EDITORIAL

Hounded Hurriyat

The axiom is well known. It is time-tested, too. It says: those who rule by the gun are felled by the gun. Those who strum around on the power of sundry guns held on different shoulders, would have to suffer the scare of the same guns hounding them. None would know it better than the All Party Hurriyat Conference, which till very recently was propped into the very seventh heaven by the terrorists as the 'only' and 'true' representative of the Kashmiris. It is now being forced by the very....more

Drugs, diamonds, contraband

It has been known for long that the high terrorism in Kashmir, and Afghanistan too, has lived on the horrendous drug trade. The drug mafia, in fact has been active in Pakistan since that last 'crusader' Zia ruled the roost there. After the fall of the Najeebullah regime the drug trade became the 'official' currency source for the new regime. It also became a predominant factor in the Pakistan politics or.......more

Let pluralistic spirit
flower in Kashmir

By J L Kaul Jalali
You may destroy a symbol, but you cannot kill the spirit. In May, 1995, the six hundred year old famous shrine of the Sufi saint of Kashmir Sheikh Nooruddin Noorani was razed to the ground. He has been symbol of secularism....
more

Religious fanaticism

By H D Shourie
Religious fanaticism, fundamentalism and bigotry are now taking a very severe toll in the world. Humanity faces the danger of further grievous depredations, which may lead to grave danger to civilization, built over many centuries. Amidst the array of religions and religious beliefs of Christianity,...
more

No solution to break
the bind of deepening
demand deflation

By S. V. Vaidyanathan
The 707 jet, westbound from Shannon, Ireland, to Boston, USA, rode 11,000 meters above the cloudless North Atlantic. Far ahead a sharp edge of white broke the dark expanse of sea. As we draw closer, it became a lacy border stretching north and south from horizon to horizon. What lay ....
.more

EDITORIAL

Hounded Hurriyat

The axiom is well known. It is time-tested, too. It says: those who rule by the gun are felled by the gun. Those who strum around on the power of sundry guns held on different shoulders, would have to suffer the scare of the same guns hounding them. None would know it better than the All Party Hurriyat Conference, which till very recently was propped into the very seventh heaven by the terrorists as the 'only' and 'true' representative of the Kashmiris. It is now being forced by the very same 'supporters' into a virtual hell. And as all hell-borne beings do, they are crying at the top of their voices. Crying for the security agencies to secure them from the people who till the other day they took as the saviours not only of their schemes and selves but also the souls of the men and women of the whole Kashmir, possibly Jammu too. Every response by the security, here was an 'atrocity'; every death of a militant at the hands of the security forces a 'custodial killing'. Bundhs would be organized to 'protest' against them, to denigrate the work of the security agencies. This indeed has been an easy excuse to call for bundhs, hartals and protests.

Then they decided not to support a 'bandh' and all hell has broken loose for them. Yesterday's representatives' are 'bought puppets'. Their voice is 'inconsequential'. The leaders have been asked to render accounts of the monies they have been receiving. They have been threatened with dire consequences unless they 'return' the monies they have received. Bitter fights in the Hurriyat conclaves have already been reported between the leaders. One leader has actually had the 'janbaaz sipahis of hurriyat' calling on him with guns for a knocking. And they have done the ovious: criticized the State Government for not providing them full security! Probably, they would like to have the most secure, Z-category for their pains against the State and the country. They certainly donot like the downgrading their security has been some time back. And now if the Government does not want to have its image of a democratic, secular, responsive Government 'blunted' it may well have to deploy security to protect the hounded leaders from the marauders who are out to get them. What a fall for the people who till the other day vowed to get the security agencies out of the Valley, if not the whole State!

The question here is not whether the hounded Hurriyat people should have the security cover restored to protect them from their supporters-opponents in the terrorist ranks. The question is whether the Hurriyat and those in the unholy whom they have damaged with their reputation, have learned any lessons from this whole development. Sometime back when sections of the 'indigenous' militants rose against their mercenary masters they were heavily suppressed, by the same foreigners, whom they eulogized as mehmans 'coming to help'. The mehmans had virtually forced the mezbans out, when they not only made Hizbul Mujahideen retract from their peace-initiatives, but even got their leadership changed. Now the 'guests' are tossing another kind of 'hosts' aside, with resounding gunshots. For the last ten years these gunshots have been deciding the fate, honour, politics and aspirations of the luckless Kashmiris. Was the leadership, which served as the willing apology of the gun-totting killers, too naive to see who the virtual controllers of this game of gun and gunshots were? Would any new light dawn there now that the guns are making their logical back-calls on these very leaders? And what of people? Who would protect them against these intruders, against whom the 'leaders' with Government and personal security are not safe? Would anybody there, answer?

