EDITORIAL
Army's
doctrine
Few can differ with the
doctrine unfolded by Army chief N.C. Vij at the Army
commanders' conference in the national capital to tackle
wars that are held in the backdrop of terrorism. Actually
if one looks back one will find that the Army is already
executing its three crucial components --- curbing
infiltration, eliminating terrorists and winning the
hearts and minds of the people. As a measure of success
in this direction, he has cited, among other things, the
decrease in the number of the militants operating in
Jammu and Kashmir from 3500 to 2000. There are positive
results in other spheres as well particularly in
improving the life of ordinary people by providing them
certain basic facilities like healthcare and electricity,
for instance. There are many who may argue that after all
what is new in the latest Army policy document. It needs
to be understood that this sums up the review of the
existing situation and goes beyond mere reiteration of
the earlier position as it takes into account the
operational scenario, organisational and structural
changes to meet the challenges of the revolution in
military affairs and network-centric warfare and joint
operations. One can see that there is a clear appraisal
that future wars will be 'short and intense'. The
doctrine has a confidential part that possibly analyses
the nuclear scene in the sub-continent. There is a
well-declared Government policy in the matter of
using.........more
Angry Wazas
Why should our Waza
friends be angry? They have done so well to restore
discipline in social and public life in the Valley in
particular...more
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BJP: The Janata
is missing By M J Akbar
Politicians can survive a
great deal -plague (corruption charg-es), pestilence
(electoral defeat), famine (not made a minister) -but
very few survive a sense of humour. That may be one
reason why there isn't much of it around. After all, if
you want to laugh at others all the time you have to also
laugh at yourself some of the time, which is difficult to
reconcile with ego. There is a very thin line between
cracking a joke and becoming a joke.........more
Veerappans
death
By R C Rajamani
Finally, the Veerappan
drama has eneded. The dreaded forest brigand met with a
predictable gory end, proving the adage that those who
live by the sword must also die by the sword..........more
Bangkok
rendozvous
and
peace prospects
By Sanchet Barua
Rituals can sometimes
capture the real thing. If the self-exiled Naga rebels
pray in Nagalands churches during the next
Christmas, it may well be a turning point in the Naga
peace talks. The latest round of talks between the
National Socialist Council of Nagalim, led by Mr.
Thuingaleng Muivah and Mr. Isak Chisi Swu, and New
Delhis emissaries in Bangkok has ended in a new
hope. By accepting the Centres invitation to come
to India in December, the two leader have sent out a
welcome signal both for the peace talks and for the
people of Nagaland.....more
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BJP:
The Janata is missing
By M J Akbar
Politicians
can survive a great deal -plague
(corruption charg-es), pestilence
(electoral defeat), famine (not made a
minister) -but very few survive a sense
of humour. That may be one reason why
there isn't much of it around. After all,
if you want to laugh at others all the
time you have to also laugh at yourself
some of the time, which is difficult to
reconcile with ego. There is a very thin
line between cracking a joke and becoming
a joke. Lalu Prasad Yadav, for instance,
is now expected to entertain at very
public meeting and at many private ones.
He succeeds because he does have the
sense to laugh occasionally at himself,
although he takes care never to joke
about corruption just in case the
boomerang effect gets him squarely on the
nose. When a joke falls flat it takes the
joker down with it.
The just
removed BJP President, Venkaiah Naidu,
never quite got his jokes right. He
fashioned an image as the bluff, hearty,
alliterative leader who could demolish
deathly demons with devastating daring
you see the point. Bad alliteration is
like the flu. You catch it easily and it
lays you down. Naidu was always shooting
off some homily or other about those
opposed to the BJP, and since his
relationship with the English language
was at best quaint, the combination was
often hopelessly funny for all the wrong
reasons. He overdid himself during the
press conferences in the general
elections. Correspondents are too polite
to snicker in front of the high and
mightly, but behind his back was another
story. The slippage on the credibility
graph was significant.
This may,
in the history books, end up as a very
minor reason for the BJP's troubles this
year, but when the going is bad
everything adds up. A more important
reason could lie in another verbal
statistic. The BJP has a large research
division. It should put together a term
to find out just how many times the party
president used the words
"poverty" or "poor"
and compare it to other words in his
repertoire. Even a rudimentary analysis
would prove that the BJP had slipped to
its Jana Sangh roots and returned to a
middle class political culture. It might
be of interest to the party, as it
struggles once again to find a road map,
that communalism and communism emerge
from the same concept: commune. In
theory, both communalism and communism
accept the rationale of conflict. But
whereas the first seeks to advance its
cause through the demonisation of the
minorities, the second seeks to expand
its base through a challenge to the rich.
