EDITORIAL

PM SPEAKS ON SUMMIT

Prime Minister Atal Behari Vajpayee has spoken in detail to the lawmakers of the country about the Agra summit. This is to be taken as the official version of the deliberations whether successful or not. It should also set at rest many speculations made during and after the summit meet. The stalemate in the Agra summit again demonstrates the difficulties in a democratic country negotiating with a weak military dictatorship on such complicated issues like Jammu and Kashmir General Musharraf's domestic constituency is the military and the jehadi groups. He needs to keep them happy for his own survival. The agenda of these two constituencies has been very clear from the very outset. The jihadi groups warned Musharraf against giving any concessions to India on the stated position of Pakistan. .......more

A televised breakfast
with Parvez

By M J Akbar
If we but knew we were making television history some of us would have come better .....
more

Decaying electoral
process

S Venkatesh
India prides itself on being the largest democracy but independent observers have pointed out how each successive.........
more

Role of Women in
Agriculture

Poonam Parihar
It is an established fact that rural women contribute significantly in various farm operations in a country like India. The farm women are not far behind ......
more

Review the Indus
water treaty

Bharat Jhunjhunwala
Agra talks having led nowhere, it is time to develop a clear perspective on the Kashmir problem. Kautilya can be of help. Let .....
.more

EDITORIAL

PM SPEAKS ON SUMMIT

Prime Minister Atal Behari Vajpayee has spoken in detail to the lawmakers of the country about the Agra summit. This is to be taken as the official version of the deliberations whether successful or not. It should also set at rest many speculations made during and after the summit meet. The stalemate in the Agra summit again demonstrates the difficulties in a democratic country negotiating with a weak military dictatorship on such complicated issues like Jammu and Kashmir General Musharraf's domestic constituency is the military and the jehadi groups. He needs to keep them happy for his own survival. The agenda of these two constituencies has been very clear from the very outset. The jihadi groups warned Musharraf against giving any concessions to India on the stated position of Pakistan. Musharraf himself acknowledged in his breakfast meeting with senior Indian editors that if India wants him to ignore Kashmir, he could as well buy the haveli in Delhi and live there. It is very clear that any deviation from the stated position of his domestic constituency would make his own position jittery. It is, therefore, no surprise that the summit did not progress in the right direction.

Gen Musharraf was sincere in one respect as he acknowledged the statesmanship and courage of the PN in inviting him to India for talks. The invitation means a lot for General than any other visits he made to various countries. He visited a number of countries in the Middle East and South East Asia, but never used the kind phrases in praise of their leaders as he did in India. This clearly indicates what the visit to India meant to him. The visit has given him the much-needed legitimacy in Pakistan and international community. He grabbed the opportunity and elevated himself to the post of the President. However, unfortunately, his sincerity in words praising Vajpayee was not converted into action during the negotiating process.

Pakistan, from the very outset, tried to destroy the summit. The first salvos were shot through the machinations of its High Commissioner in Delhi, who invited the Hurriyat leaders for the "high tea" with Musharraf, against the wishes and persuasion of the Indian foreign ministry to observe the diplomatic norms. The Pakistanis ignored them by arguing that the Hurriyat leaders did meet the then President Leghari when he visited India in 1997. The context then was different. That was not a State visit. He visited to attend the SAARC summit. It is normal to have fringe meetings at the multilateral conferences. But in a State visit, on the invitation of the host country, there are some diplomatic norms to be observed. How would Pakistanis react if the Indian ambassador in Islamabad invited Pakistani secessionist organisations for a tea party during the proposed visit the Prime Minister Vajpayee to Islamabad later this year?

India invited Musharraf as the Chief Executive of Pakistan in his true commando style, he elevated himself as President to have the proper protocol. While his friends in Islamic countries waited long to recognize his new position, India at once extended its recognition hoping that would strengthen his position to reach an amicable solution. Notwithstanding the flouting of diplomatic norms. India did not try to prevent the Hurriyat leaders to attend the high tea. India has again shown its sincerity by not putting any spokes in their attending the meeting, as the main goal was to find an amicable and peaceful solution. Even this message was not taken seriously by Musharraf in his dictatorial style, he invited senior editors of Indian media for a breakfast meeting and used the platform as a full-fledged press conference to air his views, even while the negotiations are continuing.

