EDITORIAL
Sad
facts; sorry visions!
What ever they
themselves may say or feel, the terrorists are
playing the greatest havoc with the 'cause' they
seem to support. It is the people of this State
they are killing day in and day out, in this
pocket and that hill. From Poonch to Kupwara it
may be a small distance, as the crow flies, but
as the man goes to spans the whole of the State.
The terrorists gunned down the Law minister and
more than a dozen people in these two places,
almost at the same time. Have they proved their
prowess there? Not at all. Nothing is proved by
the terrorist killings, nothing is gained by
them. A year ago, they attacked the towers in New
York. Within the year they are hounded out of
their bastion, and thrown on the streets where
they keep hiding from sun and wind, soldier and
policeman, friend and foe alike. Disrupting peace
is not a big thing, keeping it is. It does not
take much to swoop down on an army convoy, kill a
few personnel and fly away. It takes even less to
hide in a leeway and spray bullets on innocent
people waiting in bus stand, or to kill a
candidate.
That sort of
killing can be sustained for years. You sneak in
by rule or deceit, kill a couple of men or more,
get half a dozen of your ilk killed, are recruit
another dozen to carry on the evil work. The
'Irish Army' has been doing it for nearly a
century. The Tigers have been doing it for
decades. The terrorists, here, may do it for a
few more years. If Pakistan survives that along,
and continues with its 'moral' support they may
even get an endless supply of men to feed death
fires, and even new guns with which to send them
to their death. But the result is still a zero.
They would have piled this State with skulls and
skeletons, would have solved the Pak population
problem to an extent and helped it sustain its
faulty philosophy for some time more. But, is
that a gain, even for so kinked a State as
Pakistan? And, what would have the terrorists
gained? What would this State and its people
stand to gain from all that? Are they sure, that
the labels of 'shadeed' and 'sahib'
their credulous friends give them would carry
beyond the grave they lie in ? The best they can
gain is a rickety foothold in some hill or ridge
in the State. And then they can be sure, they
shall have the full Indian might if not the world
power, pounding them flat as it pounded
Afghanistan. Along the way this State and its
people would have been reduced to a pile of
bones.
Yet, the
terrorists have decided that very goal for this
State and its people. It does not matter to them
that their succor and 'State', Pakistan, would
become a wasteland along the way. The time, the
terrorists were 'wining' their 'victories' in
Poonch and Kupwara, their onetime friend Pak
police was pounding the Defence Colony in Karachi
with bullets to down another clutch of terrorists
holed up there.
Today Pakistan is
probably the most terrorist-stricken State in the
world. That, it itself bred and bore the
terrorist brigades, fed and feted them does not
make an iota of difference to the lives of their
people, their president and establishment. This
years Pak Independence Day was celebrated
in a convention hall and Musharraf has cancelled
at least three slated functions in the recent
months. All of that is not the post 9/11 effect.
On the last Independence Day he had wanted to
take a gun in hand and go after the
terrorists himself. Do the apologists of
the terrorists still hope to gain anything with
the deranged men-holding the guns to their
temples?
Did Afghanistan
gain anything there? Six years of the
golden rule of Taliban under the
benign shadow of Bin Laden only
produced a resounding mediocrity in the land.
They of course, could plan the WTC. They could
arrange sabotages all around. For it does not
take much to plan a disruption. Two young boys,
adequately indoctrinated, with two guns and
enough magazines, and half a dozen men to help
them in, wrecked the Rajiv Nagar carnage in
Jammu. The whole of the Taliban, and Arab
caravans could not build a school in the ravaged
Afghanistan over six long years. They did train
ten thousand men in sabotage, subversion,
handling and yielding guns but could not groom a
single person who could think straight. They held
95% of the land, but did, not allow a single
person in that land to speak freely, to work
freely, to live freely. The greatest
deed they did was blast the Bamiyan
Buddhas who even in their stony, repose gave some
inkling of how great that land once was. That
deed was probably, more symbolic than
dastardly; it showed how degenerate this band and
its visions were.
