EDITORIAL
Laugh
if you can
Who says that it is a
hackneyed cliché: 'laughter is the best medicine'? In
reality it is very much in fashion and continues to have
global acceptability. How else one can explain that the
captivating land of Austria is feeling the need for this
therapy. Good chortle has sound health value is the
prescription that doctors even in that enchanting country
have recommended. Just imagine who are being asked to
laugh? The people who have no homes are being lectured
that it is the certain way to help them forget their
worries. There are other disadvantaged groups as well
being taught similarly. Sylvan surroundings are
apparently not good enough for them to feel calm and
relaxed. They should rediscover their inherent strength
and only if they can laugh to their hearts' content they
can realise it. Therefore, the next time when one walks
into a garden across the State and comes across groups of
old persons laughing away in unison one should not think
that is simply a fun game. It is instead a serious
business. Generally it is believed that laughing is a
healthy exercise as it is instrumental in moving almost
every muscle of the body. It is an eye-opener that it
cures anxiety as well as mental fatigue. It is thus a
magic potion so easily available and yet so rarely tried.
Cynics may argue: what is new in it? We in this country,
they will say, have known laughter therapy from times
immemorial. Look at our glorious heritage: there is
nothing but happiness down the centuries. How has all
this been achieved, according to them, if not by
observing the highest standards of physical fitness and
mental alertness? It is but logical that laughing has
been the major component of this . .........more
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Twilight
of hope
By M J Akbar
There comes a moment when
every man's obituary appears on his face. Suddenly the
hero of a hundred battles is suffused with a childlike
helplessness, and his hand clutches for support from a
friend, unsure. .........more
Mounting
pollution menace
By G L Khajuria
Over the decades, the
mounting pollution menace has engulfed the globe to the
extent that human survival has become impossible. The
problem is not off-shooting and emanating from some
natural-disaster, but is man's own ........more
Thought-provoking
is Abdullah's warning
By B L Kak
Unabated threats of sorts
to his life from Pakistan-inspired militants
notwithstanding, Farooq Abdullah, the tallest among the
Kashmiri leaders and politicians, has, once again, proved
that he is no coward, and that he cannot tolerate
divisive elements. .....more
The
politics of
compromise
From: Arun Nehru
Coalition politics means
compromises and I think the Congress attitude with the
NCP and the need to keep the 'CM's chair indicate to some
extent their future strategy. Sharad in ....more
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Twilight
of hope
By M J
Akbar
There
comes a moment when every man's obituary
appears on his face. Suddenly the hero of
a hundred battles is suffused with a
childlike helplessness, and his hand
clutches for support from a friend,
unsure whether this will be the last
gesture. It is a moment of truth beyond
denial. It is the face of a man who has
seen the approach of the angel of death,
and knows that there are no answers,
there is no negotiation, there is only
submission to the will of God. It was
such a face that a genuine hero of our
times, Yasser Arafat, presented to
television when cameras glimpsed him on
Thursday, 28 October. May God grant
Arafat a much longer life, but his days
as the commander in chief of the
Palestinian resistance are over.
No man can
be a hero all his life, unless that life
is a short one. Arafat was a hero in
spasms, and stubbornly human the rest of
the time, wandering through error,
calculation and miscalculation. Tragedy
was the inevitable fate of this refugee
who never found any refuge, not even in
the compound where Israel kept him
imprisoned to humiliate as and when it
suited some passing policy of Ariel
Sharon.
What was
Arafat thinking about on Thursday ? That
his life had been, as Shakespeare
discovered in another context, full of
sound and fury, signifying nothing? The
sound and the fury took him to the centre
of the world stage, where he played more
than one part even as the cast of
characters around him kept changing. But
because that part ended on the margins,
did it also mean that his life signified
nothing? That would be too harsh,
perhaps. If nothing else, then Yasser
Arafat embodied a national dream. The
flaw was that it became a dream without a
horizon. Or to put it another way,
reality always fell short of the dream,
and he repeatedly was unable to accept
this reality. The horizon was always
beyond reach because he had trained
himself to distrust what was within
reach. Any trained negotiator, or any
head of Government, would have permitted
space for pragmatism, for there are no
perfect solutions. The Sadat-Begin pact
was not perfect but it has anchored the
peace in the region. The Assads of Syria
have not, and cannot, forego their claim
on the Golan Heights, but they have not
gone to war over that claim for 35 years.
