EDITORIAL
Any
lessons from Russia?
It could be the
past Indian greatness of being one of the most
ancient civilizations that is still living. It
could also be her being master philosophers, when
most of the today's world leaders were yet to
appreciate that they are because they think.
Whatever, the fact remains that this country does
not appear too enthusiastic to learn lessons.
Either in statecraft, or economy or the imminent
menace of terrorism. She has to err in her own
way and find the well-delineated solutions in her
own blundering ways. Probably there is reason
too, there. India, rather Indians planted
Marxism/Communism along with its roots, stocks
and the soil-bits in the land of India and found
that all it grew into was a quirky tree that has
only distorted the landscape. But then this
country rarely learns from even the bad
experiments. Actually this indifference, to take
a leaf out of the US or the Russian book, how
they deal with the arrogance against their
nations, how they over come the patent threats
and how they nip and clip the evils, is genuinely
Indian.
Else, how should
that robust example of America taking on the
whole world over a single instance of terrorism
have failed to move the masters of India's
destiny to even declare that they would not
tolerate terrorism, irrespective of who did it,
how they did it, and why. America went straight
away to declare that the world was either 'with'
them or 'against' them. And here we are still
unable to know whether we are for Pakistan or
against it or neutral, inspite of all that is
being done to this nation from that soil and its
people. As it is half of the Government is
castigating Pakistan, half is ready to talk to
it. The holy opposition would be vindicated if
Pakistan somehow, how to so speciously, proved
that all the terrorism that is stalking India was
produced in Vajpayee's backyard. And the
enlightened intelligentsia is sworn friends of
Pakistan, especially after the Editor of a Pak
weekly told them three years ago, that they were
not serving the Pak people well. The poets and
litterateurs are so enamored that at the
slightest hint they fling, Faiz's daag daag
ujala poem where he lamented his betrayed
Pakistan promise at India, her democracy and
every thing.
Steeped in this
sea, the common man/woman could be excused if
they said that they were at a loss. Yet it is the
ignoramii who have a better vision of India, of
the challenges India faces and how to defend her.
They give their sons to defend Kargil, dedicate
more of them to fight the terrorists out in
Kashmir, Bengal Assam even Delhi, and gird up
their loins to guard the country when the
dithering leadership and opinions have completed
another of their dalliance with the nation.
Unfortunately, even this high sacrifice is not
remembered; as soon as the latest crisis has
passed off the headlines another act of
dalliance, in press, in Government in politics
begins. These lotus eaters do not acknowledge
that a scourge has fallen upon the country that
the prestige and dignity of the nation, it's
standing, its very integrity is at stake. That
was what Russia faced in Moscow. Like the score
or so attacks in the past decade, the latest
hostage - crisis was an attack on the Russian
State and its writ. Its sensitivity and
determination, too.
And, it was seen
as such and not as yet another chance to
discredit the Government in office, or the State
and nation. Russian dealt with it the same way
she had dealt with the rest of the incidents
where the terrorists had tried to blackmail that
nation. That is the way America, or any other
country on the Continent, would have dealt with
it. Probably, their gas would have been more
lethal and they may not have waited for the
terrorists' deadline to pass. And, in Delhi?
Here, the residents would have gheroed the
central secretariat, the politicians would have
made quick vote calculations and gone for the
kill, the intellectuals would have taken to press
and channels to explain to the people the
'probable causes' of why the terrorists had taken
this 'extreme step' and to tell the Government
how best to retreat and the Government would have
selected a suitable weighty minister to lead the
retreat. The worst thing is that there are no
puns or witticisms in this; it could have come to
pass, probably in more blatant form.
Knowing-Indians still shudder at what would have
happened - rather what inaction would have been
enacted - had the WTC attack been wrecked on
India. We would still be thinking of what action
to take, while the Government would have been
beaten out for 'inaction'.
