EDITORIAL

Laugh if you can

Who says that it is a hackneyed cliché: 'laughter is the best medicine'? In reality it is very much in fashion and continues to have global acceptability. How else one can explain that the captivating land of Austria is feeling the need for this therapy. Good chortle has sound health value is the prescription that doctors even in that enchanting country have recommended. Just imagine who are being asked to laugh? The people who have no homes are being lectured that it is the certain way to help them forget their worries. There are other disadvantaged groups as well being taught similarly. Sylvan surroundings are apparently not good enough for them to feel calm and relaxed. They should rediscover their inherent strength and only if they can laugh to their hearts' content they can realise it. Therefore, the next time when one walks into a garden across the State and comes across groups of old persons laughing away in unison one should not think that is simply a fun game. It is instead a serious business. Generally it is believed that laughing is a healthy exercise as it is instrumental in moving almost every muscle of the body. It is an eye-opener that it cures anxiety as well as mental fatigue. It is thus a magic potion so easily available and yet so rarely tried. Cynics may argue: what is new in it? We in this country, they will say, have known laughter therapy from times immemorial. Look at our glorious heritage: there is nothing but happiness down the centuries. How has all this been achieved, according to them, if not by observing the highest standards of physical fitness and mental alertness? It is but logical that laughing has been the major component of this . .........more

Twilight of hope

By M J Akbar

There comes a moment when every man's obituary appears on his face. Suddenly the hero of a hundred battles is suffused with a childlike helplessness, and his hand clutches for support from a friend, unsure. .........more

Mounting pollution menace

By G L Khajuria

Over the decades, the mounting pollution menace has engulfed the globe to the extent that human survival has become impossible. The problem is not off-shooting and emanating from some natural-disaster, but is man's own ........more

Thought-provoking is Abdullah's warning

By B L Kak

Unabated threats of sorts to his life from Pakistan-inspired militants notwithstanding, Farooq Abdullah, the tallest among the Kashmiri leaders and politicians, has, once again, proved that he is no coward, and that he cannot tolerate divisive elements. .....more

The politics of
compromise

From: Arun Nehru

Coalition politics means compromises and I think the Congress attitude with the NCP and the need to keep the 'CM's chair indicate to some extent their future strategy. Sharad in ....more

EDITORIAL

Laugh if you can

Who says that it is a hackneyed cliché: 'laughter is the best medicine'? In reality it is very much in fashion and continues to have global acceptability. How else one can explain that the captivating land of Austria is feeling the need for this therapy. Good chortle has sound health value is the prescription that doctors even in that enchanting country have recommended. Just imagine who are being asked to laugh? The people who have no homes are being lectured that it is the certain way to help them forget their worries. There are other disadvantaged groups as well being taught similarly. Sylvan surroundings are apparently not good enough for them to feel calm and relaxed. They should rediscover their inherent strength and only if they can laugh to their hearts' content they can realise it. Therefore, the next time when one walks into a garden across the State and comes across groups of old persons laughing away in unison one should not think that is simply a fun game. It is instead a serious business. Generally it is believed that laughing is a healthy exercise as it is instrumental in moving almost every muscle of the body. It is an eye-opener that it cures anxiety as well as mental fatigue. It is thus a magic potion so easily available and yet so rarely tried. Cynics may argue: what is new in it? We in this country, they will say, have known laughter therapy from times immemorial. Look at our glorious heritage: there is nothing but happiness down the centuries. How has all this been achieved, according to them, if not by observing the highest standards of physical fitness and mental alertness? It is but logical that laughing has been the major component of this entire effort, they will insist. The difficulty with our these thinkers is that they always go back to the era of Ramrajya none has seen but only read about in scriptures or as an ideology for ideal governance. Why blame them? Most of us are prone to looking back on a largely irrelevant past rather than looking forward to a better future. We will understand this if we find the capability to laugh at ourselves which is much more difficult than laughing for the sake of laughing.