Arafat
also persuaded his people that acceptance
of anything less than the ideal was
betrayal of the idea of Palestine, even
though in the last six decades that ideal
itself has shrunk repeatedly with time
and defeat-- defeat on the formal
battlefield and defeat on the official
diplomatic table. Yes, the spirit is
undefeated, and heroically so. But the
spirit has its limitations unless you are
indifferent to time.
There is
always solace in the romance of the
spirit. I wonder what images flit through
Arafat's mind as he wanders through
levels of consciousness. Leila Khaled in
1971? The young woman who hijacked a
plane and became an icon? (Where is she?
How transient is heroism...) The radical
urges of George Habash who tried to wrest
the movement away from Arafat? The
moments of opportunity that were lost
between the lawns of the White House and
the recesses of Camp David?
My own
image of Arafat is at least partly
mythical: trapped in Beirut with his
depleted fighting force, forsaken if not
forgotten, surrounded, down to his last
bullet and last namaz but still possessed
of that vibrant gleam in eyes that shone
through folds of tired and tense flesh.
In that depth of despair he found the
courage and resolve of a man of destiny.
Tragically , that destiny eluded him.
There are
also real memories: of him striding
across the stage to shake hands with ''my
sister'' Indira Gandhi (he was much
shorter than her) during a Non-Aligned
Movement conference in Delhi, his
trademark revolver buckled on to his
belt; of an interview in which he
repeated his standard formula-- blame
Israel and praise his hosts (in this case
an ever-sympathetic Indian Government as
long as it was led by Indira Gandhi and
Rajiv Gandhi, the sympathy waned with the
arrival of PV Narasimha Rao, and became
formal during the Vajpayee era). Arafat
tried his best never to bite the hand
that fed him, although he did not always
succeed. Some of that feed, particularly
from his Arab brothers, was heavily
barbed with septic wire.
Curiously,
Arafat's last investment among his
brothers was in Saddam Hussein. The
second Iraq war has erased memories of
the first, but emotions, intense in depth
but limited in range, ran high on the
streets in 1991 as well for Saddam did
manage to rouse anti-American sentiment.
But his cause was palpably indefensible.
He had invaded and occupied an
independent country. Unlike in the
present crisis, Iraq was aggressor, not a
victim. The Arab countries of the region
were formidable in their unity against
Saddam. Arafat could have been more
discreet, but he actually seemed to
believe that Saddam could confront and
succeed against a more powerful alliance
than the one that defeated the Axis
powers in the Second World War. He did
not have the compulsions of King Hussein
of Jordan, who had his trade with Iraq to
protect. At the very least Arafat could
have been a moderate. But he stuck his
neck out. As miscalculations go this was
in a class of its own.
But
mistakes do not diminish the legitimacy
of a cause, and the Palestinian movement
remains the world's most visible struggle
against oppression and injustice. That
was one reason why he did not have to pay
any price for his stand in 1991. In a
surprising turn of events, Arafat
actually found a friend in the White
House after 1992. No American President
is going to damage Washington's
relationship with Tel Aviv, at least in
our lifetime, but Bill Clinton was as
close to an ally that the Palestinians
are going to get in the United States.
The last Democratic President before
Clinton, Jimmy Carter, had to sack a
charismatic ambassador to the United
Nations for nothing more than making
contact with a PLO official.
Hillary
Clinton, in contrast, went on record to
say that Palestinians would get a state.
After he left office Clinton said
repeatedly that the biggest failure of
his presidency was his inability to
persuade Arafat to sign the accord with
Ehud Barak.
