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EDITORIAL

Quakes in Kashmir

Now, quake is as connotative, as conjure-some a word as Kashmir itself. That bowl of a bare ten thousand square miles is the most well-known part of India, if not the whole Asia, all over the world. That larger than life image easily gives it a full sway over the whole of the State of which it forms a bare sixth today and formed a mere third before Pakistan and China together took away a half out of the domains that had acceded to India. Equally intransigent is the fact of the Kashmir, problems as well as perspectives, dominating the cares of the Indian intellectuals who see nothing beyond the vale of Kashmir when told of the Jammu and Kashmir State. So every quakerishly benign Indian thinks it his/her first duty to ignore the State and concentrate on Kashmir. Ladakh is barren and Jammu is, well a part of India. And, 'go to Kashmir’ seems to be the unwritten guideline for every venturer from the mainland there, whether searching for peace or plums. In the latter are included the figurative as well as the real plums for which Kashmir is justly famous.

But then, Kashmir is justly famous for the figurative ones too, including those of beaten meat, the goshtabas, and lots of people go there for that delicacy. Indeed, half of the politickings, partialities and partisanships are said to be lost and gained solely over that famed delicatessen from the other famous thing, wazwan, of Kashmir. Then there are the people fired by pure quakerish zeal. Of course, one did not have the members of the Society of Friends founded by George Fox in mind when one.....more


India's security concerns

By Maj Gen V K Madhok (Retd)

In the age of Globalisation, Security has acquired a new context. Military is no longer the only tool for achieving national .....more

New Govt must address youth grievances
TALES OF TRAVESTY

By Dr. Jitendra Singh

Leo Tolstoy writes "all happy families are happy for similar reasons but each unhappy family has its own reason to.....more

Adharmic Charity

By Bharat Jhunjhunwala

Microsoft Chairman Bill Gates has donated $24 Billion to the William H Gates Foundation to fight AIDS and spread ...more

International Environmental Awareness

By Dr. Shubhanker Banerjee

Now it is also stated that there are few international level organisations or institutions such as Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) ......more

Inside Afghanistan

By Sreedhar

Since the beginning of 2002, the Taliban-al-Qaeda have, by a series of actions, demonstrated that they are a still a potent force, not .........more


EDITORIAL

Quakes in Kashmir

Now, quake is as connotative, as conjure-some a word as Kashmir itself. That bowl of a bare ten thousand square miles is the most well-known part of India, if not the whole Asia, all over the world. That larger than life image easily gives it a full sway over the whole of the State of which it forms a bare sixth today and formed a mere third before Pakistan and China together took away a half out of the domains that had acceded to India. Equally intransigent is the fact of the Kashmir, problems as well as perspectives, dominating the cares of the Indian intellectuals who see nothing beyond the vale of Kashmir when told of the Jammu and Kashmir State. So every quakerishly benign Indian thinks it his/her first duty to ignore the State and concentrate on Kashmir. Ladakh is barren and Jammu is, well a part of India. And, 'go to Kashmir’ seems to be the unwritten guideline for every venturer from the mainland there, whether searching for peace or plums. In the latter are included the figurative as well as the real plums for which Kashmir is justly famous.

But then, Kashmir is justly famous for the figurative ones too, including those of beaten meat, the goshtabas, and lots of people go there for that delicacy. Indeed, half of the politickings, partialities and partisanships are said to be lost and gained solely over that famed delicatessen from the other famous thing, wazwan, of Kashmir. Then there are the people fired by pure quakerish zeal. Of course, one did not have the members of the Society of Friends founded by George Fox in mind when one typed the title above. One actually thought of the quaking spells that shook Kashmir over the past fortnight. The latest appears to have been quite a quake, measuring just a couple of points below the one that shook Gujarat. That it came just as the Kashmir Committee contemplated visiting Kashmir may just be a coincidence, though that visit has already thrown its quakerish concern, Hurriyat, into a quake of its own. Of course, Jethmalani is no Quaker. He is the legal luminary of the country who would have little to do with compassion and plain- speak of the Fox’s followers of the Middle Ages. Or, does he ? The Quakers too saw no authority and depended upon their own inner lights. And the eminent lawyer does wear simple and plain kurtas when confabulating there.

