EDITORIAL

Changing times

At least for the time being it appears as if the days of 'Mission Kashmir', 'Border' and 'LoC' (the Line of Control) are over. The films that are being made are no more pungent in their presentation against Pakistan. Bollywood is being extra cautious. Lest it should be accused of killing chances of lasting peace prevailing in the sub-continent (Pakistan leaders have never hidden their dislike for the way it has targetted their country) it is playing safe and is going along with the attempts to give a boost to mutual bonhomie. Perhaps that is the reason why 'Main hoon na' all of a sudden takes a positive turn in the end: it isolates and does away with the perpetrator of the terror as the one coming in the way of the India-Pakistan friendship. 'Pinjar' has cast such a spell that it has been universally adjudged as a moving tale. It is a story of harmonious human relations that transcend newly delineated geographical boundaries at the time of Partition. Indeed it will be grossly unfair if one doesn't put on record that Urmila Matondkar deserves fulsome praise for her versatile performance: she has travelled a long distance from the days she was merely seen as a sex symbol. The current emphasis in the tinsel world is to highlight the fact that human beings are the same everywhere, whether in India or Pakistan. Actually in the case of the neighbouring countries their relations are stronger as they are the separated twins. 'Veer-Zaara' is the latest manifestation .........more

A breather for the BJP

By Kedar Nath Pandey

The Bharatiya Janata Party has been facing turbulent times, with the party reeling ..........more

Centre must look beyond Hurriyat !
TALES OF TRAVESTY

By Dr. Jitendra Singh

Indian Prime Minister in Kashmir and Pakistan Prime ......more

Conflict, confratation, vendetta in air

From Arun Nehru

Forecasting political events is not easy and I ......more

National Consumerism Promotion Policy

By Bharat Jhunjhunwala

The Draft National Environment Policy says:........more

Troop withdrawal
Is it really a signal for peace in Kashmir?

By J N Raina

Troops have started pulling out from the beleaguered state of Jammu and Kashmir,.........more

EDITORIAL

Changing times

At least for the time being it appears as if the days of 'Mission Kashmir', 'Border' and 'LoC' (the Line of Control) are over. The films that are being made are no more pungent in their presentation against Pakistan. Bollywood is being extra cautious. Lest it should be accused of killing chances of lasting peace prevailing in the sub-continent (Pakistan leaders have never hidden their dislike for the way it has targetted their country) it is playing safe and is going along with the attempts to give a boost to mutual bonhomie. Perhaps that is the reason why 'Main hoon na' all of a sudden takes a positive turn in the end: it isolates and does away with the perpetrator of the terror as the one coming in the way of the India-Pakistan friendship. 'Pinjar' has cast such a spell that it has been universally adjudged as a moving tale. It is a story of harmonious human relations that transcend newly delineated geographical boundaries at the time of Partition. Indeed it will be grossly unfair if one doesn't put on record that Urmila Matondkar deserves fulsome praise for her versatile performance: she has travelled a long distance from the days she was merely seen as a sex symbol. The current emphasis in the tinsel world is to highlight the fact that human beings are the same everywhere, whether in India or Pakistan. Actually in the case of the neighbouring countries their relations are stronger as they are the separated twins. 'Veer-Zaara' is the latest manifestation of this promising trend. All this fits into the present mood in the sub-continent: it is people and not the two governments that matter. The world has applauded the inspiring sight of national flags of the two countries flying together in cricket stadia first in Pakistan and these days in India. What does it indicate if not that the ordinary citizens yearn for peace and normalcy? How can Bollywood be then left behind in capturing this dramatically changed frame of mind? It is out to prove that it can do the job with the same spirit and enthusiasm as it had done in the event of wars --- after 1962 or in the wake of 1965, 1971 and Kargil. If the people wanted it to beat China and Pakistan in battlefield in the none-too-distant past they want it to make friends with them at this juncture. Who can deny that peace any time is a better option than armed confrontations?

Can there be any doubt that Pakistan must be feeling relieved because of the altered priorities of India's film capital? Its External Affairs Minister Khurshid Mahmood Kasuri had time and again expressed surprise why Bollywood was so harsh and bitter. Hindi films enjoy massive popularity in Pakistan. They can turn friends into foes. They can trigger handshakes. One and all will concede that pen is mightier than sword. As it turns out the big screen is the mightiest. Its reach and impact are formidable and amazing. For us in this part of the country Bollywood's new approach almost means the revival of an era much relevant to our region. Eternal love tales of Soni-Mahiwal and Heer-Ranjha were enacted on the bank of the Chinab that has its origin in the Jammu hills. The part of the river that had witnessed these immortal tragedies is in Pakistan but their folklore constitutes the common heritage on either side. Bollywood has done absolute justice to this quartet in the past and, is obviously drawing inspiration from it again in the hope of a happy climax this time. It just offers to the people what they want.

