EDITORIAL
PM SPEAKS ON SUMMIT
Prime Minister Atal Behari
Vajpayee has spoken in detail to the lawmakers of the
country about the Agra summit. This is to be taken as the
official version of the deliberations whether successful
or not. It should also set at rest many speculations made
during and after the summit meet. The stalemate in the
Agra summit again demonstrates the difficulties in a
democratic country negotiating with a weak military
dictatorship on such complicated issues like Jammu and
Kashmir General Musharraf's domestic constituency is the
military and the jehadi groups. He needs to keep them
happy for his own survival. The agenda of these two
constituencies has been very clear from the very outset.
The jihadi groups warned Musharraf against giving any
concessions to India on the stated position of Pakistan.
Musharraf himself acknowledged in his breakfast meeting
with senior Indian editors that if India wants him to
ignore Kashmir, he could as well buy the haveli in
Delhi and live there. It is very clear that any deviation
from the stated position of his domestic constituency
would make his own position jittery. It is, therefore, no
surprise that the summit did not progress in the right
direction.
Gen Musharraf was sincere
in one respect as he acknowledged the statesmanship and
courage of the PN in inviting him to India for talks. The
invitation means a lot for General than any other visits
he made to various countries. He visited a number of
countries in the Middle East and South East Asia, but
never used the kind phrases in praise of their leaders as
he did in India. This clearly indicates what the visit to
India meant to him. The visit has given him the
much-needed legitimacy in Pakistan and international
community. He grabbed the opportunity and elevated
himself to the post of the President. However,
unfortunately, his sincerity in words praising Vajpayee
was not converted into action during the negotiating
process.
Pakistan, from the very
outset, tried to destroy the summit. The first salvos
were shot through the machinations of its High
Commissioner in Delhi, who invited the Hurriyat leaders
for the "high tea" with Musharraf, against the
wishes and persuasion of the Indian foreign ministry to
observe the diplomatic norms. The Pakistanis ignored them
by arguing that the Hurriyat leaders did meet the then
President Leghari when he visited India in 1997. The
context then was different. That was not a State visit.
He visited to attend the SAARC summit. It is normal to
have fringe meetings at the multilateral conferences. But
in a State visit, on the invitation of the host country,
there are some diplomatic norms to be observed. How would
Pakistanis react if the Indian ambassador in Islamabad
invited Pakistani secessionist organisations for a tea
party during the proposed visit the Prime Minister
Vajpayee to Islamabad later this year?
India invited Musharraf as
the Chief Executive of Pakistan in his true commando
style, he elevated himself as President to have the
proper protocol. While his friends in Islamic countries
waited long to recognize his new position, India at once
extended its recognition hoping that would strengthen his
position to reach an amicable solution. Notwithstanding
the flouting of diplomatic norms. India did not try to
prevent the Hurriyat leaders to attend the high tea.
India has again shown its sincerity by not putting any
spokes in their attending the meeting, as the main goal
was to find an amicable and peaceful solution. Even this
message was not taken seriously by Musharraf in his
dictatorial style, he invited senior editors of Indian
media for a breakfast meeting and used the platform as a
full-fledged press conference to air his views, even
while the negotiations are continuing.
Government of India had no
choice but to release the Prime Minister's opening paper
to the negotiations, but has had the sagacity not to
address the press to air its views after Musharraf did
so. The release of the PM's paper was more to reassure
the Pakistani Generals that Kashmir issue was indeed
discussed. The Indian side again observed diplomatic
niceties of not addressing a press conference while
Musharraf was still in the country. But, Maj Gen Rashid
Qureshi, DG of the Inter Services Press Relations, had no
respect for any rules and norms and described Indian
ministers as invisible hand who prevented signing a joint
declaration. It is most uncivilized to use such terms for
the negotiating partners.
Does the international
community not know what invisible hands are controlling
General Musharraf? He came to India carrying the agenda
of jehadi groups. Perhaps Pakistan is the only country
where its head had to consult terrorists (jihadi) groups
before the State visit. There is no such parallel. These
groups already dictated his negotiating agenda even
before he landed in India. The Jamaat-e-Islami chief Qazi
Hussain warned him to avoid any "give and take"
on Kashmir as he has no mandate to go beyond the stated
position on this issue. The Al Badr central chief,
Muhammad Ahmad Hamza, said that they would not accept any
solution to the issue other than the accession of the
Valley to Pakistan and waned the President to refrain
from compromising on this issue. The head of the United
Jihad Council, Syed Salahuddin, said that the summit is
only Indian ploy and bound to fail. The LeT said the
peace talks are a conspiracy against Kashmiris and
declared that its fighters would continue their jihad.
With his pre-set agenda.
General Musharraf was only interested in getting
concessions from India on their 'core issue' and not
preparing to address the India core concerns. While the
Government of India is disappointed and concerned for the
Kashmiris, it should not give up its attempts to continue
the dialogue process.