And, his concern is definitely compassionate. Or, who else would have thought of giving the down and out Hurriyat a helping hand when the people, whose true spokesmen they proclaimed themselves, put them in the doghouse of Kashmir. But quaker-like the Kashmir Committee has taken up their cause and may well make it feel like a dog with two tails again. Especially, if it succeeds in talking to Yasin Malik too, as it hopes. Compassion and a will to forgive and forget was the special attribute of the original Quakers and so it is with this committee. For, was it not the very same Hurriyat that spurned its protracted persuasions to enter the poll fry during its last visits? To be fair, the Government of India too spurned its appeals and despite the accolades for its work, refused its proteges even a simple meeting. Ask not what the purpose then, for being a committee on the hotshot Kashmir is a purpose in itself. And, then quakers, the original ones, never believed in purposes. Their good work was done not with motives but came of the dictates of their own inner light. So are the quakes in Kashmir coming from the innards!

India's security concerns

By Maj Gen V K Madhok (Retd)

In the age of Globalisation, Security has acquired a new context. Military is no longer the only tool for achieving national objectives. Nor is it necessary to conquer territories. Although, military capability would always remain the most central. Because other means and methods led by aggressive diplomacy and economic warfare cannot be employed without it to bring an adversary to his knees.

What are India's current security concerns and in the future? What are the existing flaws? What needs to be done to improve the security environment are issues which need deep reflection.

From amongst a dozen or so security concerns-spanning from internal security, separatist movements, internationally sponsored terrorism, efforts by the US and China to dominate South Asia and dictate terms, burgeoning sale of arms- to propaganda, four critical issues concerning India's security need prompt and decisive action.

These being : Firstly, the Sino-Pak strategic partnership and its implications; which has resulted in articulation of a common, subtle strategy and a collective capability to destabilise India. Its visible shape being: an intensification in the ongoing proxy war in J&K and a mission to wage a second one in India's NE by fuelling discontent amongst separatist movements, supported from bases in Burma, Bangladesh, Kathmandu and Bhutan.

The point to note is that China remains in the driver's seat, using Pakistan and others as its tools and attacking India's weak points: Not recognising Sikkim as part of India, keeping a Sino-Butanese boundry dispute alive and claiming 90,000 sq kms of Arunachal Pradesh besides a complete hold on Burma's military junta, maintaining diplomatic contacts to the extent, that the Indian Prime Minister & Raksha Mantri plan to visit Beijing in the near future instead of meeting in a third country like Nepal or Bhutan.

Secondly, absence of Indigenisation: with India's military having been mortgaged for 75-80 percent of its hardware to foreign arms factories (despite a sprawling R&D and Quality Assurance Complex), the defence machine would collapse in three to four weeks should the supply of spares, overhaul and upgrading facilities or replacements be stopped or restricted. Further, the country would go bankrupt in making defence purchases and in a race to keep up with emerging technologies. Besides, the duration for which the armed forces could fight would be curtailed. And the power vested in the Parliament to draft independent policies as a sovereign state would be compromised.

Thirdly, disappearance of Buffer Zones: with India's diminishing leverage in the region, alongwith political and commercial encroachments in the neighbouring states, such as sale of arms by China to Bangladesh or by US to Nepal and Sri Lanka, the security threats have shifted directly to India's borders. Thereby necessitating further expansion of Para Military and regular forces with the resultant drainage of India's economy. Needless to say, the future defence budgets will make ugly holes in India's economy which will be difficult to explain.

Fourthly, unpreparedness to meet the impact of Globalisation: Today, US and western countries can control the developing world by denial of military technology, economic sanctions, coercive diplomacy, space surveillance-without resorting to a military confrontation. An Indo-Pak or a Sino-Indian conflict may therefore not take place without Washington's specific permission.

India has instituted a large number of institutions ranging from NSC, NSAB (National Security Advisory Board), RAW, IDSA (Institute for Defence Study and Analysis) etc to advise the Ministry of Defence and the CCS (Cabinet Committee on Security) on issues of security concern. Yet the country awaits an articulate, futuristic defence policy! The bottom line is that effective political direction is missing which is further diluted due to lack of national will to tackle security issues.