A breather for the BJP

By Kedar Nath Pandey

The Bharatiya Janata Party has been facing turbulent times, with the party reeling from one shock to another right from the unexpected defeat of the National Democratic Alliance it led in the general elections in April, through the loss of the Maharashtra Assembly elections to the tantrum thrown by the fiery sanyasin Uma Bharti resulting in her suspension from the party for six years. So, it must have been a relief for the BJP when the NDA constituents decided to toe its line on Ayodhya at the coalition’s meet held in Delhi.

After the sharp reaction of some NDA members, particularly the Telugu Desam Party and the Janata Dal (United) to the BJP President, Mr. L. K. Advani’s announcement at the BJP National Executive on October 27 that a Ram temple would indeed be build at Ayodhya, their falling in line at the NDA meet came as a bit of surprise. After Mr. Venkiah Naidu stepped down as the BJP president and the party turned once again to its "tallest leader" to rekindle its political fortunes, Mr. Advani had made it evident to everybody, including the NDA allies, that it could return to the Hindutva plank.

At the National Executive, Mr. Advani had said that the party would not compromise on its promise to build a Ram temple at Ayodhya, "The BJP’s growth is reflective of the national will and desire of crores of people of this country that a magnificent temple," be constructed at the Ram Janamsthan at Ayodhya in the place of the existing makeshift temple," he told the Executive that endorsed his appointment as the new party president. Intriguingly, he even said that "if the Vajpayee Government had been re-elected the construction would have started very soon."

Anyway, the strident note was not missed, least of all by the BJP’s allies, which asked for a meeting presumably to thrash out this issue. But those expecting fireworks at the meeting must have been disappointed because the "secular allies" quietly toed the BJP’s line that a Ram mandir would be built at Ayodhya through a negotiated settlement. Expectedly, the BJP also toned down its pitch at the NDA meet where it pushed its agenda for a Ram temple but only by a "a negotiated settlement though dialogue between representatives of the Hindu and Muslim communities in an atmosphere of peace, trust and goodwill."

So for the moment, at least, there may be no change in the NDA composition. In fact, the NDA meet presided over by the Alliance Chairman, Mr. Atal Bihari Vajpayee, also endorsed the BJP line on the arrest of the Kanchi Sankarachary Sri Jayendra Saraswati. The NDA Convenor, Mr. George Fernandes, who has undertaken any number of trips to Chennai to pacify the AIADMK supremo, Ms. J. Jayalaithaa, when her party was a constituent of the Alliance in the 1990s, will now be coming to Chennai to call on the Sankaracharya.

If any question begs an answer, it is why did parties like the Janata Dal (U), which were raring to go at the BJP and leave an NDA that cannot bring them the trappings of power for now, keep a low profile? Bihar politics may offer some answers. Disenchanted by the Bihar strongman, Mr. Lalu Prasad Yadav, who grabbed the Railway portfolio in the UPA Government, the Lok Janasakti Party (LIP) chief, Mr. Ram Vilas Paswan, started warming up to the JD (U) leader, Mr. Sharad Yadav, who made a strategic appearance at the former’s party. Of course, the timing was significant as the Bihar Assembly elections are barely three months away. As expected Mr. Lalu Yadav’s Rashtriya Janata Dal saw red and urged the UPA Government to get rid of Mr. Paswan from the UPA as he was supping with a BJP ally.

For Mr. Paswan, an alliance with the JD (U), which still has considerable clout in Bihar, would be very welcome. For the Assembly elections, Mr. Paswan cannot continue his alliance with the Congress and the RJD as Mr. Lalu Yadav has spared no chance to humiliate him, and the LJP and RJD leaders have been openly trading charges for a few months now.

But for Mr. Paswan the problem in allying with the JD(U) is that the latter is still an ally of the BJP and a constituent of the NDA. He would have pinned mush hope on some fireworks at the NDA meet and of the JD(U) walking out.