One should concede that the Austrian experiment is actually tough. How can one grin leave along open the jaws to laugh when one has one trouble or the other on hand? The people have to compete with numerous materialistic worries these days. The ever- rising cost of essential commodities takes its own serious toll of their joy. If they want to purchase cars or homes they have to turn their account books upside down. While it is true that the credit economy has made the job simpler it is by no means easier. There is a lot of money that is available but those who part with it are always on their toes to recover it: understandably they have to ensure that there is no evasion at all. On the other hand the recipients are always under pressure to repay in time so that they don't pile up debts. Invariably they end up doing all sorts of jobs around the clock to keep their business afloat. Thus, one would notice that the lenders as well as the borrowers have little time in this situation for any occupation other than counting rupees for their own purposes. How does one find time for relaxation in this situation? May be if we laugh we get an answer.

Twilight of hope

By M J Akbar

There comes a moment when every man's obituary appears on his face. Suddenly the hero of a hundred battles is suffused with a childlike helplessness, and his hand clutches for support from a friend, unsure whether this will be the last gesture. It is a moment of truth beyond denial. It is the face of a man who has seen the approach of the angel of death, and knows that there are no answers, there is no negotiation, there is only submission to the will of God. It was such a face that a genuine hero of our times, Yasser Arafat, presented to television when cameras glimpsed him on Thursday, 28 October. May God grant Arafat a much longer life, but his days as the commander in chief of the Palestinian resistance are over.

No man can be a hero all his life, unless that life is a short one. Arafat was a hero in spasms, and stubbornly human the rest of the time, wandering through error, calculation and miscalculation. Tragedy was the inevitable fate of this refugee who never found any refuge, not even in the compound where Israel kept him imprisoned to humiliate as and when it suited some passing policy of Ariel Sharon.

What was Arafat thinking about on Thursday ? That his life had been, as Shakespeare discovered in another context, full of sound and fury, signifying nothing? The sound and the fury took him to the centre of the world stage, where he played more than one part even as the cast of characters around him kept changing. But because that part ended on the margins, did it also mean that his life signified nothing? That would be too harsh, perhaps. If nothing else, then Yasser Arafat embodied a national dream. The flaw was that it became a dream without a horizon. Or to put it another way, reality always fell short of the dream, and he repeatedly was unable to accept this reality. The horizon was always beyond reach because he had trained himself to distrust what was within reach. Any trained negotiator, or any head of Government, would have permitted space for pragmatism, for there are no perfect solutions. The Sadat-Begin pact was not perfect but it has anchored the peace in the region. The Assads of Syria have not, and cannot, forego their claim on the Golan Heights, but they have not gone to war over that claim for 35 years.

Arafat also persuaded his people that acceptance of anything less than the ideal was betrayal of the idea of Palestine, even though in the last six decades that ideal itself has shrunk repeatedly with time and defeat-- defeat on the formal battlefield and defeat on the official diplomatic table. Yes, the spirit is undefeated, and heroically so. But the spirit has its limitations unless you are indifferent to time.

There is always solace in the romance of the spirit. I wonder what images flit through Arafat's mind as he wanders through levels of consciousness. Leila Khaled in 1971? The young woman who hijacked a plane and became an icon? (Where is she? How transient is heroism...) The radical urges of George Habash who tried to wrest the movement away from Arafat? The moments of opportunity that were lost between the lawns of the White House and the recesses of Camp David?

My own image of Arafat is at least partly mythical: trapped in Beirut with his depleted fighting force, forsaken if not forgotten, surrounded, down to his last bullet and last namaz but still possessed of that vibrant gleam in eyes that shone through folds of tired and tense flesh. In that depth of despair he found the courage and resolve of a man of destiny. Tragically , that destiny eluded him.

There are also real memories: of him striding across the stage to shake hands with ''my sister'' Indira Gandhi (he was much shorter than her) during a Non-Aligned Movement conference in Delhi, his trademark revolver buckled on to his belt; of an interview in which he repeated his standard formula-- blame Israel and praise his hosts (in this case an ever-sympathetic Indian Government as long as it was led by Indira Gandhi and Rajiv Gandhi, the sympathy waned with the arrival of PV Narasimha Rao, and became formal during the Vajpayee era). Arafat tried his best never to bite the hand that fed him, although he did not always succeed. Some of that feed, particularly from his Arab brothers, was heavily barbed with septic wire.

