service.

This was not the first setback Kerry has faced. Lagging in the primary season, Kerry shook up his staff and fired his campaign manager. A well-off man married to a multimillionaire, he opted out of the public campaign financing system and its accompanying 45 million dollars spending limits.

Helped by gaffes from Howard Dean, the former Governor of Vermont, and with a message of economic fairness and the need to mend fences abroad, Kerry scored a surprise win in the Iowa caucuses, rolled to victory in the New Hampshire primary and rode the momentum to the nomination.

The 6-foot-4 junior senator from Massachusetts, who says he was inspired by another new England blue blood — John F Kennedy — has labored in the long shadow of the former President’s brother and his senior counterpart, Sen Edward Kennedy.

Kerry’s background, too, is solidly patrician — he can trace his roots back to the first Massachusetts Governor, John Winthrop.

To help dispel the notion that he is a cerebral elitist who has trouble connecting with voters, Kerry has appeared on a late-night television show riding a motorcycle, shot geese on an Ohio farm, graced the cover of American windsurfer magazine in a wetsuit and used a four-letter profanity in an interview with rolling stone magazine.

"I have only done things in this campaign that have been authentic," he said in an NBC interview on Tuesday. "I’m going to be who I am."

Kerry is a strong abortion-rights advocate even though, as a Catholic, he is personally opposed to it and believes life begins at conception. He also has broken with his Church by supporting embryonic stem cell research.

He backs tax cuts for the middle class, minimum wage hikes, expanded health care and speaks passionately about protecting the environment. In 1995, he and republican Sen John Mccain of Arizona successfully pushed for normalisation of US relations with Vietnam.

Kerry is one of the senate’s richest members, thanks to his second wife’s sizable fortune. Ketchup Heiress and philanthropist Teresa Heinz Kerry is the widow of the late Pennsylvania republican Sen John Heinz.

The son of foreign service officer Richard John Kerry and rosemary Forbes Kerry, he spent time at a Swiss boarding school and attended a New Hampshire Prep School before entering Yale and graduating with a degree in political science. Like Bush, he joined Yale’s exclusive secret society skull and bones.

Instead of going straight to law school, Kerry enlisted in the navy as an officer and headed to Vietnam. Manning a gunboat in the Mekong delta, he was decorated with a silver star, a bronze star and three purple hearts.

The national spotlight first fell on Kerry in the early 1970s when, after his military service, he became an outspoken critic of the war, organized fellow Vietnam veterans for a protest march in Washington and memorably testified before Congress.

In 1972, he ran for the House of Representatives and lost. He went to Boston College Law School, became a county prosecutor and worked his way up the political ladder before winning his senate seat in 1984. (AGENCIES)

Holy water, prayers of peace for new Cambodian king

PHNOM PENH, Oct 29: Cambodia’s outgoing king, Norodom Sihanouk, anointed his son with holy water from Angkor wat today in a traditional Buddhist blessing ceremony to open a day of pageantry for the new monarch’s coronation.

The Octogenarian Sihanouk, one of the world’s most enduring leaders who has said he is finally ready to retire, choreographed the dawn ritual with the consummate skill of one who has trodden the international stage for more than 60 years.

Despite the accession of Norodom Sihamoni, 51, a previously little known ballet Aficionado who takes a formal oath of kingship in the afternoon, Sihanouk’s influence in the war-scarred southeast Asian nation is unlikely to diminish.

Sihamoni, dressed in a gold-braided white jacket and blue and gold silk trousers, entered the ornate gilt throne room carried on a golden throne by eight bearers for the ceremony that will make him king.

A procession of hundreds of silk-clad courtiers wound through the palace grounds in front of the monarch-in-waiting, carrying bowls of incense, flowers and ivory tusks.

Prime Minister Hun Sen, in official regalia of a white suit with gold braid, and members of the national Assembly waited in the throne room for the elaborate swearing-in ceremony.

Sihamoni takes over from his mercurial father, who led his country to Independence from France in 1953 and who has scotched reports he would be retiring to the provincial backwater of siem reap, in the shadow of the 800-year-old Angkor Wat temples, following his shock abdication.

"I think we will see the hand of Sihanouk on the tiller of the monarchy for some time to come — certainly until Sihamoni has found his feet," said one western diplomat.

Flanked by saffron-robed Buddhist Monks and black-suited North Korean bodyguards, Sihamoni, in traditional golden gown, began the daylong ceremonies with an early morning walk through the gardens of the royal palace where he and his father were once held captive by pol pot’s Khmers Rouges.