Those visions have
already devastated Afghanistan and turned
Pakistan into a failed State. Today, the Pak
intelligentsia is trying to salvage their promise
under one pretext or the other, but so deep have
the degeneracies been driven into that psyche
that it is doubtful if anything can be saved
there. That nation may be sustained, with the
slants and stands, with aberrations and
abnormalities and deviations like the jihadi
agendas, but that would be subsisting on another
excuse. And, this is the vision they want to
impose upon this State! The worst part of it is
that there are people who believe that this
squint of a vision is desirable, that it has a
cause. And not all of them have been
bought with the ISI funds, or kept on tract of
the tahreek- with havala
remittances. Those visions are probably right now
justifying the killing of Lone with one
rationalization or the other, and gloating over
killing innocent people in Poonch. That is what
they have been doing over thousands of killings,
all over this State, over this past decade and
more. They are actually feeding the insanities,
which have been running amok over this State in
false fatigues, on mad assignments. Count among
them the people who are trying to ride this
derangement for a landing on the pedestals of
power. They all are to killing the people of this
State in its different corners.
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Untold
stories about einstein
By Suraj
Saraf
Albert
Einstein, hailed as the scientist of the
20th century for his quantum theory and
theory of relativity, that changed the
concepts about universe, had his name
popped up, in one untold story after the
other, even decades after his death in
1955, as researchers delve deep and
deeper in his life.
Just as
his life had become a beacon for the
physical science, research on his brain
about three years back, had opened new
line of study in the human cranial box
about which neuroscientists are
emphasising it may take a whole century,
according to some of them even a
millennium, to unravel its marvels and
mysteries.
This
incredible mass of the hundred billion
cells called nurons communicate through
innumberable junctions called synapses
and complex molecules called
neuro-transmitters, and hormones began to
be looked into in the late nineteenth
century, it began to be believed that
bigger the brain, more intelligent the
person concerned. Scientists started
studying the brain in the late nineteenth
century and assumed the bigger the brain,
the more intelligent is the person.
With the
passage of time, other theories began to
be advanced viz that intelligence
depended on the number of neurons or
synapses and still more complex ideas, as
research advanced more and more.
However,
three years back when scientists at the
Mcmaster University, Ontario, Canada,
studied Einstein's brain to see what
factors in it had made him that great
genius (tops among the 20 most brilliant
brains of the twentieth century according
to Time magazine), the attention again
turned to the size of the brain, but with
a significant difference, because it was
not the volume of the whole brain but a
certain part of it.
In this
research, the overall weight and
measurement from front to back were same
in his case as others under study. But in
Einstein's brain, the inferior parietal
region, part of the brain thought to be
related to mathematical reasoning, was
15% wider on both sides (of the head)
than normal.
Moreover,
a groove that normally runs from front to
back, and known as sulcus, did not exist
all the way in his case. This according
to some experts provided for a larger
number of neurons to accumulate in this
part of the brain and to establish
connections between one another and work
together more easily. This might have
been the key to his genius, said the
resarchers.
Not to
speak of ordinary people, even
intellectuals felt perplexed in making
head or tail of his theory of relativity,
even though he had attained international
name and fame for that and his other
work. So much so that once this amazing
juggler of mathematical ideas, that
Einstein, sine dubio was, himself
lamented, ''Everybody talks about me, and
nobody understands me. ''Indeed, how
abstruse he could be, is highlighted in
the following interesting story.
It all
started one night when Corporal Richard
Shere at the UN headquarters in Korea
said to some soldier friends, ''There is
no present. Everything is either past or
in the future.'' The argument became so
heated that Sherer decided to write to
Einstein for a decision. However, true to
his nature, Einstein's reply so foxed
them that they decided to call it day.
Einstein's
reply read. ''The time you are talking
about is time from the psychological
standpoint. You are rightfully of the
opinion that the (psychological) present
does not seem extended in times. However,
from this one cannot conclude that the
present does not exist. From the
psychological standpoint it is more
correct to say, the past and the future
do not exist.
''What we
call by these names are only present
memories and present expectations.
However, there does exist yet an
objective time- what is called time in
physics. Physical time knows only the
chronological order of situations but no
present, no past and no future.'' Had
Einstein ayed or nayed the poor corporal
can be the guess of any reader ?