Curiously, Arafat's last investment among his brothers was in Saddam Hussein. The second Iraq war has erased memories of the first, but emotions, intense in depth but limited in range, ran high on the streets in 1991 as well for Saddam did manage to rouse anti-American sentiment. But his cause was palpably indefensible. He had invaded and occupied an independent country. Unlike in the present crisis, Iraq was aggressor, not a victim. The Arab countries of the region were formidable in their unity against Saddam. Arafat could have been more discreet, but he actually seemed to believe that Saddam could confront and succeed against a more powerful alliance than the one that defeated the Axis powers in the Second World War. He did not have the compulsions of King Hussein of Jordan, who had his trade with Iraq to protect. At the very least Arafat could have been a moderate. But he stuck his neck out. As miscalculations go this was in a class of its own.

But mistakes do not diminish the legitimacy of a cause, and the Palestinian movement remains the world's most visible struggle against oppression and injustice. That was one reason why he did not have to pay any price for his stand in 1991. In a surprising turn of events, Arafat actually found a friend in the White House after 1992. No American President is going to damage Washington's relationship with Tel Aviv, at least in our lifetime, but Bill Clinton was as close to an ally that the Palestinians are going to get in the United States. The last Democratic President before Clinton, Jimmy Carter, had to sack a charismatic ambassador to the United Nations for nothing more than making contact with a PLO official.

Hillary Clinton, in contrast, went on record to say that Palestinians would get a state. After he left office Clinton said repeatedly that the biggest failure of his presidency was his inability to persuade Arafat to sign the accord with Ehud Barak.

The reasons vary dependong on who you talk to. Did Arafat lose a nation because he made the 2% he could not get as important as the 98% he was offered? Were there powerful players in the Middle East who leaned on Arafat to ensure that the agreement was sabotaged? Bill Clinton, who had no particular need to be prejudiced after he left office, told me over a long conversation in Delhi that the differences had narrowed down to the comparatively insignificant, and even contentious issues like control of water sources were on the point of resolution. Then ? Clinton's conclusion was as clean as a surgical wound. Arafat did not sign the agreement, he said, because he could not reconcile himself to peace. Was this the hubris, the fatal flaw? Or is there some anger in Clinton's judgement? Perhaps. And yet a man of Clinton's maturity and experience would not have reached such a conclusion if he did not have genuine cause to think so. Whatever the real reason the consequences are obvious; the rise of Ariel Sharon, the isolation of Arafat, the terrible price paid by innocents, an increasing sense of stagnant hopelessness in the region, and finally, the laughing indifference with which Sharon and Shimon Peres treated the news that Arafat was on his deathbed. They had already killed Sheikh Yasin. They may not have killed Arafat, although Sharon threatened often enough to do so, but they had reduced him to insignificance.

Does this end the Arab-Israel war of 1967? Egypt and Jordan have made peace. Syria is in limbo. The Palestinian resistance after 1967 was led by Arafat, and the more militant strain that traced a line between the Marxist Habash and the Islamic Sheikh Yasin. This generation has fought its battles. But the battle itself is not over, and it will not be until there is an independent Palestine state at peace with an Israel that wants peace.

We do not yet know the name of the next Yasser Arafat, but we do know that there will be one, for the idea of Palestine will never be short of either a flag or a flag-bearer. If the world is wise the next Arafat will not be forced to wear a gun in his belt as part of his workday clothes. We are in a time of flux, in a twilight that has lost the sun but not found the stars. As the poet said, one world is dead and the other is waiting to be born.

Mounting pollution menace

By G L Khajuria

Over the decades, the mounting pollution menace has engulfed the globe to the extent that human survival has become impossible. The problem is not off-shooting and emanating from some natural-disaster, but is man's own creation and the repercussions accruing there upon are being faced by the man hmself and for the generations to come. The problem is awefully alarming throughout the world and if so remains the situation, the coming generations will be inflicted with the most dreadful, unforeseeable and incurable diseases like cancers and the like.