He ascended a red carpet to a throne set beneath a gilded Pagoda, before clasping his hands in Buddhist supplication and offering prayers to the sun rising slowly over the Mekong river.

Sihanouk, who flashed a broad grin to the banks of cameras present, then doused his shaven-headed son with nine jars of holy water brought specially from an Angkor spring.

Sihamoni is due to make his first television address to Cambodia’s 13 million people at 6:00 pm (1100 gmt), the first time most will have seen their new monarch, who has spent nearly all his adult life abroad.

At the same time, monks at Buddhist temples across the land have been ordered to bang giant wooden drums to usher in the new royal era.

Having never held political office, Sihamoni faces the daunting task as constitutional monarch of mediating in Cambodia’s fractious and often bloody politics, in which the legacy of the "killing fields" genocide still looms large.

His status as an almost complete outsider could be his most powerful tool.

"According to the constitution, the king must be politically neutral. He is the father of the nation, and not involved in politics," Sihamoni’s half-brother and royalist party leader Prince Norodom Ranariddh told reporters.

"I am so excited to see that his attitude and character is subtle and gentle. He is so appropriate to be the king of Cambodia," said Ranariddh, a former co-Prime Minister who was deemed too political to be monarch.

Ordinary Cambodians, for whom life is a daily struggle against some of the most acute poverty in Asia, are also praying the new monarch does not try to rock the political boat, something that often precipitates bullets and bloodshed.

"He is a good man — no politics," said taxi driver Cham Ly. (AGENCIES)

ABC airs videotape of man making Al-Qaeda threat

WASHINGTON, Oct 29: ABC news broadcast a videotape it obtained last week of an English-speaking man who threatens bloody new Al-Qaeda attacks on the United States, but the network said US intelligence officials could not authenticate the man’s voice.

"US intelligence officials say while they still cannot authenticate the voice on the tape, it has all the trademarks of an Al-Qaeda production," ABC news said yesterday.

It said the voice of the speaker, identified as "Assam the American," did not match that of any known American Al-Qaeda suspects.

But ABC said the US Government was taking the tape seriously and had given copies of it to 13 current and former US officials mentioned by the speaker. These included US President George W Bush and Vice President Dick Cheney.

The tape was broadcast with five days left in a US election campaign in which the battle against global terrorism has been one of the biggest issues between Bush and Democratic Challenger Sen John Kerry.

ABC obtained the tape over the weekend in Pakistan, and its existence was revealed on Wednesday by internet columnist Matt Drudge. ABC said on Wednesday that it would be "beyond irresponsible" to broadcast the tape without first authenticating it.

Network spokesman Jeffrey Schneider, asked why ABC broadcast the tape yesterday, said, "the Government is clearly taking this tape very seriously. They have distributed it to 13 current and former federal officials, and the CIA believes that the tape bears all the signatures of Al-Qaeda tapes we’ve seen in the past."

In the portions of the tape shown by ABC, the speaker, whose face is cloaked and who has a slight accent, says he is a follower of Al-Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden. He denounces Americans as "guilty, guilty, guilty."

"You are as guilty as Bush and Cheney," he said.

The speaker vows new attacks worse than the September 11, 2001, attacks on the United States. "After decades of American tyranny and oppression now it’s your turn to die. Allah willing, the streets of America shall run red with blood matching drop for drop the blood of America’s victims," he said.

A US intelligence official told on Wednesday that the film appeared to have been released by Al-Qaeda’s media organisation and contains the logo of an Al-Qaeda production group. The official called the tape’s content "classic Al-Qaeda propaganda" but said it appeared to have been edited.

The video appears to have been made as recently as late summer because the speaker discusses the Darfur conflict, makes a reference to the Massachusetts same-sex marriage legislation, and mentions the September. 11 Commission, the intelligence official said.

Besides Bush and Cheney, other US officials mentioned in the tape include former CIA Director George Tenet, FBI Director Robert Muller, and Attorney General John Ashcroft, Government sources said. (AGENCIES)

Iraq expected to dog next US President

WASHINGTON, Oct 29: The Iraq war that might have been President George W Bush’s defining glory may instead turn out to be his achilles heel — or democratic candidate Sen John Kerry’s complex inheritance.

No matter who wins the White House, the next US leader will be dogged by Iraq and its repercussions for years to come.

"I think all the trends that we see in the insurgency are that it’s not going to be defeated or perhaps not even contained in the coming one or two years regardless of the intensity of our military involvement," said Michael O’hanlon of the brookings institution.

Even as he extols a country on the rebound from Saddam Hussein’s oppression, facts on the ground in Iraq have created political problems for Bush before Tuesday’s election.

