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EDITORIAL

PM may as well go!

When Gulliver was tied by the Lilliputians in strings, he played along and let the Lilliputian strings endure by lying on the ground, amused at what the tiny men did with him. Or, that is popular impression correct? It could as well have been that Gulliver came to believe that the strings tying him down were too stout to be broken, that the tiny men swarming all around him were too numerous to be shaken off. And, in that assumed impotence, suffered himself to be lead as a prisoner by the army of Lilliputians. India........more

Where is the police?

Sometime back we had cautioned that much of the Jammu city is in grip of the fear of violent thieves, who are descend upon a house, subdue the inmates with force and decamp with valuables and cash. Those incidents have since multiplied and are being reported from more areas. Most of the colonies have taken to night patrolling to secure their neighborhoods against the thieves. The residents........more


‘Proxy’ war planned in 1987
Pak uses PTDs in J&K:
Gen. Rao

By B L Kak

Pakistan is using programme time devices (PTDs) quite extensively in Jammu and Kashmir. Falling within the category of sophisticated devices, PTDs are put with explosives. .........more

Pakistan poll meets Generals's wishes

By Allabaksh

The Pakistani dictator has the enviable luck of getting what he wants-- albeit by fooling the world. The US-led powers.....more

Globalisation: Challenges and opportunities

By Dr Navin Chandra Joshi

The word "globalisation" has been in vogue for quite some time but it has generally not been understood properly. An impression has been gaining ground .......more


EDITORIAL

PM may as well go!

When Gulliver was tied by the Lilliputians in strings, he played along and let the Lilliputian strings endure by lying on the ground, amused at what the tiny men did with him. Or, that is popular impression correct? It could as well have been that Gulliver came to believe that the strings tying him down were too stout to be broken, that the tiny men swarming all around him were too numerous to be shaken off. And, in that assumed impotence, suffered himself to be lead as a prisoner by the army of Lilliputians. India seems to have accepted herself to be tied and bound and is lead around by a tiny land presuming itself grand. The ropes that tie the Indian giant are as fragile as the Lilliputian strings on Gulliver’s body were, the terrorists who seem to be swarming all around are really small in numbers, and the Pak bravado is as hollow as it is hostile. But somehow India has convinced herself that she is well tied down and cannot move nor free itself from the restraint. She accordingly lies prone and prostrate when in reality she is potent enough to take on a much-hardened enemy.

But it is not the potential but the presumption that leads the way. And India keeps looking to far powers to free her from this self imposed disability. Thus it was that even after serious outrages, the Indian response remained subdued. Thus it was that even as the terrorists kept up their marauding activities. India restrained her prowess. Thus it was that while the terrorists proceeded from Parliament to Akshardham, the full-deployed forces did not budge one inch to stifle the terrorists’ feeding lines. And after all the exertions, the troops stand redeployed to their barracks. Never mind that the Indian Government through as senior an authority as the Deputy Prime Minister, as vital a Minister as the defense, ‘confirm’ that the terrorists are still being sent in, that not only the infiltrations but the support and succor to the terrorists is continuing. For corroboration they have the whole international media and all foreign intelligence sources bearing their assertions out. Yet all they settled for was a pull back called redeployment. So why make so much fuss over the Prime Minister’s visit to Pakistan for the SAARC summit?

As it is the main fare of the Indian nation for the past some years has been brownie points in the international forums. Of course, there is much good in the comity of nations standing up to laud your maturity and judgment. Impetuosity whether in men or nations is not a desirable trait. And mature people must conduct themselves with decorum, must be ready to understand, must not rush like foolhardy churls to conclusions or actions. India has been well appreciated for standing for these pious pats. It would not hurt to have a few more of them rubbing the national back. It may take out some of the sting of terror strikes and dull the pain a little. And, as the intellectuals are fond of saying, the nation it is too great and strong to be cowed down by a handful of the terrorists. So the SAARC summit can be held on schedule and the Prime Minister can go to Pakistan to participate. Indeed, no amount of talking, visiting or even camaraderie can hurt so long as one is keen on the objectives and able to press the points. It is more hurtful when it is thought that refusal to talk is equivalent to an appropriate action. It is the worst when that refusal is taken to be the ‘adequate response’ itself

Where is the police?

