EDITORIAL

Snakes and humans

Why should snakes be angry with the fire brigade staff in Jammu? They are not humans — certainly not politicians — who should take umbrage over everything the others do. There is no way the snakes would have been offended by those whose job is to extinguish fire and not ignite it: it is only left to some members of the political class to trigger the turmoil to express their displeasure even after their decisive defeat in the Parliamentary elections. According to a report buried in a corner of newspapers, 17 snakes found their way into bathrooms of the fire brigade office and had the human beings on their toes. There was a big drama till all of them were caught and removed to the nearby forest area. What were they planning to do? Not all snakes are poisonous. In fact, they share all the traits of the human beings: some just scare the others by their presence because of the general impression about them that they are the killers while the others carry out their deadly job and disappear. For those without any poison it is galling that they can’t speak and explain that they belong to gentle species. Who cares for gentlemen in this world anyway whatever their shape? Those in human form at least can ventilate their grievances and shed tears. The other living beings don’t have that luxury. The plants, for instance, are just plucked and thrown around: this, despite everybody knowing that they also breathe. It is quite another thing that they avenge their humiliation in their own silent manner. More they are uprooted from the soil, more parched the earth is with serious consequences for the existence of those who treat them with disrespect. The law is now protecting them. The same preferential treatment is being given to the animals by keeping them in zoos and formulating legislations for protecting those facing.....more

Siachen or Tehelka
Can Army afford these scandals?

By Maj Gen V K Madhok (retired)

Two issues which need to be addressed squarely-with great promptitude, and which should raise the heckles of.........more

To stop the outflow
By Jayant Muralidharan

Two years ago, adivasi women in Plachimada, a small hamlet in Palghat, Kerala, started a movement against.........more

Media lessons from Election 2004
TALES OF TRAVESTY

By Dr. Jitendra Singh

If the BJP led National Democratic Alliance met with a defeat by a certain margin in Election 2004, the media operators, the media commentators and the media ''Pundits''......more

Manpower Planning

By H C Katoch

Manpower planning machinery barely exists any where in the Government set up especially in the State of Jammu and Kashmir. It is true of other States also and the Centre too. Even if ..........more

J&K: Nature of the
2004 poll verdict

By Hari Om

The 2004 election verdict in Jammu and Kashmir (J&K) is as fractured as it is in the rest of the country. No party can claim .......more

EDITORIAL

Snakes and humans

Why should snakes be angry with the fire brigade staff in Jammu? They are not humans — certainly not politicians — who should take umbrage over everything the others do. There is no way the snakes would have been offended by those whose job is to extinguish fire and not ignite it: it is only left to some members of the political class to trigger the turmoil to express their displeasure even after their decisive defeat in the Parliamentary elections. According to a report buried in a corner of newspapers, 17 snakes found their way into bathrooms of the fire brigade office and had the human beings on their toes. There was a big drama till all of them were caught and removed to the nearby forest area. What were they planning to do? Not all snakes are poisonous. In fact, they share all the traits of the human beings: some just scare the others by their presence because of the general impression about them that they are the killers while the others carry out their deadly job and disappear. For those without any poison it is galling that they can’t speak and explain that they belong to gentle species. Who cares for gentlemen in this world anyway whatever their shape? Those in human form at least can ventilate their grievances and shed tears. The other living beings don’t have that luxury. The plants, for instance, are just plucked and thrown around: this, despite everybody knowing that they also breathe. It is quite another thing that they avenge their humiliation in their own silent manner. More they are uprooted from the soil, more parched the earth is with serious consequences for the existence of those who treat them with disrespect. The law is now protecting them. The same preferential treatment is being given to the animals by keeping them in zoos and formulating legislations for protecting those facing extinction. This does not mean that the plants and the animals have become subservient to the humans: there is just realisation that all of them are made for each other and need to co-exist. It is strange that the members of the political class don’t realise it while settling scores with each other. Worse still, they have coined the idiom of dogs biting dogs to shift the blame on the most loyalist among the animals for their feuds. Similarly, they curse the snakes in the grass for backstabbings they themselves indulge in.

