EDITORIAL
Quakes
in Kashmir
Now, quake is as
connotative, as conjure-some a word as Kashmir itself.
That bowl of a bare ten thousand square miles is the most
well-known part of India, if not the whole Asia, all over
the world. That larger than life image easily gives it a
full sway over the whole of the State of which it forms a
bare sixth today and formed a mere third before Pakistan
and China together took away a half out of the domains
that had acceded to India. Equally intransigent is the
fact of the Kashmir, problems as well as perspectives,
dominating the cares of the Indian intellectuals who see
nothing beyond the vale of Kashmir when told of the Jammu
and Kashmir State. So every quakerishly benign Indian
thinks it his/her first duty to ignore the State and
concentrate on Kashmir. Ladakh is barren and Jammu is,
well a part of India. And, 'go to Kashmir seems to
be the unwritten guideline for every venturer from the
mainland there, whether searching for peace or plums. In
the latter are included the figurative as well as the
real plums for which Kashmir is justly famous.
But then, Kashmir is
justly famous for the figurative ones too, including
those of beaten meat, the goshtabas, and lots of
people go there for that delicacy. Indeed, half of the
politickings, partialities and partisanships are said to
be lost and gained solely over that famed delicatessen
from the other famous thing, wazwan, of Kashmir.
Then there are the people fired by pure quakerish zeal.
Of course, one did not have the members of the Society of
Friends founded by George Fox in mind when one.....more
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India's
security concerns
By Maj Gen V K Madhok (Retd)
In the age of
Globalisation, Security has acquired a new context.
Military is no longer the only tool for achieving
national .....more
New
Govt must address youth grievances
TALES OF TRAVESTY
By Dr. Jitendra Singh
Leo Tolstoy writes
"all happy families are happy for similar reasons
but each unhappy family has its own reason to.....more
Adharmic
Charity
By Bharat Jhunjhunwala
Microsoft Chairman Bill
Gates has donated $24 Billion to the William H Gates
Foundation to fight AIDS and spread ...more
International
Environmental Awareness
By Dr. Shubhanker Banerjee
Now it is also stated that
there are few international level organisations or
institutions such as Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change (IPCC) ......more
Inside
Afghanistan
By Sreedhar
Since the beginning of
2002, the Taliban-al-Qaeda have, by a series of actions,
demonstrated that they are a still a potent force, not
.........more
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EDITORIAL
Quakes
in Kashmir
Now, quake is as
connotative, as conjure-some a word as Kashmir
itself. That bowl of a bare ten thousand square
miles is the most well-known part of India, if
not the whole Asia, all over the world. That
larger than life image easily gives it a full
sway over the whole of the State of which it
forms a bare sixth today and formed a mere third
before Pakistan and China together took away a
half out of the domains that had acceded to
India. Equally intransigent is the fact of the
Kashmir, problems as well as perspectives,
dominating the cares of the Indian intellectuals
who see nothing beyond the vale of Kashmir when
told of the Jammu and Kashmir State. So every
quakerishly benign Indian thinks it his/her first
duty to ignore the State and concentrate on
Kashmir. Ladakh is barren and Jammu is, well a
part of India. And, 'go to Kashmir seems to
be the unwritten guideline for every venturer
from the mainland there, whether searching for
peace or plums. In the latter are included the
figurative as well as the real plums for which
Kashmir is justly famous.
But then, Kashmir
is justly famous for the figurative ones too,
including those of beaten meat, the goshtabas,
and lots of people go there for that
delicacy. Indeed, half of the politickings,
partialities and partisanships are said to be
lost and gained solely over that famed
delicatessen from the other famous thing, wazwan,
of Kashmir. Then there are the people fired
by pure quakerish zeal. Of course, one did not
have the members of the Society of Friends
founded by George Fox in mind when one typed the
title above. One actually thought of the quaking
spells that shook Kashmir over the past
fortnight. The latest appears to have been quite
a quake, measuring just a couple of points below
the one that shook Gujarat. That it came just as
the Kashmir Committee contemplated visiting
Kashmir may just be a coincidence, though that
visit has already thrown its quakerish concern,
Hurriyat, into a quake of its own. Of course,
Jethmalani is no Quaker. He is the legal luminary
of the country who would have little to do with
compassion and plain- speak of the Foxs
followers of the Middle Ages. Or, does he ? The
Quakers too saw no authority and depended upon
their own inner lights. And the eminent lawyer
does wear simple and plain kurtas when
confabulating there.