For example:

—US and Iraqi casualties are steadily rising, including this week’s massacre of 49 Iraqi national guard trainees —the guerrilla insurgency, experts say, now involves an estimated 20,000 fighters — up four-fold from a year ago —and could delay elections set for January.

— The bill for US operations in Iraq and Afghanistan, which Bush aides promised would cost America little, is now projected at 280 billion dollars or more through next year.

— This week it was revealed that nearly 380 tonnes of powerful conventional explosives was missing from one of Iraq’s most sensitive former military installations.

The next US President’s task involves steering Iraq toward elections, speeding training of Iraqi forces and making things stable enough for Iraqis to take over their own security as Americans depart.

Bush aides insist Iraq’s election will occur as planned but Kenneth Pollock, a former Clinton administration National Security official, said that given the instability, "I just don’t see how that’s going to possibly happen."

Zbigniew Brzezinski, National Security Adviser in the carter administration, has dismissed both candidates’ plans as unworkable and warned US actions could force Iraq’s moderate and extremist Muslims to unite in an anti-American civil war.

He wrote in the New York Times this week that this can only be avoided if Washington and Europe engage moderate Muslims in a "grand alliance" to solve three major flash points: Iraq, Iran and the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.

Stockpiles of Weapons of Mass Destruction — Bush’s main reason for invading Iraq — have not been found and an alleged connection between Baghdad and Al-Qaeda, which carried out the Sept 11 attacks, proved tenuous.

Yet Bush continues to insist war was justified and Iraq is essential to remaking west asia in America’s democratic image. Bush excoriates Kerry as lacking the resolve to complete the task in Iraq and win the "war on terror."

Kerry calls Iraq a diversion from the anti-terror war and faults bush for failing to assemble a broad allied coalition and lacking a comprehensive plan to win the post-war peace.

Kerry and others claim the presence of 138,000 US troops in Iraq has given Osama bin Laden and his allies a recruiting tool to woo new militants to their cause.

Bush backer Reuel Marc Gerecht of the American enterprise institute said it is too soon to know if this is true. More important is that the war and Bush’s vision for west Asia are encouraging talk of democratic reform in the region, he wrote in this week’s weekly standard.

If elected, Kerry has pledged to reach out to Europeans who opposed the war and might be persuaded to provide troops or money to relieve the US burden.

Some Kerry advisers acknowledge this may be a long shot.

As for the US presence in Iraq, Kerry has said he would like to withdraw forces by the end of his first four-year term. Bush has emphasized staying until the job is done.

But with the military overstretched and Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld eager to withdraw, pressures may build to leave Iraq prematurely, a republican source said.

"Certainly Kerry and probably Bush doesn’t want his next four years defined by Iraq," he added. (AGENCIES)

Sick Arafat to head for France, cancer suspected

RAMALLAH, WEST BANK, Oct 29: Yasser Arafat, badly weakened by what doctors believe may be Leukaemia, was to fly to Paris for treatment today, leaving his besieged West Bank headquarters for the first time in more than two years.

The 75-year-old President and former guerrilla leader, who has for decades symbolised the conflict with Israel for a Palestinian state, agreed to the move at the urging of an international team of doctors, old comrades and his family.

A senior palestinian official told that Arafat was suspected to be suffering from Leukaemia.

One of the doctors treating Arafat earlier said the disease had probably been ruled out but that tests showed him to have an abnormally low count of blood platelets — which can be caused by Leukaemia or many other illnesses.

Arafat agreed to go to France after Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon, his long-time foe, said he would let him back afterwards. Israel had previously said that if Arafat left his compound in Ramallah it would not guarantee his return.

Arafat’s slide into illness has raised fears of chaos among Palestinians, whose 4-year-old uprising for a state has stalled.

The death of a leader whom Israel and its us ally see as an obstacle to peace could also shuffle the cards in the west Asian conflict as the United States heads into a Presidential election on Tuesday.

Arafat, short, stubble-bearded and usually seen in his trademark black-and-white Arab headdress, has named no successor since emerging from exile under interim peace accords. He has not appointed an acting President to cover during the treatment.

A thin and weak-looking Arafat, dressed in pyjamas and a ski hat, smiled and joked with medics in the first few seconds of film footage released since his condition worsened drastically late on Wednesday.

His wife Suha, who lives in Paris, hurried to his bedside for the first time in four years.

A helicopter was due to carry Arafat to Jordan early today and from there he would be brought to Paris aboard a jet sent by French President Jacques Chirac. European countries have resisted us and Israeli pressure to sideline Arafat.