Talking of
letters by Einstein, one may also refer
here to an incident how a small child
once wrote to him asking to solve a
simple geometrical problem which she (the
child) did not understand herself. He was
so given to the children that he stressed
that in them lay ''the hope for the
world.'' ''Let us hope,'' he once told
children in Japan, ''that your generation
will put mine to shame.''As such the fact
that Einstein readily replied the child's
letter solving the problem posed by her,
will not surprise anyone.
Fifteen-year
old Johanna and her classmates were
unable to work out a simple problem in
geometry involving the length of the
common tangent of two tangential circles
of known radii. Johanna recalled that
Einstein had been an acquaintance of her
grandfather and that Einstein was known
as something of a mathematician, and
decided he would be a good source of
possible help. So Johanna wrote to the
world-renowned theoretical physicist at
the Institute of Advance Study,
Princeton, New Jersey, where Einstein had
worked for several years since seeking
refuge in the United States. In a few
days, she received from Einstein a reply
with the solution to the problem sketched
out in his own handwriting.
How
curious that a person with so tremendous
cerebral powers, also suffered from
autism as also dyselexics, both
diabilities linked with brain. Till just
over two decades, autism was not even
known. But later studies had revealed
that many celebrities, past and present,
were autistic patients. Such people lack
social skills, fail to develop emotional
relationships, have obsessions, behave
bizarrely, may have limited language and
may prefer to remain loners.
Einstein,
it is said, used to lose his train of
thought in the middle of giving a
lecture. A very interesting incident
relates to his research on gravity.
Once,
while still in Germany, he climbed a
ladder to change a picture on the wall.
But suddenly he forgot the chord in hand,
lost his balance and landed on the floor.
As he got up he started speculating about
his fall and it led him to take a
critical analysis of the theory of
gravitation concluding that there was no
pulling down to any center of gravity
and, indeed, there was no ''down'' or
''up'' in the universe. So on and so
forth.
Dyslexics
are persons who in childhood have
specific learning difficulties which they
could overcome only as they grow up.
Einstein, Edison, Marcone were all this
special types of persons viz dyslexics.
While in
America, FBI and other agencies spied on
him for many years, suspecting that he
had been a Russian spy. Broad outlines of
this history were making rounds since
1983. But new details have emerged very
recently in a book ''The Einstein File''
by Fred Jerome.
The book
underscoring that Einstein's politics had
been neglected, adds that he was neither
politically naive nor a closer communist.
The book highlights him as an independent
thinker, a sort of left leaning loose
cannon whose views were his own, even if
they coincided with those of groups whose
activities attracted FBI scrutiny. The
Book also holds that while in Berlin
Nazis may well have tried to plant
material to show him as a communist
agent.
Having
said all that, it may seem bizarre if
someone asserts that Einstein was a
plagiarist and that the essentials of
Relativity had been propounded by a
French mathematician Poineare, much
before Einstein.
In a joint
paper ''Relativity before Einstein'', two
scientists over a decade back had said
that a British physicist Maxwell was the
first to enunciate clearly the principle
of Relativity in 1877, in the essence it
was understood today.
Maxwell's
ideas were carried forward by Poineare
and lorents into a ''consistent scheme'',
pointed out the joint paper, adding that
Einstein in his monumental paper had only
synthesised the earlier ideas into a
coherent system based on the Principle of
Relativity of motion of material bodies
and of absolute velocity of light.
Some may
call it a case of plagiarism but more
properly it should be called progressive
development of a concept. Indeed,
innovation, which in scientific parlance
may be called invention, in any field
does not appear suddenly as the
achievement of a single individual. It is
the end result of a step by step growth.
In retrospect each new step reveals
itself as a link in a chain. To have
forged a new link constitutes a major
step forward, till an inspired genius
appears on the scene who takes a
universal view of the problem and puts
all those links into a coherent system.
Indeed,
greater a celebrity, more he or she will
be analysed, criticised and probed into
for his or her achievements. That will
continue even after his or her death.
PTI
Feature
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Why
Bush wants to attack Iraq?
By N.B.
Menon
The United
State and its ally Great Britain have put
in operation the long-planned strategy to
attack Iraq. On September 6, 100 war
planes attacked Iraqi positions crippling
the radar systems north-west of Baghdad.