And, his concern
is definitely compassionate. Or, who else would
have thought of giving the down and out Hurriyat
a helping hand when the people, whose true
spokesmen they proclaimed themselves, put them in
the doghouse of Kashmir. But quaker-like the
Kashmir Committee has taken up their cause and
may well make it feel like a dog with two tails
again. Especially, if it succeeds in talking to
Yasin Malik too, as it hopes. Compassion and a
will to forgive and forget was the special
attribute of the original Quakers and so it is
with this committee. For, was it not the very
same Hurriyat that spurned its protracted
persuasions to enter the poll fry during its last
visits? To be fair, the Government of India too
spurned its appeals and despite the accolades for
its work, refused its proteges even a simple
meeting. Ask not what the purpose then, for being
a committee on the hotshot Kashmir is a purpose
in itself. And, then quakers, the original ones,
never believed in purposes. Their good work was
done not with motives but came of the dictates of
their own inner light. So are the quakes in
Kashmir coming from the innards!
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India's
security concerns
By Maj
Gen V K Madhok (Retd)
In the age
of Globalisation, Security has acquired a
new context. Military is no longer the
only tool for achieving national
objectives. Nor is it necessary to
conquer territories. Although, military
capability would always remain the most
central. Because other means and methods
led by aggressive diplomacy and economic
warfare cannot be employed without it to
bring an adversary to his knees.
What are
India's current security concerns and in
the future? What are the existing flaws?
What needs to be done to improve the
security environment are issues which
need deep reflection.
From
amongst a dozen or so security
concerns-spanning from internal security,
separatist movements, internationally
sponsored terrorism, efforts by the US
and China to dominate South Asia and
dictate terms, burgeoning sale of arms-
to propaganda, four critical issues
concerning India's security need prompt
and decisive action.
These
being : Firstly, the Sino-Pak strategic
partnership and its implications; which
has resulted in articulation of a common,
subtle strategy and a collective
capability to destabilise India. Its
visible shape being: an intensification
in the ongoing proxy war in J&K and a
mission to wage a second one in India's
NE by fuelling discontent amongst
separatist movements, supported from
bases in Burma, Bangladesh, Kathmandu and
Bhutan.
The point
to note is that China remains in the
driver's seat, using Pakistan and others
as its tools and attacking India's weak
points: Not recognising Sikkim as part of
India, keeping a Sino-Butanese boundry
dispute alive and claiming 90,000 sq kms
of Arunachal Pradesh besides a complete
hold on Burma's military junta,
maintaining diplomatic contacts to the
extent, that the Indian Prime Minister
& Raksha Mantri plan to visit Beijing
in the near future instead of meeting in
a third country like Nepal or Bhutan.
Secondly,
absence of Indigenisation: with India's
military having been mortgaged for 75-80
percent of its hardware to foreign arms
factories (despite a sprawling R&D
and Quality Assurance Complex), the
defence machine would collapse in three
to four weeks should the supply of
spares, overhaul and upgrading facilities
or replacements be stopped or restricted.
Further, the country would go bankrupt in
making defence purchases and in a race to
keep up with emerging technologies.
Besides, the duration for which the armed
forces could fight would be curtailed.
And the power vested in the Parliament to
draft independent policies as a sovereign
state would be compromised.
Thirdly,
disappearance of Buffer Zones: with
India's diminishing leverage in the
region, alongwith political and
commercial encroachments in the
neighbouring states, such as sale of arms
by China to Bangladesh or by US to Nepal
and Sri Lanka, the security threats have
shifted directly to India's borders.