On the eve of the
Russian action we had the 'good news' that POTA
was not needed in the most terrorist-ravaged
State in the country. Apparently, nobody noticed
that two days after the Bali blasts, Indonesia
clamped down more draconian laws upon the country
than POTA ever contemplated. But then did anybody
notice even that. All were engrossed in the
making of one ministry and unmaking of another.
Every Indian effort was directed at how best to
do/undo the power equations. In between watching
the momentous news about these ministries being
made and unmade, they may have seen flashes of
the Russian crisis. They possibly, missed how
firmly they handled it, how coolly and composedly
and how determinedly they brought down the gang
of three-dozen terrorists. Nor would that make
any material differences to the policies, planks
or positions here. For inaction is a genuine
Indian trait, which everybody is doing everything
in his/her power to follow faithfully. We, after
all are a democracy, the democracy that mistakes
life as one long struggle against the nation, its
strength and interest, its signs and symbols,
it's being and premise. We may cry when this
promise and nation ceases to be, but so long as
it lives we may do nothing to save it. No
Russia's, no Indonesia's, no Americas for us. We
are Indians - genuine and true lotus-eaters,
eating the nation out.
|
 |
Pakistan's
Horoscope
What do
stars foretell ...?
By A
Radhika
India and
Pakistan attained freedom from the
British at the same time. The
sub-continent was portioned owing to a
number of factors that ranged from
religious leanings to the personal
ambitions of Md. Ali Jinnah, who went on
to become the Sadar-e-Riyasat of
Pakistan. Many people felt that partition
could well have been avoided had the
Mahatma, Jawaharlal Nehru and their
colleagues acted in 'a more magnanimous
manner' and with 'understanding'. But no
that was not to happen, because that was
not the destiny awaiting India and
Pakistan.
The
inevitable had to happen and it did
happen leaving many a scar in the hearts
of millions of Indians who had to
forcibly migrate from Pakistan during
that period and in the process suffered
the worst humiliations which even today
are nightmarish experiences to recall to
the victims. This caused a sense of
bitterness in the hearts and minds of
millions of Indians, and contributed no
less to misunderstanding between the two
countries ever since and which is fairly
evident whenever the two meet even on a
cricket maidan.
India and
Pakistan began their independent tryst
with democracy at the same time. We
became republics. But while India has
been able to withstand it's the ups and
lows, and has allowed democracy to
function despite the sobriquet of
functioning anarchy. The only period of
disquiet was the short period of
emergency, when India came close to
one-person rule.
Pakistan
has never been able to overcome the
charms that monarchs have. Therefore,
time and again Pakistan has been rocked
by coups and the military has taken over
the reins of Pakistan, like it happened
when Gen. Parvez Musharraf over threw a
discredited Nawaz Sharief Government. It
was not the first time and may be, as the
stars tell, may not be the last time
either when an army man will wear the
chief executive's that along with his
own...
It is
natural to wonder why two countries,
which took birth at the same time and
which share the same Harappa- Mohenjdaro
legacy have gone their different ways. Is
it because the people of these two people
of the countries think differently or
have different views to a problem or does
the malady lies somewhere else.
We,
astrologers have a totally different view
of the things happening around us. We
look them through the astrological
charts. Therefore, to understand the
difference between India and Pakistan,
vis-a-vis, democracy, let's analyse their
horoscopes.
Ever since
independence, Pakistan has mostly
remained in military rule. Democracy has
played very little role in that country.
In the past five decades martial law has
been imposed many times, officially and
unofficially to stifle dissent and to
ordain a tailored democracy.
Look at
Pakistan's horoscope: Aries is the lagna,
lagna lord, Mars, is in the third house
with 4th lord, Moon. Second house is
placed with Rahu. Fourth house has
Mercury, Saturn, Venus and Sun; Seventh
house is placed with Jupiter and the
eighth house is placed with Ketu. Mercury
is 3rd and 6th lord is in Mrityubhag.
Mars is aspecting the 10th house, and the
other planets aspecting 10th house are
Saturn, Venus, Mercury, and Sun.
