EDITORIAL

Green cover or cover-up?

It can’t be easily believed that the social forestry project has gone topsy-turvy in our State. How can such a grave act of negligence take place? What makes it unpardonable is that social forestry is mostly an aided campaign to provide green cover to the barren areas in the State. On the whole, it has been widely hailed as one of the few highly successful activities in the country. Roadside plantations have been its unique and prominent feature. According to an in-depth analysis in this newspaper, it was actually the previous State Government that had decided to wind up the project describing it as a ‘white elephant’. At that time, the administration had veered around to the opinion that nurseries and other assets of social forestry . .....more

Musharraf’s woes

If only Pakistan President Pervez Musharraf had understood this earlier, he could have been less hawkish. His journeys across the globe have made him wiser that Pakistan’s image is getting a severe knocking. Few trust that his country is serious about participating in the global war against terrorism. This is what his own impression has been. The General has been candid in sharing this view in his latest inter-action with a group of editors and senior journalists in Islamabad. It is too early to say that the man who had subverted the democratic order in his own country and ..more

God like marx is dead in Iraq

By Abhijit Patwardhan

One hundred eighty six American servicemen have been killed in Iraq till 24 November. The body bags and the political costs of war in Iraq will cost President George W. Bush dearly. If one goes by opinion polls, his chances of re-election for the second term appear bleak. Angry young Muslim men ......more

New dimension to
Indo-Swiss ties

By Subhashis Mittra

For long, a country known for its sylvan surroundings and a place for tourist attraction, Switzerland has now gone high up on India's international map with both countries forging a new dimension to the bilateral ties. The visit of Swiss President Pascal Couchepin to India saw signing of . .......more

The great Indian
psephology show

By Lt Col (Retd) Mukund Singh Jamwal

It is election time once again with five states going to the polls shortly. This is also the time for psephologists of all hues to have their hay days. Dictionary defines ''Psephology as a study of electoral systems voting trends and behaviour.' A study of any system or trend can be carried out only after a particular system has been implemented or........more

EDITORIAL

Green cover or cover-up?

It can’t be easily believed that the social forestry project has gone topsy-turvy in our State. How can such a grave act of negligence take place? What makes it unpardonable is that social forestry is mostly an aided campaign to provide green cover to the barren areas in the State. On the whole, it has been widely hailed as one of the few highly successful activities in the country. Roadside plantations have been its unique and prominent feature. According to an in-depth analysis in this newspaper, it was actually the previous State Government that had decided to wind up the project describing it as a ‘white elephant’. At that time, the administration had veered around to the opinion that nurseries and other assets of social forestry should be shifted to the Department of Rural Development with the objective of eventually handing them over to the panchayats. Amazingly, a virtue was made out of a hasty and ill-conceived decision. This transfer was sought to be justified in the name of ensuring participation of the people at the grassroots level. If suspicion arises that there has been something more to it than what really meets the eye, it is not without any sound basis. Nothing seems to have been done in practical terms to carry out the decision. In fact, it appears that in a bid to eliminate one while elephant, the Government had ended up creating another. This is explained by the disclosure that about Rs 50 lakhs have been spent every month on the salary of the employees who have been left with no work in the social forestry project. This entirely avoidable burden on the State exchequer has been passed on to the present Government. Minister of State for Forests Puran Singh himself has admitted that a large number of employees have been without work for the last 18 months. This clearly means that a whopping sum of nearly Rs 9 crore must have already been paid to them for doing a sinecure job. This does not, however, absolve those at the helm of the ministry at this moment of the charge of having failed to set the house in order in time. Even at this stage there is no firm indication that the State Government has a concrete plan on hand. It has decided to undo the decision of the preceding regime and revive the programme. This in itself does not signal any positive or significant breakthrough. It is not possible to overlook the bitter reality that a good rainy season has passed without any appreciable improvement in the ground scenario. It is being said that Minister for Environment and Forests Ghulam Mohiuddin Sofi wants to infuse life into the project but is facing some bureaucratic hurdles in the process. Who will believe this? How can a minister worth his salt brook any such interference? Similarly, saying that Mr Sofi’s junior has asked the concerned project director to pull up his socks is not enough. Social forestry is one field in which the results can’t be hidden from public view. Contrary to this, they are immediately visible on the ground. Those who have the requisite knowledge know that at times one has to bear with the unforeseen natural calamities that can play havoc. Occasionally, however, there have also been allegations of man-made disasters because of which such projects exist, survive and perish only in the official files. Such an inference needs to be avoided in the present case.