Air pollution the most dreaded one and is taking heavy tolls of human life year after year and the main problem is accruing from the thermal power emissions, the Carban-dioxide and Carbon Monoxide emissions from ever-increasing automobilation (May it be cars, bikes, big Carriers). The blue-ness of sky has lost luster, particularly, in big metropolis like Delhi, Kolkata, Chennai, Mumbai and the like and more hapless is that the twinkling stars which once added natural beauty in the sky has faded away. Even the 'Moon' seems shrouded with smoke. Alas ! all this has illusioned by man's own creation and we as civilized men feel proud of developments. What development ? Developments at the cost of destruction. I still remember what once Mrs Indira Gandhi, the then premier of India boldly remarked at Stockholm (June 01, 1972) on human Development ; 'There should be Development but not at the cost of Destruction.

This Global (Mother Earth) is as big as it was where as the population is escalating at sputnik speed which in many a way is aggravating the mounting pollution (Air, water and noise). There had been unplanned evergrowing roads, industries, project nuclear plants , rail-links, hydel projects, refineries, mines, petrol chemical intermediates, asbests and its derivates, the air ports, nuclear test drug and other units, the smoke emitting distilleries (emitting guagmire effluents) the cement units and foundaries and many more its associates. The fresh mountaineous regions have been deforested by the merciless man and replaced by the tarred roads and concrete structures. The air pollution coupled with water and noise are man made hazards which in one way or the other is mounting pressure over the globe. This has rather mercilessly wounded the ''Mother Earth''- the only bio-sustaing planet in the universe. This pollution parcel has punctured the OZONE shields over Antartica and North America which over the years to come may mar the flora and fauna of this Globe and bring them to the verge of extinction, or to say the verge of death-knell.

The fast growing 'Pollutions' are leading us all to slow murder in more than many a way as enumerated in the body of the article. A pollution emitting gase provides on an average between 15 to 25 Cigarettes every day to a Non-smoker. And staggering are the figures that more than 60,000 people in India have pre-nature death due to only air pollution as per the world bank reports and studies reveal that this pollution is subjecting over millions to respiratory diseases such as asthma, allergies and other respiratory tract infections such a tuberculosis and the like.

And the out come of the quantum of vehicle which have increased manifold (150 percent within ten years face to face with 16 percent road-length upto mid Oct, 2004) emanating the deadening gases like Co and many more its ilk. The suspension particle ratio of Canaught place, Delhi is equalizing that of 'Raghunath Bazar', Purani Mandi and main Prade ground of Jammu and such is the prevailing scenario else where in the other cities and metropolis. The smoke and the soot emitting from the brick kilns and other industrial installation are the imposing danger signals. All these in unison are the off-shoots of brewing thick ''blackish-brown'' haze mostly engulfing south Asian skies and furthering the nearer areas of gulf region. As per estimate, west Asian region has heavily been sucked in the global pollution circuit moving rapidly several Kms hovering over ground level. And this haze is a combination of ash, aerosols and deadly soots of various hues which most prominently are emanating from burning biomass, fossil fuels, coals and the like. These have commonly been coming locally and from elsewhere ranging from several Kms far far away. This in togetherness is a global challenge in the ensuing years to come and will accelerate momentously to alarming proportions in the nearing future.

A United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) research has come in collision with serious criticism from Indian Government in that this Pollution ''black parcel'' which originally was defined as ''Asian Brown cloud'' has now been named as ''Atmospheric Brown cloud'' by UNEP whereas the most advanced countries are the biggest polluters. And perhaps this is the biggest threat we humans will have to face, with the ever-rolling moments of time face to face with progressive industrialization tantamounting thereby global warming. A very high concentration of (HCH)-alphahexachlorocyclobexane were till recently detected a year or so back in the atmosphere of new Foundland, Nova and Scotia which is hazardous one for bio-survival.

As per research conducted recently, around four of the nineteen glaciers are already doomed having no accumulation area, rather 0.2347 cub. Km of glacial ice was lost during 2001-02 which de facto is an impending catastrophe as the glacial ice is the core of glacier and melting due more so than normal temperatures wanting metamorphesic availability. And 'Baspa' glaciers arounding 5000 metres up mountains is roported to have lost a quarter of its cover at the same time atop, 5400 metres glacier is estimated to have diminished by 15 percent or so. All these pollution related catastrophe factors are exaggerating the rivers run off with minimal water percolation thereby marking sea-water uprise.