Concentrating
on Pakistan's political turbulence, let
us analyse the 10th house, 10th lord, in
Birth Chart, Navamsha and Dashmansha.
Zero in on the influence of planets on
the 10th house in all three charts. Mars
is the karaka for para military forces.
In early
months 1953, Martial Law was imposed by
Governor General Malik Ghulam Mohd who
sacked Prime Minister Khawaja
Nazimuddhin. Dasha Running at that time
was Jupiter/Saturn upto August 1953.
Jupiter is 9th and 12th lord, being
aspected by none. Saturn, the antar dasha
lord and is also the 10th lord is
aspecting 10th house of the Kundali and
also in Navamsha. Saturn is combust in
the horoscope, is in Nakshatra of
Mercury. In Dashmansha, Saturn is
aspecting Jupiter, the mahadasha lord,
which is placed in 8th house, with
Mercury.
In
transit, Saturn was in Kanya till 23rd,
then transitted to Libra, in the 7th
house of Pakistan, aspecting natal 10th
lord Saturn, and other planets placed in
their. Jupiter was in Taurus. Transit
Saturn is transitting over natal Jupiter.
But as the incidents took place in the
early months of 1953, transit Jupiter was
also aspecting transit Saturn when it was
in Virgo. Mars transitted from Cancer to
Virgo.
In 1958,
Martial Law was imposed again, this time
by President Iskandar Mirza, on October
7th. Twenty days later, on October 27,
1958, the Supreme Court upheld the
imposition but President Iskandar was
forced at gun point to step aside and
hand over all power to General Ayub Khan.
Dasha running was Jupiter/Venus/Mars from
August 31st 1958 to 27th October 1958.
Jupiter's Mahadasha is explained earlier
also. The Antar Dasha Venus is aspecting
10th house in both Navamsha and
Dashamansha.
Influence
of Venus in very well seen in all the 3
vargas. Venus is also in the
constellation of Mercury. Venus is placed
in the 12th house of Dashmansha Mars the
Pratyantar dasha lord is aspecting in the
3 vargas. Mars is karaka for para
military forces. Mars is in the nakshatra
of Rahu. But as the Rahu's pratyantar
dasha came on Oct 27, Martial Law was
upheld. In Dashmansha, although, Rahu and
Mars are mutually aspecting, Rahu's
pratyantar dasha, brought relief to
Pakistan.
In
transit, Saturn was in Scorpio
transitting over natal Ketu and aspecting
10th house, Jupiter was in Tula
transitting over Jupiter and aspecting
natal Mars. Mars was retrograde in
Taurus, Mars are mutually aspecting.
Pakistan
attacked India on September 6, 1965. It
was a short, 17-day war, fought mostly on
the western front, the eastern side was
not in the picture, it was largely left
undefended in the only a Pakistan ruler
could do. Dasha running was
Saturn/Saturn/Mercury. In transit, Saturn
was transitting over Aquarius and was
also retrograde, aspecting lagna and 8th
house. Jupiter was in Gemini transitting
over natal Moon and Mars. Jupiter was
aspecting Saturn. Moon was in
Sagittarius, and Mars was in Tula, over
natal Jupiter.
On March
25, 1969 Field Marshal Ayub Khan violated
his own constitution, and imposed Martial
Law and handed over power to his
Commander-in-Chief (of the army), General
Agha Mohammad Yahya Khan. Dasha running
was Saturn/Mercury/Moon. Saturn is 10th
and 11th lord, aspecting 10th house,
Mercury, also aspecting 10th house in
Kundali. Saturn and Mercury are together
placed in 4th house, Saturn is aspecting
Mercury in both Navamsha and Dashmansha.
In
transit, Saturn was in Pisces/Aries,
aspecting, natal Jupiter, Mars and 10th
house of birth horoscope. Jupiter was
transitting on Virgo, also aspecting 10th
house, and Mars on 8th house, over natal
Ketu. Mutually aspecting each other.
The two
countries fought their third war in
December 1971. Pakistan army surrendered
in Dhaka, which became the independent
capital of an Independent Bangladesh.