Musharraf’s woes

If only Pakistan President Pervez Musharraf had understood this earlier, he could have been less hawkish. His journeys across the globe have made him wiser that Pakistan’s image is getting a severe knocking. Few trust that his country is serious about participating in the global war against terrorism. This is what his own impression has been. The General has been candid in sharing this view in his latest inter-action with a group of editors and senior journalists in Islamabad. It is too early to say that the man who had subverted the democratic order in his own country and given a boost to cross-border terrorism in our land is having a re-think. May be he is talking out of his own compulsions. He is worried, for instance, that Pakistan will lose a market of $ 1 billion if the European Union withdraws the trade concessions it has given trusting that the country wants to fight international extremism. He is also concerned that the perception that he himself is supporting terrorists is gaining widespread acceptance in the world. He has been shocked by what the Chinese leaders have told him during his recent visit to Beijing. The no-nonsense Chinese has informed the General that Pakistan has provided sanctuary to the extremists working against their interests. He has had no option but to comb the Pakistan areas bordering Afghanistan. He should spare no effort in tracing Al-Qaeda fugitives. If he does not do the job, the coalition forces will start bombing the tribal areas in his country. In fairness to him, the General has minced no words in ‘identifying three areas of concern’ for Pakistan in the days ahead with religious extremism taking the No. 1 spot followed by provincial disharmony and political instability. Having noted all this, the General has not fought shy of projecting himself as the lone warrior in the shining armour. He has lamented that he is the sole person fighting against the extremists in Pakistan. He has expressed the wish that the others, who had equal if not more stake in a peaceful and progressive Pakistan, were also willing to fight the menace head on.

Has the Pakistan President shed tears to evoke sympathy? Or is it that he is throwing dust in the eyes of his country’s intelligentsia? How does he expect the others in his country to back him when he has scotched their democratic aspirations? He has not only subverted a democratic order but had sent enough signals of having moved closer to doing a Zulfiqar Bhutto to Mr Nawaz Sharif. If he could not carry out his evil aim, it was only because of the timely global intervention. To get the others’ support, it is necessary to respect their sentiments. The entire opposition has been boycotting him in his country’s parliament because of the manner he has grabbed the top most. It is true that he has not been as crueler with the print media in Pakistan as his uniformed predecessors have been. That is why perhaps he can get some correct feedback. If the General really wants to overcome three extremely serious threats confronting his nation, which he has very rightly diagnosed, he should create conditions for the return of democracy in Pakistan. It does not do any credit to Pakistan that two of its former Prime Ministers have been per force staying in foreign countries. Should they be willing to come back, the General should welcome them with open arms instead of handing out threats to jail them. If Mr Sharif and Ms Benazir Bhutto have really indulged in the loot of public money, as is often alleged, they can be dealt with in accordance with the prescribed conduct in civilised societies. In any case in a democracy, people on their own find ways to deal with their corrupt leaders. The General should, therefore, revert to the order he has replaced. We sincerely believe that democracy is the best bet for Pakistan and peace in the sub-continent.

God like marx is dead in Iraq

By Abhijit Patwardhan

One hundred eighty six American servicemen have been killed in Iraq till 24 November. The body bags and the political costs of war in Iraq will cost President George W. Bush dearly. If one goes by opinion polls, his chances of re-election for the second term appear bleak. Angry young Muslim men from several European and West Asian countries, inspired if not actually organised by the Al-Qaeda, are hot-footing to Iraq for jihad against America.