Government of India had no choice but to release the Prime Minister's opening paper to the negotiations, but has had the sagacity not to address the press to air its views after Musharraf did so. The release of the PM's paper was more to reassure the Pakistani Generals that Kashmir issue was indeed discussed. The Indian side again observed diplomatic niceties of not addressing a press conference while Musharraf was still in the country. But, Maj Gen Rashid Qureshi, DG of the Inter Services Press Relations, had no respect for any rules and norms and described Indian ministers as invisible hand who prevented signing a joint declaration. It is most uncivilized to use such terms for the negotiating partners.

Does the international community not know what invisible hands are controlling General Musharraf? He came to India carrying the agenda of jehadi groups. Perhaps Pakistan is the only country where its head had to consult terrorists (jihadi) groups before the State visit. There is no such parallel. These groups already dictated his negotiating agenda even before he landed in India. The Jamaat-e-Islami chief Qazi Hussain warned him to avoid any "give and take" on Kashmir as he has no mandate to go beyond the stated position on this issue. The Al Badr central chief, Muhammad Ahmad Hamza, said that they would not accept any solution to the issue other than the accession of the Valley to Pakistan and waned the President to refrain from compromising on this issue. The head of the United Jihad Council, Syed Salahuddin, said that the summit is only Indian ploy and bound to fail. The LeT said the peace talks are a conspiracy against Kashmiris and declared that its fighters would continue their jihad.

With his pre-set agenda. General Musharraf was only interested in getting concessions from India on their 'core issue' and not preparing to address the India core concerns. While the Government of India is disappointed and concerned for the Kashmiris, it should not give up its attempts to continue the dialogue process.

Prime Minister Vajpayee, while addressing the two houses of the parliament, made it amply clear that Kashmir remained an integral part of India. If at all India has to talk of anything it is the trans-border terrorism and the issue of Pakistan's illegal occupation of a part of the State of Jammu and Kashmir that legally and constitutionally belongs to India. The people of the State have already exercised the right of self-determination and confirmed and re-confirmed it no fewer than eight times since 1947. The question is that Pakistan sponsored jehadis are denying the Kashmiris to enjoy the fruits of their right of self-determination.

A televised breakfast with Parvez

By M J Akbar

If we but knew we were making television history some of us would have come better dressed, and others prepared.

The invitation to meet President Musharraf over breakfast at Amar Vilas in Agra on the last day of his visit to India came during the preparations, when goodwill and effort were still the main motivations. Slots were being filled on both sides. The Prime Minister of India gave a lunch on the first day, an ice-breaker in the company of assorted celebrities. Later that day was the formal banquet by the President of India, an occasion for speeches in font of a protocol list. Sunday was marked out as the day of unrest: hard work on the language of agreement, interspersed with an afternoon at the Taj for the guests and niether peace not serenity before or after. As it happened, the two delegations finally went to bed at four, just a little before dawn on Monday. But they had the satisfaction of having made substantial progress on the critical paragraph on the structure of the dialogue between India and Pakistan on Kashmir.

The controversy over whether India and Pakistan would discuss Kashmir at Agra was artificial. This decision was made by the Government of India many weeks before, when Prime Minister Vajpayee sent his invitation to President Musharraf. That brief but well-drafted note had no ambiguity: "We have to pick up the threads again, including renewing the Composite Dialogue, so that we can put in place a stable structure of cooperation and address all outstanding issues, including Jammu and Kashmir." Mr Vajpayee signed this invitation but it was made with the complete concurrence of his Home Minister Mr L K Advani. There was no hard line and soft line; there was only one line. Delhi knew that this was a prerequisite for any resumption of a dialogue, and accepted this reality with commendable lack of fuss. President Musharrafs subsequent insistence on Kashmir as some kind of "central" or "main" subject was a public relations exercise designed to calm nerves at home and increase his personal space in domestic politics. (If you learn next year that President Musharraf has become a candidate in a general election for the designation he holds now by compulsion, remember you read it here first.) India had agreed to talk about Kashmir, and where the clause appeared in the text was of less consequence than the fact of its presence. Similarly, the professed concern to fight the common enemy, poverty, together was code for a series of joint initiative on other issues, from drugs to the economy (with a gas pipeline thrown but not mentioned).

But harmony in Indo-Pak affairs can never come with a flap. It came over a word: "dispute". It was not semantics. Pakistan wanted the Kashmir problem to called a dispute. India rejected "dispute" to avoid any future interpretation that might prejudice over position on the status of Jammu and Kashmir. We offered "issue" as the alternative. Pakistan conceded. We did a little bow ourselves and permitted Kashmir to be described as the "main issue" between the two countries. So far, so good. Indeed, so far so very good. With the Kashmir clause out of the way Monday morning seemed to promise nothing but optimism.