Four days after the surrender, on
December 20, Zulfikar Ali Bhutto took
over as President and Chief Martial
Administrator of truncated country.
The Dasha
running was Saturn/Venus/Venus. Saturn
and Venus are aspecting 10th house, both
in Birth horoscope and Navamsha. In
Dashmansha, both are in 2/12 relations.
In January 1977, Bhutto announced
mid-term polls and nine opposition
parties formed Pakistan National Alliance
to contest elections. People's Party of
Pakistan (PPP) won 435 out of 460 seats
at stake. Bhutto became the hate symbol.
Unrest unfolded in the streets of Lahore
and Karachi.
Bhutto
Government was accused of massive rigging
in the elections, demand for his
resignation and calls for fresh elections
reached a crescendo. On the 21st of April
1977, Martial Law imposed in Karachi,
Hyderabad and Lahore. Dasha running was
Saturn/Moon/Venus. Here the antar dasha
lord Moon is associated with Mars.
Saturn's and Venus role are already been
explained.
On July 5,
General Ziaul Haq stepped out of the
barracks goaded by the
Saturn/Mars/Marsdasha, which started just
a day earlier. The inevitable followed.
On September 3, 1977, Bhutto was arrested
on charges of murdering Nawab Mohammad
Ahmad Khan Qasuri. Like his later day
successor, Pervez, Zia did not declare
himself as the President straight away.
He waited for his opportunity and it came
in 1978. A few months later on April 4,
1979, Zia got rid of Zulfikar Ali Bhutto,
probably not to leave a trace of once
charismatic person. And the dasha was of
Saturn/Rahu/Rahu. Rahu had played a very
vital and intriguing role in the history
of Pakistan, first in 1958 in the case of
President of Mirza and then in 1977 in
the case of Bhutto.
In
transit, Saturn was in Cancer over natal
Saturn aspecting 10th house, Jupiter was
in Taurus, Mars had transitted to Pisces
on 21st April.
General
Zia ran his 'legitimate' military rule.
In early 1985, he anointed Mohammed Khan
Junejo as the civilian Prime Minister
under Martial Law in force. The marshal
law was lifted the same year, on December
31, to be precise. Junejo's was brief
interlude in the checkered history of
Pakistan. He was sacked in 1988, Prime
Minister Mohammad Khan Junejo was sacked.
On 3rd June Nawaz Sharif was appointed
the Chief Minister of Punjab. General
Ziaul Haq died in the plane crash two
monts later on August 17. Elections held
in November that year brought Benazir
Bhutto to front as the prime minister at
the head of PPP founded by her father.
In transit
on Dec 31, 1985, Saturn was in Scorpio
over natal Ketu and aspecting Jupiter
which is transitting over 10th house.
Mars in Tula.
The dasha
of Mercury/Jupiter in 1966 (February 17
to be precise) brought in Nawaz Sharif as
the Prime Minister. Jupiter is placed in
8th house of Navamsha and Dashmansha.
Now about
the Musharraf coup. The General staged
his coup on October 12, 1999. The hour
when he struck was 18:10 Hrs. It was in
the dasha of Mercury/Saturn/Sun/Jupiter.
All the planets in the Birth horoscope
are aspecting 10th house. Planetary
position on this day was Jupiter and
Saturn was in Aries. Moon and Mercury was
in 7th house over natal Jupiter and
Jupiter's Sookshma dasha was running. The
degrees of Moon is 29:35 degrees which is
about to transit to 8th house over Ketu,
Mars is in the 9th house, aspecting
Mercury, Saturn and Sun in the 4th house.
Transit Saturn in Aries is aspecting 10th
house and Transit Jupiter is aspecting
the Transit Mars. Mars is aspecting the
3rd house. Transit Jupiter and Saturn are
aspecting 7th house, where the natal
Jupiter is placed Transit Mars and natal
Mars are mutually aspecting.