Finally, India's security concerns have to be dealt with by Indians and not the US. There are no two ways about it. But that cannot be done without spelling out India's National aim and doctrine based on national interests. Only then, foreign, defence and economic policies can be debated and drafted to achieve these and self reliant tools of diplomacy and defence shaped to implement national policies. If that does not happen, Bill Gates and his ilk will be governing India and its Military from Microsoft headquarters after donating billions of dollars.

New Govt must address youth grievances
TALES OF TRAVESTY

By Dr. Jitendra Singh

Leo Tolstoy writes "all happy families are happy for similar reasons but each unhappy family has its own reason to be unhappy". The three regions of Jammu, Kashmir and Ladakh might differ to some extent in the intrinsically individual reasons which make them unhappy but all these three regions and infact the entire populace of whole of the State of Jammu and Kashmir has one aspiration in common which can make them happy --- and, that is the basic instinct of seeing their children getting a fair deal from the powers - that-be.

The Chief Minister Mufti Mohd Sayeed has kindled a new hope with his public declaration that neither he himself nor any of his Ministers would interfere in appointments to Government jobs. While time alone would show how far the Mufti Cabinet can actually live up to this pledge, the very declaration of intent by the new Chief Minister comes as a sense of relief at a time when the people of Jammu and Kashmir, particularly the youth, had come to believe that even for a class IV Government job you can aspire only if you are ready to pay the auction price quoted for it and for an appointment to a gazetted job you can aspire only on the basis of our monetary bidding or your status as son-in-law or son of a high-up.

The new ruling polity would do well to bear in mind that it is not the non-availability of Government jobs which is so frustrating for the educated unemployed youth but what is far more frustrating is "selective" or discriminatory" availability of Government jobs only for those who enjoy familial, pecuniary or sycophantic access to the men in the higher echelons. It is not the non-availability of avenues for the meritorious which is so frustrating but what is far more frustrating is a tacitly manipulated side-lining or exclusion of the meritorious from the selection or appointment process.

The other area of youth concern which has suffered morbid casualty in the past few years is the selection of students to various professional colleges and institutions awarding medical or engineering degrees. On the one hand the professional colleges in private sector have been allowed to "sell" MBBS and engineering degrees for exorbitant and unchecked price which remains unquestioned because of the proximity or "dubious" hand-in-glove deal which the proprietors of these colleges have shared with the erstwhile rulers of the State. On the other hand, the Government managed medical and engineering institutions have suffered intimidating interference in selection process from the erstwhile ruling click. The deliberate refusal of the former State Government to allow the medical colleges in Jammu and Kashmir to be a part of the All - India MBBS selection pool prevalent for he last few years not only deprives the meritorious of the opportunity for a wider exposure but also tacitly leaves space for manipulation in the selection list at local level.

Let this not be forgotten even for a moment that when democratic outlets are stifled, undemocratic channels begin to operate and when justice is the casualty, force takes over whether it be in the form of terrorism, violence, militancy or crime. The nation is already paying the price for having allowed this to happen in Jammu and Kashmir. Now, when there is ostensibly a fresh initiative to restore normalcy in the State, the nation can ill-afford to allow the new rulers to repeat the misdeeds of their predecessors.

Since youth unrest is the breeding ground for terrorism and unemployment is a strong catalyst for militancy, addressing youth grievances ought to be a top priority for any Government which means business. At the same time, the new Government will have to ensure that it does not take unduly long to translate its public declarations into action. The anguished youth is running out of patience and may have to be redeemed before the time runs out of him. Umapathy's anxiety is summed up in Ghalib's poetic refrain "Humne Mana Tawaful Na Karoge Lekin, Khaak Hon Jayenge Hum Tumko Khabar Hone Tak!"

Adharmic Charity

By Bharat Jhunjhunwala

Microsoft Chairman Bill Gates has donated $24 Billion to the William H Gates Foundation to fight AIDS and spread computer literacy in India and other developing countries. At the same time his company is making all efforts to extract monopoly prices for its software. Gates extracts monopoly profits from India and recycles a small part of the same through 'charity'. Another benefit from this charity is that it creates a larger market for Microsoft products. Gates recognizes that one of the main problems of developing countries is that rich countries are providing huge subsidies to their farmers. That prevents a fair competition between Indian and American farmers. Yet the Gates Foundation does not take an initiative to have these subsidies dismantled. Speaking about the obligation of wealthy countries in the global economy at Government Leaders' Conference at Seattle in April this year, he admitted that the central question was whether "the rich world gives opportunity and shares with the world in an appropriate way? And if you look at things like how agricultural prices are fixed, or how trade in textiles is fixed, or efforts to impose standards on those countries... We decided at one point that development assistance would be .7 percent of GDP. The U.S., in response to that, went from .2 percent of GDP to .1 percent of GDP."