But there is always a night before to the morning after.

The luxury lepers of the Summit --- the media --- were isolated in the push surroundings of the Mughal Sheraton and fed solitary confinement rations (driblets of information) by dignitaries visiting from the elite stretch between Jaypee Palace and Amar Vilas, where the Upper Classes were closeted. The first serious morsel came a little before sunset on Sunday, when General Raashid Qureshi dropped by to display a large smile. The words did not matter. The beam was positive. From Japyee Palace a little later, or perhaps simultaneously, arrived Mrs Sushma Swaraj, friendly, courteous and concerned about the well -being of seven hundred journalists with nothing to do except exchange gossip and theory. But soor Mrs Swaraj also had a message to convey. The talks had covered a wide range of subjects, making them precisely what we wanted: a "composite" dialogue. Kashmir? Oh, a few things had also been said about Kashmir, to the best of her knowledge.

A nuclear power should not go ballistic, but that is what the Pakistan delegation became. The politics of briefing follow their own logic. Sushma Swaraj was addressing her own constituency, which was as apprehensive about Peacenik Vajpayee as the Pakistan Army was likely to be about Muhajir Musharraf. However televison does not choose its audience; an audience -- chooses its television station. There were probably as many people watching Doordarshan in Pakistan on Sunday as in India. The reaction was immediate and intense. Gossip swirled through the Mughal Sheraton that there had been phone calls from Islamabad that asked President Musharraf a simple question: what are you doing? He had to answer that question.

He made his unhappiness clear to the Prime Minister immediately, who in turn transferred a piece of his mind to his Minister for some information and lots of broadcasting. Before midnight Pakistan issued a press release that Kashmir had been the talking point of the day, and that nothing else would be resolved if Kashmir was not. Was it entirely accidental that most newspapers had gone to bed and could not be roused from their printing machines by the time this statement was released? Was this deliberate? Was there some agreement between the two delegations that they should try and minimise the preceived damage from the briefs? Perhaps. It is an inference. Fact: Television does not sleep. Hawks declared the summit dead.

The breakfast at Amar Vilas took place at swivel-point, when the Summit could turn in whichever direction the principals wanted.

The breakast was on record. Placed beside the elegant Noritake China at each setting lay a scratchpad and a pencil for notes. A television camera pointed at the President from midpoint between the two wings of the straight-line U formation in which we were seated. I thought that, rather sensibly, the Pakistanis were keeping a record, because 18 editors can easily manage 19 different versions of any answer. I was not aware that this repast was being relayed into millions of homes through a Pakistan TV feed that would be picked up by Star, but what of that? The President wanted to be quoted; that was part of his purpose. As a journalist, I wanted a story: that was my reason for being there. My question would not change, whether it was on the record or off it. I would have done a story for my newspaper if the President had not pre-empted all of us with his camera.

President Pervez Musharraf offered us a Barmecide's Feast. You could eat whichever dish you believed was there. You could leave the room with evidence for whatever was your wish. On Kashmir he took a hard line for Pakistani breakers of the fast, but also indicated that the dispute over dispute had been resolved by a Pakistani concession. He outlined the way he would like to take a Kashmir dialogue forward, through a series of steps instead of placing the answer before the discussion. Tidbits were dropped, gently or abruptly, between the Eggs Benedictine and uthappam. The President suggested that the return visit by the Prime Minister could take place as in September, or if not that perhaps by November. It was obvious that behind the fireworks at breakfast lay another face of a growing level of understanding in the one-to-one meetings. By the time the Summit was over the President and the Prime Minister had spent more time with each other, over substantive issues, than had ever been done by two leaders of India and Pakistan.

The drama of the last day of the Summit, the two high points when a nine-point declaration was almost signed, is well known by now; repetition would be a waste of space. There was agreement at the foreign ministers' level on the draft before it was stopped, cold, in its tracks at the proverbial last minute. Whose nerve surrendered to caution? The aftermath is crowded with questions, and President Musharraf has opted to tell his version of the answers through what has become a favourite methodology, a press conference. The point to note is that President Musharraf and Prime Minister Vajpayee have spent the days since the summit in risk management, and both done with some skill, using their personal strengths and public image to their fast advantage.