We have
analysed in the proceeding paragraphs,
the imposition of martial law in Pakistan
tracing the history and finding out
astrologically, why these results took
place in doing so. We have mainly
stressed on the role of dasha ad antar
dasha lords but a curious fact which
emerges out is that planet of ethics,
Jupiter is relegated to 8th house in
Navamsha and Dashmansha. It is possible
Jupiter's adverse placement has resulted
in loss of ethical democracy in Pakistan
and the first coup tookm place in
Jupiter's period only.
(Syndicate
Features)
|
Railway
bridges or death traps?
By Amlan
Home Chowdhury
When the
Great Indian Peninsular Railway Company
ran its first passenger train from Bori
Bunder to Thane on August 16, 1853, its
directors never knew that the bridges to
be built across India in the next 93
years would for want of
repairs/replacement, end up becoming
virtual death traps in the decades to
follow.
As a
passenger of one of the 13,000 trains
that run daily over a stretch of steel
track extending 69,000 km, a chill may
travel down your spine to know that
nearly half of the 120,000- odd bridges
were built 149 years to 72 years ago.
If 1930 is
used as the cut off period, we find that
from that particular year to 2001-02
fiscal, only about 60,000 steel bridges
were constructed in India. Thus, half of
the bridges came up during the days of
the East India Company and the British
Raj.
Unable to
withstand the ravages of time, nearly 80
per cent of the bridges built before 1930
have became weak, and are risk prone. The
Union Railway Ministry itself has
admitted willy-nilly that there are
51,000 steel bridges that are over 100
years old. Ironically, this profit-making
public sector undertaking has allowed
ticket concessions to the "senior
citizens" yet behaves like a
Shylock, the Jew of the Shakespearean
play of Merchant of Venice as far as
spending fathings on the maintenance of
the "senior bridges" are
concerned.
The
Railway Ministry, however, claims
officially that one crore 30 lakh persons
use the trains every day. Yes. Those
trains run across the dilapidated steel
bridges many of whose spans got damaged
during the floods and earthquakes. No
wonder, the average number of train
accidents annually in India - major and
minor - was 400 in the last 10 years. In
2001, it was higher --460.
On August
1, 1864, the first passenger train
arrived in Delhi from Calcutta via
Allahabad quite safely across the river
Ganga and believe it, without any steel
bridge. But how? As there was no stony
conduit across Ganga in that year to
connect Allahabad, the train was ferried
at the other bank of the river to that
city. Surprising and unbelievable ? But,
that was exactly what the history of
Indian Railway says.
The
passenger train crossed the make shift
boat-bridge quite safely. After 138
years, when the steel bridges dot every
nook of the country, the elite Rajdhani
Express could not reach Delhi from
Kolkata following collapse of the
"distressed" Dhaw Railway
Bridge at Rafiganj near Gaya in Bihar on
September 9, 2002. This 80-year-old
bridge just could not bear the impact of
the 130 km speed of the Rajdhani Express.
Nearly 125 passengers lost their lives in
that accident.
But the
death of about 1000 passengers of a train
nose-diving into the Baghmati River, in
spate near Saharsa in Bihar, caused a
country-wide clamour in June, 1981 over
the necessity of strengthening of the
steel bridges that were built in the
bygone era of the East India Company and
the British Raj. It may shock you while
travelling through Bihar to know that
there are over 615 bridges in that State
alone that were constructed prior to
1910.
Down with
age and groaning under the yoke of apathy
of the Railway Ministry, would you blame
such age-worn "distressed"
conduits if they collapse for their
inability to toilerate the super speed of
elite trains?
The
Rafiganj tragedy of Rajdhani Express
suddenly seems to have fired the volleys
of criticisms against the Railway,
Ministry for its total apathy towards the
time-torn steel structures which can bear
the burden of age and Governmental apathy
no more. Call it a coincidence, when the
Great Indian, Peninsular Railway Company
offered 21 gun salutes to launch its
first train with 400 passengers from Bori
Bunder to Thane, the sounds were heard
even in the far off Fleet Street of
London with The Times of Englands
capital edition frontpaging the news item
beamed by the news agency Reuter from
Mumbai.
