Increasing
Urbanisation
Sir,
It may be
predicted that India will no longer live in
villages. Many states can no longer maintain
rural set-up. At present, about 300 million
people already lives in its towns and cities. It
is estimated that this figure will be jumped up
to 500 million in the next two decades. According
to the latest studies made by the Centre for
Policy Research, it is revealed that above
situation is inevitable. Besides, this forecast
also states that in near future the situation
will be like that: fifty percent of Maharastra
urban; forty percent of Gujrat and the southern
states urban; alongwith dramatic movement and
urbanisation in the East and North-East; also
significant urbanisation in Punjab, Haryana and
Western U.P. Saurastra would be looking at major
urban industrial concentration inspite of huge
water problem.
The centre for
Policy Research has been looking into the issue
lately. The study started with Maharashtra,
Gujrat, Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu and Karnataka.
The main growth would be along the major
transport corridors that seem to be developing.
It means clearly that much of the urban areas
would be a "sprawl" rather than
concentration. Its also warned that it would be
polynodal and functionality of it may not be
assured. Actually, distinct feature is the growth
of large cities.
By next year,
there are million-plus population going up from
the present 23 percent to 51 percent. New
entrants in this list are Ranchi, Gwalior,
Jabalpur, Agra, Jodhpur, Nasik, Vijaywada,
Thiruvananthapuram and Tiruchinapaili. In this
way, these cities alongwith others, comprising 51
in all, would be home to 110 million, people i.e.
40 percent of the total urban population.
Ultimately, the new urban centres, are unlikely
to be another Chandigarh or even Fatehpur Sikri.
This structure will be more like the familiar
"naan" i.e. with bulges here and there,
thin at the edges. It will be shapeless and
running out up land, water and even clear air.
Alongwith formidable problems, people would
provide a host of opportunities, inspite of the
cruel fact that none of these conditions seems
attractive.
Regarding these
conditions, it is felt that we treat urban
problems as merely municipal problems (e.g.
growth of stray dogs) but the time has reached to
change this attitude. Now question is raised will
the urban-rural distinction remain relevant or do
we require to look at the total settlement
picture? The study made by the Centre for Policy
Research also revealed that strong, even
spectacular, urban growth along what are
essentially transport corridors; and, the Golden
Quadrilateral Highway Plan, to strengthen links
between Delhi-Mumbai-Calcutta-Chennai, has been
taken as the pointer to existing patterns.
This shapeless
urban growth can ultimately dismantle even our
rural set-up and Indian villages may face heavy
set back due to this hard fact of urbanisation.
Yours etc...
Dr. Shubhankar Banerjee
G-30, Dhakka Colony
Kingsway Camp, Delhi
|