This is what makes the first ephemeral
and the second sustainable.
The BJP
rose in the late 1980s because L K Advani
struck a chord with the poor. He did not
do so with an economic agenda, but a
religious one. He took the Ram temple
construction movement into the villages,
where the party had insufficient
presence, and to women, whom the party
had never wooed. The strength of an
emotional upsurge can at best be limited,
and much of the steam exhausted itself
with the destruction of the Babri mosque.
But Advani had something else to offer
his party: a rational analysis of
weaknesses and strengths when opportunity
presented itself at the end of the 1990s.
The BJP leadership took the unsentimental
view that if it wanted power in Delhi
then it could only be through
partnerships. This meant that it would
have to cede space in parliamentary
calculus, and withdraw from the
confrontational heart of its ideological
compulsions. This was not without
internal pain, for there were always the
Murli Manohar Joshis to push the envelope
at inconvenient moments. However, it was
implicit that both concessions were
temporary. Neither did the party have any
qualms about exploiting crass
communalism, as for instance in Gujarat.
One
faction, offered shelter in the Vajpayee
wing, did begin to believe after 1999
that power would diffuse the original
ideology, but it was a minority (pun
intended). Very adroitly, Atal Bihari
Vajpayee used Pakistan, an antithesis of
the BJP, to redefine the thesis of his
years in power. It was not another
political game. He genuinely believed in
peace with Pakistan, and sustained that
belief through the Kargil war, the
turmoil of terrorism and the expensive
failure of Agra.
When push
came to shove, as in Gujarat, the
Atalities had to retreat. Power, however,
provided this faction with sufficient
cover, and the prospect of continued
power made it complacent. Defeat has
marginalised the Atalites to the point
where the Maharashtra election campaign
scheduled only one Vajpayee meeting, and
that too in the company of Bal Thackeray.
Nor is Vajpayee the only ''traitor"
to the hardliners. Narendra Modi has
greeted Advani's return as party present
with deafening silence. It is pertinent
to note that Advani is a sitting MP from
the capital of Gujarat. Equations have
changed in Modi's calculations. Two years
ago, he needed Advani. Today, he believes
that Advani needs him.
Pramod
Mahajan, belligerent in victory but
astute in defeat, has made a very
perceptive point in one of his mea culpa
interviews offered to the media as part
of the atonement process. He learnt to
play bridge, he says, while under arrest
during the Emergency. One of the basic
rules of the game is "When in doubt,
lead a trump''. The BJP, he explained,
has pulled out its trump card, Advani
since it is trapped once again in the
uncertainties of the 1980s.
The
mention of the Emergency, and the
extraordinary compromise that the party
made in 1977 when it merged its identity
into the Janata Party. Three years of
power led to seven years of doubt, until
the mishandling of the Shah Bano crisis
provided a route back to relevance. How
many years of doubt will emerge from six
years of power?
The nub is
this : can Advani of the 2000s be the
Advani of the 1980s? Or is Narendra Modi
going to be the Next Big Thing? There is
little doubt that Modi sees himself as
the future of his party. He has
positioned himself as the incorruptible
soul of Hindutva, both ideologically and
financially, untainted by the temptations
of body, bank account or ideological
compromise. He believes that he does not
have to wait for more than a couple of
years before the call comes, ironically,
he needs the Manmohan Singh Government to
last the course, so that he can campaign
against both incumbency and
"pseudo-secular-minority" rule.
However, windows of opportunity in public
life tend to be flirtatious. They beckon.
But a sudden breeze can also shut them.
Events change life more than intentions.
The tried
and still trusted Advani has an obvious
immediate challenge: how to energise the
base that keeps slithering away. The
Bharatiya Janta Party is still Bharatiya,
and still a party, but the Janata has
disappeared.
Politics
is never static. If you do not grow, you
slide; you do not remain stagnant. The
base has two dimensions, the party and
the electorate, and to an extent they are
interdependent. It is obvious though that
a party depends more on the voter than
the voter does not a party. The Modis may
not believe it, but the voter is not
going to return through the brutal
mechanism of communal riots. The spirit
of democracy dies each time a Modi
thrives.