Drugs, diamonds, contraband

It has been known for long that the high terrorism in Kashmir, and Afghanistan too, has lived on the horrendous drug trade. The drug mafia, in fact has been active in Pakistan since that last 'crusader' Zia ruled the roost there. After the fall of the Najeebullah regime the drug trade became the 'official' currency source for the new regime. It also became a predominant factor in the Pakistan politics or upheavals, whatever you call it. The role of smuggling in the sustenance of the terrorism in Punjab had been well established. The last ten years of terrorism in Kashmir have seen a spurt in the transport and transit of white, black and brown gold through Kashmir into the country and out of it as well. It is no secret that much of the finances the terrorists come from the drug money. Even in the Jammu region the early infiltrations of terrorist along the Jammu-Kathua border came with the connivance of the smugglers who operated there. Analysts believe that much of this traffic passed in, the gouse of smugglers, who were known to be active there.

Well, that is not something very singular to these terrorist outfits. Terrorists and unlawful activists, how so righteous they may act, have at all places indulged in smuggling, drug trade and other unlawful activities to finance their crusades. Nobody ever has reasoned that their very planks become meaningless when they soil their hands with the dreadful things. The association of that master terrorist outfit IRA in northern Britain with drugs, smuggling and even the South American drug cartels has been well documented. So the association of the other outfits all over the world. In that backdrop the involvement of the Al Qaeda network with the smuggling, sale and hoarding of illegal diamonds from the African mines of Sierra Leone, which are under the control of RUF rebels, should not come as a great surprise. But it is definitely a surprise that people who are well aware of this ganging up, how would abhor any connection with these heinous trades are shutting out their eyes to the nefarious nexus. They also refuse to see the logic of its implications. And, the big lie it gives to the 'cause'. That is one great failing no reasoning man or woman can be excused for.

Let pluralistic spirit flower in Kashmir

By J L Kaul Jalali

You may destroy a symbol, but you cannot kill the spirit. In May, 1995, the six hundred year old famous shrine of the Sufi saint of Kashmir Sheikh Nooruddin Noorani was razed to the ground. He has been symbol of secularism in Kashmir and desecration of his shrine caused grief to millions of people in Jammu and Kashmir. The incident followed a two month long stand-off between militants led by the Afghan warlord Mast Gul and the security force at the site of the shrine at Chrar-e-Sharief, twenty miles to south-west of Srinagar. The shrine was burnt, but the spirit continued to live. The shrine has been rebuilt and the new Complex was thrown open to public on the seventh of this month. Sufi spirit pervades almost all branches of life in Kashmir and a brief reference to its evolution can elucidate this fact.

During ancient times Kashmir is said to have been a big lake. Kashyap Rishi was instrumental in draining the waters of the lake and it was after his name that the valley came to be known as Kashyap Mar, the present day Kashmir. Mostly owing to its salubrious climate and bountiful nature, it was frequented by sages and savants of high standing from the plains and with the passage of time they started settling down in the valley itself despite its climatic rigours. Because of this the place got its second name as Rishi Bhumi and the fourth Buddhist Council so important i n the annals of Buddhism was convened in Kashmir. Located at a central place, Kashmir became a melting pot of various cultures and civilisation giving rise to a more tolerant and pluralistic ethos. It was this ethos developed so early in Kashmir that Islam had to contend with when it came to the valley during the fourteenth century A.D. Kashmiris welcomed with open arms the Muslim savants, the most prominent of them being Mir Syed All Hamdani from Persia popularly known as Shah-E-Hamdon in Kashmir. Subsequently many scholars and exponents from all the main six Sufi orders visited Kashmir at one time or the other leading to a free inter-action with local thinking.