Which of the two is more dangerous to the enemy? A general with a gun, or a general with a microphone.?

President-General Musharraf's infatuation with the media is understandable, given the long years of restraint under the discipline of the Pakistan Army, unable to say his piece when he must have felt like kicking his political masters for dribbling with the truth on matters of the greatest controversy and highest importance. If he clearly he is natural with media, articulate and unfazed, and protected by the brilliantly effective armour of candour. Some day President Musharraf will also discover that media is a difficult mistress, prone to punish the slightest human error without mercy, but that day has not come yet. With such a man we must learn to find out not what he is willing to tell us, candidly, but what he is not willing to tell us.

His press conference in Islamabad was his breakfast meeting on a larger stage; at neither venue has he disclosed the substance of his one-to-one conversations with Mr Vajpayee, particularly during the last meeting on Monday night when the two met for more than a hour and a half to say goodbye. I do not have the magical properties of a fly, and I was not sitting on a Jaypee Palace wall, so I cannot inform our readers about what went on. But when words are unavailable we might want to let facts speak for themselves. Within some forty eight hours of "failure", for instance, an invitation came from Pakistan's foreign minister, Mr Abdul Sattar, to our foreign minister, Mr Jaswant Singh --- and was promptly accepted. That did not have the look and feel of failure. It is evident that Mr Vajpayee and Mr Musharraf have agreed to keep the momentum of the talks alive. It was reiterated that Mr Vajpayee would travel to Pakistan; that invitation and its acceptance stood. The time between Agra and Islamabad will be used by both sides to find the missing links that prevented an agreement. The pressure cooker atmosphere at a Summit, with its inbuilt time limitations, often leads to a Pyrrhic victory. Lahore is an excellent example. If there are solutions then they are best cooked over a slow fire, rather than a two-day conflagaration.

It is dangerous to underestimate the virtues of silence. Mr Vajpayee is a highprofile orator but a low-profile individual; his natural style is accommodative rather than aggressive; and he understands that in a democracy too much candour can be injurious to one's health. Some things are best internalised. The temptation to confuse silence with weakness is a mistake. The Prime Minister, doubtless absorbing a lifetime of lessons from the Mahabharata, is a charioteer on this battlefield, letting the horses of his own side (including a mare or two) race and let off their enormous emotional steam till they could be retargeted towards a defined destination. There must have been those who argued that he should have used the authority of his position and his personal stature in his party to overcome objections and sign the declaration in Agra. Lahore has shown him that a brittle agreement does not last; to last, it must have consensus of all concerned. If that takes time, so be it. Paradoxically, Mr Vajpayee has been strengthened by his flexibility. Since he did not insist on his own inclinations, he proved to his party that he would not place himself above it. Mr Vajpayee knows that if any long term peace has to be reached with Pakistan then its process must have the support of the BJP. He is not worried about parties like the Shiv Sena; but he needs the consent of Mr Advani and of the majority of his party. He will get it before his visit to Pakistan; indeed he will not go without it. The one thing that Mr Vajpayee has ensured, and this is critical, is that the dialogue continues. His step-by-step risk management obeyed the democratic process: ministers, allies and all political parties over the three days. He will speak to the nation through Parliament. But the one message that came through clearly was that baat cheet to chalni chahiye. There was no serious objection. The process continues. The key to the India-Pakistan relationship lies in another paradox: success will only come when there is no victory. But it takes times to appreciate and achieve that.

Decaying electoral process

S Venkatesh

India prides itself on being the largest democracy but independent observers have pointed out how each successive election shows an alarming downward slide in the observance of free and fair elections which the hall mark of a vibrant democracy.

Criminals serving a jail sentence for heinous crimes get elected making a mockery of the electoral process. Political parties hardly think twice before handing out tickets to candidates with a criminal background - suffice it if they can get elected.

The Election Commission can pat itself on the back for trying to enforce inner democracy by insisting on parties holding periodic elections. For the record in 1996, the Commission put the political parties on notice and insisted that they follow their constitution and hold regular party elections. The major national and regional partis duly heeded the directive.

But what is the truth? Elections are generally recognised to be farcical. The roll of membership of most parties is suspect. The parties are highly centralised; the "High Command" or the so-called "Central leadershp" will take a decision is a common enough refrain.