But that did not happen. On the contrary, the BJP has, in a thinly veiled call to Mr. Paswan, invited all "anti-Lalu forces" to unite to rid Bihar of the RJD rule. But to do this Mr. Paswan will have to quit the UPA Government and it is doubtful if he is as yet ready to do so, because there has been nothing amiss in the way either the prime minister, Dr. Manmohan Singh, or the Congress (I) president, Ms Sonia Gandhi, have treated him.

Anyway, in the rough and tumble of Indian politics, one cannot rule out new combinations and permutations and three months is quite a long period for this to happen. Even a split in the JD(U), with Mr. Sharad Yadav walking out cannot be ruled out.

Even as the BJP must be contented that its lead, even when it is out of power, it must be taken aback by the arrest of the Kanchi Acharya by a natural ally like the AIADMK chief Ms Jayalalithaa.

The arrest has got the various sadhus and sants up in arms. But, then, nor have Dr. Manmohan Singh or Ms Sonia Gandhi. On a two-day tour of her constituency Rae Bareilly, the Congress (I) chief refused to comment on the arrest saying the matter was <I

But when reporters said that the BJP and Hindutva outfits were attacking her on the issue, she smiled and said this was nothing new as they had always attacked her on all kinds of issues, and the more they attacked her the more popular would she and her party become.

It remains to be seen what turn this case takes. But whatever the outcome, it may have given the BJP a chance to tell the Hindu samaj that if any of its religious icons is in trouble, it can always count on the BJP to speakup for them. Senior BJP leader, Mr. Murli Manohar Joshi called on the Sankaracharya at the Vellore jail and came down on the Tamil Nadu Government for making the arrest. INAV

Centre must look beyond Hurriyat !
TALES OF TRAVESTY

By Dr. Jitendra Singh

Indian Prime Minister in Kashmir and Pakistan Prime Minister in New Delhi! The prospect itself carries enough potential to generate an unusual media hype for news-starved round-the-clock electronic media news channels. Added to this is the spice of news surmises predicting an imminent breakthrough in the continuing Kashmir imbroglio.

Much has happened on predictable lines and yet equally much has happened otherwise to offer a new dimension to Kashmir related politics. For example, while Dr Manmohan Singh's much publicised financial package is quite a repetition of what was also witnessed during earlier Prime Ministerial visits by Dr Singh's predecessors over the last decade and a half, the self-contradictory responses from the Hurriyat Conference have inadvertantly exposed the conglomerate's duplicity and its hypocrisy much to the benefit of Kashmir's wary masses. Interestingly, it took the Hurriyat less than 24 hours to turn back from its decision to have a meeting with the Prime Minister thus only reinforcing the opinion that like always before, the Hurriyat leadership had once again lived upto its dubious reputation of taking the diktat from Islamabad. If indeed this is true, then how can the Kashmiri masses expect such self-serving Kashmir spokesmen to pursue the avowed objective of socalled ''Azaadi'' or whatever ?

Nevertheless, the question which will continue to be asked is, in what way has the present Prime Minister's visit been different? To the magnanimous financial packages announced during present as well as past prime ministerial visits, the standard response from socalled separatist groups is that Kashmir calls for a political rather than a financial solution. Now, what is that elusive political solution-----even the separatist spokesmen are not clear or unanimous. And by the way, can any political solution thrive without financial or economic viability ?

There is a strong section of opinion within the Valley and outside which feels that New Delhi is unwarrantedly hooked on to the changing whims and fancies of Hurriyat leaders thus in the process showing scant regard for several other political schools of opinion represented by a wide range of Kashmir-centric groups and parties. For example, why should the negotiaters from the Centre invariably seek and go out of the way to win favour with disgrantled Hurriyat leaders whose following among the masses remains untested and unauthenticated? Why can't the Centre immediately go ahead holding discussions with the members of the Jammu and Kashmir Legislative Assembly who after all represent different constituencies of the State and enjoy the credibility of having gone through an election process whatever might have been the percentage of polling in the election? Why can't the Centre begin deliberating on proposals offered by representatives of displaced Kashmir Pandit community and representatives of 1947 refugees uprooted from Pak Occupied Kashmir ?