The people
of politically volatile Bihar the
state in which the recent Rajdhani
Express tragedy took place have
threatened to launch movements against
the Railway Ministry for its abysmal
failure in restoring the health of the
"distressed" steel structures.
Ironically, Nitish Kumar, the Railway
Minister, is also from Bihar, the State
with maximum number of old bridges.
Whether
the Railway Ministry is guilty-struck or
not over the dilapidated condition of the
railway bridges may not be ascertained,
but its total failure in preparing a
complete data bank of the
"distressed" ancient structures
that may collapse any time proves that it
is behaving like an ostrich: evade the
storm.
Bowing its
head to the post Rajdhani Express storm,
Railway Minister Nitish Kumar had to eat
humble pie to admit that the total number
of "distressed bridges" happen
to be over 500 in India. The Railway
Ministry classifies a bridge as a
"distressed" one when it
involves the risk of collapsing at any
time following weak health and old-age.
This
undoubtedly is the first ever confession
by a Railway Minister about the bridges
whose origin began in 1849 when the Great
Indian Peninsular Railway Company came
into being as a joint stock company. The
Company found that the success of
railways depended on moving across the
country and it could be possible only
with the help of bridges. How strange,
when the worlds first metre gauge
service began from Delhi to Rewari in
1873, the people never knew that India
would become the globes biggest
railway as well a century later. But it
hardly made the Railway Ministers
conscious about the restoration of the
steel bridges.
Inaugurating
the zonal headquarters of the East
Central Railway at Hajipur in Bihar,
Nitish Kumar said out of the 500 highly
risk-prone ancient bridges, 300 would be
either replaced or repaired by the end of
the year. The Special Rail Safety Fund of
Rs 17,000 crore would be used for this
purpose. The ancient bridges over rivers,
canals and mountain-gaps really are death
traps.
Inaugurating
the zonal headquarters of the East
Central Railway at Hajipur in Bihar,
Nitish Kumar said out of the 500 risk
prone old bridges, 300 would be either
replaced or repaired by the end of the
year. The Special Rail Safety Fund of Rs.
17,000 crore would be used for this
purpose. The ancient steel bridges over
rivers, canals, roads and mountain-gaps
really are death traps.
It was not
for nothing that the Khanna Committee,
set up to go into the dangers posed by
the old-dilapidated railway bridges in
1999, suggested that a minimum of 300
highly risk prone bridges be repaired
immediately. Had the Union Railway
Ministry paid any heed to the Committee's
Report, a minimum of 350 lives could have
been saved in the 2000-02 time frame;
they all were victims of railway
accidents caused by the collapse of old
bridges.
In
European countries, USA and Canada, the
railway bridges are considered as unfit
for running of high speed trains once
they have crossed 55 to 65 years. Such
bridges are strengthened for
rail--safety. Very often additional spans
and pillars are erected and fissures as
well as cracks are filled to bear the
load of running trains and their
vibrations. These countries lay special
emphasis on the occurrences of natural
calamities like earthquakes, floods,
landslides, soil erosion, denudation and
storms.
But in
India, the Railway Ministry hardly takes
these things into account as far as the
old bridges are concerned. Besides, the
massive earthquake of 1934 that damaged
over 31, 000 railway bridges across the
country, India was also lashed by
gale-storms, floods and soil erosions
over the last 68 years weakening the
railway bridges. Nearly 78,000 bridges,
built between 1860 to 1960 have developed
major cracks and fissures. Besides, the
lifting of sand from the rivers also
weakens the spans of the railway bridges.
Earlier this year, the Railway Ministry
banned the lifting of sand from the
Koilwar river to protect the famous
Koilwar Railway Bridges --- only conduit
of the trains running upto Mughalsarai
from Howrah via Main Line.
In a
significant development, the people of
Bihar have decided to launch full-fledged
movement against the Railway Ministry if
it fails to repair the bridges more than
80 years old. For the last about five
years, they have been clamouring for it.
