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EDITORIAL

At long last!

After years of the Pak state and establishment playing havoc with the State of Jammu and Kashmir, the international community seems to have woken up to the disruptive activities of Pakistan. In a realistic report, that was long over due, various human rights organizations meeting in Geneva have clearly told Pakistan to stay away from any disruption of the election process in Jammu and Kashmir State. This warning has come not a day too soon; as late as Pak Independence Day, the Pakistan president clearly indicated that his Government intends not to let the poll process proceed smoothly in the state. This assumes importance when seen in the backdrop of the Pakistan government’s involvement in the terrorist infiltration. That infiltration, inspite of the Pak assertions to the contrary, continues. The terrorists keep pouring in, killing and destroying property and creating terror and disorder in the state. All that is geared to keep the terrorism high in the State. It is on the strength of this terror that the Pak establishment bases its case in Kashmir.......more

Another mistake

Nationalists in the State of Jammu and Kashmir, and out of it, know that the major mistake committed by the Indian Government in the State has been to treat it with different yardsticks than other states and people. Yet the Government of India as well as the constitutional institutions....more


The speech Vajpayee
may never make

By M J Akbar

Here is the speech we may not quite hear on Thursday 15 Au-gust when Prime Minister Atal Behari Vajpayee climbs up the ramparts of the Red Fort to start yet another birthday party for India; Friends (in the BJP), Indians (in cities and villages) and countrymen (across the world)!......more

Jethmalani is jumpy,
road is bumpy

By B L Kak

The mercurial world of Kashmir politics has baffled the best brains. And amid mistakes, committed one after another by New Delhi and Srinagar.......more

American reliance
on Musharraf

By Babu Ram Sharma

America is not only being de-ceived but is also deceiving herself by reliance on wily President General Musharraf of Pakistan. He is undependable.....more

Lifting of travel advisories:
Good news for it

By Arvinder Kaur

The lifting of travel advisories by USA, Germany, France and var-ious other countries recently could not have come a day......more


EDITORIAL

At long last!

After years of the Pak state and establishment playing havoc with the State of Jammu and Kashmir, the international community seems to have woken up to the disruptive activities of Pakistan. In a realistic report, that was long over due, various human rights organizations meeting in Geneva have clearly told Pakistan to stay away from any disruption of the election process in Jammu and Kashmir State. This warning has come not a day too soon; as late as Pak Independence Day, the Pakistan president clearly indicated that his Government intends not to let the poll process proceed smoothly in the state. This assumes importance when seen in the backdrop of the Pakistan government’s involvement in the terrorist infiltration. That infiltration, inspite of the Pak assertions to the contrary, continues. The terrorists keep pouring in, killing and destroying property and creating terror and disorder in the state. All that is geared to keep the terrorism high in the State. It is on the strength of this terror that the Pak establishment bases its case in Kashmir.

It also is on the strength of these terrorists, their terror potential and rapacity, that they ‘reject’ the election process and issue calls for ‘boycott’. It is on the strength of this illegal firepower that certain people believe they can force the Indian Government to concede their private demands as well as enforce what their private visions, if not interests, see as the ‘best thing’ for the people of this state. And, it would not do to ignore this all-important factor. When a terrorist enters a basti and calls for the people to abstain, it is difficult for the people to defy their dictates. Over the past months alone they have already killed dozens of political activists who they believed would not listen to their calls. It cannot be ignored that the people who the terrorists killed belonged to the main political voices in the state — the ones the terrorists believed would oppose to them. Nor can one overlook, the fact that other parties are at pains not to brush the terrorists on the wrong side. The much talked of, Sharjah initiative with a section of Hurriyat laying emphasis on distancing itself from terrorists has quietly withered away after the death of Abdul Gani Lone. The so-called moderates are a cornered force now in view of the increasing depredations of the terrorists.