Gates clearly recognizes that the way trade in agricultural products and textiles is presently organized has a distinct bearing on the poverty in the developing countries. But instead of tackling this concern head-on, he brings out IT as the solution. He continues, "So, you know, a lot that should be done. I do think that low-cost computing, which is acceptable to the world at large, which is a big move away from expensive UNIX or mainframe type computing, is a contribution that has helped. I do think the Internet, in terms of seeing skilled jobs emerge in places like India and many other countries. You know, we are seeing -- things are moving in the right direction." According to Gates the solution to low prices of agricultural and textile products is the spread of IT literacy. Certainly that will create jobs for a handful of persons. But what about the billions? One daresay Gates has no answer.

The difficulty arises at an altogether different level. Microsoft is making all efforts to protect its monopoly over software and extract the highest prices for the same from across the world-developing countries included. Microsoft is known to protect its patents aggressively. The huge profits made by Microsoft are, in part at least, due to such monopolistic pricing. On the one hand Microsoft is extracting wealth from India by monopoly pricing. On the other hand, part of that profits is recycled back in the form of charity through the Gates Foundation.

Gates is opposed to provision of free software. He would, in fact, like the developing country governments not to spend on this activity. He wants to maintain the stranglehold of Microsoft. He does not want that software should be available to a developing country at a fraction of the price at which Microsoft sells. He justifies this profit making by saying that Microsoft creates jobs and innovation: "One thing that we get people discussing with us a lot is how to create jobs around IT activity. And I think... software should generate jobs, and government R&D should generate jobs, so that government R&D should be done on a basis that it can be commercialized. There's a faction against that, the so-called general GPL source license free software foundation, that says that these other countries should devote R&D dollars in the so-called open approach, that means you can never commercialize that software. And it is an interesting choice to deny -- for a country to deny itself the benefits of these high-paying jobs and the kind of taxes that let countries fund their universities, and fund general research that then goes to renew that pool of commercial R&D."

In Gates' view, a country should take the capitalist approach and promote expensive software so that jobs and R&D can be created from the taxes generated from that sale. Gates does not recognize that the availability of cheap software would create more efficiency, increase productivity and create perhaps hundred times more jobs and taxes than the software companies. Gates sees IT as a solution to bad governance. IT would provide information to the people and empower them against tyrannical rulers. Speaking of his initiative to join hands with other IT companies to provide information more easily, he said, "Spreading this knowledge (of exchanging information) is something that we are very passionate about... so that anyone who has systems running on the Microsoft platform using this approach will be able to exchange information in a very deep, rich way with any of the other leading platforms that are out there. And so that's really the kind of progress that we had hoped for. We are very pleased to see that." Note Gates' reference to the Microsoft platform. Access to information is pleasing to Gates only as long as it also provides profits to Microsoft. The focus of Gates Foundation is on the treatment of AIDS. It is supporting initiatives based on supply of drugs, presumably largely by MNCs. J. Stephen Morrison, Project Director of one of the initiatives says that "world opinion has shifted significantly in favor of providing access to antiretroviral treatment in developing countries." It is well known that health problems in developing countries are rooted malnutrition. The solution is to enable the developing countries to get higher prices for their agricultural and textile products, for example. Yet Gates supports drug-based treatment. The money then goes back to the suppliers of the drugs.

Even his charity is aimed at creating more profits. He says explicitly that the immunization initiative undertaken by his foundation would improve health and release resources for education. Another initiative will create computer literacy in the developing countries. In the process he is creating a market for his own products.

Microsoft is first making the people of India poor by extracting high prices for its products. Then it is giving charity to ameliorate the ill effects of the poverty that it has helped create. Would it not be appropriate to soften this extraction instead of giving charity? Gates is first following adharma in charging high prices for his products. Then he is trying to wipe out that adharma by undertaking charity. Would it not be better to follow dharma instead?