These inter-exchanges led to a synthesis in Kashmir during fifteenth century A. D. not only at cultural and other levels, but it penetrated deeper into the psyche of the people. It involved inter-exchanges at religious philosophical level too. This gave rise to a new Order in Kashmir in which Sufi got replaced by the ancient Indian word of Rishi meaning a sage. The new Order was known as Rishi Order, a peculiarity of Kashmir common to all the residents of the valley. The first exponents of this local order were Sheikh Noorud Din Noorani, a Sufi from the soil popularly known as Nund Reush and Lal Ded, a Kashmiri Sharite Hindu celebrity. With an ascetic bent of mind, Nund Reush was given to deep contemplation in caves, woods and unfrequented places. The saint expresses his communion with God attained with divine love and extreme devotion in this Wakha :-

Sari Travit Rotuk Me Chayi
Me Chayi Chaandan lusum Doh
Janas Manz Yali Rotuk Me Chayi
Me Che Ta Paanas Ditum Chho

Meaning

Leaving every one I held you
Searching you I passed the whole day
When I caught you in my own soul
I gave up the difference between I and You
The same thought reverbates in this ecstatic
Wakha of Yogeshwari Lal Ded :-

Pot Zuni Vochith Mot Bolanoum
Dag Lalanavam Dayisanzi Prahe
Lali Lali Karaan Laala Vuzanovum
Milith Tas Manz Shrochyom Dahe

Meaning

At the early dawn I sang to my mad one (meaning mind) and soothed him with the love of God trying to realise I am my own self which I realised was the same as the Supreme self I awakened my love and became one with Him.

This is not to suggest that these Rishis of Kashmir were far removed from the realities of actual life. The saying by Nund Reush that ''Aan Poshi Teli Yeli Van Poshi'' meaning that the foodstuffs will last so long as the forests last, sums up the environmental dilemma faced by the whole of minkind over five centuries later now. They rebelled against the religious excesses and exploitation of their times and tried to uplife the whole society, particularly its down trodden sections. The mystic songs of these two great local exponents of Rishi Order continue to form a part of the total consciousness in Kashmir and stir the souls to the deepest depths.

The efforts of these exponents resulted in a harmonious society and led the people to share their joys and sorrows, enjoy the nature alike, love the same types of music and have almost the same types of life styles. This harmonious co-existance is also reflected in places of worship and reverence. In Srinagar Ziarat-e-Maqdoom Sahib, Hari Parbat and Madin Sahib portray this eloquently. This closeness is a feature of such places throughout the State. Mostly in Kashmir valley even annual fairs at many of these places were also held on the same day by the two main communities.

The originators of the local Sufi Rishi Order were followed by a long line of Sufi saints apart from their main disciples. Despite increase in materialistic tendencies and other diversionary factors, the process continues to this day. Sufism in Kashmir continues to bear deep influence of local ethos and spirit which basically forms part of the total Indian ethos. This is evident from the fact that the followers of Sufi saints Bata Maloo Sahib in Srinagar and Reshi Moul Sahib in Anantnag in South Kashmir do not cook or eat meat during their weak long Urs celebrations.

Despite terrorism prevalent in Kashmir, these Sufi saints continue to attract strong reverence in the valley. This was highlighted in March, 1994 when a fundamentalist terrorist outfit in Kashmir wanted to prevent the people at Aishmuqam in South Kashmir to celebrate the Urs of Reshi Moul Sahib. Inspite of the death of an innocent villager following the firing sponsored by this outfit, the residents of the place went ahead with the celebrations forcing the militants to flee the area.

Because of cross-border terrorism Kashmir continues to be at cross-roads for about a decade now, but the pluralistic spirit of Kashmir broadly termed as ''Kashmiriyat'' has always proved too strong to be subdued. There appears to be no reason why this spirit should not ultimately prevail this time too.

Religious fanaticism

By H D Shourie

Religious fanaticism, fundamentalism and bigotry are now taking a very severe toll in the world. Humanity faces the danger of further grievous depredations, which may lead to grave danger to civilization, built over many centuries. Amidst the array of religions and religious beliefs of Christianity, Judaism, Islam, Zorastrianism, Hinduism, Buddhism, Sikhism, Taoism and others, intolerance among some religions is arising, evidencing itself in extremism and terrorism; even within one religion sometimes religious divisions and dissensions are manifesting themselves.

Divinity, God, the Supreme Almighty, visualised in each religion in divine form, and His words and revelations recorded in the different sacred scriptures, instead of leading man to love, compassion and altruism, are unfortunately becoming focus of causation of intolerance and hatred. Revelations and words of Divinity recorded in holy books, Bible, Koran, Vedas, Upanishads, Granth, Torah and other scriptures, are increasingly gathering momentum of diversity and alienation. Differences are often being magnified by extremists among  priests, clergy, mullahs and monks, leading to germination of hatred and violence. The disquieting over-all picture is that difference and intolerance are now more in evidence than ever before.