Thereby necessitating further expansion
of Para Military and regular forces with
the resultant drainage of India's
economy. Needless to say, the future
defence budgets will make ugly holes in
India's economy which will be difficult
to explain.
Fourthly,
unpreparedness to meet the impact of
Globalisation: Today, US and western
countries can control the developing
world by denial of military technology,
economic sanctions, coercive diplomacy,
space surveillance-without resorting to a
military confrontation. An Indo-Pak or a
Sino-Indian conflict may therefore not
take place without Washington's specific
permission.
India has
instituted a large number of institutions
ranging from NSC, NSAB (National Security
Advisory Board), RAW, IDSA (Institute for
Defence Study and Analysis) etc to advise
the Ministry of Defence and the CCS
(Cabinet Committee on Security) on issues
of security concern. Yet the country
awaits an articulate, futuristic defence
policy! The bottom line is that effective
political direction is missing which is
further diluted due to lack of national
will to tackle security issues.
Finally,
India's security concerns have to be
dealt with by Indians and not the US.
There are no two ways about it. But that
cannot be done without spelling out
India's National aim and doctrine based
on national interests. Only then,
foreign, defence and economic policies
can be debated and drafted to achieve
these and self reliant tools of diplomacy
and defence shaped to implement national
policies. If that does not happen, Bill
Gates and his ilk will be governing India
and its Military from Microsoft
headquarters after donating billions of
dollars.
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New
Govt must address youth grievances
TALES OF TRAVESTY
By Dr.
Jitendra Singh
Leo
Tolstoy writes "all happy families
are happy for similar reasons but each
unhappy family has its own reason to be
unhappy". The three regions of
Jammu, Kashmir and Ladakh might differ to
some extent in the intrinsically
individual reasons which make them
unhappy but all these three regions and
infact the entire populace of whole of
the State of Jammu and Kashmir has one
aspiration in common which can make them
happy --- and, that is the basic instinct
of seeing their children getting a fair
deal from the powers - that-be.
The Chief
Minister Mufti Mohd Sayeed has kindled a
new hope with his public declaration that
neither he himself nor any of his
Ministers would interfere in appointments
to Government jobs. While time alone
would show how far the Mufti Cabinet can
actually live up to this pledge, the very
declaration of intent by the new Chief
Minister comes as a sense of relief at a
time when the people of Jammu and
Kashmir, particularly the youth, had come
to believe that even for a class IV
Government job you can aspire only if you
are ready to pay the auction price quoted
for it and for an appointment to a
gazetted job you can aspire only on the
basis of our monetary bidding or your
status as son-in-law or son of a high-up.
The new
ruling polity would do well to bear in
mind that it is not the non-availability
of Government jobs which is so
frustrating for the educated unemployed
youth but what is far more frustrating is
"selective" or
discriminatory" availability of
Government jobs only for those who enjoy
familial, pecuniary or sycophantic access
to the men in the higher echelons. It is
not the non-availability of avenues for
the meritorious which is so frustrating
but what is far more frustrating is a
tacitly manipulated side-lining or
exclusion of the meritorious from the
selection or appointment process.
The
other area of youth concern which has
suffered morbid casualty in the past few
years is the selection of students to
various professional colleges and
institutions awarding medical or
engineering degrees. On the one hand the
professional colleges in private sector
have been allowed to "sell"
MBBS and engineering degrees for
exorbitant and unchecked price which
remains unquestioned because of the
proximity or "dubious"
hand-in-glove deal which the proprietors
of these colleges have shared with the
erstwhile rulers of the State. On the
other hand, the Government managed
medical and engineering institutions have
suffered intimidating interference in
selection process from the erstwhile
ruling click. The deliberate refusal of
the former State Government to allow the
medical colleges in Jammu and Kashmir to
be a part of the All - India MBBS
selection pool prevalent for he last few
years not only deprives the meritorious
of the opportunity for a wider exposure
but also tacitly leaves space for
manipulation in the selection list at
local level.