The
reasons vary dependong on who you talk
to. Did Arafat lose a nation because he
made the 2% he could not get as important
as the 98% he was offered? Were there
powerful players in the Middle East who
leaned on Arafat to ensure that the
agreement was sabotaged? Bill Clinton,
who had no particular need to be
prejudiced after he left office, told me
over a long conversation in Delhi that
the differences had narrowed down to the
comparatively insignificant, and even
contentious issues like control of water
sources were on the point of resolution.
Then ? Clinton's conclusion was as clean
as a surgical wound. Arafat did not sign
the agreement, he said, because he could
not reconcile himself to peace. Was this
the hubris, the fatal flaw? Or is there
some anger in Clinton's judgement?
Perhaps. And yet a man of Clinton's
maturity and experience would not have
reached such a conclusion if he did not
have genuine cause to think so. Whatever
the real reason the consequences are
obvious; the rise of Ariel Sharon, the
isolation of Arafat, the terrible price
paid by innocents, an increasing sense of
stagnant hopelessness in the region, and
finally, the laughing indifference with
which Sharon and Shimon Peres treated the
news that Arafat was on his deathbed.
They had already killed Sheikh Yasin.
They may not have killed Arafat, although
Sharon threatened often enough to do so,
but they had reduced him to
insignificance.
Does this
end the Arab-Israel war of 1967? Egypt
and Jordan have made peace. Syria is in
limbo. The Palestinian resistance after
1967 was led by Arafat, and the more
militant strain that traced a line
between the Marxist Habash and the
Islamic Sheikh Yasin. This generation has
fought its battles. But the battle itself
is not over, and it will not be until
there is an independent Palestine state
at peace with an Israel that wants peace.
We do not
yet know the name of the next Yasser
Arafat, but we do know that there will be
one, for the idea of Palestine will never
be short of either a flag or a
flag-bearer. If the world is wise the
next Arafat will not be forced to wear a
gun in his belt as part of his workday
clothes. We are in a time of flux, in a
twilight that has lost the sun but not
found the stars. As the poet said, one
world is dead and the other is waiting to
be born.
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Mounting
pollution menace
By G L
Khajuria
Over the
decades, the mounting pollution menace
has engulfed the globe to the extent that
human survival has become impossible. The
problem is not off-shooting and emanating
from some natural-disaster, but is man's
own creation and the repercussions
accruing there upon are being faced by
the man hmself and for the generations to
come. The problem is awefully alarming
throughout the world and if so remains
the situation, the coming generations
will be inflicted with the most dreadful,
unforeseeable and incurable diseases like
cancers and the like.
Air
pollution the most dreaded one and is
taking heavy tolls of human life year
after year and the main problem is
accruing from the thermal power
emissions, the Carban-dioxide and Carbon
Monoxide emissions from ever-increasing
automobilation (May it be cars, bikes,
big Carriers). The blue-ness of sky has
lost luster, particularly, in big
metropolis like Delhi, Kolkata, Chennai,
Mumbai and the like and more hapless is
that the twinkling stars which once added
natural beauty in the sky has faded away.
Even the 'Moon' seems shrouded with
smoke. Alas ! all this has illusioned by
man's own creation and we as civilized
men feel proud of developments. What
development ? Developments at the cost of
destruction. I still remember what once
Mrs Indira Gandhi, the then premier of
India boldly remarked at Stockholm (June
01, 1972) on human Development ; 'There
should be Development but not at the cost
of Destruction.
This
Global (Mother Earth) is as big as it was
where as the population is escalating at
sputnik speed which in many a way is
aggravating the mounting pollution (Air,
water and noise). There had been
unplanned evergrowing roads, industries,
project nuclear plants , rail-links,
hydel projects, refineries, mines, petrol
chemical intermediates, asbests and its
derivates, the air ports, nuclear test
drug and other units, the smoke emitting
distilleries (emitting guagmire
effluents) the cement units and
foundaries and many more its associates.