Mostly, it is the wish of a single individual which dictates the course of the most important decision. "Consensus" is a ploy used by the leader to gauge the so-called multiplicity of views where as the decision is usually already made and is known to those who are being consulted too. It is no surprise that several political parties have become tools for political manoeuvre and gaining influence for self-serving individuals and cliques.

A citizen's initiative for democratic reforms called the Lok Sabha had made some studies recently on the ground realities covering four leading political parties in Andhra Pradesh, also known these days as the Cyber Pradesh. The exercise has shown the hollowness of the tall claims made by these parties.

The root of the matter is the way the political parties function and conduct themselves. For, unless the parties act in the highest democratic spirit, any other attempt to improve the democratic system could do little to improve the situation.

In this context, the consultation paper on th working of political parties especially in relation to elections and reform options prepard by the Constitution Review Panel is important. The document speaks of the need for a comprehensive legislation to regular the functioning of the political parties in India. The legislation, it suggests, should provide conditions for constitution of a political party and for recognition, registration and de-registration.

The present practice is that political parties are registered and recognised only for the limited purpose of allocation of poll symbols. What the paper suggests is that political parties should be asked compulsorily to register themselves, by law. Also, the law should prescribe not only the conditions for establishment of a political party but also Provision for regulating the functioning of political parties.

A party thus registered should declare its allegiance to the constitution and the sovereignty and integrity of the nation. This is intended to keep out parties, which overtly or covertly try to dismember the nation.

The legislation that the working paper envisages would enjoin on political parties to abide by the spirit of democracy in teir internal management and operation. They (parties) should also observe inner party democracy in their decision-making process and hold elections to various levels of the party organs at least once in three years.

Another salient feature of the proposal is that it seeks to guarantee seats in legislature for women. How? By making political parties give representation to women in at least 30 per cent of the organisation positions at every level!

Another key element dwelt by the consultation paper relates to political funding. It is proposed that there should be a compulsory declaration by political parties about their receipts of funds and expenditure in a systematic and regular way. An impendent body may prescribe the form of accounts of receipts and expenditure and declaration about the source of funds. This body should also be entrusted with the job I scrutinising the accounts of political parties. Candidates should be legally bound to declare their assets and liabilities before the returning offices at the time of filing nomination for any elected post.

Interestingly, another suggestion relates to holding demonstrations and rallies a favourite tool of all parties to "Ventilate their anger or celebrate happiness". The working paper holds the view that holding huge rallies and demonstrations hardly serves any purpose - an opinion, political parties of all hues are likely to reject outright. The paper says that in this age of high-tech it is far more effective to use the electronic media than public rallies to convey any set of demands. Such a practice, it is said, would also obviate the need for political parties to raise funds by questionable means for meeting expenditure on such huge demonstrations.

The Constitution Review Panel's position paper goes on to say that the money thus saved could be utilised for more fruitful things like educating the voters through door-to-door contacts and sensitising their own party-members in regard to various controversial issues facing the nation.

It has set out the criteria for registration of a national party - at least 10% valid votes polled by all candidates in at least one half of the states. If the parties secure the required percentage of ten per cent of total votes cast in any of the states, that party can be designated as a state party. Other condition is that only parties or a pre-poll alliance of political parties registered an national parties with the Election Commission be allowed to contest for the Lok Sabha. State parties may contest the State legislature and the Council of States, that is, the Rajya Sabha.

The Paper wants the criteria and conditions for de-registration of political parties shoudl be defined and that the decision of the Election Commission in this respect should be final, subject to judicial appeal to the High Court or the Supreme Court.

The other suggestions include certain pre-conditions for parties seeking registration like declaration that they would shun violence for political gains not resort to casteism and communalsim for political mobilisation. There are also does and don'ts to improve the democratic system, curbing criminalisation in politics, checking proliferation of political parties etc.

It is a moot point whether all these suggestions no doubt immensely laudable as also the stipulation that candidates should declare their assets and background in advance (strengthened by a recent judgement of the Delhi High Court) would be faithfully followed by political parties assuming that they make up their collective mind to make them legal.

Of course, there is the question how seriously the recommendations of the Constitution Review Panel will be taken by the parties in power and out of power.

... Syndicate Features

Role of Women in Agriculture

Poonam Parihar

It is an established fact that rural women contribute significantly in various farm operations in a country like India. The farm women are not far behind from their counterpart from developed countries in all aspects of life. They perform various tasks both in agriculture as well as at home.