Let this
not be forgotten even for a moment that
when democratic outlets are stifled,
undemocratic channels begin to operate
and when justice is the casualty, force
takes over whether it be in the form of
terrorism, violence, militancy or crime.
The nation is already paying the price
for having allowed this to happen in
Jammu and Kashmir. Now, when there is
ostensibly a fresh initiative to restore
normalcy in the State, the nation can
ill-afford to allow the new rulers to
repeat the misdeeds of their
predecessors.
Since
youth unrest is the breeding ground for
terrorism and unemployment is a strong
catalyst for militancy, addressing youth
grievances ought to be a top priority for
any Government which means business. At
the same time, the new Government will
have to ensure that it does not take
unduly long to translate its public
declarations into action. The anguished
youth is running out of patience and may
have to be redeemed before the time runs
out of him. Umapathy's anxiety is
summed up in Ghalib's poetic refrain "Humne
Mana Tawaful Na Karoge Lekin, Khaak Hon
Jayenge Hum Tumko Khabar Hone Tak!"
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Adharmic
Charity
By
Bharat Jhunjhunwala
Microsoft
Chairman Bill Gates has donated $24
Billion to the William H Gates Foundation
to fight AIDS and spread computer
literacy in India and other developing
countries. At the same time his company
is making all efforts to extract monopoly
prices for its software. Gates extracts
monopoly profits from India and recycles
a small part of the same through
'charity'. Another benefit from this
charity is that it creates a larger
market for Microsoft products. Gates
recognizes that one of the main problems
of developing countries is that rich
countries are providing huge subsidies to
their farmers. That prevents a fair
competition between Indian and American
farmers. Yet the Gates Foundation does
not take an initiative to have these
subsidies dismantled. Speaking about the
obligation of wealthy countries in the
global economy at Government Leaders'
Conference at Seattle in April this year,
he admitted that the central question was
whether "the rich world gives
opportunity and shares with the world in
an appropriate way? And if you look at
things like how agricultural prices are
fixed, or how trade in textiles is fixed,
or efforts to impose standards on those
countries... We decided at one point that
development assistance would be .7
percent of GDP. The U.S., in response to
that, went from .2 percent of GDP to .1
percent of GDP."
Gates
clearly recognizes that the way trade in
agricultural products and textiles is
presently organized has a distinct
bearing on the poverty in the developing
countries. But instead of tackling this
concern head-on, he brings out IT as the
solution. He continues, "So, you
know, a lot that should be done. I do
think that low-cost computing, which is
acceptable to the world at large, which
is a big move away from expensive UNIX or
mainframe type computing, is a
contribution that has helped. I do think
the Internet, in terms of seeing skilled
jobs emerge in places like India and many
other countries. You know, we are seeing
-- things are moving in the right
direction." According to Gates the
solution to low prices of agricultural
and textile products is the spread of IT
literacy. Certainly that will create jobs
for a handful of persons. But what about
the billions? One daresay Gates has no
answer.
The
difficulty arises at an altogether
different level. Microsoft is making all
efforts to protect its monopoly over
software and extract the highest prices
for the same from across the
world-developing countries included.
Microsoft is known to protect its patents
aggressively. The huge profits made by
Microsoft are, in part at least, due to
such monopolistic pricing. On the one
hand Microsoft is extracting wealth from
India by monopoly pricing. On the other
hand, part of that profits is recycled
back in the form of charity through the
Gates Foundation.
Gates is
opposed to provision of free software. He
would, in fact, like the developing
country governments not to spend on this
activity. He wants to maintain the
stranglehold of Microsoft. He does not
want that software should be available to
a developing country at a fraction of the
price at which Microsoft sells. He
justifies this profit making by saying
that Microsoft creates jobs and
innovation: "One thing that we get
people discussing with us a lot is how to
create jobs around IT activity. And I
think... software should generate jobs,
and government R&D should generate
jobs, so that government R&D should
be done on a basis that it can be
commercialized. There's a faction against
that, the so-called general GPL source
license free software foundation, that
says that these other countries should
devote R&D dollars in the so-called
open approach, that means you can never
commercialize that software. And it is an
interesting choice to deny -- for a
country to deny itself the benefits of
these high-paying jobs and the kind of
taxes that let countries fund their
universities, and fund general research
that then goes to renew that pool of
commercial R&D."