Unilateral steps like Prime Minister's announcement regarding reduction of troops in the Valley are welcome. But can such measures succeed if not reciprocated by the other side ? Can Manmohan Singh's generous gestures succeed as long as Musharraf shows little inclination of disbanding terrorist training camps near the LOC or checking infiltration across the border ? And above all, can New Delhi succeed by refusing to look beyond the Hurriyat even if this amounts to denigrating the aspirations of the common man ? Can Umapathy get back the paradise of Kashmir as long as merchants of hell hold the sway ''Mere Buzurgon Ne Jannat Jise Banaya Tha, Tumne Dozakh Bana Diya Usko,,,,,,,,,,,,,,''

Conflict, confratation, vendetta in air

From Arun Nehru

Forecasting political events is not easy and I have for the past three months consistently mentioned that conflict, confrontation and vendetta is in the 'air'. Let us take stock of events in different states and in the Center as we see the coalition trying to govern after a fractured mandate. Tamil Nadu is in the news and a second warrant is issued against the Shankaracharya of Kanchi and what can one say of the TN CM and AIDMK leader = sadly the DMK chief also does a 'political turnabout' after demanding the arrest of the revered leader and is clearly feeling the pressure = K Karunanidhi now talks of the AIDMK being 'vindictive'! The reality is that a deliberate vote bank game is being played and the results are becoming negative as the Congress softens their stand and the PM makes a statement but Sonia Gandhi maintains a deafening silence. Those wishing to 'hide' their thoughts refer to the rule of law and this is pathetic as everyone knows at the flaws of the system as it exists and sadly little is done by anyone to effect changes and reform the system. We have seen several times in the past false cases being registered by political opponents, witnesses changing statements as we witness in the Best Bakery affair[political pressure?] and cases eventually being dismissed after many years for 'lack of evidence' = look at the cost of litigation and the years it takes to get a decision [over a decade in many cases] and sadly those in governance use advantage of these loopholes to inflict punishment on their foes = retribution comes and only a few years ago the DMK was defeated by the AIDMK after J Jayalalitha was humiliated and jailed and then the AIDMK was defeated in the Lok Sabha election as K Karunanidhi was literally dragged of and arrested and attempts were made to muzzle the media. Look at the hundreds of cases generated, the cost to the public, the harassment to friends and relations of those accused and what has happened in these cases? The politics of vendetta has again taken root and the Shankaracharya is targeted and both the AIDMK/DMK are involved and sadly the past is being revived as anti=Brahmin sentiments are being fuelled for vote bank politics. The case will go on and eventually the rule of law will prevail but what is at issue here is not the 'case' but the methods and timing used to arrest and humiliate the religious leader..

As I write this article there is news that the main accused in the murder case has stated that he was 'tortured' by the police to implicate the Kanchi Shankracharya ! There is something very wrong with the system when events like this can take place and a trial by the media is conducted before when the most 'preliminary' evidence has not been effectively checked = this is not the rule of law and very drastic changes are necessary to change the system of criminal investigation and besides the retribution in terms of political punishment at the 'ballot' all political beings including officials and police personnel involved in fabrication and coercion must be punished.

We often talk of the rule of law but observe events in Bihar where the Law Courts have made consistent efforts to restore the rule of law but sadly kidnapping, murder and extortion continues and many a leader is 'elected' whilst in jail! Look at the recent judgements of the High Court involving jails in Bihar and can anything be done unless the political parties take the initiative = Bihar suffers from Mafia rule and is the situation any better in Uttar Pradesh where district after district is controlled by criminal elements. Public funds and resources are deployed in security arrangements to protect the leaders from each other = is this the rule of law?

We witness a business boom over the past few years and this will continue as India becomes the 'service center' of the world and as hurtle towards super power status we must pay attention to increased criminality as 'money' plays a greater role in elective politics. The cost of elections have exploded from a few lakhs to a few crores in the last two decades and little is done by any political party to control this menace. The ground reality is that politics has changed for the worst = the Congress has been blamed for 'dynastic' politics but look at the regional forces in each state where 'family' interests dominate the political landscape and this has nothing to do with political power but everything to do with keeping the family 'silver' within the family = the political landscape is dotted by 'dynastic' control and why blame poor Lalu Yadav and Rabri Devi along with her brothers for controlling events in Bihar and creating a winning Yadav/Minority combination = there is Mulayam [son and brothers], Farooq and Mufti in J&K[son and daughter], Karunanidhi [sons and nephews] in TN = the family of NTR in AP , Bal Thakeray[son and nephew] in Maharashtra, Chauthala and sons in Haryana, Badal and son in Punjab = the list is endless and now from the Central and state level, family control is being extended to individual seats! Those who are part of the system cannot reform it and sadly everyone will issue statements respecting the 'rule of law' but few will take the initiative to reform the system as it conflicts with their interests. Vote banks and muscle are being created by criminal and financial interests and look into any state and see where the local contracts are going for development work and you will find the answers! Few will disturb the system and there will be occasional Mafia wars to disturb the peace but sadly as we grow economically so will the criminality and its influence on political power.