The question is where does Iraq fit into
the Bush Administrations strategy
for fighting the war against terrorism?
What is the value of a head-on military
conflict with Saddam Hussein, a tyrant
despotic enough to use chemical,
biological and nuclear weapons? Can doing
this help end Islamist terrorism?
Playing
the situation a few steps out, it becomes
apparent how eliminating Saddam is just
one part but perhaps the central
part of the Bush
Administrations long-term strategy
for fighting the war against terrorism.
(I should make clear that these
observations are in no way a personal
endorsement of the Bush
Administrations thinking. They are
just observation about how the
Administration seems to be thinking about
the situation.)
If the
Americans occupy Iraq, they will
undoubtedly control how much oil Iraq
produces. As a result of the UN
sanctions, Iraq today pumps around
two-thirds of its pre-Gulf War capacity
of three million barrels per day (MBPD).
The US control of Iraqs current
potential production, which is roughly 11
per cent of OPECs current
production of 27.5 MBPD, will deny OPEC
and the Saudi leaders the ability to
dictate marginal changes in world oil
supply. Developing Iraqs vast
potential in the medium term can only
increase the American leverage over world
oil prices.
So here is
the link: Islamist terrorism is financed
and spread by revenue earned from
petroleum exports. Simply put, the Bush
strategy is to control Iraq, break
OPECs stranglehold on oil markets,
force oil prices down and thus deny
Islamist terrorism access to
petro-financing. The Bush Administration
is not just going after Saddam and his
weapons of mass destruction. It is going
after OPEC and the global financial
infrastructure that supports terrorism.
Steady the
supply of oil from another country, say,
Venezuela, ruled by Hugo Chavez, a
nettlesome supplier of roughly another 10
per cent of the OPEC output, and the US
now directly controls 20 per cent of
OPECs production. Though Venezuela
does not have much spare production
capacity, reliable supplies sans OPEC
fickleness will stabilize prices, which
is what matters most. (And witness the
recent hamhanded attempts by the Bush
Administration to support a group of coup
plotters in Venezuela. Rumours of a
second coup abound in Caracas.)
Of course,
the Bush Administration cannot admit any
of this publicly. If so, the countries
that would provide key staging grounds
Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, the UAE,
etc. would never let the US use
them to eliminate Saddam Hussein. For
when Saddam falls, their cartel and power
will collapse. Perhaps this logic is all
too clear to them, which is why they are
dead against supporting the US this time
round.
The Gulf
War offers an interesting parallel. In
1990, Arab oil producers
especially Saudi Arabia joined the
Americans precisely because they did not
want Saddam to control Kuwait, and thus,
a decisive amount of the worlds oil
supply. And they refused to let the
Americans go on to actually capture
Baghdad, for the same reason they do not
want the Americans to take Baghdad this
time. They do not want the US to control
Iraqi oil and thus deny OPEC the ability
to manipulate prices.
So what
else happens after the US occupies Iraq?
Well, it is not so much what may or may
not happen, as much as what surrounding
countries such as Iran and Syria think
could happen. The two countries, high on
the State Departments list of
supporters of terrorism, would have just
seen the US whip the meanest thug in the
neighbourhood. Mr. George W. Bush rattled
Iran with his "axis of evil"
comment, and Iranian strategists already
talk of "feeling encircled"
by American troops in Pakistan and
Afghanistan, and a Russia that is no
longer a reliable ally. The presence of
thousands of American troops in Iraq
would only heighten Iranian anxiety about
what Bush could do say,
destabilise the Iranian government, or
even invade outright. But for the time
being. Bush does not need to actually do
anything. Just being the 800-pound
gorilla next door could be enough to
force the changes he wants.
Syria,
another cradle of terrorism, would face a
similar kind of challenge
encircled by American troops in Iraq and
Turkey, and of course, by Israel.
Surrounded by enemies on all sides, it
will be compelled to end support for such
terrorist groups as Hezbollah. Israel may
also force Syria into a tight negotiating
corner over the Golan Heights.
Such moves
have the power to significantly alter the
balance of power in West Asia. And in the
long run, permanent guarantees of cheap
oil will put the world economy on a sound
footing. But such one-dimensional
military planning presents a host of
problems, which call into question the
effectiveness of the Bush strategy.