In Gates'
view, a country should take the
capitalist approach and promote expensive
software so that jobs and R&D can be
created from the taxes generated from
that sale. Gates does not recognize that
the availability of cheap software would
create more efficiency, increase
productivity and create perhaps hundred
times more jobs and taxes than the
software companies. Gates sees IT as a
solution to bad governance. IT would
provide information to the people and
empower them against tyrannical rulers.
Speaking of his initiative to join hands
with other IT companies to provide
information more easily, he said,
"Spreading this knowledge (of
exchanging information) is something that
we are very passionate about... so that
anyone who has systems running on the
Microsoft platform using this approach
will be able to exchange information in a
very deep, rich way with any of the other
leading platforms that are out there. And
so that's really the kind of progress
that we had hoped for. We are very
pleased to see that." Note Gates'
reference to the Microsoft platform.
Access to information is pleasing to
Gates only as long as it also provides
profits to Microsoft. The focus of Gates
Foundation is on the treatment of AIDS.
It is supporting initiatives based on
supply of drugs, presumably largely by
MNCs. J. Stephen Morrison, Project
Director of one of the initiatives says
that "world opinion has shifted
significantly in favor of providing
access to antiretroviral treatment in
developing countries." It is well
known that health problems in developing
countries are rooted malnutrition. The
solution is to enable the developing
countries to get higher prices for their
agricultural and textile products, for
example. Yet Gates supports drug-based
treatment. The money then goes back to
the suppliers of the drugs.
Even his
charity is aimed at creating more
profits. He says explicitly that the
immunization initiative undertaken by his
foundation would improve health and
release resources for education. Another
initiative will create computer literacy
in the developing countries. In the
process he is creating a market for his
own products.
Microsoft
is first making the people of India poor
by extracting high prices for its
products. Then it is giving charity to
ameliorate the ill effects of the poverty
that it has helped create. Would it not
be appropriate to soften this extraction
instead of giving charity? Gates is first
following adharma in charging high prices
for his products. Then he is trying to
wipe out that adharma by undertaking
charity. Would it not be better to follow
dharma instead?
It is
welcome that the like of Bill Gates are
concerned about the welfare of the people
of the developing countries. But we
should see beyond the mask. The real
objective of these do-gooders is to
soften the bad effects of their own
extraction of our wealth and to retain
their control over the global economy.
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International
Environmental Awareness
By Dr. Shubhanker
Banerjee
Now it is also
stated that there are few international level
organisations or institutions such as
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
which have been reinventing the wheel for years,
telling us actually what we already know.
Therefore,
environmental activists are keen to keep the
credibility of these organisations for which it
is necessary to steer clear of all sorts of
controversies. For instance, global warming
causes the sea level to rise, how will it effect
Bangladesh? It is clear that we have to assess
such problems and accordingly study their
impacts.
It must be
clarified that presently the science of
environment is not just limited to atmospherics
science. In fact, atmospheric science is only a
part of its management. So, we require to
specially focus on energy choices, the kind of
clean technologies that we need to imply various
aspects such as public administration,
oceanology, forest management, health science,
species of disease carrying, general awareness of
the mass, global educational standard etc. But
still this field of environment is quite
dominated by atmospherics-experts and hence as
its consequence, other areas of crucial
importance have been neglected.
Therefore, it is
urgently required to include other functional
experts and qualified people of different
subjects to enable the science of environment to
become more wide field. The atmospheric
scientists must not only dominate this field. On
the other hand, atmospheric scientists also come
forward with broad minded attitudes towards the
global problems relating to environment.