Much of this is understandable to people and governments who could not find merit in Washington’s case for war against the dictatorial regime of Saddam Hussein. Many point out that the Iraqis are a proud people, heir to a 7,000-old history, who are resisting oil-greedy Americans out of national pride, not loyalty to the brutal Saddam. I do not know the strength of Iraqi nationalism, but I agree that hatred of the occupying Americans drives the suicide squads of Baghdad, just as it attracts non-Iraqi Muslim youth to that city.

Discerning Americans are beginning to realise that Islam is a force they will have to engage with, sooner rather than later. They are fearful when they learn that Islamic fundamentalists are teaching potential recruits that America is the "Great Satan," and hence a fitting object of holy war. They also know in their hearts that they belong to a soft state–one that can mindlessly bomb a nation into the Stone Age, as in the case of Afghanistan– but one that is unwilling to pay the costs of controlling the ground, as in the case of Iraq.

Washington’s increasingly obvious failure in Afghanistan, where the Taliban are regrouping and war-lordism is rampant, its pussy-footing with Saudi sponsors of Wahabi fundamentalism and its weak-kneed capitulation to the likes of General Pervez Musharraf, have convinced Islamic militants that America is unworthy of either fear or respect.

This is why US officials are beginning to fear that the twin towers tragedy can revisit them, and incidents of the kind that India grapples with daily can become a reality in their own back-lanes. The Americans, of course, have no solutions for their fears, because courage is not a commodity that can be bought off the shelf in a supermarket.

My own concern is with the larger, hitherto unrecognised, significance of Iraq as a stage for the eventual meltdown of the two great monotheisms that have so tormented the world (not to mention their own people) since their inception. Here I would like to warn readers not to fall for callow slogans like Samuel Huntington’s so-called clash of civilisations. To begin with, the two conflicting entities do not meet traditional Indian standards of civilisation, but more fundamentally, the crises gnawing at their insides are internal and not external.

Thus, what appears on the surface to be a physical war on the streets of Baghdad is on another plane two separate wars restricted to the adherents of these exclusivist faiths.

The crisis in the white Western world, centred on the Christian ethos despite lip service to pluralism, is too obvious to be seriously denied. The liberating material quest unleashed by the Renaissance has long exhausted itself, and even though the relentless driver for higher profits continues unabated, the limits of growth without general welfare are beginning to manifest themselves in poverty, starvation and growing unemployment in cities whose streets are supposed to be paved with gold.

Far worse for the West is its complete spiritual vacuum, which has left whole societies, bereft of moral anchorage. This is best exemplified in the sexual scandals ripping apart parish after parish across the globe, which cannot be overcome merely by financially compensating the victims of abuse.

Christian leaders may recall that the total degeneration of the Roman state made it possible for their faith to strike root, after which they perpetuated themselves by the sword. Today, when American generals and writers try to invoke the Bible against the Quran, and posit Iraq as a form of the Crusades, they would do well to realise that well-exposed sex scandals and rumours of financial malpractices have made a mockery of the Church’s moral pretensions.

Such an exposed entity does not inspire heroism or devotion. Nor can the White House invoke ordinary nationalism, because Americans never perceived a threat from Saddam Hussein. President Bush, therefore, will have to explain to his people why he forced them to war. And the European nations that sided with the war, and even those that opposed it, will alike have to face the issue of whether Christianity can be posited as a viable moral and spiritual force against Islam. Or will they admit that God, like Marx, is dead?

Islam, notwithstanding its apparent vigour, faces serious problems. Perceptive Western scholars have observed that Islam has been on the retreat in the political and economic spheres for over four centuries, since Europeans overcame Arab domination of the high seas. Islam since then has sought to recover it former glory, not by equipping itself for the contemporary world, but by seeking retreat into a pristine past when faith and power were united in the person of the Prophet and the Pious Caliphs. This dominant revivalist impulse has caused the failure of all reformist movements in Muslim societies all over the world.