It is welcome that the like of Bill Gates are concerned about the welfare of the people of the developing countries. But we should see beyond the mask. The real objective of these do-gooders is to soften the bad effects of their own extraction of our wealth and to retain their control over the global economy.

International Environmental Awareness

By Dr. Shubhanker Banerjee

Now it is also stated that there are few international level organisations or institutions such as Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) which have been reinventing the wheel for years, telling us actually what we already know.

Therefore, environmental activists are keen to keep the credibility of these organisations for which it is necessary to steer clear of all sorts of controversies. For instance, global warming causes the sea level to rise, how will it effect Bangladesh? It is clear that we have to assess such problems and accordingly study their impacts.

It must be clarified that presently the science of environment is not just limited to atmospherics science. In fact, atmospheric science is only a part of its management. So, we require to specially focus on energy choices, the kind of clean technologies that we need to imply various aspects such as public administration, oceanology, forest management, health science, species of disease carrying, general awareness of the mass, global educational standard etc. But still this field of environment is quite dominated by atmospherics-experts and hence as its consequence, other areas of crucial importance have been neglected.

Therefore, it is urgently required to include other functional experts and qualified people of different subjects to enable the science of environment to become more wide field. The atmospheric scientists must not only dominate this field. On the other hand, atmospheric scientists also come forward with broad minded attitudes towards the global problems relating to environment.

Every country of the entire world must play a responsible role towards change of climate. Each and every people of the world must know about differentiated responsibility in the change of climate. But the developed countries, (United States in particular), should do more responsible role than developing nations like India, as their socio-economic responsibilities are much greater considering their economic, scientific and technological maturity in comparison to other under-developed countries.

Since Rio convention, the reaction of the auto fuels industry to developments is really a bit of a mixed type. For instance, Bill Ford of Ford Motor has opined that this company has to change, become more environment-friendly if it does not want to go the way of the tobacco industry. Similarly, other companies are ready to change but on the other hand, there are also few other companies who are totally resistant to change.

Actually, all global civil societies have to be stir itself more. The international environmental organizations must disseminate all the findings more actively. For instance, the IPCC gets inputs from more than 1,000 scientists throughout the world. The global community must know about such findings, particularly as per top-class research findings of the IPCC.

But the question must be raised whether any real-change is yet observed due to all the conferences after the Rio meet? The answer to this question is very simple that no such changes have happened as per expectation, specially in terms of actual action.

However, on the ground of perceptions, there has been a clear change which has been observed during last decade. It is now internationally accepted that poverty is everyone’s problem in the modern global society. Besides, there are several companies who are quite conscious of their responsibilities to the general people and the society on the whole, just after Rio meet. But still, the conditions are not satisfactory with the over all action.

The view of TERT (Tata Energy Research Institute) are simply different from those of Supreme Court. The Supreme Court of India has already ordered in favour on CNG (Compressed Natural Gas), whereas views of environmentalist and energy scientists quite differ from the verdict of the Supreme Court. These experts, unlike others, favour "Ultra Low Sulphur Diesel (ULSD) which is the preferred option all over the European Countries. In fact ULSD is considered more cleaner than CNG. Then, there must be a legitimate question raised before this point, "Why is CNG being spoken of as the only option?"

In fact, over the last six to seven years, there have been so many new developments. After the Euro II engine and the advent of the particular trap, ULSD has an edge over CNG. Then, another question. Also can be raised, "why the preference is given to CNG knowing about all of above factors?"

Actually, many people acted on old information. Usually, they took a position and did not want to resile from it. Then, ego is also a matter of concern. For instance, some people may say, we are taking money from Tatas, so we must do accordingly for their interest. But it is not so.

It is hard truth that a real environmentalist must not care for any economic or financial profits, they should not run after profit motive, but just make effective efforts to save the environment and as well as "Mother Nature". Here, for instance, certain CNG Bus and three wheeler manufacturers are making a killing, charging much more than for diesel vehicles. A true environmental-activist must also counter all of these extra profit-making efforts in the name of environment. The national level committees and organisations must be competent enough to tackle all such situations.