The human rights groups have noted this factor of terrorism as well as the Pak aid and efforts to sustain it. They have noted the fact, that the Pak- Government promises to reign in the terrorists, clearly indicates that they are thick with the terrorists. So do their alibis for calling the terrorists ‘freedom fighters’. These are strange ‘freedom fighters’, coming from different parts of Pakistan, killing people in the outskirts of Jammu, to get Kashmiris ‘freedom’! This more than anything else, shows how much Pakistan is involved in Kashmir. This is what India and the state leadership and Government have been telling the international community for the last more than a decade. Thankfully they seem to have woken up to, this fact and have clearly asked Pakistan to desist from sending in terrorists in there and seeking to disrupt the election. It is now for Pakistan to show some sincerity in its assertions. Whatever the Pak establishment does to the elections in Pakistan, it must not be allowed to play with the democratic process in India or any part thereof. That is one thing the international community must look to. There are indications that, at long last, they are growing appreciative of the need to ensure that.

Another mistake

Nationalists in the State of Jammu and Kashmir, and out of it, know that the major mistake committed by the Indian Government in the State has been to treat it with different yardsticks than other states and people. Yet the Government of India as well as the constitutional institutions persist with the mistaken notion that the only right thing to do in the state is to treat it differently, use different yardsticks for it. Of course, they end up only eroding the national unity and uniformity, though the angelic souls rarely realize that. Thus the Election Commission does not see any discrepancy in its treatments and assessment of situations in Jammu and Kashmir and Gujarat but they are too patent for everybody else. The same CEC who finds that there is ‘fear’ in Gujarat which is not conducive to holding elections in the State, saw no fear or threat of backlash in the State. Apparently the ‘normalcy’ that has to be achieved in Gujarat is something different than the one needed in the State of Jammu and Kashmir. For sometime, nobody has spoken of achieving it!

Of course, nobody in a normal free state should be forced to live outside his/her home and everybody should have free access as well as entry to all areas, a full freedom of movement and expression. Though that has largely been restored in Gujarat, there still are some people who stay in camps there. That has prompted the Election Commission to postpone the elections till their return to their homes, which would apparently be taken as the measure of normalcy. Fine. But what of Jammu and Kashmir? A million people here are out of their homes. Some of them have been provided camp facilities while lakhs are not even recognized as being under threat. The whole of valley is threatened by ‘a continued perception of fear and victimization’. The minorities have been evicted out of that place wholesale. The minorities in most of Jammu are in different stages of migration. The whole state is faced, not by a sporadic communal-clash or its fear, but a persistent threat of terrorism. It is raging, and ravaging the state, threatening people and disrupting life all around. How can it be called less threatening than the situation in Gujarat? Any less abnormal? If not, why the different yardsticks? Why more mistakes?

The speech Vajpayee may never make

By M J Akbar

Here is the speech we may not quite hear on Thursday 15 Au-gust when Prime Minister Atal Behari Vajpayee climbs up the ramparts of the Red Fort to start yet another birthday party for India; Friends (in the BJP), Indians (in cities and villages) and countrymen (across the world)!

You were kind enough to elect me, and support me if you could not vote, in a general election three years ago because I was the Prime Minister of economic reform, the Lahore peace initiative and Kargil. Since then reform has tripped over uncertainty, while those old-fashioned rogues and sharks who hover over public money have continued to steal and loot thousands of crores with impunity, bribing their way through any problem, laughing their way through media and politicians, and fattening the foreign accounts of men at the head of financial institutions who sold their trust unit by unit and betrayed blue chip companies like IDBI chip by chip.