For overcoming this unfortunate tendency of sinking further into quagmire of religious differences, bigotry and fanaticism, the proper remedy is that humanity should be exposed, to the maximum extent, and on wide-spread basis, to the reality and totality of existence in which man has emerged, in which humanity has taken shape, in which the concepts of Divinity and God have manifested into human consciousness and evolved into such all-encompassing diversities. Such exposure of man to the totality of Universe, and the beginning of man can help to place religion in proper perspective and lead to introspection about the damage that is being done by man through fanaticism and fundamentalism.

These ideas of self-importance of religious beliefs need to be put on the canvas of totality; only then there will be possibility of recognition by man that lie is not at the fulcrum of existence, that man’s religion and religious beliefs are not the hallmark of entire existence. Let recognition arise in humans that they are mere specks in the Universe, striding about in self-importance on this tiny fragment of firmament, the earth.

The facts briefly presented below are findings of decades of intensive scientific studies, in the fields of astrophysics, astronomy, seismology, biology, botany as well as sciences connected with evolution, ascent of man, development of mind, and vast progress in areas of information technology, biotechnology, and all else. People should get acquainted with these facts so that they, put religions, religious beliefs and religious edicts in proper perspective, and give due recognition to different places of worship including Churches, Synagogues, Mosques, Temples, Gurudwaras, and also put in proper place the priests and exponents of different religions.

It is now incontrovertibly established that Universe came into existence 15 billion (million million) years ago, through an explosion of nucleus of superdense and intensely hot matter which caused enormous burst of energy creating space itself which has since been expanding. This episode was a major cosmic event, given the appellation Big Bang. Science has not been able to find answer to the question how this originated; it is, however, not enough, in terms of scientific analysis, to assert that some supernatural power, Providence, God, created the Universe. From the moment of creation the Universe has been continuously expanding, scattering galaxies and stars all over and everywhere in space and these have since been receding. Size of expanded and continuously expanding Universe is not conceivable. A very rough approximation of size and distance can be formed from the fact that biggest telescopes have indicated that galaxies can be viewed Dresertly unto 13 million light years distance and that it takes four billion years for the light to travel from the nearest galaxy to the earth, light travelling at speed of 1,86,000 miles per second. It is impossible to form an idea of the number of stars and galaxies that exist In the Universe.

Let us see how earth came into existence. It was formed 4-1/2 billion years ago through gravitational pull of a star which passed near another star, our sun. The gravitational pull culled out molten cluster which over the aeons congealed, creating the earth and its surrounding planets. Gravitational pull by the sun pulled out some matter from the earth which became the moon. It is impossible to conceive, In the totality of Universe, how many such formations, like that of earth and its planets, may have been created in the vast space of Universe. Over long aeons the molten matter of our earth cooled, forming valleys and mountains, and as some more ages passed, combination and retroaction of atoms brought about formation of water which filled the valleys, creating seas and eventually leading to creation of continents.

Rotation of earth on its axis led to the creation of day and night, and its rotation round the sun brought about seasons. Combination of water, seasons, seas and earth led to interaction of molecules and evolution of amoeba and microbes bringing about creation of life which developed into numerous forms, on land and in the seas. With further passing of many aeons life assumed numerous forms, of vegetables, trees and animals, and in due course various types of birds and animals came into existence; primates emerged from apes and further developed into variations of humans, inhabiting different continents. Mind continued to further develop and with passage of more ages humans invented sciences and technologies, and the present-day civilization.

This is a very tiny glimpse of how Universe was created, how earth was formed, how life got created on earth, how human beings emerged, how continents got inhabited, and- how mind developed and led to the growth of civilization and the evolution of present-day sciences and technologies.

These facts need to be borne in mind when talking of religions and religious beliefs. Mind of man, in the process of evolution, evolved the concepts of Divinity and God as the creator. Then emerged different religions and their symbols, and different forms of Providence, the creator; these multiplied all over, practically in every country and region, as they progressed through decades and centuries of history.

When the creation of man came about through processes of evolution, on this tiny speck, the earth, in the vastness of Universe, it is necessary for people to ask whether there is any justification for causation of differences and clashes among the people on basis of their religions and their beliefs, of fundamentalism and fanaticism and through the processes of these extreme aspects of religious beliefs, to indulge in activities which can cause privations and deprivations to other human beings who follow different religions. People have to wake up to these facts of reality and not mix these with their religiosity and bigotry. The main criterion in any religion should be gratitude to nature in which Universe, earth, life, and man have emerged, as well as love and compassion for all other humans which too have evolved on the earth, whatever forms their religious beliefs have adopted.