Much earlier, a blanket ban on ''Smoking'' in public premises was introduced including offices as well. But it was honoured in only its breach. Smoking is a slow poison, not only to those who smoke but to the passive smoker who are more prone to this dread-full habit. In an homely atmosphere, men smoke with leisure least bothering as to how much hazardous is to their kids and the wives who if under pregnancies are more prone to ill-effects of smoking- the babies in wombs are adversely effected and the inborn may suffer ailments to the extent of still birth.

And now of the latest ''Railway Department'' has imposed blanket ban on smoking, within the tramways, platforms premises and all its surroundings. In any way, tobacco ban is a very good step forward. But how about pollution? And if we nations have to survive, we may have to pledge under one umbrella to make the God gifted planet (Mother Earth) by all the countries over the world to make it pollution free. Admittedly, the fact remains that all nation particularly the advanced rich countries et el US and other European countries who are the big Polluters should come forward so that the other nation may follow suit. They should accept moral responsibility and pay for it. And an Austrialian Environment Minister remarked years back, ''If the advanced countries persists this unyielding approach, donor countries may tell them to stick it up their Jumpers''.

Conclusively, it is added over here what ''Mr Auden'' once wrote : ''O'' God put away Justice and truth for we cannot understand them and don't want them. Eternity will bore us dreadfully. Introduce murial to a handsome officer. Be interesting work like us and we will love you as we love over selves''.

Thought-provoking is Abdullah's warning

By B L Kak

Unabated threats of sorts to his life from Pakistan-inspired militants notwithstanding, Farooq Abdullah, the tallest among the Kashmiri leaders and politicians, has, once again, proved that he is no coward, and that he cannot tolerate divisive elements. Obviously, Pakistan President, Gen. Parvez Musharraf, was in his mind when he lambasted all those who sought divisioning of the sensitive J&K State on communal lines as a solution to the Kashmir imbroglio.

If most Kashmiris continue to be under pressure to hold Islamic Republic of Pakistan in 'high esteem', Farooq Abdullah, patron of the Jammu and Kashmir National Conference party and former Chief Minister, has again gone against the current, cautioning New Delhi against the dangers inherent in the latest formula of Gen Musharraf on the future geographical and administrative contours of Jammu and Kashmir territory.

Farooq's successor, Mufti Mohammed Sayeed, has been found fairly enthusiastic in his support to Gen Musharraf's J&K proposals. Farooq's vehement opposition to these proposals should not be studied in the context of the hatred he and the Mufti have for each other. At a time when the Manmohan Singh Government at the Centre was reported to have taken note of the Musharraf musings and started 'preliminary' behind-the-scene discussions, Farooq Abdullah dropped the brick.

On the eve of his pleasant encounter with the Prime Minister in New Delhi at the latter's Iftar party on November 10, Farooq Abdullah warned that instead of solving the problem, the proposals floated by the Pakistan President would further complicate matters and lead to a division of his home State on communal lines. The warning incidentally surfaced at a time when a section of India media gave due space to the Musharraf musings and suggested that cases that were being examined at different levels within and outside the Union Government included Andorra, Northern Ireland, Trieste, South Tyrol, Aland Islands.

They, it was briefly explained by the media, contained some elements that can be applied to Jammu and Kashmir. It was in this context that Farooq Abdullah sought to highlight the fact that Kashmir issue being 'unique' in itself will require its own solution. Hence, his opposition to the Musharraf formula which had all elements of dividing Jammu and Kashmir on communal lines. Recently, Gen. Musharraf proposed dividing J&K into several regions and demilitarising them one by one.

Farooq Abdullah, who continues to be the esprit de corps of Kashmir's premier political organisation (National Conference), has every right to project himself and his party as living symbols of resistance against divisioning of J&K under the proposals from Gen Musharraf. But the Kashmir leader as well as others will have to give credit to Gen. Musharraf--indeed, he is the first Pakistani ruler since the creation of Pakistan in 1947---for moving away from the traditional position of plebiscite and UN resolutions in relation to Jammu and Kashmir.