The fresh mountaineous regions have been
deforested by the merciless man and
replaced by the tarred roads and concrete
structures. The air pollution coupled
with water and noise are man made hazards
which in one way or the other is mounting
pressure over the globe. This has rather
mercilessly wounded the ''Mother Earth''-
the only bio-sustaing planet in the
universe. This pollution parcel has
punctured the OZONE shields over
Antartica and North America which over
the years to come may mar the flora and
fauna of this Globe and bring them to the
verge of extinction, or to say the verge
of death-knell.
The fast
growing 'Pollutions' are leading us all
to slow murder in more than many a way as
enumerated in the body of the article. A
pollution emitting gase provides on an
average between 15 to 25 Cigarettes every
day to a Non-smoker. And staggering are
the figures that more than 60,000 people
in India have pre-nature death due to
only air pollution as per the world bank
reports and studies reveal that this
pollution is subjecting over millions to
respiratory diseases such as asthma,
allergies and other respiratory tract
infections such a tuberculosis and the
like.
And the
out come of the quantum of vehicle which
have increased manifold (150 percent
within ten years face to face with 16
percent road-length upto mid Oct, 2004)
emanating the deadening gases like Co and
many more its ilk. The suspension
particle ratio of Canaught place, Delhi
is equalizing that of 'Raghunath Bazar',
Purani Mandi and main Prade ground of
Jammu and such is the prevailing scenario
else where in the other cities and
metropolis. The smoke and the soot
emitting from the brick kilns and other
industrial installation are the imposing
danger signals. All these in unison are
the off-shoots of brewing thick
''blackish-brown'' haze mostly engulfing
south Asian skies and furthering the
nearer areas of gulf region. As per
estimate, west Asian region has heavily
been sucked in the global pollution
circuit moving rapidly several Kms
hovering over ground level. And this haze
is a combination of ash, aerosols and
deadly soots of various hues which most
prominently are emanating from burning
biomass, fossil fuels, coals and the
like. These have commonly been coming
locally and from elsewhere ranging from
several Kms far far away. This in
togetherness is a global challenge in the
ensuing years to come and will accelerate
momentously to alarming proportions in
the nearing future.
A United
Nations Environment Programme (UNEP)
research has come in collision with
serious criticism from Indian Government
in that this Pollution ''black parcel''
which originally was defined as ''Asian
Brown cloud'' has now been named as
''Atmospheric Brown cloud'' by UNEP
whereas the most advanced countries are
the biggest polluters. And perhaps this
is the biggest threat we humans will have
to face, with the ever-rolling moments of
time face to face with progressive
industrialization tantamounting thereby
global warming. A very high concentration
of (HCH)-alphahexachlorocyclobexane were
till recently detected a year or so back
in the atmosphere of new Foundland, Nova
and Scotia which is hazardous one for
bio-survival.
As per
research conducted recently, around four
of the nineteen glaciers are already
doomed having no accumulation area,
rather 0.2347 cub. Km of glacial ice was
lost during 2001-02 which de facto is an
impending catastrophe as the glacial ice
is the core of glacier and melting due
more so than normal temperatures wanting
metamorphesic availability. And 'Baspa'
glaciers arounding 5000 metres up
mountains is roported to have lost a
quarter of its cover at the same time
atop, 5400 metres glacier is estimated to
have diminished by 15 percent or so. All
these pollution related catastrophe
factors are exaggerating the rivers run
off with minimal water percolation
thereby marking sea-water uprise.
Much
earlier, a blanket ban on ''Smoking'' in
public premises was introduced including
offices as well. But it was honoured in
only its breach. Smoking is a slow
poison, not only to those who smoke but
to the passive smoker who are more prone
to this dread-full habit. In an homely
atmosphere, men smoke with leisure least
bothering as to how much hazardous is to
their kids and the wives who if under
pregnancies are more prone to ill-effects
of smoking- the babies in wombs are
adversely effected and the inborn may
suffer ailments to the extent of still
birth.