Women play a pivotal role in producing staple crops, Rice, Wheat and Maize which provide up to 90 per cent of the rural poor's food intake. Although their activities vary from place to place, women are mainly responsible for sowing, weeding, applying fertilizers and pesticides and harvesting and thrashing. Men tend to do the large scale of cropping especially when it is highly mechanized, while women generally work on smaller plots and home gardens, practising a low input type of farming from a technological point of view.

Women's work is most often unpaid since they produce food for the house-hold rather than cash crops for the market. It is precisely this division of labour that makes women the "invisible Actors" in development. Because they have limited land ownership rights and are not wage earners.

Women in agricultural families perform many farm related activities both within and outside the household in most parts of the country. women are involved in most of the operations in agriculture. So far as crop husbandry is concerned, women participate in almost all activities right from preparatory tillage to harvest and even in post harvest tasks like processing, storage and marketing, seed cleaning, seed grading, sowing, dibbling, planting, transplanting, weeding, thinning, gap-filling, inter culturing, harvesting, threshing, shelling, hulling, winowing, feeding cattle and looking after mulch animals and poultry birds. Activities such as processing and storage at home are performed exclusively by women. Studies conducted by Malik et al (1998) reveal that an assessment for one hectare farm women averages 640 hrs for inter cultural operations like weeding, 384 hrs for irrigation, 150 hrs for transplanting of organic manures and seeds sowing and 984 hrs for harvesting and threshing. Her total work of 3485 hours in a year is more than the combined work of man who works for 1212 hrs and a pair of bullocks which works for 1064 hours.

According to a report released by the United Nation Food and Agriculture Organisation (FAO), Women in rural areas of the developing world will be called upon to play a key role in feeding the additional 2.1 billion persons who will have expanded the world population by the year 2030.

The development of our country especially in rural areas largely depends upon the women. It is an established fact that women were first agriculturists when men used to be busy in hunting and tending livestock. Our agriculture policy is still dominated by the false view that farmers are men and women are only housewives.

Though the women participation in agricultural operations has been significant, their performance is not recognized in terms of participation, supervision and decision-making.

The following suggestions are enumerated for Socio-Economic upliftment of farm women:

— Knowledge and skills of women should be incorporated into the development of modern farm technologies by the scientists.

— Men and women should be viewed as equal partners in the home and farm and professionals should become more aware of the role of women in agriculture, their needs and problems.

— Relevant technologies suited to women, specific farm activities should be evolved. Research should focus reducing drudgery, providing for labour diversification and improving energy conservation while providing for higher and more stable incomes.

— Women should be evolved on every aspect of research, decision making and technology development and transfer.

— Knowledge and skill transfer to rural women should be tailored to their socio-economic condition and literacy status. Participation of women should be promoted in areas like Sericulture Dairy, Bee-keeping, Mushroom-cultivation, Poutry, Goatry and Waste land development which are found to be better managed by women.

— Training programme should be organised for entrepreneurship development among farm women.

— Increased employment of women in the extension system should be encouraged.

Review the Indus water treaty

Bharat Jhunjhunwala

Agra talks having led nowhere, it is time to develop a clear perspective on the Kashmir problem. Kautilya can be of help. Let us see what Arthasastra has to say about our present predicament.

Mainstream thinking is that peace is the route to prosperity and war to poverty. Kautilya thought otherwise. He suggests that whether to make peace or war depends on which of the two help a king become prosperous while weakening his enemy.

Whether peace is to be made with a king, or war, he says, is to be determined by the respective strengths: "Whoever is inferior to another shall make peace with him; whoever is superior in power shall wage war" (7.1). Kautilya goes on to say that one shoud observe neutrality only when equal.

This is not to say that economic progress is to be neglected. On the contrary, Kautilya says that which of these policies is adopted would depend upon which of these helps in economic development. "A wise king shall observe that form of policy which, in his opinion, enables him to build forts, to construct buildings and commercial roads, to open new plantations and villages, to exploit mines and timber and elephant forests and at the same time to harass similar works of the enemy" (7.1). The key mesage is that economic progress does not necessarily build on peace. Expansion of one's kingdom or area of influence through war can also lead to economic development.