The Iraq crisis, however, is of an entirely different genre. In the backdrop of Vietnam, it may not be unreasonable to presume that the US may withdraw from the country if the costs of war prove too high.

The Muslim world will then have to face the fact that the old Iraq cannot, be put together again. Unlike Iran, which was a cohesive ethnic–religious society that could invite Ayatollah Khomeini to overthrow Shah Reza Pahlavi, Iraq is a Shia majority nation that was ruled by a Sunni oligarchy. But its tallest Shia leader (who was by no means accepted by all Shia clerics) was murdered soon after his return to the country, making it unlikely that faith and power can be united in Iraq in the foreseeable future.

Sunnis may also not easily accept the loss of power accompanying the fall of Saddam Hussein. With no eminent secular leader to unite the two sects, so-called Iraqi nationalism may soon come apart. Wishful thinking alone cannot guarantee the cohabitation of a people bent upon divorce. The ethnic Kurds, on their part, will not miss an opportunity to strike a blow for freedom.

In Iraq, the Muslim world will have to acknowledge that Islam cannot transcend sectarian differences and serve as the basis of a viable polity. It will have to accept that faith and power must remain separate realism if a coherent society is to be built upon the remains of America’s failed imperialism. INAV

New dimension to Indo-Swiss ties

By Subhashis Mittra

For long, a country known for its sylvan surroundings and a place for tourist attraction, Switzerland has now gone high up on India's international map with both countries forging a new dimension to the bilateral ties.

The visit of Swiss President Pascal Couchepin to India saw signing of agreements for cooperation in disaster management and science and technology. Both the countries also decided to explore prospects for diversifying bilateral cooperation in economic and other sectors.

The fact that Couchepin's visit heralded a new dimension to bilateral issues is borne out of the visiting dignitary's remark that Switzerland was keen to have ''brain exchange'' programme with India.

Describing India as an ''important country'', the Swiss President said ''instead of doing brain drain as other countries are trying to do,.. we want to have a brain exchange programme.''

New Delhi has attached special significance to the visit, the last Presidential tour from Switzerland being in 1998 by Flavio Cotti.

After holding wide-ranging discussions on host of important bilateral, regional and international issues, the two sides inked an agreement on cooperation in science and technology to combine their strengths in research for mutually benficial spin offs and enable them explore new avenues of cooperation in bio-technology, life sciences, Genome research and environmental technologies where the Swiss have made considerable progress.

Under the accord on disaster management, detailed procedures have been outlined whereby Swiss assistance will be forthcoming in the event of any natural disasters. It also provides for training programmes and other measures for enhancing early warning system, teaching rescue teams and exchange of relevant experience and information.

On the economic front, Switzerland is India's 13th largest trading partner and ranks 16th in terms of approved investments. Bilateral trade at one billion US dollars in 2002 is in favour of Switzerland.

Describing India as one of the few countries with a major potential for development, Switzerland admitted that the current volume of Indo-Swiss trade and investment was much below what could be achieved.

''Taking into account the complementaries of the Swiss and the Indian economy, the current volume of bilateral trade and investment is much below of what can be achieved,'' Couchepin said at an industry conclave jointly hosted by Confederation of Indian Industries (CII) and Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industry (FICCI).

Switzerland expressed its keenness to continue its dialogue with the Indian authorities and economic players to promote mutually beneficial relations as there was a huge growth potential in trade and prospects were good.

Trade flows grew rapidly in the beginning (1992-96) but the momentum could not be sustained in most of the following years.

Couchepin said he was nevertheless happy to note that this year the bilateral trade was once again showing good improvement.

While machinery and chemical and pharma sectors were traditional sectors of financial and technical collaborations, the service sector, after further liberalisation, was also attracting higher investments from Switzerland.

According to Minister of State for External Affairs Vinod Khanna, Switzerland had emerged as one of the favourite destination for tourists from India with an annual average growth rate of 25 per cent, mainly because of extensive shooting of Indian feature films there.

Agreeing with Couchepin, Khanna said the bilateral trade in 2001-02 at one billion dollars was well below its true potential. Switzerland is India's 13th largest trading partner and ranks 16th in terms of approved investments.