And now of
the latest ''Railway Department'' has
imposed blanket ban on smoking, within
the tramways, platforms premises and all
its surroundings. In any way, tobacco ban
is a very good step forward. But how
about pollution? And if we nations have
to survive, we may have to pledge under
one umbrella to make the God gifted
planet (Mother Earth) by all the
countries over the world to make it
pollution free. Admittedly, the fact
remains that all nation particularly the
advanced rich countries et el US and
other European countries who are the big
Polluters should come forward so that the
other nation may follow suit. They should
accept moral responsibility and pay for
it. And an Austrialian Environment
Minister remarked years back, ''If the
advanced countries persists this
unyielding approach, donor countries may
tell them to stick it up their Jumpers''.
Conclusively,
it is added over here what ''Mr Auden''
once wrote : ''O'' God put away Justice
and truth for we cannot understand them
and don't want them. Eternity will bore
us dreadfully. Introduce murial to a
handsome officer. Be interesting work
like us and we will love you as we love
over selves''.
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Thought-provoking
is Abdullah's warning
By B L Kak
Unabated threats
of sorts to his life from Pakistan-inspired
militants notwithstanding, Farooq Abdullah, the
tallest among the Kashmiri leaders and
politicians, has, once again, proved that he is
no coward, and that he cannot tolerate divisive
elements. Obviously, Pakistan President, Gen.
Parvez Musharraf, was in his mind when he
lambasted all those who sought divisioning of the
sensitive J&K State on communal lines as a
solution to the Kashmir imbroglio.
If most Kashmiris
continue to be under pressure to hold Islamic
Republic of Pakistan in 'high esteem', Farooq
Abdullah, patron of the Jammu and Kashmir
National Conference party and former Chief
Minister, has again gone against the current,
cautioning New Delhi against the dangers inherent
in the latest formula of Gen Musharraf on the
future geographical and administrative contours
of Jammu and Kashmir territory.
Farooq's
successor, Mufti Mohammed Sayeed, has been found
fairly enthusiastic in his support to Gen
Musharraf's J&K proposals. Farooq's vehement
opposition to these proposals should not be
studied in the context of the hatred he and the
Mufti have for each other. At a time when the
Manmohan Singh Government at the Centre was
reported to have taken note of the Musharraf
musings and started 'preliminary'
behind-the-scene discussions, Farooq Abdullah
dropped the brick.
On the eve of his
pleasant encounter with the Prime Minister in New
Delhi at the latter's Iftar party on November 10,
Farooq Abdullah warned that instead of solving
the problem, the proposals floated by the
Pakistan President would further complicate
matters and lead to a division of his home State
on communal lines. The warning incidentally
surfaced at a time when a section of India media
gave due space to the Musharraf musings and
suggested that cases that were being examined at
different levels within and outside the Union
Government included Andorra, Northern Ireland,
Trieste, South Tyrol, Aland Islands.
They, it was
briefly explained by the media, contained some
elements that can be applied to Jammu and
Kashmir. It was in this context that Farooq
Abdullah sought to highlight the fact that
Kashmir issue being 'unique' in itself will
require its own solution. Hence, his opposition
to the Musharraf formula which had all elements
of dividing Jammu and Kashmir on communal lines.
Recently, Gen. Musharraf proposed dividing
J&K into several regions and demilitarising
them one by one.
Farooq Abdullah,
who continues to be the esprit de corps of
Kashmir's premier political organisation
(National Conference), has every right to project
himself and his party as living symbols of
resistance against divisioning of J&K under
the proposals from Gen Musharraf. But the Kashmir
leader as well as others will have to give credit
to Gen. Musharraf--indeed, he is the first
Pakistani ruler since the creation of Pakistan in
1947---for moving away from the traditional
position of plebiscite and UN resolutions in
relation to Jammu and Kashmir.
What Gen.
Musharraf is exactly up to is not fully known at
this stage. What is visible is the engagement of
a few people of consequence, including JN Dixit,
National Security Advisor, in Track II efforts.
These efforts are being keenly watched by
non-governmental agencies and quarters.
Significantly, the Musharraf musings surfaced at
a time when New Delhi was found re-designing
roadmap in relation to Kashmir-specific
discussions with Islamabad. Separatist and
secessionist leaders in Indian Kashmir did not
find fault with Gen Musharraf's proposals. But
the scenario in Pakistan was totally different
from the one obtaining on this side of the Line
of Control (LoC).