In self-defence I will say that I did not create this scum. I inherited this class from decades of misrule and corruption, of deals between money power and political authority at the cost of your development, your jobs, your schools, your hospitals, your roads, your hunger. Where my self-defence collapses is in the fact that I too did nothing to heal this corrosive cancer that has gnawed at the heart and soul of our country. Our tryst with destiny was not meant to suffocate in sleaze. I am guilty of indifference. And I will tell you the reason for my indifference. Because my own party, which was born and nurtured in puritan zeal, has become a mob of sleazebags. I know many of you- let's make that most of you do not share the ideology and beliefs of men like Shyamaprasad Mukherjee and Deendayal Upadhyaya. I mention these names because they were my leaders when I was a young man with a dream. I have become an old man now, and I am not certain whether I have the courage to dream any more.. But even those who would not want Shyamaprasadji and Deendayalji to lead India will admit and accept that they did not enter public life to split the scum with hyeneas. They were honest men who died with less in their bank accounts than they had inherited. What a tragedy therefore that my lifetime colleague and Deputy Prime Minister Lal Krishna Advaniji should be giving orders to BJP leaders to compete with the Congress in petty corruption. My petrol pump is smaller than yours! Your scam is bigger than mine! My Ram Naik is nothing compared to your SM Krishna and even watch out for this one, Manmohan Singh Ha ha ha. What a sight we must be to voters who thought that we were capable of their trust who believed that we knew the meaning of a faded word known as integrity. Iam truly sorry. As Prime Minister of the country, as leader of the BJP, I know that the buck, even the corrupt buck, stops here.

You made me Prime Minister, as I said, because of reform, the promise of transparency, the hope of peace and a dream of prosperity. Instead, I have become Prime Minister of Tehelka, sleaze, scams, petrol pumps and Narendra Modi. I must say a deliberate word about Tehelka, particularly since I have been re-reading my friend Advaniji's prison diaries, written when we were in jail together. Normally people do not advertise prison terms. We are proud that we went to jail during Mrs Indira Gandhi's Emergency in 1975- I wonder how many of you even remember that blot of shame in our nation's history. If you do not know about the Emergency, ask your parents, ask your teachers to drill that memory so deeply in your mind that it becomes an imperishable part of your consciousness. We must never forget, if only to ensure that it never happens again. Advaniji has written so eloquently about those nineteen months of dictatorship, censorship and terror. I remember when we won the elections in 1977 and Advaniji became Minister for Information and Broadcasting in Morarji Desai's Government, he taunted all those journalists who had surrendered before Indira Gandhi, who had compromised. Advaniji told them that when Indira Gandhi had asked such journalists to bend, they had crawled.

I cannot believe that it is the same Advaniji who is inflicting a reign of terror on selected journalists from Tehelka, whose only crime is that they exposed outrageous and scandalous corruption in defence deals. I cannot believe that I am keeping quiet while journalists are being arrested on whimsical excuses, I have always respected those who live by the pen. Alas, I have not been able to live on my poetry, but I think my pen may have served my country as much as my politics, if not more. What further irony in the fact that we are being vengeful against journalists in order to protect a shining hero of the Emergency, my old colleague George Fernandes. How time makes dwarfs out of giants. As a collective gesture of atonement, I am asking the home ministry to drop all frivolous cases against Tehelka, and to end the harassment and persecution that has replaced accountability.

My colleagues in the BJP have made me Prime Minister of Narendra Modi as well. I did not want this. As I said in Parliament I had made my mind up before that party conference in Goa, where everything went wrong, including my own speech that Modi should be told to resign. I should have trusted my instincts instead of being cowed down by those who wanted victory at the cost of principle. The BJP has been called a communal party. But till Gujarat I could hold my head high and claim that the BJP, when in power, had never permitted any largescale communal riots. Of course we could not stop communal incidents, including those engineered by members of our own party. But we ran responsible Governments. We did not use state power to encourage lynch mobs. That was a Congress speciality.

I slipped on blood shed in Goa. After the contemptible barbarism of Godhra I should have ensured that a community was not punished for the wild misdeeds of a few. Revenge is no answer to barbarism. We criticised Rajiv Gandhi after the massacre of the Sikhs in Delhi in 1984. There was provocation then as well. But we took a moral position and I am proud we did so. I cannot reverse time but I do want to ensure an election that is held without the slightest hint of terror and fully participated by every citizen. Gujarat will be placed under President's Rule till a new elected government is sworn in.

As will be Kashmir.