Sometime back we had cautioned that much of the Jammu city is in grip of the fear of violent thieves, who are descend upon a house, subdue the inmates with force and decamp with valuables and cash. Those incidents have since multiplied and are being reported from more areas. Most of the colonies have taken to night patrolling to secure their neighborhoods against the thieves. The residents themselves organize these night patrols, and do the rounds armed with lathis and khukhris always a dozen-strong men per party as the thieves are said to come in groups of ten to twelve men. Many theories are doing the rounds. Some say these are labourers, who double up as thieves at night. Others posit that they are men of the kachha-baniyan or kala-kachhe gangs who have descended upon the city. At the very least the people are highly tense. In Gole Gujral camp the other day, people chased supposed ‘miscreants’ and fired many rounds upon them as a result of which some of the residents themselves were injured while they found no trace of the ‘thieves’.

Amid all this high tension, there is no trace of police, save at the routine terrorist check posts. This is a strange situation, if not apathy. The fear may all turn out to be a hoax, but it the duty of the police to investigate it and show that it a baseless fear. If it is a real threat, as it appears to be, it again is the duty of the police force to secure the colonies, patrol the areas and reassure the people that the law and order agency is on the job and that they can sleep in relative security. They in fact, must launch a full operation to nab the criminals, who have thus thrown the whole city into a quandary. It may not take many patrol parties to cover this small city.

As it is, a part of the police force is already on patrol duty in view of the terrorist threat and a little supplementation of that force would do. But those patrols must be mounted to assure the citizens that they are not on their own in this threat to their safety and security. The city is already highly terrorist sensitive. In view of the coming durbar move, the terrorist threat would become more acute. If petty criminals can move so freely in the city as these thieves appear to be doing, is this city reasonably secure from terrorists?

‘Proxy’ war planned in 1987
Pak uses PTDs in J&K: Gen. Rao

By B L Kak

Pakistan is using programme time devices (PTDs) quite extensively in Jammu and Kashmir. Falling within the category of sophisticated devices, PTDs are put with explosives.

The PTDs, according to former Chief of Army Staff and Governor of Jammu and Kashmir, Gen. KV Krishna Rao, could be set from seven and a half minutes to 170 days. The fact that Pakistan, he says, had started using such sophisticated devices as PTDs really came to light in the first quarter of 1995, when some IEDs (improvised explosive devices) were recovered from the Jammu-Pathankot railway track.

Since then, Gen. Krishna Rao has recorded in his latest book titled ‘In the Service of the Nation: Reminiscences’, further technological advances have been made and a device which can be set for 365 days is now available. Detection of the device by the equipment then available was also a problem and had to be resolved.

Gen. Krishna Rao, who was then the J&K Governor, approached his "friend", Dr APJ Abdul Kalam, then scientific advisor to the Defence Minister, to find an answer. "We found that Pakistan had been using such devices quite extensively in Jammu and Kashmir". Naturally, the forces became much more alert to this", Gen. Rao has revealed.

Gen. Krishna Rao has a number of irrefutable findings. Finding number one: The sequence of events starting with the dismissal of the Farooq Abdullah Government and leading up to the elections in March 1987 in which massive rigging was alleged, led to a continued disturbed situation in Jammu and Kashmir.

Finding number two: Pakistan evolved its new strategy around September 1987. In the early stages of the trouble, this was not known to the Indian authorities. The J&K police did a reasonably good job in the early stages. It did not, however, mean that everyone who infiltrated back into the State was picked up. In the Jammu region, the Punjab terrorists were not only using the border for crossing over to Pakitan, but also staging some incidents.

Finding number three: It was suspected that some of the Ministers, MLAs and officials in J&K were either involved with or had sympathies with the secessionists. Others were just plain indifferent. The police appeared to have succumbed to threats. Its top brass gave the impression of being unprofessional, extremely weak and even timid. Without the necessary motivation and inspiration, the rank and file preferred to avoid trouble, rather than meet the challenge posed by the terrorists. There was even the suspicion that some of them were in league with the terrorists.