The ex-guerrilla, loved by most of his people and reviled by many Israelis, has had stomach pains since last week.

After his health took a dramatic turn for the worse, officials said he had been slipping in and out of consciousness, though yesterday he had also been able to eat, talk and say prayers.

Jordanian doctor Ashraf-al-Kurdi told reporters he did not believe Arafat had Leukaemia. But later Kurdi was quoted by the BBC as saying Arafat would be tested for Leukaemia when he reached Paris.

Should Arafat die, Parliamentary speaker Rawhi Fattouh would replace him as Palestinian authority President for a 60-day period during which elections would be held.

In Washington, State Department Spokesman Richard Boucher said he hoped Arafat would get the treatment he needed to recover but, in a small but telling sign of us disregard, avoided answering a question on whether he wished Arafat a speedy recovery.

Arafat’s incapacitation or death would raise fresh questions about Sharon’s unilateral plan for withdrawal from Gaza and parts of the West Bank in 2005, a move that has caused political turmoil in the Jewish state.

Sharon has said that with Arafat in power, Israel has no negotiating partner, forcing him to go it alone to "disengae" from conflict with the Palestinians.

Israel accuses Arafat of fomenting violence after peace talks collapsed four years ago, an allegation he denies.

Arafat shared a Nobel peace prize with Israeli leaders Yitzhak Rabin and Shimon Peres, but bloodshed swiftly followed failed peace talks in 2000. (AGENCIES)

Scientists find new clues for dementia in elderly

LONDON, Oct 29: Changes around blood vessels in the brain may hold clues about mental decline and dementia in the elderly, Scottish scientists said.

Researchers at the university of Edinburgh have discovered that elderly patients have abnormal channels, which are known as enlarged perivascular spaces, in the brain which are rare in young, healthy adults.

"These findings mean that we should certainly be looking more closely at enlarged perivascular spaces as a cause of dementia and other mental decline in old age," said Dr Alasdair Maclullich, who headed the research team.

"they raise the interesting possibilities that there may be substances in the blood, such as cholesterol or sugar levels, or even blood pressure itself, that may contribute to memory decline as people become older," he added in a statement yesterday.

Maclullich and his colleagues measured the enlarged perivascular spaces in the brains of 100 healthy men and tested their cognitive ability.

The enlarged perivascular spaces, seen in brain scans of patients with illnesses such as diabetes and Parkinson’s disease, may indicate damage to brain tissue around blood vessels, according to the researchers.

In a report in the journal of neurology, neurosurgery and psychiatry, they said men with more enlarged spaces around the blood vessels had lower mental ability.

Dementia is a global problem that affects about 18 million people, according to the World Health Organisation. As the population ages the number of cases are expected to rise to 34 million in the next 25 years. Alzheimer’s disease is the leading cause of dementia.

"This puts a spotlight on blood vessels, so we are now working to find out how these changes around the brain’s blood vessel supply arise," Maclullich added.

There is no cure for dementia but studies have shown that drugs may slow the process of cognitive decline. Elderly people are advised to keep active and alert and to exercise the brain as well as the body.

Recent studies showed that elderly people who take regular walks are less likely to suffer from dementia. Mental activities such as reading and doing crossword puzzles also help to slow mental decline. (AGENCIES)

Germany asks will the British Queen say sorry?

BERLIN, Oct 29: Germans are waiting to see how Queen Elizabeth refers to Britain’s 1945 bombing of Dresden when she visits next week, now that they are speaking more of their own war-time suffering and breaking a long-standing taboo.

Just days ahead of the Queen’s first visit since 2000, a row has erupted in the British and German press over whether the air raids were justified and whether the monarch should apologise.

Dresden was devastated in a firestorm which killed some 35,000 people just three months before the war’s end. The fate of the eastern city has come to epitomise civilian suffering.

"Will the queen say sorry?" asked the country’s largest selling newspaper bild yesterday.

The Queen will host a concert in Berlin to raise money for dresden’s cathedral which lay in rubble for 50 years and is now a focus of German and British reconciliation.

"Such delicate gestures of reconciliation are probably too complicated for (British) newspapers like daily mail and daily express to understand," wrote the Berliner Zeitung daily.

Talk of an apology has angered British populist newspapers.

"Krautrage" said a headline in the daily star tabloid.

"Sorry, the Germans must never be allowed to forget their evil past," wrote columnist simon heffer in the daily mail.

A Buckingham palace spokeswoman was quoted in Germany’s Der Spiegel newsmagazine saying the Queen had not been asked for an apology. But she added: "The Queen is very conscious of the suffering of all people during the war."