National Consumerism Promotion Policy

By Bharat Jhunjhunwala

The Draft National Environment Policy says: "The proximate drivers of environmental degradation are population growth, technology and consumption choices, and poverty." Are these really four different problems? Perhaps consumerism lies at the root of all.

Population becomes an 'environmental problem' when every person wants to ride a scooter. Then CO2 is released in large qualities, which pollutes the environment. More land is used for making highways and less green belt remains. But if a large population rides bicycles then these problems would vanish. Large number of human beings can live with limited resources like ants in their anthill. But we promote consumerism and allow advertisements that encourage every person to ride a scooter. Thus population becomes a 'problem'. Reduction of population is not a solution to environment either. If the number of persons is less but everyone wants to ride a car instead of a scooter then the environment will worsen as is happening in the rich countries. On the one hand they are worried about dwindling population, on the other hand about environmental degradation. Less population and environmental degradation can go together. There is no limit to the consumption that men can indulge in. Lower population, if at all, is a solution only in conjunction with less consumption. Technologies are both a solution as well as a problem. We have the technology of bicycle as well as of car. However, we have adopted the technology of car because we have taken more consumption to be the objective of human existence. Unclean technology is not the problem. Unclean technologies like burning of forests have existed since time immemorial. The real problem is production of goods by unclean technologies which are cost-effective. Economists assume that maximization of production will lead to the maximization of welfare though the two can be contradictory to each other. Moreover, the use of clean technologies will not solve the problem if consumerism rules the day. Clean technology of Euro-certification will certainly reduce the pollution from a single car. But that would be nullified if the number of cars on the road multiplies ten times. Ten Euro-certified cars will create more pollution than one non-certified one. Clean technologies are meaningful only if consumption is reduced along with.

Poverty too is a result of consumerism. Much milk is produced in the village but children of the village do not get to drink it. Parents want to buy a TV hence they sell the milk to the dairy. To take another example, the villagers are poor because they do not have enough land for cultivation. The land is reserved for the forests so that the environment is stable. Our city dwellers want to travel in cars. They want that rural people plant forests to absorb the CO2 produced by them. As a result less land is available for cultivation and that leads to poverty. There would remain no need to create CO2 sinks if city dwellers do not use cars. The village people can then become rich like the people of Pataliputra after cutting down the dense jungles of the Ganges basin.

Moreover, the environment will not be stabilized even if poverty is removed. The poor farmer is today overexploiting his land because he has less of it. But the rich farmers are also overexploiting land to make more profits in the cultivation of grapes, sugarcane and chilies.

The one central problem of environment is consumerism. The NEP accepts this: "Perverse production and consumption practices are the immediate causes of environmental degradation." It was expected, then, that the issue of consumerism would be put in the center of the NEP. Alas! Not so.

The NEP escapes from doing so in a strange way. After the above quote, the NEP continues: "but an exclusive focus on these aspects alone is insufficient to prevent environmental harm." That seems to imply that the NEP recognizes the centrality of the problem of consumerism but wants to deal with it along with other issues. But after having said so, the issue of consumerism disappears from the text of the NEP entirely. The focus wholly remains on other issues. The unsaid objective of the NEP, therefore, becomes to promote consumerism by recognizing the problem but choosing to do nothing about it. An example will clarify the matter. The crop of a farmer was deteriorating. He though it would not be sufficient to give water to the crop. It was also necessary to spray insecticide. He sprayed insecticide but did not irrigate the field. The result was that the crop died. The NEP will suffer from the same fate.

Ignoring the problem of consumerism permeates the text of the NEP. The first objective of the NEP is said to be "To protect and conserve critical ecological systems and resources… which are essential for life-support, livelihoods, economic growth, and a broad conception of human well-being." But the Ministry makes a volte face is translating these objectives into principles, where it is said "The right to development must be fulfilled so as to equitably meet developmental and environmental needs of present and future generations." It is not said that right to 'well-being' should be fulfilled.