Every country of
the entire world must play a responsible role
towards change of climate. Each and every people
of the world must know about differentiated
responsibility in the change of climate. But the
developed countries, (United States in
particular), should do more responsible role than
developing nations like India, as their
socio-economic responsibilities are much greater
considering their economic, scientific and
technological maturity in comparison to other
under-developed countries.
Since Rio
convention, the reaction of the auto fuels
industry to developments is really a bit of a
mixed type. For instance, Bill Ford of Ford Motor
has opined that this company has to change,
become more environment-friendly if it does not
want to go the way of the tobacco industry.
Similarly, other companies are ready to change
but on the other hand, there are also few other
companies who are totally resistant to change.
Actually, all
global civil societies have to be stir itself
more. The international environmental
organizations must disseminate all the findings
more actively. For instance, the IPCC gets inputs
from more than 1,000 scientists throughout the
world. The global community must know about such
findings, particularly as per top-class research
findings of the IPCC.
But the question
must be raised whether any real-change is yet
observed due to all the conferences after the Rio
meet? The answer to this question is very simple
that no such changes have happened as per
expectation, specially in terms of actual action.
However, on the
ground of perceptions, there has been a clear
change which has been observed during last
decade. It is now internationally accepted that
poverty is everyones problem in the modern
global society. Besides, there are several
companies who are quite conscious of their
responsibilities to the general people and the
society on the whole, just after Rio meet. But
still, the conditions are not satisfactory with
the over all action.
The view of TERT
(Tata Energy Research Institute) are simply
different from those of Supreme Court. The
Supreme Court of India has already ordered in
favour on CNG (Compressed Natural Gas), whereas
views of environmentalist and energy scientists
quite differ from the verdict of the Supreme
Court. These experts, unlike others, favour
"Ultra Low Sulphur Diesel (ULSD) which is
the preferred option all over the European
Countries. In fact ULSD is considered more
cleaner than CNG. Then, there must be a
legitimate question raised before this point,
"Why is CNG being spoken of as the only
option?"
In fact, over the
last six to seven years, there have been so many
new developments. After the Euro II engine and
the advent of the particular trap, ULSD has an
edge over CNG. Then, another question. Also can
be raised, "why the preference is given to
CNG knowing about all of above factors?"
Actually, many
people acted on old information. Usually, they
took a position and did not want to resile from
it. Then, ego is also a matter of concern. For
instance, some people may say, we are taking
money from Tatas, so we must do accordingly for
their interest. But it is not so.
It is hard truth
that a real environmentalist must not care for
any economic or financial profits, they should
not run after profit motive, but just make
effective efforts to save the environment and as
well as "Mother Nature". Here, for
instance, certain CNG Bus and three wheeler
manufacturers are making a killing, charging much
more than for diesel vehicles. A true
environmental-activist must also counter all of
these extra profit-making efforts in the name of
environment. The national level committees and
organisations must be competent enough to tackle
all such situations.
It may be
concluded lastly that legal experts
administrators and policy makers should always
consult dedicated environmentalists before making
any sophisticated decision and take them in
confidence of the matter. Only a single committee
or organisation can not be termed as fully
competent and fountainhead of environmental
wisdom. For instance, if it is thought, essential
that all citizens must only breathe air as pure
as it is in Himalays, will the concerned
authorities be able to pipe it down for them?
Therefore,
feasibility study must be done and safety
standard must be also considered before making
any solid decision or drawing some strong step to
protect our Mother Nature so that environmental
wisdom can be attained throughout the entire
world. The environment awareness is required not
only at local level also at international level.
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Inside
Afghanistan
By Sreedhar
Since the
beginning of 2002, the Taliban-al-Qaeda have, by
a series of actions, demonstrated that they are a
still a potent force, not only in Afghanistan but
also in neighbouring Pakistan and other places.