Prime Minister Vajpayee,
while addressing the two houses of the parliament, made
it amply clear that Kashmir remained an integral part of
India. If at all India has to talk of anything it is the
trans-border terrorism and the issue of Pakistan's
illegal occupation of a part of the State of Jammu and
Kashmir that legally and constitutionally belongs to
India. The people of the State have already exercised the
right of self-determination and confirmed and
re-confirmed it no fewer than eight times since 1947. The
question is that Pakistan sponsored jehadis are denying
the Kashmiris to enjoy the fruits of their right of
self-determination.
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A
televised breakfast with Parvez
By M J
Akbar
If we but
knew we were making television history
some of us would have come better
dressed, and others prepared.
The
invitation to meet President Musharraf
over breakfast at Amar Vilas in Agra on
the last day of his visit to India came
during the preparations, when goodwill
and effort were still the main
motivations. Slots were being filled on
both sides. The Prime Minister of India
gave a lunch on the first day, an
ice-breaker in the company of assorted
celebrities. Later that day was the
formal banquet by the President of India,
an occasion for speeches in font of a
protocol list. Sunday was marked out as
the day of unrest: hard work on the
language of agreement, interspersed with
an afternoon at the Taj for the guests
and niether peace not serenity before or
after. As it happened, the two
delegations finally went to bed at four,
just a little before dawn on Monday. But
they had the satisfaction of having made
substantial progress on the critical
paragraph on the structure of the
dialogue between India and Pakistan on
Kashmir.
The
controversy over whether India and
Pakistan would discuss Kashmir at Agra
was artificial. This decision was made by
the Government of India many weeks
before, when Prime Minister Vajpayee sent
his invitation to President Musharraf.
That brief but well-drafted note had no
ambiguity: "We have to pick up the
threads again, including renewing the
Composite Dialogue, so that we can put in
place a stable structure of cooperation
and address all outstanding issues,
including Jammu and Kashmir." Mr
Vajpayee signed this invitation but it
was made with the complete concurrence of
his Home Minister Mr L K Advani. There
was no hard line and soft line; there was
only one line. Delhi knew that this was a
prerequisite for any resumption of a
dialogue, and accepted this reality with
commendable lack of fuss. President
Musharrafs subsequent insistence on
Kashmir as some kind of
"central" or "main"
subject was a public relations exercise
designed to calm nerves at home and
increase his personal space in domestic
politics. (If you learn next year that
President Musharraf has become a
candidate in a general election for the
designation he holds now by compulsion,
remember you read it here first.) India
had agreed to talk about Kashmir, and
where the clause appeared in the text was
of less consequence than the fact of its
presence. Similarly, the professed
concern to fight the common enemy,
poverty, together was code for a series
of joint initiative on other issues, from
drugs to the economy (with a gas pipeline
thrown but not mentioned).
But
harmony in Indo-Pak affairs can never
come with a flap. It came over a word:
"dispute". It was not
semantics. Pakistan wanted the Kashmir
problem to called a dispute. India
rejected "dispute" to avoid any
future interpretation that might
prejudice over position on the status of
Jammu and Kashmir. We offered
"issue" as the alternative.
Pakistan conceded. We did a little bow
ourselves and permitted Kashmir to be
described as the "main issue"
between the two countries. So far, so
good. Indeed, so far so very good. With
the Kashmir clause out of the way Monday
morning seemed to promise nothing but
optimism.
But there
is always a night before to the morning
after.
The luxury
lepers of the Summit --- the media ---
were isolated in the push surroundings of
the Mughal Sheraton and fed solitary
confinement rations (driblets of
information) by dignitaries visiting from
the elite stretch between Jaypee Palace
and Amar Vilas, where the Upper Classes
were closeted. The first serious morsel
came a little before sunset on Sunday,
when General Raashid Qureshi dropped by
to display a large smile. The words did
not matter. The beam was positive. From
Japyee Palace a little later, or perhaps
simultaneously, arrived Mrs Sushma
Swaraj, friendly, courteous and concerned
about the well -being of seven hundred
journalists with nothing to do except
exchange gossip and theory. But soor Mrs
Swaraj also had a message to convey. The
talks had covered a wide range of
subjects, making them precisely what we
wanted: a "composite" dialogue.
Kashmir? Oh, a few things had also been
said about Kashmir, to the best of her
knowledge.
A nuclear
power should not go ballistic, but that
is what the Pakistan delegation became.
The politics of briefing follow their own
logic. Sushma Swaraj was addressing her
own constituency, which was as
apprehensive about Peacenik Vajpayee as
the Pakistan Army was likely to be about
Muhajir Musharraf. However televison does
not choose its audience; an audience --
chooses its television station. There
were probably as many people watching
Doordarshan in Pakistan on Sunday as in
India. The reaction was immediate and
intense. Gossip swirled through the
Mughal Sheraton that there had been phone
calls from Islamabad that asked President
Musharraf a simple question: what are you
doing? He had to answer that question.