The NEP has recognized the traditional knowledge of the people, which is laudable. But the Ministry's conception of 'traditional knowledge' is limited to knowledge of herbs, water harvesting technologies, etc. Our tradition has connected well-being with environment beautifully. The carrier of goddess Lakshmi is said to be the owl, that of Ganesha is the rat and that of Durga is the tiger. The cow is venerated as mother. Giving roti to the dog is said to beget good health. Such social technologies have a twofold impact. On the one hand they led to affection towards these animals. On the other hand man's attention was drawn to the world beyond the material domain and thus away from consumerism.

Plants were conserved similarly. Amla tree is worshiped on Amla Navami, marriage of tulsi or neem trees is made, the banana is worshipped for pleasing the Jupiter planet and Pipal for pleasing Saturn. This traditional knowledge should have been incorporated in the NEP.

The Ministry should form a committee of Hindus, Muslims, Christians, Buddhists and Marxist atheists to work out method of linking the environment with well-being. The Independence Day can be celebrated as 'Mango Tree Day' and Gandhi's Birthday can be celebrated as a 'Goat Day'. A system of cultural audit of TV serials and advertisements should be made so that creation of new wants is discouraged. Ten percent of the area or time of all advertisements should be reserved for providing information about such environment-friendly social technologies.

The NEP will be meaningful only when efforts to contain consumerism are incorporated. Otherwise it will only lead to worsening of the environment by the use of ten Euro cars instead of one non-certified one.

Troop withdrawal
Is it really a signal for peace in Kashmir?

By J N Raina

Troops have started pulling out from the beleaguered state of Jammu and Kashmir, considered a healthy sign of improvement in the security scenario. But will people heave an everlasting sigh of relief, following Prime Minister Manmohan Singh's announcement to withdraw troops during winter? Will such a unilateral decision have a salutary effect on the psyche of Kashmiris, who have been struggling between life and death during the past 15 years of Pakistan-sponsored militancy? It is the human soul that has been battered in the valley, and needs immense healing touch.

When Manmohan Singh landed in the Elysian valley, with a Rs 24,000 crore economic package, thus offering an olive branch to Kashmiris, he was greeted by the terrorists' gunfire, just a little away from the venue of his public rally in Srinagar on November 17. The terrorists remained engaged with the security forces in an encounter for two hours, leaving two militants dead.

The message is obvious. Perhaps this was Manmohan Singh's first 'experiment' (with truth). However, he gave a right message to Pakistan and its surrogates in the valley that Jammu and Kashmir is an integral part of India.

The remark was astoundingly irksome to PDP Chief Mehbooba Mufti, daughter of Chief Minister Mufti Mohammad Sayeed, who is reported to have said," It was Manmohan Singh's compulsion as Prime Minister". On the contrary, Dr Farooq Abdullah, either as Chief Minister or National Conference president has been shouting at the top of his voice and was never tired of saying that Jammu and Kashmir is an integral part of India.

Manmohan Singh also rejected Pakistan President General Pervez Musharraf's Kashmir formula while addressing a press conference in Srinagar, saying, " Any proposal which smacks of further division is not acceptable".

The Prime Minister has taken a rare decision, to withdraw troops, rather 'risky', as he has himself admitted, but will there be quid pro quo from Pakistan, and will it dismantle' terrorist infrastructure' in PoK and stop cross-border terrorism?

These are some of the vital issues, which are needed to be addressed to seriously, before any meaningful dialogue begins with Pakistan. After all, talks have to be purposeful. Parleys cannot be held in isolation under the Damocles sword, but in a salubrious atmosphere.

So be it. Will the Prime Minister's soothing remarks on Kashmir--- we want to reach out to the hearts and minds of the Kashmiri people--- marginalize the separatists' voice, who want to keep the Kashmir issue alive?

Primarily, why was it essential to deploy Army in a big way in Kashmir in 1989-90? Which forces were responsible for creating havoc and near anarchy in Kashmir, making it a 'failed' State?

Manmohan Singh has described the pruning of troops as 'experiment', saying ' we have taken some risks, but they are not unacceptable risks'. Whether he will be successful in conducting this 'risky experiment', only time will tell. But gauging the ground situation, the reality is something different.

In winter, infiltration routes become snow-bound in Kashmir; it is time, when mercenaries 'relax' and lie low, but indulge in sporadic terrorist violence on instructions from across the LoC.