After the mishap of the Rajdhani Express
near Gaya, the people of Bihar have
threatened to take matter of bridges
safety to the streets unless the Railway
Ministry takes urgent action to repair
them, including the 100-year-old Chatanki
Bridge of Patna and 94-year-old steel
structure built over the Saryu (Ghagral)
river in Chapra-Balia section of the
Railway.
In the
earthquake of 1934, two spans of the
bridge over Saryu were demolished. The
bridge still lacks those who spans.
Risky. Is it not?
PTI
Feature
|
Rise
of MMA in Pakistan
By Khan
Abdul Wadood Khan
Pakistans
new unfolding democracy, driven by a
split mandate and spearheaded by an
unprecedented victory for Islamic
fundamentalists, indeed has become the
beginning of new predicament. The results
of the general elections held on October
10 are surprising as well as a
disconcerting to Pakistanis who wish to
see a liberal, secular, modern and
developed Pakistan emerge in the future.
While in
the past, the clergy in Pakistan forced
General Zias army to take over the
reigns of the country as there was no
other way that their extremist ideology
could become the law of the land, today
they have become the law makers and have
an important say in framing the law on
account of their large presence in the
NWFP and Balochistan Assemblies as well
as in the National Assembly. The
Muttahida Majlis-e-Amal (MMA), a
pro-Taliban conglomerate of six
fundamentalist groups, has won majority
in two most sensitive provinces bordering
Afghanistan, which have served as the
recruiting and training grounds for
Islamic militants, including AI Qaida and
the Talibans. The unprecedented victory
of this grand alliance of the religious
parties owes itself to a number of
factors, the unparalleled unity among
their various denominations being one of
these. Others include Musharraf
Governments sudden volt-face with
respect to Pakistans Afghanistan
policy, his promise to the United States
Government to use the Pakistani ground
and air base for facilitating the conduct
of hostile operations against the
Taliban, the presence of the personnel of
US air force and FBI on the Pakistani
soil, including the freehand given to the
latter to operate both in the tribal
areas and settled regions in the country
in order to hunt for the alleged remnants
of Osama bin Ladens AI Qaida
organization.
MMA also
benefited from the space created by the
suppression of the major political
parties. The MMA has, throughout General
Musharrafs tenure, found it easier than
the PPP or the PML(N) to get permission
to hold rallies and public demonstration
of strength. For example, secular
politicians were barred from contesting
the elections if they did not have
Bachelors degrees while Mullahs
were only required to have degrees from
religious schools. Writing in the Wall
Street Journal, eminent Pakistani
journalist Ahmed Rashid commented
"it appears that the army and the
ISI sponsored the religious leaders, or
Mullahs, to ensure that the West does not
question the need for continued military
rule to contain the religious
parties."
But
whatever the various causes of the
MMAs emergence as a potent
political force, the immediate concern
relates to how it will react to certain
policies put in place by the Musharraf
regime. The MMA is opposed to the
military rule, the National Security
Council General Musharraf's legal
framework order and so on. MMA would
insist on the restoration of 1973
constitution, the absolute sovereignty of
Parliament with no institution or
individual having superiority over it and
the introduction of true Islamic Shariah
in the country. It would also like US to
withdraw from air force, bases in
Pakistan.
While
intellectuals are advising MMA leaders to
follow a moderate path, the MMA leaders
have vowed to establish a strict Islamic
system reversing General Musharraf s
so-called reforms. The MMA has announced
that it would seek ban on co-education.
Addressing a gathering of the
womens wing of the Jamaat-e-Islami
at Peshawar, the MMA Vice-President and
Chief of Jamaat-e-Islami said that the
Alliance would set up separate
universities for women. He said women
should not be forced to wear the burqa
but at the same time maintained that they
should follow the Islamic Shariah laws.
He claimed that massive participation in
the rallies was a proof that both men and
women want Islam in this country. The
convention was clearly intended to send
out a message to the outside world as to
what the Alliance in general and his
party in particular stood for on
"Islamization" of the Pakistani
society.