The Queen’s three-day visit aims to focus on the future relationship of Britain and Germany.

On a visit to Britain two weeks ago German Foreign Minister Joschka Fischer said he was amazed at the lingering Portrayal of Germany in the British media as a nation of Nazis.

It was long considered unwise and even dangerously nationalistic for Germans to question whether allied bombings were necessary or legitimate but German historian Joerg Friedrich did just that in 2003 in a best-selling book. (AGENCIES)

Iran-EU3 talks to resume Nov 5 as deadline looms

VIENNA, Oct 29: Nuclear talks between the EU and Iran will resume in Paris on Nov 5 with Tehran facing a looming deadline to agree to freeze uranium enrichment or face referral to the UN Security Council, diplomats said.

The Paris talks will build on a second round of negotiations between officials from Iran, Britain, Germany and France in Vienna on Wednesday described as positive and constructive by both sides.

"The EU has a positive feeling about the meeting yesterday. The talks were substantive," said an EU diplomat yesterday.

"The next round will be in Paris on November 5," said a diplomat from one of the EU’s three biggest countries. A western diplomat confirmed the date and venue for the talks.

The diplomats, who spoke on condition of anonymity, said Iranian negotiators hinted during Wednesday’s talks that Iran was prepared to freeze uranium enrichment for a short period.

"Their opening gambit was for the suspension to last two or three months," said the EU trio diplomat.

The EU has called for Iran — which insists its atomic programme is geared solely to electricity production — to agree to an indefinite freeze on enrichment which can be used to make either nuclear power reactor fuel or bomb-grade material.

"They need to agree to the suspension by around Nov 10 in order for the UN to verify it in time for the Nov 25 board meeting" of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), the EU trio diplomat said.

The EU has warned it will back US calls for Iran to be reported to the UN Security Council for possible sanctions at the Nov 25 IAEA meeting if the enrichment suspension is not verifiably in place by then.

But while Iran is open to a freeze on enrichment it steadfastly refused to contemplate scrapping enrichment for good as the European Union and Washington wants.

"Cessation (of enrichment) is out of the question," Hossein Mousavian, a senior Iranian security official, told in Tehran.

"This is our red line. If it is the other party’s red line as well then we may have to try a period of confrontation in the Security Council," he said. "But iran is ready for Confidence-Building Measures to assure the world that our uranium enrichment programme will never be diverted (to military use)."

The EU is offering Iran various incentives to scrap its enrichment activities including a guaranteed supply of reactor fuel, help with building a light-water power reactor and a resumption of stalled trade talks. (AGENCIES)

Red wine slows lung cancer, white raises risk: Study

LONDON, Oct 29: Drinking red wine could protect against lung cancer, but white wine may increase the risk, Spanish scientists said

They examined the effects of different types of wine on lung cancer, the most common and deadly form of the disease.

"Consumption of red wine ... Was associated with a slight but statistically significant reduction in the development of lung cancer," Professor Juan Barros-Dios, of the university of Santiago De Compostela, said yesterday in a study in the journal thorax.

Red wine contains tannins and resveratrol, substances which he said could explain the drink’s anti-cancer properties.

Tannins act as antioxidants, which mop up free radicals —particles harmful to cells. Resveratrol is known to fight cancer tumour growth.

"We have known for a while that drinking a little red wine can protect against a number of conditions, from the common cold to coronary heart disease. This new research suggests that red wine, in moderation, could also protect against lung cancer, said Professor Andrew Peacock of the British thoracic society

The scientists could find no explanation why white wine appeared to increase lung cancer risk.

"We really don’t know how to explain this result. Maybe it highlights the difference in red and white wine composition," Dr Alberto Ruano-Ravina, who worked on the research, explained in a telephone interview.

But the scientists emphasised the risk was very slight and only 39 white wine drinkers were studied.

Barros-Dios was careful not to encourage binge drinking to combat the disease, which the latest world health organization figures show killed 1.2 million people in 2000.

"It would be extremely risky — and even dangerous — for recommendations to be drawn up endorsing high consumption of red wine for the prevention of lung cancer," he said in the study.

The researchers stressed the aim of the study was to investigate red wine’s anti-cancer components, not to determine how much wine would ward off cancer.

"We do not recommend drinking if you want to prevent lung cancer," Ruano-Ravina said, adding that smokers should quit.

The effects of wine drinking were studied in 132 people with lung cancer and 187 people who were in hospital for non-tobacco related minor surgery in the northwestern Santiago De Compostela district of Spain. (AGENCIES)



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