Gen. Krishna Rao regretted that some elements of the local press (in J&K) had been playing havoc in the State, by eulogizing the terrorists and denigrating the State Government. "Unfortunately, even some elements of the national press were not lagging behind", his book says and adds: "Some sections of the media gave the impression that everyone in Kashmir wanted to join Pakistan, which was far from the truth".

Finding number four: In the early 1990s, the Government employees resorted to strikes every now and then, on instigation by the militants. Some of them were known to have gone across to Pakistan and returned after months or even years... Many of the administrators were politicized and some even came under the influence of the Jamaat-e-Islami...Some of the more pro-Pakistan officials were believed to have said to their colleagues from other parts of India that they would need passports and visas to come to Kashmir in future, as ‘azadi’ was round the corner!

Gen. Krishna Rao’s finding number five: The State police dealt with militancy in its initial stages reasonably well. However, those who showed initiative, courage and competence were sidelined and even cases were launched against them or deliberate leaks made to militants about them. As the militants gained strength, the police felt unmatched. Its leadership was weak and some of the officers were involved with the militants. In the absence of proper training, many got through who were under the influence of Jamaat-e-Islami. Allegations of rampant corruption in recruitment as well as in the functioning of the police were legion. Even some of the CID personnel were involved with the militants.

In the early stages of Governor’s rule, it was alleged that no protection was provided to political leaders, who, Gen. Rao’s book says, were obvious targets of the militants. "As many of them were eliminated, the rest moved to Jammu or Delhi or other places. Only a handful remained in the Valley at risk to their lives. Those who migrated (an obvious reference to Kashmiri Pandits) would not come to the Valley for years, losing all contacts with the people", Gen. Raa has noted.

Finding number six: The local media was mostly subverted. Those who tried to assert their independence were under grave threat. Some such media personalities were eliminated by the militants. Thus, people were fed constantly by news that was emanating from the local media, particularly in Urdu, which was more or less controlled by the militants. Even some sections of the national media started glamourizing the militants and denigrating the Government on every possible occasion.

Finding number seven: Some of the journalists were, unfortunately, immature and inexperienced. There appeared to be competition to get the interviews of the militant leaders, for which certain compromises were apparently made.

However, it must be said to the credit of the national media, as explained by Gen. Krishna Rao, that overall they gave a "realistic assessment" of the ground situation. In this connection, Gen. Rao has made a pointed reference to the State’s largest circulated English publication, Daily Excelsior, and noted that the publication, under Mr SD Rohmetra, despite "serious threats to his life", functioned effectively too.

Pakistan poll meets Generals's wishes

By Allabaksh

The Pakistani dictator has the enviable luck of getting what he wants-- albeit by fooling the world. The US-led powers in the affluent and powerful world think he has taken an important step towards steering Pakistan back to democracy when he has actually ''trampled upon'' democracy in his country (says Ms Benazir Bhutto). But for the noises made Bhutto and some other Pakistani leaders, Western leaders like George W. Bush of the USA might have been unreservedly lavish in praising the General for holding ''free and fair'' election.

The just concluded elections in Pakistan were naturally ''free and fair'' because the General had done the ''rigging'' ahead of the actual polls, debarring serious potential rivals and making sure that he remained the ultimate arbiter of all matters in Pakistan. He will take Pakistan on a path of ''true'' democracy in which he will have the power to dismiss elected bodies and veto decisions taken by elected members.

No matter how the rest of the world views the post-poll scenario in Pakistan, the General has little to worry about the election results. He might have wished it but he knew it well that the ''King's party''-- Pakistan Muslim League (Quaid-e-Azam)- would not have swept the polls. By all accounts he was hoping for a hung parliament and that is what got, getting enough room to install a puppet government with the help of the group of six religious/fundamentalist parties which had bandied together for the polls. He can have a ''loyal'' government that will also implement his agenda of rabid anti-Indian policies and extending protection to religious fanatics and Taliban forces which may not feel the need to live ''clandestinely'' in his country.

The cover of having to accommodate in the government ''religious'' parties, which have less to do with religion and more with extremism, gives Musharraf an alibi to feign ''helplessness'' in fighting terrorism. But he will no admit that the large-scale entry of religious extremists and other fanatics in Pakistan's national and state assemblies was facilitated by his half-hearted attempts to fight terrorism.