These include; killing of Daniel Pearl, a
journalist of Jewish-Christian origin working
with Wall Street Journal in Karachi; killing of
11 French engineers, working in Pakistan on a
submarine project in Karachi ; blowing up of a
church in Islamabad where some US diplomats were
offering their Sunday prayers; bomb blast near
the US Consulate in Karachi, a plot hatched to
pump poisonous gas fumes into the US Embassy in
Italy; suspected culprit for making dirty bombs
being arrested in the US; assassination of two
ministers in the interim Government of Hamid
Karzai in Kabul in broad daylight.
Except in the
Daniel Pearl murder case, in all the others, in
Pakistan and Afghanistan, the culprits are yet to
traced by the authorities concerned.
In addition to
these random attacks on Western targets, the
Taliban-al-Qaeda cadres are also offering
resistance to the US forces in the mountainous
region in southern Afghanistan. The early March
2002 surprise attack on a US helicopter, killing
six American soldiers, is one incident, which has
been reported extensively in the media. The
people visiting Kabul and its surrounding areas
also mentioned similar stray incidents.
At another level,
new arms and ammunition are still reaching the
Taliban-al-Qaeda fighters. In fact, the US
Defence Secretary in an interview to the Washington
Times disclosed that in Afghanistan: ''We
have recently (May-June 2002) discovered some new
stuff that is not old and it is modern. It is
expensive, it is well done'', he said without
disclosing where the equipment was found. He said
it included ''25 backpacks, all well done with
the right equipment and modern stuff and
professionally done.''
In another
interview to DNN, he observed that he was amazed
at the quantity of weapons that have been
accumulated in Afghanistan throughout its long
history of warfare. ''Literally you cannot
imagine the hundreds of things, armoured vehicles
and rockets, everything under the sun.
Surface-to-air missiles. It must be from 20
different countries,'' he said. In his
assessment, the Taliban al-Qaeda forces remained
probably in one-third of 32 provinces in
Afghanistan.
The
Taliban-al-Qaeda rule was over in Afghanistan by
November 2001, when Kabul was taken over by the
US assisted anti-Taliban forces. The US and
Afghan forces are hounding their leaders and
cadres round the clock, but there are still a
considerable number of hardcore Taliban in the
southern provinces with large quantities of arms
and ammunition, including Stinger missiles that
may pose a threat to new rulers in Kabul.
The US forces
stationed at Kandahar and the new Afghan
administration in these provinces are well aware
of their presence. The US, through the Karzai
Government, is continuing its efforts to win over
the tribal elders who were staunch supporters of
the Taliban during their six-year rule.
Pakistani media
reports say that some Taliban have simply
switched their allegiance from Mullah Omar to
Mullah Naqib's nominee, Corps Commander Khan
Mohammed. Mullah Naqib, a Corps Commander during
the days of the mujahideen government, extended
his full support to the Taliban when they rose to
power and developed a close relationship with
Mullah Omar.
Mullah Naqib is
the man who brokered the deal between Hamid
Karzai and Omar before the latter disappeared
from Kandahar with hundreds of his men. However,
Mullah Naqib was handed over control of Kandahar
along with over 3,000 Taliban fighters, hundreds
of vehicles and all the military hardware of the
cantonment.
The Governor of
Kandahar, Mohammad Shafiq Sherzai, alias Gul
Agha, whose forces succeeded in capturing towns
and strategic points from Takht Pul to Kandahar
airport in the wake of intense US bombing, was
critical of this deal and opposed the handing
over of Kandahar to his one-time arch-rival,
Mullah Naqib. There was also a severe clash
between Mullah Naqib and Sherzai's men when the
former forcibly entered the city and captured the
Governor's house.
Later, Hamid
Karzai, as leader of the interim Government,
brought about reconciliation between the two.
Under the settlement, Sherzai was accepted as
Governor, while the office of Corps Commander,
the number two slot, was given to Mullah
Naqibullah who nominated his brother-in-law, Khan
Mohammad, to the post. Since then there has been
tension between the Governor and his
second-in-command. Both men are uneducated, but
Sherzai communicates with the Americans through
his two English speaking cousins, Engineer Yousaf
Pashtun and Khalid Pashtun.