A story
from a favourite source might prove
instructive. Hazrat Maulana Jalaludin
Rumi is well known. But his father,
Bahauddin Veled, was also a famous
divine. Sultan Alauddin, rule of Qonya,
once took the elder sage to his palace
and fortress, and showed him the splendid
new roof, walls and towers that had been
built to protect the kingdom. Bahauddin
Veled remarked to the Sultan: "You
have raised an excellent defence against
the hordes and horsemen of the enemy. But
what protection have you built against
the unseen arrows, the sighs and moans of
the oppressed who live inside the
kingdom? They can sweep whole worlds away
to destruction. Strive to obtain the
blessings of the poorest of your
destruction.They are a stronghold
compared to which the finest turrest and
strongest castles are nothing."
Venkaiah
Naidu concentrated on building castles,
at least some of them in the air. Lal
Krishna Advani needs to find those
subjects.
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Veerappans
death
By R C Rajamani
Finally,
the Veerappan drama has eneded. The
dreaded forest brigand met with a
predictable gory end, proving the adage
that those who live by the sword must
also die by the sword.
Veerappan's
death is certainly a relief to society.
But, politically, especially in the
battle against terrorism, a Veerappan
captured alive would have been more
desirable.
With
Veerappan's death, many political secrets
are also dead, secrets that could give
certain clues to his unchallenged jungle
rule for over two decades. Though he was
in the thick forests, he was yet not out
of civilisation and had everything he
required, from food to friends. When he
could easily reach civilised society at
will, how was it that excepting
individuals like journalist Nakkeeran
Gopal, none, not even the police or the
army, could ever penetrate his hideout?
Was he mightier than the Establishment
with its entire wherewithal?
No, he was
made to appear so, obviously with help
from the world of politics. Except making
educated guesses about the identity of
his likely benefactors, who were also
logically the brigand's beneficiaries,
one shall never know the truth of it all.
For, the onlyone who could have spilled
the beans about the secret of his 25-year
reign of plunder, kidnapping, extortion
and cold-blooded killing, was Veerappan
himself, now dead and not able to tell
tales.
Veerappan's
network extended far beyond the sleepy
Satyamangalam forests on the Tamil
Nadu-Karnataka border. Indeed, it
extended to Sri Lanka in the south and
Burma (Myanmar) in the north. Veerappan
was believed to be part of the narcotics
trade that originated in Burma and
reportedly reached the banned terrorist
outfit LTTE (Liberation Tigers of Tamil
Eelam) in its stronghold in Jaffna in Sri
Lanka, according to Dr Subramanian Swamy,
India's former Commerce and Law Minister.
The narcotics trade sustained both
Veerappan and LTTE chief Velupillai
Prabakharan, says Dr Swamy in his book on
Rajiv Gandhi's assassination.
What lends
credibility to this is the fact that
individuals having sympathy for LTTE had
brokered truce between Tamil Nadu and
Karnataka Governments on the one hand and
Veerappan on the other in negotiations
for the release of hostages being held by
the forest brigand at different times.
This happened in the case of Kannada film
actor Rajkumar who was kidnapped and kept
in captivity for 108 days by Veerappan in
the year 2000.
The long
drawn out drama drew emissaries such as
Nakeeran Gopal, the journalist, and
Nedumaran who entered the scene during
the final stages. Nedumaran, a prominent
former Congress party leader, is a known
LTTE sympathiser and was said to enjoy
the confidence of Veerappan. The 108-day
drama also revealed Veerappan's
association with some banned Tamil
extremist organisations that had forged
links with LTTE to fight for a
separate land for the Tamils
in India.
The
Rajkumar episode perhaps revealed the
calculated brain that Veerappan carried
during his life, lived in danger and
dread. Veerappan, knew the priceless
value of his hostage. From day one, he
knew he could never harm Rajkumar. He
knew that would have unleashed a terrible
backlash against thousands of Tamils
living in Karnataka, especially its
capital Bangalore. To the sandalwood
smuggler and poacher of pachyderm, the
soft-spoken and gentle actor was like the
proverbial goose that laid the golden
eggs. At the end of the harrowing crisis,
it was not clear if Veerappan had
extracted any "golden egg". But
surmises put the ransom money at an
astronomical sum, ranging from hundreds
of millions to one billion Rupees.
Once she
returned to power in June 2001,
Jayalalithaa galvanised the Special Task
Force to nab the brigand. She gave STF
more arms, greater power and a measure of
autonomy to achieve its mission that was
successfully completed on October 18.
Jayalalithaa deserves praise for her bold
and firm stand. Kudos to the STF, headed
by Tamil Nadu's Additional Director
General of Police, K Vijay Kumar.