He will find it easy now to shed any fig leave that he was forced to wear after 9/11 as he pushes his terrorists into India on their ''holy'' mission of death and destruction. He will claim that the emergence of religious parties has reduced his capacity to contain the anti-US forces which can be expected to operate more openly in the two Pakistan states that border Afghanistan- NWFP and Baluchistan. The post-election situation in Pakistan, which is witnessing the mainline moderate parties being pushed into a corner, will also help him realise his dream of life-long Presidency.

It was clear from the beginning that the measures he was taking to curb fundamentalism in his country were fake and a mere eyewash. After the ''General's election'' in Pakistan when these very elements are becoming part of the ruling class in his country he has lesser reasons to bottle up the genie of religious fanatics. He may continue for some time the pretension of fighting Islamic fundamentalists only to please his US masters. But if the US agreed to take a serious look at his full track record-- Kargil and ending cross-border terrorism- his claims will stand exposed.

Some Americans have begun to publicly express concern over the results thrown up by Pakistan's so-called ''free and fair'' polls which have propelled pro-Taliban, anti-American forces into the front line of Pakistani politics. The official line in the US is, however, cautious because the Bush administration is still very much enamoured of Musharraf for providing it an opening after 9/11 to show to the world that the US can give a few knock-out purchase to those (Taliban) who challenge the US might.

But with the assuredness of Gen Parvez Musharraf at the helm of affairs in Pakistan, the religious fanatics and fundamentalists will henceforth only go from strength to strength, as they had found him willingly succumbing to their pressure just after he had taken a U-turn to join the US-led ''war'' against terrorism as a frontline state. He withdrew nearly every stern measure he had announced to ''curb'' fundamentalists.

The Pakistani fundamentalists in power will certainly like to see the government in Islamabad show less subservience to the US. But an uninhibited anti-US stand by any Pakistani government is impossible given the extent to which Pakistan is dependent upon the US greenbacks and F-16s for its very survival. At the same time it cannot be ruled out that a stage may soon be reached when the US will be forced to view Pakistan as an untrustworthy ally. But the US as of now continues to fool itself by believing that Musharraf will prevent that stage from arriving.

The US ''optimism'' may grow from the fact that the real fury of all the fundamental and extremists in Pakistan has always been directed not at the US but at India, a country that is geographically of less interest to the USA than Pakistan. The anti-American feelings in Pakistan are not so strongly expressed because the stress in the official policies is against India. The fiery anti-US demonstrators of Pakistan, flashed on TV screens just after the attack on Afghanistan by US forces, disappeared as mysteriously as they had appeared on the streets. They went in retreat because the Musharraf government asked them to: Pakistanis are happier burning the Indian flag and effigies of Indian leaders.

India is in no need to commiserate with the US over the fresh developments in Pakistan. The US has refused to see certain realities in the pursuit of its agenda in the sub-continent which is to have a pliant government in Islamabad capable of containing India (with generous US help) and stop Afghanistan from falling out of the orbit of US influence.

The strong presence of the ''jehad'' and ultra-nationalists forces in Pakistan assemblies has come in the wake of an all-time high anti-India pitch in Pakistan, swiftly raised by the wily General since he staged the coup in October 1999 on the farcical plea that the then Prime Minister, Nawaz Sharif, who had appointed him Chief of Staff, was planning to jail him- after ordering the Pakistan Airlines plane in which Musharraf was travelling from Colombo to land in India!

The bulk of the religious groups and fanatics in Pakistan have been compulsively anti-Indian because Pakistanis are encouraged to think that such a course strengthens the nationhood of Pakistan. The anti-American or anti-West sentiments that prevail in Pakistan probably enjoy a fair degree of covert support from the government. But the anti-Indian feelings are fanned openly by the establishment and the upper crust of Pakstani society by constantly raising the boge of Indian ''hegemony'' and the perceived ''wickedness'' of the Kafirs of India.