Pakistanis
are confused as there has been no
consensus over the formation of a new
Government more than 15 days after
elections produced a "hung"
Parliament. An attempt by the
pro-military Pakistan Muslim League
(Quaid-i-Azam), which is the single
largest group in the newly elected
National Assembly, to link with Islamic
groups hit a snag with hardliners raised
the stakes, demanding the post of the
Prime Minister.
In an
interview with the Friday Times, Maulana
Fazlur Rahman Amir, Jamait
-e-UIema-e-Islam and Central leader of
MMA said that his party would seek the
constitutions help to improve the
Islamic system in Pakistan. And Chief of
MMA Maulana Shah Ahmed Noorani went a
step further by saying that
"provincial Governments have full
powers to legislate according to the
constitution for the betterment of their
people". Jamaat-e-Islami party head
Qazi Hussain has already called for the
US troops in Afghanistan to withdraw. The
MMA distributed leaflets in the election
campaign sympathising with the Taliban
and AI Qaida.
There is
thus utter confusion in Pakistan as to
what is going to take place in future.
There are contradicting statements from
the religious alliance (MMA). While
meeting some, senior diplomats of various
countries in Islamabad on October 23,
these leaders said that they would abide
by the international agreements and would
not object to proposed Iran-India gas
pipeline but in NWFP and Balochistan, the
MMA has got majority and is planning to
implement Talibans agenda. Writing
in The News, columnist Jameelur Rahman
said that the MMAwould force the women to
maintain strict "pardah" and
co-education would be abolished. The
cable and other electronic media may be
banned. The people associated with this
business are worried and confused. Most
of the observers are of the opinion that
the MMA in NWFP and Balochistan will have
no time to look into the matters like
unemployment education and health etc.
Their main thrust will be on promoting
rituals.
A retired
chief of the army staff General Aslam Beg
has said in an article that the rise of
the MMA is due to the anti-US feelings.
According to his assessment most probably
there will be a coalition Government in
Centre consisting of the Kings
party and PPPP. Some minor parties and
independent candidates may also join. If
this is done, it will satisfy America.
Otherwise situation may take an ugly
turn. Aslam Beg has also pointed out that
it was not a wise decision to ban Benazir
Bhutto and Nawaz Sharif from taking part
in election process.
US State
Department spokesman Richard Boucher also
agrees that Musharraf made a critical
mistake by debaning them. In an interview
with BBC, Akbar S.Ahmed, a former
Pakistan Ambassador to UK and presently
teaching in an American University in
Washington said " development could
spell trouble for US adding that "an
earthquake has taken place in Pakistan
for what is happening there is going to
have an impact in the entire
region." NWFP is an important
province because of its borders with
Afghanistan. It is the breeding ground
for Taliban. Mr Ahmed's analysis have
been supported by Georgetown University
Professor Berger who said that Musharraf
faces trouble ahead from the newly
empowered coalition - "the coalition
hardliners are going to emerge as
partners in any condition that is going
to undermine ability to maintain support
for US." Former Pakistani Prime
Minister Benazir Bhutto whose party came
second in the elections behind PML (Q) is
of the view that the "Central
Government will cooperate with the US but
the Provincial Governments in Balochistan
and NWFP will not cooperate with the US
and I think that the US will find itself
increasingly frustrated in its operation
on Afghanistan's tribal area which border
with Pakistan. And as the American gets
frustrated, General Musharraf will say,
that see, I told you need a dictatorship,
you don't really need a democracy."
The rise
of MMA would further strengthen the grip
of General Musharraf over the sinews of
power in Pakistan. He is going to
blackmail U.S.A. by asking for more money
and machines in the name of neutralising
the threat posed by the MMA. But the
Americans should note that the flushing
out of the remnants of the Taliban and Al
Qaida from NWFP and Balochistan could
become difficult if the MMA was allowed
to occupy the seat of power.
|
|
 |
| |
 |
|