Bilateral Investment Protection Agreement and Double Taxation Avoidance Agreement were in place to facilitate greater economic interaction.

An emerging facet of the bilateral trade is the increased export of software services to major banks, financial institutions, manufacturing concerns and stock exchanges of Switzerland. In 2000-01, India's software exports to Switzerland stood at 66.1 milion dollars.

On multilateralism, the Swiss President said, for both countries, ''Cancum WTO failure has been a negative result, and I note with satisfaction that India, like Switzerland, hopes 'Doha negotiations' will start again as soon as possible.''

The Swiss President, in course of his week-long visit, called on President A P J Abdul Kalam, who hosted a banquet in his honour. He also had meetings with Vice President Bhairon Singh Shekhawat, Deputy Prime Minister L K Advani and External Affairs Minister Yashwant Sinha.

In his speech at a banquet hosted in honour of Couchepin, President Kalam appreciated Switzerland's efforts at making it almost impossible for terrorist organisations to use Swiss financial institutions to fund their nefarious activities.

''We appreciate your efforts at making it almost impossible for terrorist organisations to use Swiss financial institutions to fund their nefarious activities. All forms of terrorism wherever they emanate must be resisted and condemned, '' Kalam said in his speech.

He said all efforts for improvement of the quality of life of the citizens were constantly under threat of terrorism which does not respect our shared values but targets innocents in its misguided and unacceptable mission. ''Both our countries must oppose this global terrorist network with all the means at our disposal.''

Asserting that the ongoing economic reform process in India has opened up vast opportunities in many new areas of interest to foreign investors, Kalam said Swiss business houses could use them to generate higher and stable returns for their shareholders.

He said though the bilateral trade between the two countries has now reached almost one billion US Dollars, the ''figures still do not do justice to the true potential that exists for cooperation between our countries''.

Noting that the institutional arrangements for promotion of bilateral trade between the two countries were well established, Kalam said, ''we should not focus on how to optimally utilise them to further trade relations.''

The President said that India could cooperate and collaborate with Switzerland in high-tech areas for the mutual benefit of the people of both countries.

Both India and Switzerland have their history rooted in the distant past. The geologically young Alps emerged about the same time as the Himalayas. Being in the centre of Europe, Alpine passes became crossroads of history which since the Roman times have seen the passage of many conquerors and empires until the Swiss Confederations became a nation and country committed to following a policy of positive neurality in war and which supports all humane and humanitarian causes worldwide.

Switzerland is also home to a unique model of grassroot democracy implemented in a creative manner. It sets itself apart by adopting benchmarks in its developmental model with centrality accorded to environmental protection and sustainable development.

The Swiss people have determinedly withstood the onslaught of conquering feudal empires on the one hand and divisive sectarian, linguistic and ethnic differences on the other.

Though the country is divided by deep mountains and valleys, it is also crowned by high snow-capped Apline peaks and, like them, the spirit of the Swiss transcends all differences, which usually divide people.

India's relations with Switzerland are cordial and characterised by respect for democracy, rule of law, independent judiciary and free press.

PTI Feature

The great Indian psephology show

By Lt Col (Retd) Mukund Singh Jamwal

It is election time once again with five states going to the polls shortly. This is also the time for psephologists of all hues to have their hay days. Dictionary defines ''Psephology as a study of electoral systems voting trends and behaviour.' A study of any system or trend can be carried out only after a particular system has been implemented or a trend has manifested itself. It therefore follows that psephology comes into picture only after the votes have been counted and the results announced. Credit must, however, be given to the Indian media, specifically of the electronic variety, who have perfected the art of studying and analysing the voting trends even before counting of votes has commenced, thus turning the definition of psephology on its head.

Come election time and there they are on all TV channels- the ubiquitous anchormen or should we say the anchorpersons and the Psephologists- all trying to appear suitably serious and engaged in discussing the voting trends which as yet are not known to anybody. To impart aunthecity to an exercise which is purely imaginary at this stage they even rope in the gleeful or glum looking politicians, depending upon the tide or ebb projected for them and their parties, by the most unreliable data that has been collected by various channels.