The US and the rest of the Western world have never felt the need to rid Pakistan of its self-created paranoia, and therefore, these countries did not pay much attention to the growth of irrational hate policies of Pakistan. Pakistan also discovered that it can play up its India phobia before the rich West to seek a constant flow of arms and cash. The US help in raising the Taliban and helping prop up Osama bin Laden are too well known.

With its army motivated to religious wars, Pakistan gladly took over the charge of the Taliban from the US with, of course, a greater passion as it saw in the Taliban militia a great opportunity to get at India. It is a myth created by the Pakistanis and lapped up by the US that Pakistan has a ''secular'' element in its armed forces. The ''moderates'' in the Pakistan defence forces are something like the ''moderates'' in the Sangh Parivar who put up a ''secular'' front only when the occasion demands it.

Gen Musharraf is part of an army which showed its true colours of intolerance at the time of the Bangladesh war in 1971 and its more hawkish, anti-Indian tone since the humiliation it suffered in that war. Pakistan's ISI, which is a part of its Army, has been the greatest source of strength for the Taliban and other similar forces. And the US has known it all along. The US need not express surprise over the large gains made by the religious fanatics in Pakistani polls.

Even after 9/11, the US refused to see the fuller dimensions of the menace that the Pakistan-backed religious fundamentalism has become. Washington is living in a make-believe world when it sees the Pakistani-sponsored terrorism as being benign to American interests. The US concern over incursions by these terrorists into Indian territories is confined to issuing statements- generally at India's insistence- to denounce ''cross - border terrorism''. The US has shown marked hesitation to persuade its client in Islamabad from taking up the US ''advice'' on ending ''cross-border terrorism''.

If, however, the US is still worried to see religious extremists take control of Pakistani administration, they should be doing some more plain talking to their favourite General in Islamabad. Shedding crocodile tears over the polls results in Pakistan will not do.

(Syndicate Features)

Globalisation: Challenges and opportunities

By Dr Navin Chandra Joshi

The word "globalisation" has been in vogue for quite some time but it has generally not been understood properly. An impression has been gaining ground that many an economic ill are due to globalisation. Also, it is felt that increased cross border trade will adversely affect Indian economy. Moreover, Indian companies fear that they are going to be easy targets for takeover by foreign companies. There may be an element of truth in these perceptions but not all of them may be real.

It is also true that liberalisation of trade and investment increased capital flows and the resultant competition also lead to higher economic growth. Evidence suggests that open economies have prospered better than those economies which have adopter protective practices, as in the case of many of the South East Asian economies.

Therefore, India should rise to avail itself of the opportunities of globalisation. Indian business cannot perpetually live behind protective barriers. It is necessary to push Indian companies into global competition and break their lethargy. To withdraw from globalisation would be an opportunity lost.

No wonder then, however, a first class infrastructure network has to be provided for Indian industry and business so that they become effectively competitive in the global market. Alongwith that, some laws pertaining to labour and production need to be changed while some new have to be introduced keeping in view the global standards that need to be achieved. Surely, by leading these and other problems unattended, it cannot be expected that Indian industry and business will be able to rise to meet the global challenges.

Of no less concern is the fact that huge global corporations enjoys sufficient financial clout to erode the regulatory powers of nations and ride roughshod over the rights of individuals to determine their future. Whereas the postcolonialism had held out the promise of an egalitarian world order and globalisation was supposed to deliver economic equality among nations, the reality is to be contrary. In the postglobalisation world in which we live today, inequality is on the increase.

It is said globalisation's driving idea is free market capitalism. Like the cold war, globalisation also has its own set of economic rules which revolve around opening deregulation and privatisation of economic activities. In the era of globalisation, we are all connected as we reach for the internet but nobody is totally in charge. If the defining perspective of cold war was division, it was integration for globalisation. Once a country makes the leap into the system of globalisation, it's elites try to locate themselves in a global context.

The experience of ongoing globalisation makes it imperative to rewrite the rules in order to make them work for people and not just for profits. The latest UNDP Human Development Report (HDR) has put human concerns at the Centre of the globalisation debast to end the polarisation. The report has referred to India's consistent efforts to improve the overall development opportunities for its people even as the country was integrating rapidly with the global economy. It is good that the HDR has been focussing international debate on people and attempting measurement of people's progress beyond the per capita income.