What have the snakes done in the fire brigade office? They have come, seen around and perhaps would have gone back had they not caught the attention of the humans who, in all fairness, simply pushed them back into their natural habitat. Both have been extremely decent towards each other. This is some thing that should be praised. Life is nothing if not guided by the spirit of mutual accommodation. This brings us to the wider question of how the rivals should behave in a democracy. One can’t really understand why usually unflappable Govindacharya and Sushma Swaraj have chosen to be in the company of angry Uma Bharati in rejecting the electoral verdict in favour of Sonia Gandhi. Whatever their view they have expressed it during the electoral campaign and learnt that it is not acceptable to a vast majority of the people. What has been this fuss over boycotting the swearing-in ceremony should Ms Gandhi take the oath? Hopefully they will be wiser now that they are crestfallen having been beaten in their own game. One hates to make such comparison but there is enough to learn from the snake-and-human story in Jammu: not for nothing Jambulochan had founded this city after seeing a lion and a goat together drinking water from the Tawi.

Siachen or Tehelka
Can Army afford these scandals?

By Maj Gen V K Madhok (retired)

Two issues which need to be addressed squarely-with great promptitude, and which should raise the heckles of those in authority today or in the future, whether in the Army or in the civil, are: the resurgence of Tehelka type incidents which gave explicit details of sex scandals by Army officers on TV. And now, the reporting of fake incidents and encounters to earn decorations and promotions, at Siachen. Secondly, a study report concerning the management of Army's officer cadre with a view to remove disappointment amongst juniors.

No doubt, dubious methods were employed to tempt officers who fell prey to Tehelka's designs. Yet Tehelka's revelations are unforgivable. But there were no temptations at Siachen except to cook up false evidence of encounters. Surely, this is not the way for anyone who wears the uniform of Indian Army.

Therefore, it is time for deep introspection by the Nation. Because the moral decay has not taken place overnight but over the years. Tehelka was bound to happen when the country has failed to indigenise and purchases 75-85 percent of its military hardware from abroad where all the money is. Therefore with foreign companies vying for contracts, with Indian middleman as their conduits positioned next to the controlling officers, it was only a matter of time before such dirty deals came to public notice. And this would be repeated should India fail to indigenise.

Concurrently, it would be sheer hypocracy, even to think, that a country dubbed as one of the most corrupt in the world, can have an honest army inspite of all the rules, regulations and an Army Act to monitor and punish dishonesty. This is a contradiction in term. Yet, the Army must be honest, guided by the highest ideals and led by leaders with character and integrity. Or the Army will-in the long run, not obey orders or follow leaders who don't have moral strength and will disintegrate. There should be no doubt about it. Fortunately for India, a couple of more years are required for total degeneration. Currently, Army's fighting arms (Infantry and Armed corps) are certainly not contaminated. The scope for corruption with them is minimal. Army's supporting arms (Artillery, Signals and Engineers) are competent.

All the Tehelka type of exposures pertain to the areas of Logistics, of contracts and purchases where there is tremendous scope for corruption. The chief players hail from the polity, bureaucracy, businessmen, foreign companies, arms agents, advertising firms, whose target is the Army officer, uninitiated in the art of business warfare. Finally, it is he who has to project demands for arms and equipment, conduct user trials and finally approve induction of what he needs.

Now all this or what happened at Siachen should have been known to the Army Chief, Raksha Mantri and the Prime Minister. They have all the intelligence resources at their disposal: IB, CBI, RAW, Army's intelligence and so on. It is they who have to be held responsible for such lapses in the first instance instead of throwing the blame on some junior Major commanding a company at Siachen. If this does not happen then the Nation would do well to blame itself.

As regards the management of Army's officer cadre, there are two burning issues. Firstly, besides promotion there are numerous critical areas with problems leading to disappointment. No Army Chief or Raksha Mantri has applied himself to address these with concern. Either they lacked understanding or will? Or these problems would have been put right in a short time. These are also the reason why the youth does not want to join the Army and those serving in it would rather leave for greener pastures in the civil after doing correspondence courses and a minimum tenure to earn pension. Some of these problems are : long waits and even denial of accommodation in peace stations. Some officers spend 50% of their peace tenure waiting for accommodation. Then also, the accommodation may be sub-standard. Further, there is the issue of children's education and to get admission in good schools without donations. Repeated tenures in high altitudes or non-family stations, denial of priority in courts, extra demands on combat fit officers due to shortages, an insensitive society, which looks at a soldier as fit only for security duties. And the struggle to find a job on retirement or on disability and so on.