Pakistan
Jamaat-e-Islami leader, Qazi Hussein Ahmed, and
others like him denounced Gen Musharraf's Kashmir
proposals. The logic behind Gen Musharraf's
proposals is compelling: Sticking to old
positions would solve nothing. Pakistan's
well-known commentator, Ayaz Amir, posed: How
realistic is Gen. Musharraf proposals? For when
he talks of dividing Kashmir along geographical
lines, demilitarising the areas thus identified,
followed by talks about who should control these
areas-- India or Pakistan--- he is, in effect,
calling for a radical change in the status quo.
In plain language,
it means redrawing of Kashmir's map. Ayaz Amir's
significant comment: ''This is trying to reach
for the moon, a worthy ambition but unlikely to
come to anything''. The more Pakistani leaders
talk of fresh approaches, the more they raise
public expectations of a likely solution to the
Kashmir problem in the near future. That not
happening, diappointment can set in which in turn
may trigger a return to the self-defeating
rhetoric of anger and hostility.
India-Pakistan
friendship is the need of the hour. Certain
things, happily, are presently within the realm
of possibility: Softening the Line of Control,
removing travel restrictions, reducing military
presence in both parts of Kashmir, engaging the
Kashmiri leaders in the peace process. But
redrawing the map of Kashmir or moving the LoC
left and right does not fall in the same
category. To imply that it does, amounts to
confusing the issue and raising false
expectations.
The new status Gen
Musharraf has in his mind is either independence
or India-Pakistan joint control or governance
under a UN mandate. Jammu and Kashmir, in his
opinion, has seven regions with two of them being
with Pakistan. Factual discrepancies aside, no
one knows how a sensitive subject like Kashmir
can be discussed in public, particularly when
India and Pakistan are engaged in a composite
dialogue process with Kashmir as one of the
issues to be resolved.
In other times New
Delhi might have vehemently protested over what
Gen Musharraf has done, but apparently it does
not want to foul up the atmosphere for dialogue
at this stage. How could any Government in New
Delhi ever think of discussing the redrawing of
the boundaries which is what Pak President
ostensibly wants. Indian Premier, Manmohan Singh,
made it clear during his meeting with Gen
Musharraf in New York recently that redrawing the
boundaries was ruled out.
The Musharraf
formula has made it plain that while two regions
are with Pakistan, the remaining five are on the
Indian side. They are : (I) Jammu, Samba and
Kathua where Hindus are in the majority (2) part
of Jammu, Doda, Poonch and Rajouri which have
Muslims in the majority; (3) Kashmir valley with
a Muslim majority; (4) Kargil and adjacent areas
that have a Shia and Balti population; and (5)
Ladakh and adjoining areas dominated by
Buddhists.
This, if
translated into reality, will only lead to
communal tensions and troubles. Hence, Farooq
Abdullah cannot be faulted for his pronouncement
loaded as it is with a clear counsel for New
Delhi against the J&K proposals tailored by
Gen. Parvez Musharraf.
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The
politics of compromise
From: Arun Nehru
Coalition politics
means compromises and I think the Congress
attitude with the NCP and the need to keep the
'CM's chair indicate to some extent their future
strategy. Sharad in the public perception loses
out but his options were limited and he clearly
lives to fight on another occasion and the
Congress know this and Shinde is moved out and
Vilas Rao Deshmukh is inducted to 'check' the
Pawar ambition in the immediate future. The
Congress have a tough decision to make and with a
145 seats they are dependant on the Left and
'others' = with 200 seats they will only be
dependant on the 'others' and this will be easy
to manage and clearly they are thinking of a
majority in two stages! The public impression is
to project a 'majority' for the future and not
the fact that they have 145 seats out of 542 and
a 25% vote share = the immediate policy will be
to 'appease' the RJD/JMM as state elections
approach but attack the SP in UP to garner a
bigger vote share. The Left will not like this
and neither will the DMK as they face Assembly
elections in 2006 but I don't think they will be
able to stop the conflict in UP. The Congress
play 'dynastic' politics and many within may well
welcome such a conflict and this could result in
a alternative front for the future and you cannot
rule out the possibility of the SP/Left forming a
'core' group for another front against the BJP if
the Congress push for greater numbers. Much will
depend on the election fortunes of Lalu Yadav in
Bihar. Coalition politics has its own compulsions
and anyone can go anywhere in the pursuit of
power.