The tensions generated over Kashmir constitute the gravest danger to our subcontinent. It is a crisis that is eating away our present and could destroy our future. You I hope will agree I have done my best to find peace ever since I was fortunate enough to become Prime Minister of this great nation. Acting upon our commitment to the people as clearly outlined in our manifesto, we made India a nuclear power. The world tried to browbeat us; today it has accepted our nuclear status as a legitimate right of an important nation.

But we cannot be a true world power without being a powerhouse economy. And a great economy is impossible without that will to release our national wealth and energy for infrastructure and capital for the biggest as well as the smallest. Industry must hum with growth at every level, from the roar of heavy industry to the gentle tap of a master craftsman. I dream of the day when shops across the country and the world will be full of Made in India labels, because everything Indian will be both best in the world and best value in the world.

But I am not a cook of khayali pilao, I know that peace will not be easy. I wish we could live in peace with Pakistan. We did not seek war with Pakistan, Pakistan launched an unprovoked war within ten weeks of Partition. If those raiders had not crossed into Jammu and Kashmir in October 1947, there would not be a Kashmir problem. Even today efforts continue to snatch by war what could not be got by peace.

I would like to make it absolutely clear that India will never be held hostage at the point of a gun.

But we are a mature nation and a mature people. We know that problems can be resolved only through dialogue; to a walk together we need to build bridges together. We are committed to a peaceful resolution of all problems.

I know that many of my fellow Indians in Jammu and Kashmir area angry with Delhi and its policies particularly over the last 15 years. There was joy and harmony in the province during the days of the great Sheikh Abdullah. He was elected in a free and fair election, through an expression of the people' will. I am determined to ensure that the same free and fair spirit awaits the coming Assembly elections. The elected representatives who emerge from such an election will find a place on the high table as together we chart a route map towards peace and prosperity.

I offered my hand of friendship to Pakistan at Lahore. I was suddened when Lahore became Kargil. That hand could also turn into steel if required. We have over the past year witnessed terrible acts of terror, on 13 December and a number of times after that, but we have held our patience and prudence, sometimes at great cost. The world has appreciated such prudence. I want to offer a hand of friendship again, because I know the difference between a dream and a nightmare. The first is life, the second is death.

Jethmalani is jumpy, road is bumpy

By B L Kak

The mercurial world of Kashmir politics has baffled the best brains. And amid mistakes, committed one after another by New Delhi and Srinagar in the past over three decades, Kashmir politics could not be expected to be transparent; it, in fact, got further complicated, particularly after Pakistan’s open involvement and interference in the internal affairs of the Valley since the commencement of insurgency and militancy in 1989-90.

If the best brains haven’t so far offered any solution acceptable to all sections of the population in the troubled State of Jammu and Kashmir, can the new actor, Mr Ram Jethmalani, deliver where others have failed? Mr Jethmalani, admittedly, is a capable jurist. But does he have what one Kashmir-watcher termed as "very best brains"?

The Prime Minister, Mr Atal Behari Vajpayee, may be acting as behind-the-scene ‘director’ in support of the new actor. But it is basically and potentially Islamabad, which will have a major role to play as far as the average leader of All-Party Hurriyat Conference (APHC) is concerned. ‘Mission Kashmir’ was launched by the Jethmalani panel at a time when Pakistan’s military ruler and President, Gen. Parvez Musharraf, made two things very clear.

First, of course, while justifying Pakistan’s support to the "freedom struggle of Kashmiri people", Gen. Parvez Musharraf, in his August 14 speech, incited the Muslim electorate in Kashmir against the coming Assembly elections. Second, while praising the role of the Hurriyat Conference as the "representative of the people of Kashmir", Gen. Musharraf sent out the message that Pakistan would not attach any importance to those who operated outside the Hurriyat Conference.

Islamabad cannot be faulted for its assessment that the average ‘hero’ of the Hurriyat Conference will be just a ‘zero’ without the support from Pakistan. This assessment, or finding, can’t be easily refuted or challenged by any stalwart of the Hurriyat Conference. Outside the Hurriyat ‘shop’, Mr Shabir Shah, though prominent separatist leader, is not a favourite of Islamabad. Mr Shah, who is heading the People’s Democratic Freedom Party, may have pious thoughts vis-à-vis the much-needed peace and tranquility in Kashmir. But as he is working outside Pakistan-aided Hurriyat ‘shop’, his role will have to be, in Islamabad’s scheme of things, subservient to the one to be played by the Hurriyat leadership.