Secondly, there is a crisis in military leadership. The youth does not want to share the responsibility for national security. Therefore, with 50 percent deficiency in the officer cadre (20,000 against 42,000 or so authorised), Army's 600 or so fighting units (Infantry and Armed corps) have full strength of nearly 50 JCOs each but only 6-7 functional officers against 21-24 authorised. Thus, India has a JCO led army : The JCO, with 22-24 years service is a fine soldier. But he cannot match the vigour, dash and elan of a young officer. While the Nation needs an officer led army with 50 officers and only 5-6 JCOs each in a combat unit.

What needs to be done? Firstly, the Army must review its promotion system to ensure that sub standard material does not reach higher ranks. This system must be debated in the Parliament and not left to the whims of Army chiefs or the Ministry of Defence. In this system, integrity and not only knowledge must become the focus for promotion. And anyone found wanting in integrity must be thrown out.

Secondly, India must get an effective Reservist System going. It is only on paper today. If the Army was to despatch call-up notices to its Reservist officers, it wont get more than a dozen odd fit officers. That is what happened in 1971 during Bangladesh operations. When the Army could muster only half a dozen fit and willing officers for its fighting arms. The question is, why should the Army not have a 100percent Reservist officer corps? In addition, why should the Nation not expand its Territorial Army from its present 40,000 strength to atleast two crores or so and create an officer corps within this army which can make up the deficiency of regular army in an emergency.

Finally, it should be clear, that there can be no army without officer leadership. And unless the moral fibre of army leadership is impeccable, the Army will remain sub-standard. Further, No army means No India. Send the Army away on a day's casual leave and see what happens in India? The Parliament has to institute measures which will bring leaders of character and integrity on top. Also, to retain experienced officers to fulfill their minimum essential tenures instead of easing them out with Golden handshakes or Voluntary Retirement Schemes.

To stop the outflow
By Jayant Muralidharan

Two years ago, adivasi women in Plachimada, a small hamlet in Palghat, Kerala, started a movement against Coca-Cola. Today, the Coca-Cola plant in Plachimada has been shut down. The victory of the Plachimada movement is a major step in reversing the corporate hijack of our precious water resources. It provides both inspiration and lessons for building "water democracy" in other parts of India and in the rest of the world.

The Coca-Cola plant in Plachimada was commissioned in March 2000 to produce 1,224,000 bottles of Coca-Cola, Fanta, Sprite, Limca, Thums Up, Kinley Soda and Maaza. The panchayats had issued a conditional licence for installing a motor for drawing water. However, through electric pumps, the company started to illegally extract millions of litres of clean water from more than six bore wells installed by it in order to manufacture soft drinks. The water level started to fall drastically.

Not only did Coca-Cola "steal" the water of the local community, it also polluted what was left. Before pumping the wastewater into dry bore wells within the company premises, it deposited them outside. During the rainy season, the waste spread into paddy fields, canals and wells, causing serious health hazards. Complaints were also received from tribals and farmers that storage of water and sources of water were being adversely affected by the indiscriminate installation of bore wells for tapping ground water. This had serious consequences for cultivation in the area.

When the panchayats asked for details and the company failed to comply, it served a show cause notice and cancelled the licence. Coca-Cola tried to bribe the panchayats president, but without any success. In 2003, the district medical officer informed the people of Plachimada that their water was unfit for drinking. The women already knew the water was toxic and walked miles from home to collect drinking water. Coca-Cola had created water scarcity in a water-abundant region, and the women were not going to allow this "hydro-piracy". They started a dharna at the gates of Coca-Cola. On September 21, 2003 a huge rally was organised to give an ultimatum to Coca-Cola. In January, a World Water Conference brought global activists like Jose Bove and Maude Barlow to Plachimada to support the local activists.

A movement started by local adivasi women had thus unleashed a national and global wave in their support. On February 17, 2004 the Kerala chief minister, under pressure from the growing movement and the aggravation of the water crisis, ordered closure of the Coke plant. The victory of the movement was the result of forging broad alliances and using multiple strategies. The rainbow alliances beginning with local women and activists grew to include the local gram panchayats and its members. The local panchayats used its constitutional rights to serve notice on Coca-Cola. The Perumatty panchayats also filed public interest litigation in the Kerala High Court against Coca-Cola.