First, if
Saddam Hussein feared that he actually
would be killed, he may use weapons of
mass destruction as a last-ditch effort
an absolutely terrifying thought,
which should give everyone a pause.
Second,
bankrupting Islamist terrorism could
destroy the "large-scale
infrastructure" of terrorism
training camps, the network of
communication systems, recruiting and
paying <I
>jehad<P>
fighters and, most important,
terrorists ability to purchase
weapons of mass destruction on the
black-market.
But the
September 11 hijackers cruelly showed us
that low-budget and low-tech can be
deadly enough. And Israels
experience shows that it is nearly
impossible to stop every individual
terrorist.
Destroying
the finance infrastructure of terrorism
can strike a mortal blow at the network
of terrorism, but cannot prevent every
individual terrorist act.
Third,
this military strategy also does nothing
to solve the simmering conflict between
the ordinary Arab people and their
repressive governments in West Asia. Many
informed observes argue that ordinary
Arabs today view the US support for their
governments repressive policies, as
the cause of their suffering. But
weakened and impoverished Arab autocrats
are likely to resort to more totalitarian
means of controlling their populations.
If the US
is seen as the cause of this, it will
only engender more hatred towards it. If
wealthy but politically disenfranchised
young Arab men were such willing foot
soldiers for terrorism, then poorer, more
demoralised and further repressed Arab
youth can only be far more volatile.
Impoverishing Arab youth cannot possibly
end terror.
Whether or
not this is the Bush
Administrations stated intent
today, by default, the very presence of
US troops will force this to become the
strategy the day they control Iraq.
The
temptation to break OPEC to control oil
supplies, and gain the added bonus of
destroying the Islamist terror
infrastructure would be too much, even
for a US President who was not a former
oil executive. And there is little that
the US can do to control Syrian and
Iranian perceptions. Once in Iraq, the
very presence of US troops will seem like
a threat, and that may be enough to
either spark changes, or cause sparks to
fly. INAV
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UTI
bail-out, yet another delusion?
By S.V.
Vaidyanathan
The
celebrated economist, John Kenneth
Galbraith, once wrote that there could be
few fields of human endeavour in which
history counts for so little as in the
world of finance. In his book A short
history of financial euphoria, Galbraith
had said that, normally, it takes
20-years for the recollection of one
disaster to be erased and for some
variant on previous dementia to come
forward to capture the financial mind. In
the US, there was a superb regularity in
the 20-year cycle from illusion to
disillusion and back to illusion, as he
put it so well. There are, however,
exceptions to the rule.
One need
not look beyond India for this. For the
20-year cycle he talked of could well be
a four-year one or, perhaps, much less in
this country. Seven years ago, when the
Unit Trust of India faced a crisis
following the controversial private
placement of equity with Reliance
Industries Ltd., the Finance Ministry
wrote to the management of the Trust to
firm up a proposal for restructuring. A
presentation was then made to the bosses
in North Block who were fondly referred
to by the pink papers as the "A
team".
The
presentation finalised by the then
Executive Trustee of UTI, Dr. P.J. Nayak
envisaged the UTI being converted into a
holding company and the setting up of an
Asset Management Company. However, one of
the much- acclaimed secretaries in this
"A team" wrote on the file
containing the proposal that the time was
not appropriate for carrying out a
restructuring exercise at UTI.
The cost
of that "inappropriateness" has
indeed been quite high for the country.
Less than four years later, the first
bail-out of the UTI took place. At that
time also, it was written on files that
this was the last bail-out for the UTI.
Again, in
less than four years, towards the fag end
of 2001, Cabinet approval was secured for
another bail-out for the UTI. In less
than a year later, the Government has
announced another bail-out which will
cover liabilities of the Trust,
aggregating the 14,561 crore for US 64
and other assured return schemes.
In just a
matter of a couple of months, all the
bravado exhibited earlier by the bosses
in North Block has disappeared. For a
good part of the year, Finance Ministry
officials had talked of not writing out
anymore cheques and also of the
unfairness of taxpayers yet again bailing
out a section of investors.