There are reports
that in Ghazni alone, north of Kandahar, there
are hundreds of vehicles and tanks, besides
hundreds of Taliban leaders and fighters under
the protection of tribal elders. An equal number
are present in the Baghran mountains to the north
in Helmand province where American and Afghan
forces tried in vain to track down Mullah Omar
and his men.
In January 2002,
Rais Abdul Wahid, a powerful warlord in Baghran,
a Tora Bora-like mountainous area, agreed to
cooperate in the search in the wake of threats by
US forces to bombard the area. The search met
with no success and some people believe Rais may
have delayed it to give Mullah Omar enough time
to get away.
Many Taliban have
now resumed their religious studies in
Afghanistan and Pakistan or resumed their duties
as peshimams or muezzins in the mosques in both
countries. Some have gone back to their villages
and are biding their time. Some of them roam the
streets of Kandahar in the same dress and turban
while some have changed their garb.
''The Taliban
exist everywhere. They cannot be separated from
Pashtun culture. It is not necessary that they
rise under the same name, but they could launch
another movement on the same lines,'' said Talib
Qari Noorduddin, who recently got the job of
peshimam in the city of Kandahar. Hundreds of
people, many of whom were Taliban, protested in
front of the Governor's house against the
Government's decision to cut off food and water
to the Arab fighters entrenched in Mir Wais
Hospital in January-February 2002.
When Governor Gul
Agha invited citizens' suggestions regarding the
Government's day-to-day affairs, very few people
showed up. Later, in order to mobilize public
opinion for holding a Loya Jirga, the Government
arranged public meetings and repeatedly requested
the people to attend them, but its pleas went
unheeded,as not more than 5,000 people in one
meeting 3,000 of whom were primary school
children, showed up. Khalid Pushtun, chief
adviser to Governor Sherzai, had claimed a day
earlier that he expected at least 20,000 people
to attend the meeting and demonstrate their
support for Government policies and the current
political process.
In Kandahar, many
believe that the law and order established by the
Taliban will be difficult for the warlords to
dismantle, even with US support, and that is one
reason why public support is not forthcoming.
There are clear
difference between the two local forces, one
loyal to Governor Sherzai and the other to Corps
Commander Khan Mohammad in Kandahar. Khan
Mohammad's men were deployed at the Mir Wais
Hospital, guarding the armed Arab fighters who
had demanded safe passage. When the Americans
decided to conduct a commando operation against
the Arabs, they asked these soldiers to leave and
then used Governor Sherzai's forces to launch an
attack against the Arabs. This type of visible
tussle between warlords is hindering the US
efforts to win over tribal leaders with all means
at its command.
Haji Bashar
Noorzai is one of the leaders who surrendered
along with Taliban vehicles and around 1,200
weapons of all types in return for assurance of
amnesty. Noorzai hosted a lunch for Governor
Sherzai and a senior US military official at
Maywant, 40 kilometers west of Kandahar city.
Bashar, one of the biggest opium tycoons of
Afghanistan, was one of the two tribal leaders of
the province of Mullah Omar before his departure.
Americans are said
to have rewarded Bashar in cash for changing
sides and expected him to help in the hunt for
Osama, Mullah Omar and other Taliban leaders.
Another important tribal warlord, Mullah Salam
Rocketti in Zabul surrendered on the same
conditions. Pir Ismail Gillani, a spiritual
leader in Kandahar, played the main role in
brokering this deal.
There are visible
differences between the Kandahar and Kabul
Governments, as the former criticizes Hamid
Karzai for not exerting effective control over
the province. Herat Governor Tooran Ismail has
been accused for receiving arms and ammunition
from neighbouring Iran and developing friendly
relations with its Governments without the
consent of Kabul.
Hamid Karzai, too,
lacks clout and influence among the tribal
elders. He has yet to consolidate his position.
He has also been accused of trying to clear the
path to power for his brothers and uncles in the
upcoming set-up in Kandahar by exploiting his
close relationship with ex-monarch Zahir Shah.
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