The courts supported the women’s demands. In an order on December 16, 2003, Justice Balakrishnana Nair ordered Coca-Cola to stop pirating Plachimada’s water. The order stated: "The Public Trust Doctrine primarily rests on the principle that certain resources like air, sea waters and the forests have such a great importance to the people as a whole that it would be wholly unjustified to make them a subject of private ownership… The doctrine enjoins upon the government to protect the resources for the enjoyment of the general public rather than to permit their use for private ownership or commercial purpose… The State is the trustee of all natural resources, which are by nature meant for public use and enjoyment. Public at large is the beneficiary of the seashore, running waters, airs (sic), forests and ecologically fragile lands".

In view of the above authoritative statement of the court, it can be safely concluded that underground water belongs to the public. The state has a duty to protect ground water against excessive exploitation and its inaction in this regard is tantamount to infringement of the right to life guaranteed under Article 21 of the Constitution. So, even in the absence of any law governing ground water, the panchayats and the state are bound to protect ground water from excessive exploitation.

Even if experts were to opine that the present level of consumption by the plant is harmless, it cannot be allowed to do so since the underground water belongs to the people and the company has no right to claim a huge share to it. The government has no power to allow a private party to extract such a huge quantity of ground water, which is a property, held by it in trust. If the company is permitted to draw such a huge quantity of ground water, then similar claims of the other landowners will also have to be allowed, which will result in the drying up of the underground reservoirs.

Accordingly, the company was directed to stop using ground water after a month from the date of the judgment. The time was granted to enable the company to find out alternative sources of water.

The alliance grew to include people like Veerandra Kumar of Mathrubhumi. The January conference co-organised with the local panchayats brought on one platform every political party, especially the leader of the opposition, V.S. Achuthanandan, who kept up the pressure in the Kerala assembly to translate the court decision into executive action. The literary movement provided leadership through Sukumar Azhikode. And global support came through the presence of Jose Bove, Maude Barlow, European parliamentarians and activists from across the world. The women’s protest, which is the heart and soul of the movement, got support through legal action, parliamentary action and scientific research.

This pluralism and diversity in support of local action was the secret of the victory of people against Coke in Plachimada. This is the strength of our multiplicities and complementarities which we have to mobilise in other part so the India where Coke and Pepsi are mining and stealing peoples’ water resources. Coca-Cola has 52 plants in India and Pepsi 38 plants. Each plant will be extracting between 1-1.5 million litres per day. This amounts to more than one trillion or one lakh crore litres. INAV

Media lessons from Election 2004
TALES OF TRAVESTY

By Dr. Jitendra Singh

If the BJP led National Democratic Alliance met with a defeat by a certain margin in Election 2004, the media operators, the media commentators and the media ''Pundits'' collectively met with a defeat by a much larger and much more decisive margin. Virtually every pre-poll or exit poll survey forwarded by a variety of mushrooming TV channels as also by print media agencies or columnists fell much off the mark from the actual results that emerged.

If nothing succeeds like success, nothing also fails like a failure. The failure of pre-election media predictions has inadvertantly invited for its predictors the allegation of putting in ''planted'' poll projections for dubious or pecuniary or commercial considerations. Even if such a wild accusation is dismissed away as too far-fetched or quixotic, the subject still calls for a debate on the academic sanctity, the technical procedure and the material/method adopted in conducting the much publicised pre-election opinion or exit polls. For example, in a country with 110 crore population where over 70 percent people live below poverty line and are denied the privilege of owning a television or a cell phone, how truly representative can be a survey based on the opinion of a small fraction of mostly those who are TV viewers or SMS users or newspaper readers while a large majority remains inaccessible in remote villages or slums ?

This obviously leads to the next question. Is the Indian media inadvertantly turning elitist even while ostensibly catering equally as much to the non-elitist sections of society ? Perhaps so! And more so ever since the advent of mutually vying, ruthlessly competitive private TV channels ! This unconscious or subconscious tendency reflects not only in the news related programmes but also in the late-night drama serials which invariably seek to satiate the appetite of upper middle class semi-westernised viewer who is quite alienated from the value-constraints observed by a majority of Indian populace. In other words, the new TV culture which has emerged in this country in recent years is more consumerist than effacing, more subjective than objective and more merchantile than journalistic. This inevitably brings back the thought of television's lesser cousin called Radio which perhaps still continues to identify more closely and realistically with the needs and requirements, aspirations and pangs of an unknown Indian.