What Gen. Musharraf is exactly up to is not fully known at this stage. What is visible is the engagement of a few people of consequence, including JN Dixit, National Security Advisor, in Track II efforts. These efforts are being keenly watched by non-governmental agencies and quarters. Significantly, the Musharraf musings surfaced at a time when New Delhi was found re-designing roadmap in relation to Kashmir-specific discussions with Islamabad. Separatist and secessionist leaders in Indian Kashmir did not find fault with Gen Musharraf's proposals. But the scenario in Pakistan was totally different from the one obtaining on this side of the Line of Control (LoC).

Pakistan Jamaat-e-Islami leader, Qazi Hussein Ahmed, and others like him denounced Gen Musharraf's Kashmir proposals. The logic behind Gen Musharraf's proposals is compelling: Sticking to old positions would solve nothing. Pakistan's well-known commentator, Ayaz Amir, posed: How realistic is Gen. Musharraf proposals? For when he talks of dividing Kashmir along geographical lines, demilitarising the areas thus identified, followed by talks about who should control these areas-- India or Pakistan--- he is, in effect, calling for a radical change in the status quo.

In plain language, it means redrawing of Kashmir's map. Ayaz Amir's significant comment: ''This is trying to reach for the moon, a worthy ambition but unlikely to come to anything''. The more Pakistani leaders talk of fresh approaches, the more they raise public expectations of a likely solution to the Kashmir problem in the near future. That not happening, diappointment can set in which in turn may trigger a return to the self-defeating rhetoric of anger and hostility.

India-Pakistan friendship is the need of the hour. Certain things, happily, are presently within the realm of possibility: Softening the Line of Control, removing travel restrictions, reducing military presence in both parts of Kashmir, engaging the Kashmiri leaders in the peace process. But redrawing the map of Kashmir or moving the LoC left and right does not fall in the same category. To imply that it does, amounts to confusing the issue and raising false expectations.

The new status Gen Musharraf has in his mind is either independence or India-Pakistan joint control or governance under a UN mandate. Jammu and Kashmir, in his opinion, has seven regions with two of them being with Pakistan. Factual discrepancies aside, no one knows how a sensitive subject like Kashmir can be discussed in public, particularly when India and Pakistan are engaged in a composite dialogue process with Kashmir as one of the issues to be resolved.

In other times New Delhi might have vehemently protested over what Gen Musharraf has done, but apparently it does not want to foul up the atmosphere for dialogue at this stage. How could any Government in New Delhi ever think of discussing the redrawing of the boundaries which is what Pak President ostensibly wants. Indian Premier, Manmohan Singh, made it clear during his meeting with Gen Musharraf in New York recently that redrawing the boundaries was ruled out.

The Musharraf formula has made it plain that while two regions are with Pakistan, the remaining five are on the Indian side. They are : (I) Jammu, Samba and Kathua where Hindus are in the majority (2) part of Jammu, Doda, Poonch and Rajouri which have Muslims in the majority; (3) Kashmir valley with a Muslim majority; (4) Kargil and adjacent areas that have a Shia and Balti population; and (5) Ladakh and adjoining areas dominated by Buddhists.

This, if translated into reality, will only lead to communal tensions and troubles. Hence, Farooq Abdullah cannot be faulted for his pronouncement loaded as it is with a clear counsel for New Delhi against the J&K proposals tailored by Gen. Parvez Musharraf.