In other words, the overall well-being of an individual and the global interdependence of the people is unanimously agreed as a solution to the dangerous polarisation between people and countries benefitting from the system and those as mere passive recipients of its effects. Rightly, therefore, the report does not look at globalisation either as an unqualified panacea or as a wholesale malignancy. What it seeks to unfold is the problem of reconciling the pursuit of economic efficiency and global competitiveness with the dictates of equity and enhanced human security. How can this harmonisation operate? The report gives three prerequisites to humane process of globalisation.

First, stronger policies to protect and promote human development -- literacy, education, training, preventive health, gender justice and so forth; second, more international cooperation in human development areas; and third, a participative process of development integrating Governments, NGOs and business entities.

It is true that while the present-day world does not give us any option except to join the process of globalisation, we should, along with other developing countries, find ways and means of devising policies and programmes which really help the poor nations and the poor among these nations. We should fight for a more just and equitable world order and develop the strength and unity to resist imposition of unequal treaties and discriminatory trade policies. India signed the WTO accord but the Indian industry as well as trade circles are not fully aware even today of the commitments made by the country.

As a development paradigm, globalisation is now widely accepted and it's basic tenants are hardly disputed. The developing countries have shown a greater urge to globalise their economies, mostly on their own. A measure of this is the fact that 100 out of 135 members of the World Trade Organisation (WTO) are from the developing world and more are waiting to join this supra-national body. There are, however, doubts as to whether globalisation, in its present form, will fulfill this expectation.

A review of the globalisation process and its working during the 90s would support the sceptics. The shortcomings have been that so far there has been a limited spread and reach of globalisation. It has been confined to only the industrialised countries and a limited number of developing (mainly fast-moving newly industralising) counties. The rest of the countries (all developing) have not been able to access the globalisation process for a variety of reasons, but primarily because of aggressive pursuit of regionalism and growing market access barriers.

The main driving forces of present-day globalisation are the market and the return on investment. Only countries with high growth and good prospects or attractive returns have been drawn within the fold of global trade and investment flows. Developing countries attract only 30 per cent of global investment flows, but just 20 countries in the developing world attract over 85 per cent of total foreign direct investment flows and 94 per cent of portfolio investment. Globalisation has thus eluded the rest of the developing countries inspite of drastic liberalisation of their economic policies.

Moreover, as a result of globalisation, there has large concentration of activities within certain geographical confines like those of the Asia - Pacific Economic Cooperation Forum (APEC) and the European Union (EU) and this has widened the disparity between the rich and the poor countries. The income-gap between the top 20 per cent of the world's population in the highest-income countries and bottom 20 per cent has increased to 75:1. While the former accounts for 87 per cent of world's Gross Domestic Product (GDP), the latter accounts for only one per cent. And there is no guarantee that more liberalisation by the developing countries will help to narrow this gap.

As part of trade reforms, the tariff and non-tariff barriers have been lowered gradually. India's agreement with the wto norms has resulted in the country removing the quantitative restrictions on various items and from April last year free import of various items have been allowed.

The financial sector reforms been particularly significant and banks are now reorienting their strategy to compete with international players. The insurance sector has been opened up only recently and the forces of competition are already coming into play. Industrial licensing has been more or less abolished and the role of private capital has been enhanced in various sectors.

Also, in India's corporate sector some kind of discontinuity is visible as global competition is knocking at their doors. Foreign investments are sometimes looked upon with suspicion and yet they seem to be crucial for modernisation. Now time has come when we should aim at making Indian companies as global companies with the vast pool of trained manpower and skills available with the vast pool of trained manpower and skills available in the country. The objective should be to build Indian brands and products which are recognised throughout the world.

Nevertheless, all this calls for restructuring on a scale which has been untried till now in so far as the economy and corporate sector are concerned. The level of performance would need to be sustained by constant innovation, cost reduction and better quality. It has to be recognised that as a consequence of globalisation, free roaming across the global economy by muntinationals has encouraged many developing nations to liberalise at great speed. Therefore, mega mergers and acquisitions have eroded competition and developed monopolistic tendencies, vitiating all fruitful results of a global environment.

PTI Feature

 
 



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