The time-honoured dictum in journalism is that report is sacred and a reporter should never allow himself or herself to become a participant in the event that is being reported. The unwarranted media hype willingly or unwillingly generated in favour of the BJP did not only end up doing discredit to the media persons but also cost dearly to the BJP itself.

If the media work is to be pursued seriously as a mission, then it would not be so easy to churn out poll surveys which is infact a painstaking research exercise. This is the lesson to be picked up by the media fraternity if it does not wish to lose its credibility in the eyes of the common man. To live up to the expectations of Umapathy, a scribe needs to put in his sweat and blood, a La, ''Hum Se Poochhe Lahoo Maangti Hai Ghazal Kitna, Sab Samajhte Hain Yeh Dhanda Aaraam Ka Hai !''

Manpower Planning

By H C Katoch

Manpower planning machinery barely exists any where in the Government set up especially in the State of Jammu and Kashmir. It is true of other States also and the Centre too. Even if some wing is created it has either gone in hibernation or remained vestigial. Thus the equilibrium between demand and supply of the working force is destabilised resulting in social unrest. The problem of manpower planning has thus in existence even after entering the era of planned economic development through the process of five year plans. In the plan periods various schemes are being tried and implemented with huge investments in different sectors of the economy, yet there is no specific approach as how to strike a balance between demand and supply of manpower. In fact it is just the age old concept of Adam Smith popularly known as father of economics in olden times when his lassaize-faire economic thought was the watchword for economic development.

When we examine various endeavours made in different sectors of the economy to create jobs on the basis of the requirements for running the developmental or non developmental programmes or implementing certain schemes, this number is just an extremely small fraction of the total available working force in the employment market. The other approach is to throw open some potential areas for private enterprise by encouraging investments by prospective entrepreneurs in the economy. Development of infrastructure or to provide subsidies and outright grants in specific potential rich areas are also encouraged Despite all this the unemployment or disguised unemployment continues to surface that brings upheaval in the socio- economic structure of the nation.

It is a stupendous task to plan for all human beings entering employment market every year with different physical and mental capabilities in different age groups. Thus there is apparent need to concentrate upon this concept for healthy growth of the social system with economic development for need based opportunities and income generation for each home for happy living. The parameters for assessment of manpower are quite complex as these involve social, religious and other angels of human behaviour. However, the primary concern is to engage every able bodied human being in meaningful actions for contributing income to his livelihood and consequently to national domestic product.

The ingredients for manpower planning can be broadly identified as under

(i) Population-the main object for consideration.

(ii) Working force-the division of human resource in different occupations.

(iii) Natural resources- land, water minerals and forests.

(iv) Potential for exploitation of above natural resources.

(v) Constitution of state domestic product-share of primary, secondary & tertiary sectors.

(vi) Existing infrastructure- communication and other network facilities.

(vii) Investment pattern - determination of priorities based upon the potential to be exploited or the existing structure to be strengthened.

viii) Behaviour of economy with reference to latest technological changes etc.

Internal and external forces of political power and their policies or the compulsions of the social system, other constraints, or limitations of the system and various other factors connected both with human behaviour and values are other important factors for analysing the scope of the exercise to be taken up.

So far no such exercise based upon the linkages between human resource, bounties of nature and changes in the tastes and habits or broadly living pattern of the human beings has been attempted to my knowledge in the country or even in the world. Occurrence of trade cycles, too, is a pointer towards unplanned production in the economy where market competitive forces for achieving economy of scale or maximising profits ultimately give birth to fluctuations destablising demand and supply equilibrium. This further lead to imbalance in the structure of employment, growth, production and demand for consumption. All these issues and even more may crop up while detailed exercise is attempted to plan for the human resource.

To achieve perfect social order which of course is nowhere possible in the natural system because of unforeseen calamities or even boons coming up from unexpected gifts of nature or innovations carried out by human beings, but the approach on scientific lines for finding solutions can not be underestimated. Thus it is suggested to give a serious thought to plan for the human beings especially the educated unemployed either in established system or through creation of opportunities in the system which still remains obscure.