But, how
Veerappan was allowed to acquire an
invincibility that is incredible, seen in
the light of the power and might that are
at the disposal of the State
administration, is the million dollar
question, now destined to remain
unanswered for ever, unless in the most
unlikely event of some beneficiary or
benefactor or the slain outlaw deciding
to bare it all.
How
Verrappan, the villain in the drama, was
allowed to build an empire of his own
inside the thick Satyamangalam forests on
the Tamil Nadu-Karnataka border reads
like a fairy tale.
Born into
a poor Tamil family with two brothers and
a sister in Chengampadi village on the
Tamil Nadu-Karnataka border, Veerappan,
as a kid, used to roam around the jungle,
grazing cows. At the age of 10, his uncle
Sevi Gounder, whom Veerappan regarded as
his guru, initiated Veerappan into
killing elephants. When trade in ivory
was banned, Veerappan switched over to
successfully smuggling sandalwood. Though
arrested and jailed a few times since
1972, Veerappan always managed to escape,
making it difficult to believe that he
did not enjoy political and police
patronage. His record of slaughtering
about 2000 elephants for lucrative
smuggling of ivory and his cold-blooded
murder of forest and police officials all
went to establish a clear link between
him and those in authorities.
Though he
never went to school formally, he claimed
to have learnt to read and write Tamil
when he was 20. A regular listener of
radio, including the BBC, he was also
said to read magazines and books. Some of
the books that he carried along included
Ramayana, Mahabharata, biographies of MGR
(the late film star-politician M G
Ramachandran. Who became the Chief
Minister of Tamil Nadu in 1977) and the
LTTE supremo Pirabhakaran. Deeply
religious, Veerappan always began his day
after a bath with prayers. Though he
hunted animals and birds for food, he
never killed a peacock as it is
considered to be the vahana
(vehicle) of his favourite God, Murugan.
But by the
year 2000, Veerappan had become a
somewhat tired man, fatigued by the very
nature of living as a fugitive of
society. He was willing to surrender
under the condition of total amnesty.
This was considered a sign of weakness
with the ageing Veerappan at last tired
of being on the run. But amnesty was
refused.
Veerappan
was almost forgotten till the surprise
kidnapping of the Kannada film super
star, Rajkumar. "Villain kidnaps
Hero, ran an evocative headline in
a national daily. He then decided to play
protector of 60 million
Tamils and even dropped names such as
Che Guevera, with affected
knowledge. He wanted to be treated as a
political dissident, perhaps a Tamil
extremist with a cause. He had even
demanded that Tamil should be declared a
classical language and a film made on
him. Incidentally, quite unconnected with
his demand, the federal Government had
recently declared Tamil a classical
language!) One can be certain that some
Bollywood or Kollywood producer will make
a film on the forest brigand sooner than
later, again quite unconnected with the
slain outlaw's demand.
What was
shocking was that even after the Rajkumar
episode, Veerappan was allowed to have a
free reign as he kidnapped and killed
popular Karnataka politician and former
minister H Nagappa.
Veerappan's
strength lay in the support he got from
both outside and inside the forest. It
came about mainly because of the
lop-sided developmental policies followed
by Governments after India's
Independence. The tribal people suddenly
lost right over their own forestland.
They found to their utter dismay that
many of their day-to-day activities were
declared illegal. With an apathetic
administration doing its will, the
emerging social tension, flowing from
loss of livelihood and no alternative
jobs in sight, naturally bred the likes
of Veerappan, first in the role of
modern-day-Robinhoods but later plain
plunderers of public wealth.
PTI
Feature
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Bangkok
rendozvous and peace prospects
By Sanchet Barua
Rituals can
sometimes capture the real thing. If the
self-exiled Naga rebels pray in Nagalands
churches during the next Christmas, it may well
be a turning point in the Naga peace talks. The
latest round of talks between the National
Socialist Council of Nagalim, led by Mr.
Thuingaleng Muivah and Mr. Isak Chisi Swu, and
New Delhis emissaries in Bangkok has ended
in a new hope. By accepting the Centres
invitation to come to India in December, the two
leader have sent out a welcome signal both for
the peace talks and for the people of Nagaland.
However, their
passage to India may not mean the coming of
lasting peace in that troubled state, but it will
add significantly to the peace rites. It will
also be a great leap forward for the rebels who
once insisted on having the talks only in a
"third" country. Obviously, the NSCN
leaders would not have accepted the invitation if
they were not satisfied with New Delhis
commitment to an early and peaceful end to the
55-year-old Naga insurgency. And the Centre, too,
must have accepted the NSCNs commitment to
the seven-year-old ceasefire in Nagaland as proof
of its genuine desire for peace.