In June
this year, when the informal group on the
financial sector had a meeting to discuss
the UTI, a senior Government official
suggested to Mr. Yashwant Sinha that it
would be better to first tackle the
Monthly Income Plans which were up for
redemption in July and August, rather
than get into future liabilities. Mr.
Sinha then retorted that he had got
enough of a hammering form the press on
the UTI and wanted a complete
restructuring. But, then, even he would
not have imagined that a Group of
Ministers, which included a Minister like
Mr. Arun Shourie, who views any
state-owned enterprise as a bleeding
ulcer would back such a major bail-out
package.
During
those days when old files of the UTI were
being dusted in North Block, a senior
official once remarked that there was
enough (evidence) in one room of the
Ministry which could kill many people. He
must have been joking.
For,
almost close to a decade, despite there
being enough explosive material in one
room of North Block, life has been good
for almost all those who led the Unit
Trust of India.
When the
MIPs were stopped at one point of time,
the UTI Chairman, with the backing of
Indias capital markets regulator,
managed to persuade the Finance Minister
to launch more MIPs in the interest of a
level-playing field the private sector.
The money so raised, this gentleman
wrote, would be invested only in
AAA-rated securities. Thus was born the
MIPs in 1997 for which the Government is
now writing out a cheque for protecting
the capital of investors.
As over
Rs. 20,000 crore of tax-payers money is
shelled out for protecting the interests
of one class of investors in the name of
avoiding a systemic risk and to boost the
market, there is no effort to take a look
at fixing accountability on those
responsible for this mess created over
the last eight years or so. A former IFCI
Chairman, known in Delhi as "Mr.
Three Per cent now must be
chuckling as the Government readies to
write out another generous cheque.
Till date,
there has not been any effort to nail
down this gentleman who was in a tearing
hurry during his tenure to go one up on
the IDBI and the ICICI. Those high-cost
borrowings he contracted without batting
an eyelid have dragged the institution
down along with those corporates to whom
he lend happily.
In the
view of the top bosses in the Ministry
now, the IFCI cannot be allowed to die.
Nor can it be allowed to default on its
repayment obligations to even commercial
borrowers. Oh well, IFCI is seen as a
quasi-sovereign entity, goes the
argument. It is difficult to spot a
overseas lender who would admit to
sharing the governments perception
of the IFCIs perception as a
quasi-sovereign entity. It is the same
story in the IDBI. When the institution
floated its IPO in 1995, a rival
financial institution, which was the
darling of the media and the market, was
busy dumping the shares of the FI in the
post issue phase. One call form New Delhi
would have put an end to this. However,
the "A" team in the Ministry
was hardly bothered as the IDBI was
state-owned. So why lose sleep?
Again,
three years ago, when the IDBI came
calling to Delhi to seek clearance for a
package to help revive its fortunes, the
response was indifference. Those were the
glory days of ESOPS and so on. Having
seen the cream of its officers moving
out, the management wanted the approval
of the government for an attractive
package to retain young officers on the
lines of its much hyped up rival, ICICI.
One of the
sitting in the banking division would not
have anything of this. There is no such
need, this man decreed. The package has
been in the deep freeze for the last
three years. Well, as for the, is anyone
talking of the opportunity cost to the
nation and the damage done by his
notings? Not all. For it is a safe bet
that he would around to be a pall bearer
for many of these institutions.
So, after
the IFCIs package, a relatively
modest of tax-payers money would be
provided to the IDBI also.
There is a
promise of the capital requirement being
only Rs. 500 crore which is small change
after over Rs. 20,000 crore doled out to
the UTI over the last few years.
Nobody now
talks even fleetingly of the SUS 99
scheme floated in 1999 to bailout the UTI
by separating the dud stocks of US 64.
There is no mention now of the monthly
reports that the Trust is supposed to
send the Finance Ministry on the
performance of the scheme.
"Dont worry old boy, we can
always have a SUS 99 II," says a
Ministry official. He is right.
For as
Galbraith said only in the financial
world is there such an efficient design
for concealing what, with the passage of
time, will be revealed as self-and
general delusion. So, next time, when the
government writes out a cheque for an
entity in the financial sector, it can be
reassured about this efficient design.
INAV
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