The politics of compromise

From: Arun Nehru

Coalition politics means compromises and I think the Congress attitude with the NCP and the need to keep the 'CM's chair indicate to some extent their future strategy. Sharad in the public perception loses out but his options were limited and he clearly lives to fight on another occasion and the Congress know this and Shinde is moved out and Vilas Rao Deshmukh is inducted to 'check' the Pawar ambition in the immediate future. The Congress have a tough decision to make and with a 145 seats they are dependant on the Left and 'others' = with 200 seats they will only be dependant on the 'others' and this will be easy to manage and clearly they are thinking of a majority in two stages! The public impression is to project a 'majority' for the future and not the fact that they have 145 seats out of 542 and a 25% vote share = the immediate policy will be to 'appease' the RJD/JMM as state elections approach but attack the SP in UP to garner a bigger vote share. The Left will not like this and neither will the DMK as they face Assembly elections in 2006 but I don't think they will be able to stop the conflict in UP. The Congress play 'dynastic' politics and many within may well welcome such a conflict and this could result in a alternative front for the future and you cannot rule out the possibility of the SP/Left forming a 'core' group for another front against the BJP if the Congress push for greater numbers. Much will depend on the election fortunes of Lalu Yadav in Bihar. Coalition politics has its own compulsions and anyone can go anywhere in the pursuit of power.

The politics of confrontation and vendetta [detoxification] is very evident over the past three months and this continues and clearly the Law minister amongst others is getting involved in the process in more ways than one and this is sad as the 'effects' will be negative. Political battles are fought in the political arena and retribution comes faster than one thinks = dropping cases for 'lack of evidence' and framing opposition leaders with 'evidence' in political cases and usage of official resources be it the CBI or Income Tax indicate a 'insecure leader' looking for revenge and if we see the politics of the last thirty years then we will observe that all such moves are negative. The Judiciary has a very key role to play and this is being keenly watched and the rule of law will prevail as the opposition will not allow 'excesses' to go unnoticed and these will be bought to the attention of the courts = the voting public has a very clear perception of what is right and wrong and certain moves being taken to 'appease' the minority votes can well result in conflict situations and lead to a majority backlash. Gujarat is a example where the BJP and Narender Modi are targeted and in the recent bye=elections the Congress lost 2 out of 5 seats in the state and in Maharashtra in all the Gujarati seats the BJP won with Narender Modi as the star campaigner. The BJP have also sadly followed the same principal with the cases against Shibu Soren who was arrested and dropped from the Cabinet and I would be very surprised if he does not win the election in Jharkhand and becomes the next CM ! Uma Bharti had to resign following the action of the Congress in Karnataka as a ten year old case was revived and then withdrawn and this may well help the BJP to retain MP as the BJP leader can be better suited to the party then as the Chief Minister.

The war of words sharpens in Uttar Pradesh between the SP/Congress and the BSP having increased their vote share to 4% in Maharashtra cannot be far behind as the BJP lose ground and the Congress gain in vote share but don't have a effective plan to tackle the SP leader Mulayam Singh for the future The Congress plan to get Rahul Gandhi to spearhead the party effort has not taken off as he shows 'reluctance' to lead the battle but it would be a good experience as the SP/BSP will launch a furious counter attack and in the political game one has to learn to take pressure and fight to a winning position. The Congress feel that their efforts to woo the minority with National aspirations will checkmate the SP who have a limited power base on a national basis. The BJP will try to regain lost ground but clearly need 'new leaders' to plan for the future. The current situation is that the SP leads with the BSP in hot pursuit and closing the gap = upper castes will migrate both towards the SP/BSP as they have few options and the recent bye=elections have shown this trend. The battle for the future will come in the state and whilst the SP defends the Congress will determine the timing for launching the 'attack' and I think they will wait for the successful conclusion of the Bihar elections as Lalu Yadav will be a vital ally for their future efforts in the state.

Mrs Indira Gandhi's death anniversary has come and gone and there were the usual comments on the Emergency and many a Congress leader kept a 'deafening' silence as many have changed sides and stances over the years. The Indira Gandhi trust performs the usual rituals but this has little to do with Indira Gandhi and more with Sonia Gandhi and her current leanings. Dynastic succession does not insure competence, ability or continuity and it was sad that the leading lights in the party today did not have the time to present a credible opinion on the sixteen years of her tenure as the PM. The years of 1977-80 represented the years of struggle and is a lesson for all aspiring politicians to see what nerve and courage is all about = many in the party and some in the family held Sanjay responsible as they did not dare to blame Mrs Indira Gandhi but attitudes and stances changed after the first year when the party fought back under Sanjay and emerged as the winner in 1980.

 



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