Taking account of all these facts based on incontrovertible scientific findings man has to put before himself the totality of picture of creation of Universe, creation of earth and of life, evolution of man, and the evolution of religions and religious beliefs, and then ask whether it is desirable and worthwhile to build such manifestations in religions which should cause dissensions among different communities and people, and lead to senseless unrest, violence, terrorism, alienation and hatred. All right-thinking people need to examine this totality and then see what contribution they can make to remove the ugliness of fanaticism and fundamentalism from religions.
(The author is Director, Common Cause)

What's happening to our climate ?

By Anjani Verma

The 707 jet, westbound from Shannon, Ireland, to Boston, USA, rode 11,000 meters above the cloudless North Atlantic. Far ahead a sharp edge of white broke the dark expanse of sea. As we draw closer, it became a lacy border stretching north and south from horizon to horizon. What lay below, I realized suddenly, was not cloud but ice. Beneath us the cold Labrador Current, covered almost solidly with floe ice, met the much warmer Gulf stream at this sharply drawn frontier off the shores of Newfound- land.

Here, in full view, were three principal keys to world climate: ice and snow bouncing it back; and varying temperatures of the sea surface.These three forces, scientists say, may be the dominant ones controlling our ever-changing weather.

That the earth’s climate changes, and even now may be changing quite rapidly, is widely recognized. The question facing worried experts are; Is the world as a whole cooling off, and perhaps heading into another onset of ice? Or are we instead irreversibly warming the atmosphere of our planet with our industry, care and land clearing practices? What sort of weather will our children and our grandchildren know ? On the answers may rest the fate of nations and of millions of people.

"These are among the biggest questions about the early yet to be answered," says marine geologist John lmbrie. "To- day, for the first time, We have the tools satellites, bog computers as well as the data to attack them."

What is going on with the climate? Since 1940, there has been a distinct drop, about a third of a degree, in average global temperature. That seems small, but it has caused significant chan- ges. England’s annual growing season, for example, shrank by nine or ten days between 1950 and 1966. In the, northern tier of the US Midwest, summer frosts again occasionally damage crops. Sea ice has returned to Iceland’s coasts after more than 40 years of virtual absence. Glaciers in Alaska and Scandinavia have slowed their recession; some in Switzerland have begun advancing again. Yet, oddly in the eastern United States, Western Soviet Union, and much of Europe, the winters of 1973 through 1975 were the warmest in decades.

A steady buildup of carbon dioxide in the earth’s atmosphere from the burning of coal and oil has occurred since the Industrial Revolution began. Higher levels of this colourless, odourless gas may rent to warm up the planet by the so-called greenhouse effect, holding in the infrared radiation heat that would otherwise escape into space. Some scientists, however, believe particles thrown up by man have an opposite effect- that they cool off the earth by reflecting incoming sunlight. There are countless other theories.

During the past thousand million years, less than a quarter of earth’s age, there have been at least four epochs of Ice covering major portions of the globe. We are still living in the fourth one. For most of those thousand million years, climatologists estimate, average global temperature stood close to 22 degrees, and even the poles were ice free. But today the world temperature averages only about 15 degrees; ice lies three kilometres thick on Antarctica and Greenland and covers most of the Antarctica and Arctic Ocean year round.

Ice sheets covered much of the global’s land area 600 million years ago. little is known of that dim period, and virtually nothing of earlier ones. But in the long warm spells that followed, which were interrupted inexplicably every 250 million year or so by bitter cold and invasions of ice, warm shallow seas and lush swamps covered much of the land.

Then, about 50 million years ago, our planet began again to cool off. Eventually the ice came back. And except for fairly short periods of thaw every 100,000 years or so-lasting an average of scarcely 10,000 years each-ice has ruled world climate ever since. It has been a mere 6,000 years since the last great ice sheet disappeared from the Canadian mainland.

What caused those extraordinary stretches of cold? Are there indeed cy- cles, some sort of cosmic pulse, beating every 250 rniltion years? Science simply does not yet know.

Ware-For Now. That climate has changed, and continues to change, is obvious even in the brief span of man’s written history a mere instant in geo- logical terms. Human civilization as we know it has risen almost entirely in the 10,000 years since the great ice sheets last melted back, to leave only those on Antarctica and Greenland.

The warnest weather in this whole interglacial period came hard on the heels of the ice. Beginning about 8.000 years ago, average temperature in the Northern Hemisphere ranged half a degree to one degree higher even than today’s. Across the fertile crescent from the Nile Valley to the Persian Gulf, man learnt in that warm time to farm, to live in communities, to write, to travel by water, craft, to tame animals.