Things would have been different if Islamabad-aided separatist leaders in Kashmir as well as in Pakistan and Pakistan occupied Kashmir (PoK) had not been led to look at Mr Shabir Shah with a measure of suspicion. In fact, quite a few of these leaders have already labelled Mr Shah as an "agent" of New Delhi. New Delhi’s official interlocutor, Mr KC Pant’s ‘Mission Kashmir’ flopped because of the mistake, inadvertent though, of his first round of discussions with former Chief Minister of J&K, Syed Mir Qasim, and Mr Shabir Shah. Mr Pant seemed to be in a hurry. Instead of trying for friendly interaction, in the initial stages, with the self-proclaimed representatives of the Kashmiris in the Hurriyat ‘shop’, Mr Pant was made to derive much significance out of his session with Mr Shabir Shah in Srinagar itself. It was a mistake.

And the mistake was repeated by Mr Jethmalani in Srinagar on August 16, when he held closed-door discussions with Mr Shabir Shah at the latter’s residence at Sanatnagar. This mistake barely a day after Mr Atal Behari Vajpayee himself had made the admission that the Government had made mistakes in the troubled State. Top Hurriyat leaders have, in private conversations, not appreciated New Delhi’s more-than-necessary importance to Mr Shabir Shah. These leaders do not want anyone to attach any importance to men operating outside the Hurriyat Conference.

People on either side of the Line of Control (LoC) have been told that Mr Ram Jethmalani is the chairman of ‘Kashmir Committee’, which was recently constituted in the Indian capital with the reported blessings of Mr Vajpayee. In Srinagar, Mr Jethmalani let it be known that he was not acting as a ‘mediator’ or a messenger. And if his committee, according to him, were to help find a ‘durable’ solution to the Kashmir problem, then someone would have to act as mediator or negotiator or interlocutor. Mr Jethmalani will have to tell us his actual role as the new player.

Second, Mr Ram Jethmalani argued that all dialogues "are spoiled by the curiosity of the press and by the weakness of the participants of the dialogue to reveal something". If he himself decided to be talkative after the birth of the ‘Kashmir Committee’, why blame others? And if he really wanted secrecy during his talks with various leaders of Kashmir, he himself ought to have avoided being impulsive. Impulsive to the extent of demanding postponement of the polls in J&K even after the programme in this regard was officially made public by the Election Commission!

Administratively, two institutions became significant after the poll schedule was made public in respect of Jammu and Kashmir-Election Commission and the J&K Government. Mr Jethmalani ought to have held consultations with the Chief Election Commissioner and the J&K Chief Minister before voicing the demand for deferring the Assembly polls in the State. Mr Jethmalani chose to act in a manner, which did provoke the National Conference party. The party’s esprit de corps, Dr Farooq Abdullah, is also highly impulsive. No wonder, his diatribe against Mr Jethmalani’s modus operandi.

The J&K elections have received much attention even from people and agencies outside India. For this, it would be unfair to blame Gen. Parvez Musharraf alone. Mr Atal Behari Vajpayee will have to accept the fact that it is he who internationalized the issue, after he unnecessarily reiterated his Government’s commitment to ensuring ‘free, fair and credible’ polls in the troubled State. Precisely, contradictory and confusing signals from Indian political class encouraged Gen. Musharraf to up the ante on Kashmir by describing the scheduled elections in J&K in September-October as "farcical".

For years the Hurriyat leaders, particularly the ones belonging to the hardline faction of separatists, sought to hold the ‘Kashmiri nation’ to ransom, obviously to facilitate Pakistan’s anti-India scheme of things. Mr Ram Jethmalani should try to understand that most of the Hurriyat leaders are not sure of their victory in the event of their participation in the battle of the battle. Hence, their unwillingness to oblige Islamabad’s traditional rival, New Delhi, by joining the poll process. Why should the polls be postponed when the Hurriyat leadership seems to have decided to follow instructions from across the border?