It may be concluded lastly that legal experts administrators and policy makers should always consult dedicated environmentalists before making any sophisticated decision and take them in confidence of the matter. Only a single committee or organisation can not be termed as fully competent and fountainhead of environmental wisdom. For instance, if it is thought, essential that all citizens must only breathe air as pure as it is in Himalays, will the concerned authorities be able to pipe it down for them?

Therefore, feasibility study must be done and safety standard must be also considered before making any solid decision or drawing some strong step to protect our Mother Nature so that environmental wisdom can be attained throughout the entire world. The environment awareness is required not only at local level also at international level.

Inside Afghanistan

By Sreedhar

Since the beginning of 2002, the Taliban-al-Qaeda have, by a series of actions, demonstrated that they are a still a potent force, not only in Afghanistan but also in neighbouring Pakistan and other places. These include; killing of Daniel Pearl, a journalist of Jewish-Christian origin working with Wall Street Journal in Karachi; killing of 11 French engineers, working in Pakistan on a submarine project in Karachi ; blowing up of a church in Islamabad where some US diplomats were offering their Sunday prayers; bomb blast near the US Consulate in Karachi, a plot hatched to pump poisonous gas fumes into the US Embassy in Italy; suspected culprit for making dirty bombs being arrested in the US; assassination of two ministers in the interim Government of Hamid Karzai in Kabul in broad daylight.

Except in the Daniel Pearl murder case, in all the others, in Pakistan and Afghanistan, the culprits are yet to traced by the authorities concerned.

In addition to these random attacks on Western targets, the Taliban-al-Qaeda cadres are also offering resistance to the US forces in the mountainous region in southern Afghanistan. The early March 2002 surprise attack on a US helicopter, killing six American soldiers, is one incident, which has been reported extensively in the media. The people visiting Kabul and its surrounding areas also mentioned similar stray incidents.

At another level, new arms and ammunition are still reaching the Taliban-al-Qaeda fighters. In fact, the US Defence Secretary in an interview to the Washington Times disclosed that in Afghanistan: ''We have recently (May-June 2002) discovered some new stuff that is not old and it is modern. It is expensive, it is well done'', he said without disclosing where the equipment was found. He said it included ''25 backpacks, all well done with the right equipment and modern stuff and professionally done.''

In another interview to DNN, he observed that he was amazed at the quantity of weapons that have been accumulated in Afghanistan throughout its long history of warfare. ''Literally you cannot imagine the hundreds of things, armoured vehicles and rockets, everything under the sun. Surface-to-air missiles. It must be from 20 different countries,'' he said. In his assessment, the Taliban al-Qaeda forces remained probably in one-third of 32 provinces in Afghanistan.

The Taliban-al-Qaeda rule was over in Afghanistan by November 2001, when Kabul was taken over by the US assisted anti-Taliban forces. The US and Afghan forces are hounding their leaders and cadres round the clock, but there are still a considerable number of hardcore Taliban in the southern provinces with large quantities of arms and ammunition, including Stinger missiles that may pose a threat to new rulers in Kabul.

The US forces stationed at Kandahar and the new Afghan administration in these provinces are well aware of their presence. The US, through the Karzai Government, is continuing its efforts to win over the tribal elders who were staunch supporters of the Taliban during their six-year rule.

Pakistani media reports say that some Taliban have simply switched their allegiance from Mullah Omar to Mullah Naqib's nominee, Corps Commander Khan Mohammed. Mullah Naqib, a Corps Commander during the days of the mujahideen government, extended his full support to the Taliban when they rose to power and developed a close relationship with Mullah Omar.

Mullah Naqib is the man who brokered the deal between Hamid Karzai and Omar before the latter disappeared from Kandahar with hundreds of his men. However, Mullah Naqib was handed over control of Kandahar along with over 3,000 Taliban fighters, hundreds of vehicles and all the military hardware of the cantonment.

The Governor of Kandahar, Mohammad Shafiq Sherzai, alias Gul Agha, whose forces succeeded in capturing towns and strategic points from Takht Pul to Kandahar airport in the wake of intense US bombing, was critical of this deal and opposed the handing over of Kandahar to his one-time arch-rival, Mullah Naqib. There was also a severe clash between Mullah Naqib and Sherzai's men when the former forcibly entered the city and captured the Governor's house.