The politics of
confrontation and vendetta [detoxification] is
very evident over the past three months and this
continues and clearly the Law minister amongst
others is getting involved in the process in more
ways than one and this is sad as the 'effects'
will be negative. Political battles are fought in
the political arena and retribution comes faster
than one thinks = dropping cases for 'lack of
evidence' and framing opposition leaders with
'evidence' in political cases and usage of
official resources be it the CBI or Income Tax
indicate a 'insecure leader' looking for revenge
and if we see the politics of the last thirty
years then we will observe that all such moves
are negative. The Judiciary has a very key role
to play and this is being keenly watched and the
rule of law will prevail as the opposition will
not allow 'excesses' to go unnoticed and these
will be bought to the attention of the courts =
the voting public has a very clear perception of
what is right and wrong and certain moves being
taken to 'appease' the minority votes can well
result in conflict situations and lead to a
majority backlash. Gujarat is a example where the
BJP and Narender Modi are targeted and in the
recent bye=elections the Congress lost 2 out of 5
seats in the state and in Maharashtra in all the
Gujarati seats the BJP won with Narender Modi as
the star campaigner. The BJP have also sadly
followed the same principal with the cases
against Shibu Soren who was arrested and dropped
from the Cabinet and I would be very surprised if
he does not win the election in Jharkhand and
becomes the next CM ! Uma Bharti had to resign
following the action of the Congress in Karnataka
as a ten year old case was revived and then
withdrawn and this may well help the BJP to
retain MP as the BJP leader can be better suited
to the party then as the Chief Minister.
The war of words
sharpens in Uttar Pradesh between the SP/Congress
and the BSP having increased their vote share to
4% in Maharashtra cannot be far behind as the BJP
lose ground and the Congress gain in vote share
but don't have a effective plan to tackle the SP
leader Mulayam Singh for the future The Congress
plan to get Rahul Gandhi to spearhead the party
effort has not taken off as he shows 'reluctance'
to lead the battle but it would be a good
experience as the SP/BSP will launch a furious
counter attack and in the political game one has
to learn to take pressure and fight to a winning
position. The Congress feel that their efforts to
woo the minority with National aspirations will
checkmate the SP who have a limited power base on
a national basis. The BJP will try to regain lost
ground but clearly need 'new leaders' to plan for
the future. The current situation is that the SP
leads with the BSP in hot pursuit and closing the
gap = upper castes will migrate both towards the
SP/BSP as they have few options and the recent
bye=elections have shown this trend. The battle
for the future will come in the state and whilst
the SP defends the Congress will determine the
timing for launching the 'attack' and I think
they will wait for the successful conclusion of
the Bihar elections as Lalu Yadav will be a vital
ally for their future efforts in the state.
Mrs Indira
Gandhi's death anniversary has come and gone and
there were the usual comments on the Emergency
and many a Congress leader kept a 'deafening'
silence as many have changed sides and stances
over the years. The Indira Gandhi trust performs
the usual rituals but this has little to do with
Indira Gandhi and more with Sonia Gandhi and her
current leanings. Dynastic succession does not
insure competence, ability or continuity and it
was sad that the leading lights in the party
today did not have the time to present a credible
opinion on the sixteen years of her tenure as the
PM. The years of 1977-80 represented the years of
struggle and is a lesson for all aspiring
politicians to see what nerve and courage is all
about = many in the party and some in the family
held Sanjay responsible as they did not dare to
blame Mrs Indira Gandhi but attitudes and stances
changed after the first year when the party
fought back under Sanjay and emerged as the
winner in 1980.
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