The data that is repeatedly flogged during these discussions is provided to them by another group of equally enthusiastic and never say die entities called marketing and surveying agencies. Going by the fanciful name of 'Exit Polls', this data is based on the information obtained by these agencies from selected people as they leave the polling booths after having cast their votes. Given the ethnic, linguistic, religious, cultural, educational and financial diversity of the people of this country as also the rural urban divide amongst them, the samples picked lup by these agencies mostly from the urban areas turn out to be highly unrepresentative and seldom conform to the actual voting results. There is an inherent uncertainity in exit polls as people are generally reluctant to divulge their voting preferences, especially when the political atmosphere is highly charged.

The diversity of the country and the methodology adopted by the surveying agencies while carrying out various surveys- Exit polls being one of them- generally produce data which is hardly credible. Many years ago a leading newspaper had carried out a survey on the then Delhi Govt's proposal to phase out the autorikshaws. The survey was carried out telephonically by asking the respondants whether the autorikshaws should be phased out or not and the result was a resounding yes. Those were the days when telecom revolution was some years away and only a select few had the privilege of owning the telephones. Quite obviously these privileged people also had cars and hardly ever travelled in the autos. For them phasing out of autos meant a mere removal of a nuisance from the road. They certainly did not represent the wishes of the people of Delhi , least of all, of the people travelling by auto. Selecting such an unrepresentative sample for a survey of this nature hardly lent credence to the results obtained.

Nevertheless, the fact that these agencies have usually ended up with eggs on their faces have never been a dampner to their spirits.

And so, we have all the TV channels going wild discussing trends- as yet unavailable, the swing- not known so far in favour or against some party and the permulatons and combinations likely to come into play for formation of the Government. Watching these discussions even before counting of votes has started and with the knowledge that data emerging out of exit polls has seldom turned out to be true, one is left marvelling at the seriousness of all those who participate in these discussions. It really needs a great acting ability to pick up ficticious data and knowng it to be so, to engage in a sobre discussion over that. It really needs talent, in this case that of the anchorperson or persons, to present the fiction as a fact, so seriously over a period of days continously, in a way that the viewers not only don't lose interest but also start believing in the razz-ma-tazz being presented to them.

Sometimes, however, the farce goes beyond the ability of the farceur to handle, especially when there is a large gap between the date of voting and the date of counting of votes. This was evidenced during the last elections in Punjab and UP in 2002, when due to the long gap of six days till declaration of results, the TV channels were forced to repeat themselves again and again turning the whole fare boringlyrepetitive. Having come to the conclusion that the Akalis had been wiped out in Punjab and that Mulayam Singh Yadav was a few seats short of majority, there were not many questions that be got an answer. It was, however, the ingenuity of the anchors that demonstrated how a limited set of questions could be asked again and again in different ways. At the end, the gap of six days turned out to be rather too long, making even the anchors lose interest. The TV became stale, boring and repetitive after third day. One really wanted to get away from the news channels.

Imagine all this happening even before the counting of votes had started. The viewers were in for more of that stuff after the full results of the elections had come. The unfortunate events of Gujrat, however, provided a respite as the media smelled a bigger story in these events and changed track enmasse.

Viewed in its entirety, the whole thing seems like a big show and in terms of content and knowledge it is nothing but just that- a big show. It does not educate the viewers on the actual situation as the TV channels are rather too impatient to wait for the actual situation to emerge, nor does it reflect any voting pattern which can only be discerned after the counting of votes has made some progress and the pattern has started crystalising itself. On the contrary, it has the potential of affecting the voters who are fence sitters and who -given the plethora of political parties-constitute quite a number. It is debatable whether such unrealistic shows have any utility. They only reflect absolute commercialisation of news at the cost of authenticity and could perhaps the reflective of the hidden agenda of the parties involved in the show.

 
 



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