Any dialogue with separatist leaders in Kashmir, Mr Jethmalani requires to be told, will have to be initiated and continued in a systematic manner. The Kashmir road has become bumpy in recent years as a result of unabated assaults by anti-Delhi forces. Jumpy leaders or interlocutors just can’t have an easy time while treading upon the bumpy path.

American reliance on Musharraf

By Babu Ram Sharma

America is not only being de-ceived but is also deceiving herself by reliance on wily President General Musharraf of Pakistan. He is undependable. He has not delivered on his International promise to root out International terrorism emanating from her soil. He has also done nothing substantial to help America nab the kingpins of Al Queda and Taliban Leadership responsible for devasting militant attacks on World Trade Centre and Pentagone in America. There are also reports in the press about Pakistan's strong links with these international Islamic militants and their regrouping themselves in Pakistan. We may give evidence to these reports in view of General Musharraf's request to America for ''Safe passage'' and evacuation of Pak top-brass and possibly escape of Al Queda Leadership alongwith them at the height of American bombardment and war against Afghanistan during the capture of Kabul and fighting around Mazar-e-Sharief. Probably to cover up his guilt of providing shelter and safe haven to Bin Laden and his coterie and their likely sighting in Pakistan General Musharraf has given a certificate refuting Bin Laden's involvement in the 11th Sept militant attacks on America. At one time notably, he was pleading with Taliban Regime of Afganistan to hand over Bin Laden to American to avoid war with her. What a glaring contrast General Musharraf changes his statements as he changes his clothes to meet the anticipated events. In this connection we may also recall his public statements of Indian conspiracy of killing Journalist Daniel Pearl of America to malign Pakistan which proved out to be a white lie with the killers having been found out to be Pakistanis who were tried and punish in Pakistan itself. Again we may recall his Interview to News-week of never committing to Mr Powel to end transfer border terrorism in Kashmir which was countered by Powel himself as false. Can we trust the General who pledges at International meets to end Militant Infrastructure from Pakistan but goes on boosting militancy, telling again and again to his mentors that nothing was going on the Line of Control in Kashmir despite daily firing, infiltration and militancy related massacres of even the Amar Nath Pilgrims. American pating and massive bountiful aid to General Musharraf is largely responsible for the General's intransigence. He is not the trustworthy ally of America and would have ditched her but for Northern Alliance arming and American collaboration. Unfortunately Musharraf has succeeded to force America to compromise on perpetuation of his Military dictatorship in Pakistan, demolishing Pak constitution, opposition and civil rule to consolidate his autocratic rule. American infirm policy towards India is also accountable for Musharraff's latitude in view of incoherent statements by her leaders e.g what Rocha says Mr Powel soon after makes a dig wherein by an indiscreet act of diplomacy.

This policy has been adopted by America accentuating ''Kashmir problem'' in the past also to punish India for not joining or supporting her Defence pacts against Russian Communism though closing her eyes against Pak-communist China collusion and Defence pact targetted only against democratic India, knowing fully well that Pakistan disdained and flouted holding of plebiscite in Kashmir vide the UN resolution of 13th Aguust 1948 laying down the modus operandi for it. In face of this Pakistan is befooling the wrld by harping on plebescite under UN Resolution at every forum. Pakistan must be made to stop trans-border terrorism and stop calling terrorists as freedom fighters as objected to by British foreign Secy. Jack Straw. There is urgent need to implement decisions taken at Almaty Conference and now recently by ASEAN anti-terror pact at Bander Seri Begawan with US, Secretary of State also. Unless Pakistan honours her International commitments to end Infrastructure of terrorism from her soil the first step should be to put an economic sequeeze on her. Besides to overcome ''the common problem of terrorism, drug trafficking and criminals taking advantage of American and Indian open societies,'' It is imperative to recall the pledge of ''Clinton and Vajpayee stressing new Indo-US Relationship of ''your success'' will be our success'' and that together, India and America can change the world'' as declared by Clinton.