The real test of the 'risky' experiment will come to surface only during the next summer. Recent reports suggest that frontline militant outfits, including the Lashkar-e-Toiba have vowed to keep the cauldron boiling in Kashmir till their 'goal' is achieved. They have even rejected General Pervez Musharraf's so-called Kashmir formula, broadly envisaging division of the undivided state of Jammu and Kashmir on geographical, religious and ethnic lines. It is quite repugnant to India.

India has rejected any third party intervention in redrawing Jammu and Kashmir map, intriguingly suggested by Musharraf, that the two countries consider options of identifying some regions of Kashmir on both sides of the LoC, demilitarising them and grant them 'independent status' or 'joint control' or put them under 'U N control'. The Musharraf formulation is nothing but a call for third party mediation, thereby trying to bluff India and its leadership.

India has reiterated its assertion that it was not going to 'brook' any sort of mediation to resolve bilateral issues. Musharraf has been reminded of his commitment he had made to former Prime Minister A B Vajpayee that Pakistan will not allow its territory to be used for terrorist activities directed against India in Kashmir. It had also assured that cross-border infiltration would come to an end. But what is the end result? Such activities are continuing on the LoC as well as within the valley.

Only recently, the National Conference patron, former Chief Minister Dr Farooq Abdullah and his son, party chief Omar Abdullah had a providential escape when an IED blast was triggered off. Some local elements in the security set up are being blamed. Their link with the hardcore Jamait-e-Islami has been established. The day the Prime Minister announced troop withdrawal, six people, four of them belonging to a single family, were killed by militants belonging to the Hizbul Mujahideen.

The real impact of troop reduction will be visible during the coming summer when snow will start melting and the mercenaries--- estimated to be nearly 3000--- waiting in their wings in PoK, will make a sojourn' to Kashmir. If such clandestine operations will continue, what purpose will be served by withdrawing troops? Do we want another Kargil to happen? The scars of Kargil are still fresh in our minds. Really, Dr Singh has taken a great risk, and who knows what turn it will take in the near future.

Reduction of troops in Jammu and Kashmir was Pakistan's long-standing demand. Our petulant neighbour should now follow suit and dismantle the terrorists' launching pads in Pakistan. It can in real term help in building mutual trust and confidence between the two nations. Withdrawal of troops by India can provide more leeway to negotiate with Pakistan and with the alienated sections of the Kashmiri society. But only if Pakistan will sincerely respond by smashing its terror mills.

The Army was inducted in the valley because of cross-border terrorism; because of ethnic cleansing, forcing 3.5 lakh Kashmiri Hindus to leave their ancestral land, when several hundred hapless people were butchered by Afghan Mujahideen in a brutal manner; when lakhs of people took out processions in Srinagar and other principal towns of the valley throughout that nightmarish night on January 19, 1990, shouting slogans like ' we want azadi; we want azadi etc'; when the JKLF issued liberation call on Aug 1, 1988, with the hurling of bombs on the Central Telegraph office at Exchange road and the Srinagar Club on the river bund. It is another question that Pakistan later decimated JKLF and instead pampered the pro-Pakistan Hizbul Mujahideen, an offshoot of the Jamait-e-Islami, led by Sayeed Ali Shah Geelani, who wants total merger of the valley with Pakistan.

But neither India nor Pakistan will agree to the demand for independence. It is just a section of people who are seeking independence. Some 'vested' interests and foreign forces are supporting them. Pakistan has to shut down its 'terrorist factory' in PoK. It is in its own interest.

Now the experiment of engineering proxy war in India has not paid. Rather terrorism has recoiled on Pakistan itself. Terrorism has percolated down to the grass-root level, and Pakistani authorities are not sure if militancy will come to an end there. Major General Shaukat Sultan, the Chief spokesman for Pakistan Army, is quite bewildered. 'Tactically, we are getting hold of people here, here, and here, but then what is the end?' His remarks reflect a growing frustration within Pakistan, an important ally of the U S in the war on terror. 'No one is sure what policies, if any, would end support for Islamic militancy', he bemoans.

The growing role of Al Qaeda cannot be minimized. They are providing support to Kashmiri militants for 'liberation' of Kashmir. Al Qaeda is independent and a champion of 'global Islamic insurgency' and in that sense it is different from a terrorist organization. It poses a different kind of a threat. Pakistan has no control over it. According to a survey, only 16 per cent of Pakistanis support campaign against terrorism. Over 50 per cent of people feel the joint campaign is aimed at the U S desire to control Middle East oil and to dominate the world. The Americans see the Muslim countries very hostile to them (Syndicate Features)



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