Later, Hamid Karzai, as leader of the interim Government, brought about reconciliation between the two. Under the settlement, Sherzai was accepted as Governor, while the office of Corps Commander, the number two slot, was given to Mullah Naqibullah who nominated his brother-in-law, Khan Mohammad, to the post. Since then there has been tension between the Governor and his second-in-command. Both men are uneducated, but Sherzai communicates with the Americans through his two English speaking cousins, Engineer Yousaf Pashtun and Khalid Pashtun.

There are reports that in Ghazni alone, north of Kandahar, there are hundreds of vehicles and tanks, besides hundreds of Taliban leaders and fighters under the protection of tribal elders. An equal number are present in the Baghran mountains to the north in Helmand province where American and Afghan forces tried in vain to track down Mullah Omar and his men.

In January 2002, Rais Abdul Wahid, a powerful warlord in Baghran, a Tora Bora-like mountainous area, agreed to cooperate in the search in the wake of threats by US forces to bombard the area. The search met with no success and some people believe Rais may have delayed it to give Mullah Omar enough time to get away.

Many Taliban have now resumed their religious studies in Afghanistan and Pakistan or resumed their duties as peshimams or muezzins in the mosques in both countries. Some have gone back to their villages and are biding their time. Some of them roam the streets of Kandahar in the same dress and turban while some have changed their garb.

''The Taliban exist everywhere. They cannot be separated from Pashtun culture. It is not necessary that they rise under the same name, but they could launch another movement on the same lines,'' said Talib Qari Noorduddin, who recently got the job of peshimam in the city of Kandahar. Hundreds of people, many of whom were Taliban, protested in front of the Governor's house against the Government's decision to cut off food and water to the Arab fighters entrenched in Mir Wais Hospital in January-February 2002.

When Governor Gul Agha invited citizens' suggestions regarding the Government's day-to-day affairs, very few people showed up. Later, in order to mobilize public opinion for holding a Loya Jirga, the Government arranged public meetings and repeatedly requested the people to attend them, but its pleas went unheeded,as not more than 5,000 people in one meeting 3,000 of whom were primary school children, showed up. Khalid Pushtun, chief adviser to Governor Sherzai, had claimed a day earlier that he expected at least 20,000 people to attend the meeting and demonstrate their support for Government policies and the current political process.

In Kandahar, many believe that the law and order established by the Taliban will be difficult for the warlords to dismantle, even with US support, and that is one reason why public support is not forthcoming.

There are clear difference between the two local forces, one loyal to Governor Sherzai and the other to Corps Commander Khan Mohammad in Kandahar. Khan Mohammad's men were deployed at the Mir Wais Hospital, guarding the armed Arab fighters who had demanded safe passage. When the Americans decided to conduct a commando operation against the Arabs, they asked these soldiers to leave and then used Governor Sherzai's forces to launch an attack against the Arabs. This type of visible tussle between warlords is hindering the US efforts to win over tribal leaders with all means at its command.

Haji Bashar Noorzai is one of the leaders who surrendered along with Taliban vehicles and around 1,200 weapons of all types in return for assurance of amnesty. Noorzai hosted a lunch for Governor Sherzai and a senior US military official at Maywant, 40 kilometers west of Kandahar city. Bashar, one of the biggest opium tycoons of Afghanistan, was one of the two tribal leaders of the province of Mullah Omar before his departure.

Americans are said to have rewarded Bashar in cash for changing sides and expected him to help in the hunt for Osama, Mullah Omar and other Taliban leaders. Another important tribal warlord, Mullah Salam Rocketti in Zabul surrendered on the same conditions. Pir Ismail Gillani, a spiritual leader in Kandahar, played the main role in brokering this deal.

There are visible differences between the Kandahar and Kabul Governments, as the former criticizes Hamid Karzai for not exerting effective control over the province. Herat Governor Tooran Ismail has been accused for receiving arms and ammunition from neighbouring Iran and developing friendly relations with its Governments without the consent of Kabul.

Hamid Karzai, too, lacks clout and influence among the tribal elders. He has yet to consolidate his position. He has also been accused of trying to clear the path to power for his brothers and uncles in the upcoming set-up in Kandahar by exploiting his close relationship with ex-monarch Zahir Shah.



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