Lifting of travel advisories: Good news for it

By Arvinder Kaur

The lifting of travel advisories by USA, Germany, France and var-ious other countries recently could not have come a day earlier and is a positive step towards boosting India's software and service exports.

USA has been the primary market contributing around 63 per cent of India's total software and service exports. The advisories, issued in the wake of Indo-Pak standoff were acting as a major deterrent to conduct business in terms of delayed decision making and restricting customer visits to India.

An opinion poll conducted by NASSCOM (National Association of Software and Service Company) conducted when the advisories were in place revealed that there was only a nominal impact but the reversal of the advisories was critical to ensure future growth of the sector.

The poll surveyed majority of the country's software and service companies, who felt that if the standoff continued, it will have a negative impact on the business. All this meant delayed decision making, deferred signing of contracts and postponed customer visits.

The Indian software industry is highly reliant on exports as its spectacular growth has been largely dependent on the international markets rather than a strong and viabrant domestic sector... the advisories acted as a major deterrent to conduct business, experts said.

Infact, the current border tension could not have come at a worse time for the Indian software industry, which touched 7.8 billion US dollars in exports this year and was showing signs of recovery from the effects of global slowdown and September 11 attacks.

The tension and the resulting advisories, had they continued for long, could have been more devastating for the 1.4 billion US dollar IT-enabled services sector, as this sector is relatively new. First the Gujarat riots and then the war fears - both received global attention and there was a slowdown in client visit as a result, those in the industry said.

The war fears and the advisories infact had an impact on the Indian economy as a whole. Sectors, which were immediately affected were foreign direct investments coming to India, software exports, hotel and aviation sectors. According to media reports, several joint ventures and technology transfer agreements between Indian and western countries were postponed.

Any sector connected with either imports or exports started bracing itself for a hard summer.

However, with the advisories either gone or diluted, Confederation of Indian Industry (CII) says the step is going to send out very strong signals to the global business community that it is business as usual and that the immediate impact on business due to these advisories in the past would be gradually reversed.

A systematic follow through of these actions would result in a change in the current perception of the medium and long term business prospects with India.

While previous wars in 1948, 1965 and 1971 did result in a temporary adverse impact on the Indian industry, all the worries this time were about the IT sector, which was totally non-existent then.

However, not many in the sector passed the panic button immediately. The confidence kept the sector going and as NASSCOM, which represents the Indian software industry said around 60 per cent of the business which the software and services industry gets is repeat business and therefore the customers understand the Indian market.

Moreover, most of the Indian software companies had their marketing offices abroad who were doing their best to dispel any fears.

According to the NASSCOM- Mckinsey study 2002, despite the global economic challenges facing the Indian IT secot, the outlook was very positive. The industry continued to be on track to achieve the goals of the 77 billion dollar by the year 2008.

The study forcasted that the contribution of Indian software and IT-enabled services industry to GDP will increase from two per cent at present to 10 per cent in 2008.

IT and IT-enabled services exports would account for more than 30 per cent of all foreign exchange earnings in 2008 and that it would create two million jobs for direct employment and an equal number indirectly by way of indirect employment.

India is infact witnessing rapid IT-enabled services growth due to its cost advantages and positive Government initiatives, which include creating of IT and telecom infrastructure, various sops for the players and liberal investment policies.

The Indian software industry had in the past withstood 9/11 and December 13 attacks. NASSCOM said as a result they had built adequate processes in term of management and business continuity planning to cope with such situations.

In fact, many industry majors are embarking on a nationwide initiative of creating awareness on disaster recovery and contigency planning in the coming months.

The need of the hour, say experts is to put continuity plans in place. The Indian IT industry needs to ensure that in case of an emergency, it should be in a position to move data from one place to another.

Also, it needs to build confidence in customers that the industry can handle any situation and that the business is not going to suffer.

"The Indian IT industry means Business".

PTI Feature

 



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