J&K: Nature of the 2004 poll verdict

By Hari Om

The 2004 election verdict in Jammu and Kashmir (J&K) is as fractured as it is in the rest of the country. No party can claim that it has won the people's mandate to rule or interpret it as a victory against other formations. It is, however, a different story that the Congress and its coalition partner, the People's Democratic Party (PDP), and the National Conference (NC) are all feeling jubilant over the poll outcome and hailing the election results as their crowning triumph.

Should we go by what these parties are claiming or saying? The answer under no situation could be yes. Even a superficial study of the nature of the 2004 poll verdict in the State would lay bare the disparities between their loud claims and actual ground situation. Take, for instance, the assertion of the NC, the State's one of the premier political outfits. The NC is saying that its victory in the Baramulla and Srinagar parliamentary constituencies in the Kashmir valley is undoubtedly a victory against the Congress supported PDP-led five-party coalition and a clear verdict against the policies of the State Government.

Admitted. But just compare the 2004 performance of the NC with the one in the 1998 general elections and you would see the difference. In 1998, it had captured four of the six parliamentary seats. It had won in all the three constituencies in Kashmir and also captured the Leh seat in the Cold - Desert ladakh. Its performance in the Jammu region's Jammu and Udhampur constituencies was also not too bad. In both these constituencies, the NC was number two, with the BJP winning both the seats and the Congress facing a total rout and humiliating defeat all over the State. In 2001, the NC also defeated the BJP and won the Jammu Parliamentary seat by a huge margin of over 57 thousand votes. That bi-election had been caused due to the death of Vaid Vishno Dutt, the then member of the Lok Sabha.

What does this indicate? It only indicates the NC's virtual demise in the State's two other regions - Jammu and Ladakh. It has been badly humbled and defeated in the Anantnag, Jammu, Udhampur and Leh Lok Sabha constituencies. It has been able to maintain its lead only in four of the 41 Assembly segments in the Jammu and Ladakh regions. As for its performance in Kashmir, it has led in 20 of the 46 Assembly segments only. In other words, the NC, which not so long ago dominated the State's political scene, has maintained lead in 24 Assembly segments as against over 50 in 1996 and 28 in 2002. But more than that, the election 2004 has limited the area of its influence to certain areas of the Valley.

This is something that must compel the NC leaders to sit up and find what has made it thoroughly unpopular in Jammu and Ladakh and reduced its support base in the Valley - its "core constituency."

As for the Congress leaders, they are asserting very loudly that the election results have proved that the people of the State have rejected their political opponents and endorsed their 18-month-old policies, including the policy of "healing touch". To prove their point, they are referring to the party's victory in both the parliamentary constituencies in the Jammu region. It is true that the Congress has won both the seats.

But it is equally true that it is the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) which has led in 15 of the 37 Assembly segments - 10 in Jammu and 5 in Udhampur. And, it has led in segments being represented since October 2002 by none other than ministers, including the senior Congress leader and State's Deputy Chief Minister. In the constituency held by the Deputy Chief Minister, the Congress had trailed behind the BJP by a huge margin of more than 13000 votes. Besides, there are three other Assembly segments in the Jammu Parliamentary constituency - Akhnoor, Chhamb and Suchetgarh, where the BJP has performed exceptionally well considering the fact that these are also represented by the Congress ministers, including the canny Congress candidate Madan Lal Sharma, and the Speaker. The victory margin of the Congress in these segments is a paltry 907, 2454 and 913, respectively. On the contrary, the vote share of the BJP in these segments has increased from 8700 votes in 2002 to 21021 votes, 9288 votes to 17508 votes and 11207 votes to 13,908 votes, respectively.