Difficulties,
though, remain on the road to peace. The biggest
of them is the NSCNs demand for an
integration of all Naga-inhabited areas into a
greater Nagaland. Such areas are part of a
several other states such as Manipur, Assam and
Arunachal Pradesh. It is not just a question of
geography; the political impact of an integration
of these areas into present-day Nagaland may be
unsettling for the whole of the Northeast.
At the same time,
this is crucial to the NSCNs idea of the
Nagas identity as a racially and culturally
distinct people. There is no denying that the
creation of the north-eastern states out of old
Assam was arbitrary. But it could prove extremely
difficult to redraw these states boundaries
without inciting violent ethnic rivalries. Both
New Delhi and the NSCN need to take the present
situation in the region into account in tackling
this sensitive issue. By contrast, the other
contentious issue of "sovereignty" of
the Nagas may prove easier to handle.
The NSCN has
indicated that its idea of sovereignty does not
mean secession from India. Even if the two sides
have different approaches to these issues, the
talks so far indicate a common agenda for peace.
The important thing is not to let the problems
outweigh the promise of peace.
The peoples
anxiety has turned into impatience and the
impatience is slowly giving way to anger. This is
where the danger lies. Public pressure is being
stepped up on the NSCN (I-M) to prove its mettle
even as people have begun rebelling outright
against the rebels "tax
collection" and intimidation as well as the
infighting among the many groups. There was a
recent article about how a solution to the Naga
problem was far off because the rebels had got
used to plush apartments and a luxurious
lifestyle and could not brave life in the jungles
anymore.
All this has had
an effect and the NSCN (I-M) on its toes now to
bring about a breakthrough of some sort or return
to the jungles in order to prove its credibility
to the masses. Subtle movements towards that goal
have already begun. The NSCN (I-M) leaders have
made much of their activists being kept
"almost like prisoners" at the
designated camps.
The NSCN
(I-M)s recent move to dictate education
policy in schools is another example of their
outfits determination to assert its image
as the "government of the peoples
republic of Nagalim".
Yet, another angle
was added to the already complex situation on
October 2, with the twin blasts in Dimapur
killing 27 people and injuring more than a
hundred. No one claimed responsibility, but the
National Democratic Front of Bodoland is alleged
to be the prime suspect. But if one goes into the
details of the NDFBs motive to attack
Dimapur, far away from Bodo areas, it will give
the Centre one more reason to be serious in its
talks with any of the Naga outfits.
Many in the
establishment whisper that the NDFB was, in some
way, trying to get even with the NSCN (I-M). The
two outfits are said to have had an understanding
in the past about arms and "tax" money.
Be that as it may, the crux of the matter is that
peace in the Northeast will depend mainly on the
way the Centre goes ahead with the peace talks
with the NSCN (I-M), considered to be the most
powerful umbrella organisation in the region.
The cradle of
complex tribal relations, the Northeast cannot be
protected by simply talking to Bangladesh or
effecting a Bhutan operation or getting into a
deal with Myanmar so that it does not support
militants from Nagaland or Manipur. An umbrella
organisation for dozens of outfits in the region,
the Isak-Muivah faction of the NSCN could be the
key for a return to total mayhem, or to a new era
of prosperity in the Northeast through the
building of ties with south-east Asia.
Quite shrewdly,
the outfit has thrown the ball in Delhis
court. It is time now for the latter to find a
solution instead of procrastinating endlessly.
While sovereignty is perhaps not so much on the
minds of the NSCN (I-M) leaders, it might still
be a second destination if, and when, integration
or a semblance of it is achieved.
If one considers
the Northeast as an integral part of the country,
then talks have to begin in earnest with the
rebels and be brought to a conclusion. It might
well be remembered that the Naga issue has been
simmering for more than five decades now.
Development may have come to Nagaland in the past
seven years of relative peace but once again,
voices are being raised by hard-liners on what is
more important peace or a solution.
Time is certainly
running out for both parties given that three
months have gone by since the extension of the
ceasefire. In sum, it will be a dangerous year
ahead unless a resolution is reached and the hope
for peace is translated into concrete measures.
If this does not happen, it will be guerrilla
wars in the Naga hills once again, the effect of
which will spread to the entire region, and
beyond, this time. INAV
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