Between about 3000 BC and 2200 BC, much drier conditions befell the ancient world, and the atonce lush regions of North Africa and Arabia turned to desert. Cooler, wetter times returned after 200 BC only to be succeeded by 51 the warm and Rome knew 51 their golden ages between 500 BC and AD 400. But droughts returned; forests and grass vanished from Lebanon and Galilee.

It turned colour and wetter again. The Baltic Sea froze over solidly in the winter of 1422-23, and from then until the mid- 1800s occurred what is called the Little Ice Age.

The climatic trend changed once again around the mid-nineteenth century.The northern temperate zone grew markedly warmer; indeed, the century from 1875 to 1975. is now regarded by some as one of the warmest in 4,000 years. In this time the In- dustrial Age boomed, and world population more that doubled. Farming and fishing expanded to keep up with food needs; Canada’s wheat line moved 150 kilometres north. But this period of climate, which our grandfathers and fathers came to regard as normal, is now recognized by scientists to have been abnormally warm and beneficent. What will happen to our food output if there is a return to the more truly nor- mal, cooler climate? Are we now at the end of a cycle?

Energy in, Energy Out. "We can’s predict statistically whether a climate change is likely in the near future," says J. Murray Mitchell, Jr., of the national Oceanic and Atmospheres Administration," "until we know why climate varies what the major forces are and how they change, if indeed they do change."

Basically, this planet’s long-term weather results from the flow of energy over different parts of the spinning sphere. The Atmospheric heat engine, or was the machine, is driven by sunlight- radiant energy. In turn, the earth lends energy back into space. Some is directly reflected from clouds, snow and ice cover, the sea and light-coloured land. Other energy re-radiates as inferred waves-heat. Energy in and energy out must match over the long run, or the planet would grow steadily hotter or colder, and eventually the oceans would either boil or freeze.

In the 1920s, Yugoslavian astronomer Milution Milankovitch’s measurements of solar radiation received by the earth revealed changes caused by the shape of the earth’s orbit around the sun, its tilt, and the precession of its axis, which wobbles slightly, like a child’s top showing down. Milankovitch calculated several climatic cycles, including one of roughly 95,000 years close to the magic 100,000 years pulse of the ice age in which we still live. (Recently, this theory received significant support when a team of British and American scientists identified periodic changes in the earth’s or- bit around the sum as the "fundamental cause" of the ice ages.)

Trying to measure the vast swirls of the determine from them what has happened, or may happen, presents weathermen with problems of mathematics and datahandling that are almost incompetent hensible to a layman. Nevertheless, aided by electronic computers, today’s scientists ate trying and, atleast concerning ways of telling what the actual climate was. Among them:

Ancient soil layers wind blown dust from arctic or desert plains, for example, versus rich gumbo laid down in swamps reveal climatic changes. And fossil pollen, found in peat beds and lake- bottom sediments, shows what sorts of trees and plants grew where and when.

Growth rings of trees can indicate weather of a region year by year for centuries.

Moraines and till the glacial debris heaped and smeared across the land- scape date the passage of ice.

Samples drilled from ice caps and glaciers show annual snow depths as well as (by variations in types of oxygen atoms) the air temperature at which the snow fell.

Tiny shells and skeletons of myriad sea creatures, preserved in layers in long, tubular, deep-sea core drilling, indicate changes of sea-surface temperature, and are probably our most important key to changes in climate.

Using these and other methods, scientists have compiled a growing list of "grand theories" about climate. The oceans warm, and evaporation in- creases. Snow mount, ice caps build and flow, and the planet cools. Volcanoes trigger ice ages, or the stress from ice on the earth’s crust sets off vol- canoes. The earth’ orbit wobbles’ inner churnings move continents, thus blocking and changing the circulation of the atmosphere and the seas.

Whatever the real answer, all scientists agree that a new factor has en- tered the game of climate change, a "wild card" never there before- man himself. "if nature is indeed trying to pull us into another ice age," says Murray Mitchell of the current cooling trend, "we’re possibly warming up the world an equal amount with our carbon dioxide. I’d like to know which way it will go, for my grandchildren’s sake." Another noted American climate re- searcher, Professor Reid Bryson, calls the overall effect of man’s activities-his smoke, dust, jet exhaust, smog-the human volcano. "We are indeed a factor in the climate equation," he says. "We may even be decisive."
Vinayak Syndicate

 
 



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