The fact is that it is the BJP which has considerably improved its performance and led in 15 Assembly segments in the Jammu region as against just one in the 2002 Assembly elections and lost the election in Jammu by a very narrow margin of nearly 17,000 votes. And, this, notwithstanding the fact that the Congress exploited its official position to the hilt, grossly misused the official machinery and started developmental works during the election campaign to influence the electorate, also the so-called free and fair poll process in its favour. It needs to be underlined that the election authorities did not take any action whatsoever on the complaints made repeatedly by the non-BJP outfits through memoranda, statements and press conferences regarding electoral mal-practices openly indulged in by the Congress. There are also reports that the ruling coalition did tinker with electronic voting machines, particularly in the remote Inderwal, Banihal, Gulabgarh, Gool-Arnas, Darhal and Surankot areas in order to benefit the coalition candidates in the Jammu region. It is important to note that the ruling elite has all along used these areas for manipulating elections in favour of its candidates whosoever they may be.

Again, there are cogent reason to believe that there was some sort of tacit understanding between the otherwise known political foes - the NC and the Congress - to help each other in Kashmir and Jammu. The objective obviously was to ensure victory of the NC president Omar Abdullah from the Srinagar parliamentary constituency and defeat of the BJP in the Jammu region. How else would one interpret the wholesale transfer of the NC traditional votes in the Jammu constituency's Rajouri and Poonch districts and Udhampur constituency's Doda and Udhampur districts to the Congress and the transfer of the traditional Congress votes in the Srinagar constituency to the NC? There is no doubt whatever that the prime cause responsible for the BJP defeat in the Jammu region is a dramatic change in the voting pattern in the areas referred to above and this change has taken place in the electoral history of these areas for the first time.

As far as the performance of the PDP is concerned, it has miserably failed to extend its areas of influence beyond the South Kashmir's Pulwama and Anantnag district. It's areas of influence continues to be limited to these two districts and that is the reason the people term this party as TDP (Two-district party) and not PDP. The only silver lining for this party is that it has won the Anantnag seat and led in 23 Assembly segments in Kashmir province. But this should be no consolation for the Congress supported PDP-led alliance. For, the coalition has trailed in 14 ministerial segments and performed very badly in several other assembly segments represented by ministers and chairmen of this board or that board. The truth is that the coalition has led only in 47 assembly segments as against 56 in the last assembly elections, thus reducing the gap between it and the opposition from 25 to a paltry 7.

The story of electoral defeat of the J&K National Panthers Party (JKNPP) - another coalition partner - is no different. As a matter of fact, it has paid a heavy price for its politics of blackmail, deceit and rhetoric. It could manage a respectable lead only in one assembly segment as against four in the 2002 assembly elections. Courtesy the Education Minister Harshdev Singh, who took the plunge in the last stage and worked hard in his own Ramnagar Assembly segment - the solitary segment in which the JKNPP has led. As for another coalition partner, the CPI-M, less said the better. It was a marginal outfit and it continues to be so. In the 2002 assembly elections, it had won two seats from South Kashmir. The Election 2004 has cut this party to size, with the party General Secretary Mohd. Yusuf Tarigami somehow managing a lead in his Kulgam assembly segment. The real beneficiary of the 2004 elections undoubtedly is Thupstan Chhewang of the Ladakh Union Territory Front (LUTF), who has trounched the NC and snatched the Leh Parliamentary seat from the NC. The Leh-based LUTF is the only outfit which can claim that it's is a splendid victory.

All this should serve to demonstrate that the Congress, the PDP, the JKNPP and the CPI-M have not fared well. The reasons for such a setback are not far to seek. The most notable are (1) failure to fulfil the 2002 solemn promises, (2) adoption of the rabidly anti-women Permanent Resident (Disqualification) Bill, (3) withdrawal of the CSD canteen facilities to the serving and ex-servicemen, (4) dismissal of nearly 22,000 daily wagers, (5) total neglect of the border migrants and educated unemployed youth, (6) loot and plunder and (7) militant-friendly policies. Other fundamental factors responsible for the poor performance being the non- implementation of the Wazir Commission report or the creation of three new districts in Jammu region, refusal to set up a delimitation commission and establish regional council for Jammu, discriminatory policies against the people of Jammu region and the failure of the Congress to honour its 2002 commitment that a vote for it would automatically mean office of the Chief Minister to be the sole preserve of Jammu.

What has been said should clear all the cobwebs of confusion and make all the political parties to refashion their whole approach to the problems facing the people inhabiting different regions in order to win over them. All the political parties in the State have suffered reverses. This is the message of the verdict 2004. They must remember that the Indian voters simply cannot be exploited. They want results on the ground and dislike the politics of rhetoric and deceit.



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