The objective quite clearly is economic prosperity. If a king is inferior then he will ensure his prosperity by making peace with the stronger enemy. If a king is strong, he should seek the same by expanding his area of influence -- if necessary by waging war. "Agreement of peace shall be made with equal and superior kings; and an inferior king shall be attacked," says Kautilya (7.3). He gives the simile of an earthen pot. "Just as the collision of an unbaked mud-vessel with a similar vessel is destructive to both, so war with equal kings brings ruin to both. Like a stone striking an earthen pot, a superior king attains decisive victory over inferior king" (7.3). The costs of such a war, in Kautilya's opinion, are small in relation to the gains.

What is to be done if an equal king does not want to make peace? Then, says Kautilya, "the same amount of vexation as his opponent has received at his hands should be given to him in return; for it is power that brings about peace between any two kings: no piece of iron that is not made ret hot will combine with another piece of iron" (7.3). Pakistan, has vexed India by disowning the Simla and Lahore declarations. India could create a similar Vexation for Pakistan by disowning the Indus Water Treaty.

Even if a king has to keep peace he should ever try to weaken his enemy: "If a king things that ‘keeping an agreement of peace, I can undertake productive works of considerable importance and destroy at the same time those of my enemy; or I can destroy the works of my enemy by holding out inducements such as remission of taxes and large profits, I can empty my enemy's country of its population" then he may increase his resources by keeping peace" (7.1.) The emptying of the enemy's country of its population should, in the current times, be understood as emptying it of wealth. Accordingly, the effort should be not to use trade for mutual benefit, but to use trade to weaken the enemy. The extending of MFN stutus to Pakistan, for example, has to be evaluated from the standpoint whether it is ‘emptying Pakistan of its wealth’ or not; rather than making peace. Our Commerce Ministry should work on a plan to cripple Pakistan's trade to our advantage.

Kautilya suggests that if an enemy is sinking out of its own internal contradictions, then one should not interfere and let him become weaker. "A neighbouring foe, when has taken himself to evil ways, he becomes assailable; and when he has little or no help, he becomes destructible; otherwise (i.e. when he is provided with some help), he deserve to be harassed" (6.2). Further, he says, one may allow his enemy to grow in strength and to attain success for the time being if he is like to become weaker "by squandering his wealth, that his subjects are disaffected, as he has neither a friend or a fort to help him; that a distant king is desirous of putting down his own enemy" (6.2).

The strategy suggested by Kautilya is to allow the enemy to fall under its own contradictions. The internal disaffection in Pakistan and its losing of a friend in the USA are pointers in this direction. In fact, the success of Agra, lies in further isolating Pakistan from the international community. In any future conflict the role of ‘distant’ kings -- Russia, United States, Israel and Saudi Arabia -- will be crucial. Musharraf may have scored points within the domestic politics of Pakistan by remaining belligerent. That is not important. The selfrestraint shown by India, if it leads to isolation of Pakistan from these distant kings, will enable India to deal with it more strictly in future.

Kashmir is not about Kashmir. Kashmir is about Security Council and the role of India in the world politics. Kautilya advises the king to "throw his enemy's power into the shade with the help of those who are hostile or conspiring against his enemy" (6.2). This is the success of Agra. India observed self-restraint after Kargil, India invited Musharraf for talks, India agreed to talk Kashmir. If these can be projected properly in the international community then the summit would have been a resounding success.

The tricky problem is dealing with the people of Pakistan. Kautilya advises that a king should ever try to win over the disaffected subjects of his enemy. He says that if the ‘greedy, impoverished, and oppressed subjects of an enemy do not come over to his side then he should make peace with the enemy. It is here that India needs to do more homework. The people of Pakistan, though impoverished and oppressed, do not yet come to the side of India. Here is may be more a problem of religion than politics. Indo-Pak disputes inevitably to take on the hue of a Hindu-Muslim one. It is here that India must seek out nationalist Muslim leaders and, through them, seek to win over the people of Pakistan. Many Muslim leaders have come out openly against the Hurriyat. Such leaders have to be supported in their endeavour to win over the people of Pakistan against their own Generals. King's chief messengers, "pretending to be friendly towards the enemy, should highly speak of the strength of his army and of the likelihood of the impending destruction of his enemy's men. By these or other means they should win over the enemy's men" (13.1).

The Agra summit should not be considered to be a failure. That is generally the view of those who want peace at any cost and are naive about realpolitik. What is required now is (1) prepare for a war; (2) review the Indus Water Treaty and MFN status to Pakistan; (3) establish dialogue with the international community to isolate Pakistan; and (4) use nationalist Muslim leaders to win over people of Pakistan. Agra would have done well to crystallize our future path.

 



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