He made
his unhappiness clear to the Prime
Minister immediately, who in turn
transferred a piece of his mind to his
Minister for some information and lots of
broadcasting. Before midnight Pakistan
issued a press release that Kashmir had
been the talking point of the day, and
that nothing else would be resolved if
Kashmir was not. Was it entirely
accidental that most newspapers had gone
to bed and could not be roused from their
printing machines by the time this
statement was released? Was this
deliberate? Was there some agreement
between the two delegations that they
should try and minimise the preceived
damage from the briefs? Perhaps. It is an
inference. Fact: Television does not
sleep. Hawks declared the summit dead.
The
breakfast at Amar Vilas took place at
swivel-point, when the Summit could turn
in whichever direction the principals
wanted.
The
breakast was on record. Placed beside the
elegant Noritake China at each setting
lay a scratchpad and a pencil for notes.
A television camera pointed at the
President from midpoint between the two
wings of the straight-line U formation in
which we were seated. I thought that,
rather sensibly, the Pakistanis were
keeping a record, because 18 editors can
easily manage 19 different versions of
any answer. I was not aware that this
repast was being relayed into millions of
homes through a Pakistan TV feed that
would be picked up by Star, but what of
that? The President wanted to be quoted;
that was part of his purpose. As a
journalist, I wanted a story: that was my
reason for being there. My question would
not change, whether it was on the record
or off it. I would have done a story for
my newspaper if the President had not
pre-empted all of us with his camera.
President
Pervez Musharraf offered us a Barmecide's
Feast. You could eat whichever dish you
believed was there. You could leave the
room with evidence for whatever was your
wish. On Kashmir he took a hard line for
Pakistani breakers of the fast, but also
indicated that the dispute over dispute
had been resolved by a Pakistani
concession. He outlined the way he would
like to take a Kashmir dialogue forward,
through a series of steps instead of
placing the answer before the discussion.
Tidbits were dropped, gently or abruptly,
between the Eggs Benedictine and
uthappam. The President suggested that
the return visit by the Prime Minister
could take place as in September, or if
not that perhaps by November. It was
obvious that behind the fireworks at
breakfast lay another face of a growing
level of understanding in the one-to-one
meetings. By the time the Summit was over
the President and the Prime Minister had
spent more time with each other, over
substantive issues, than had ever been
done by two leaders of India and
Pakistan.
The drama
of the last day of the Summit, the two
high points when a nine-point declaration
was almost signed, is well known by now;
repetition would be a waste of space.
There was agreement at the foreign
ministers' level on the draft before it
was stopped, cold, in its tracks at the
proverbial last minute. Whose nerve
surrendered to caution? The aftermath is
crowded with questions, and President
Musharraf has opted to tell his version
of the answers through what has become a
favourite methodology, a press
conference. The point to note is that
President Musharraf and Prime Minister
Vajpayee have spent the days since the
summit in risk management, and both done
with some skill, using their personal
strengths and public image to their fast
advantage.
Which of
the two is more dangerous to the enemy? A
general with a gun, or a general with a
microphone.?
President-General
Musharraf's infatuation with the media is
understandable, given the long years of
restraint under the discipline of the
Pakistan Army, unable to say his piece
when he must have felt like kicking his
political masters for dribbling with the
truth on matters of the greatest
controversy and highest importance. If he
clearly he is natural with media,
articulate and unfazed, and protected by
the brilliantly effective armour of
candour. Some day President Musharraf
will also discover that media is a
difficult mistress, prone to punish the
slightest human error without mercy, but
that day has not come yet. With such a
man we must learn to find out not what he
is willing to tell us, candidly, but what
he is not willing to tell us.
His press
conference in Islamabad was his breakfast
meeting on a larger stage; at neither
venue has he disclosed the substance of
his one-to-one conversations with Mr
Vajpayee, particularly during the last
meeting on Monday night when the two met
for more than a hour and a half to say
goodbye. I do not have the magical
properties of a fly, and I was not
sitting on a Jaypee Palace wall, so I
cannot inform our readers about what went
on. But when words are unavailable we
might want to let facts speak for
themselves. Within some forty eight hours
of "failure", for instance, an
invitation came from Pakistan's foreign
minister, Mr Abdul Sattar, to our foreign
minister, Mr Jaswant Singh --- and was
promptly accepted. That did not have the
look and feel of failure. It is evident
that Mr Vajpayee and Mr Musharraf have
agreed to keep the momentum of the talks
alive. It was reiterated that Mr Vajpayee
would travel to Pakistan; that invitation
and its acceptance stood. The time
between Agra and Islamabad will be used
by both sides to find the missing links
that prevented an agreement. The pressure
cooker atmosphere at a Summit, with its
inbuilt time limitations, often leads to
a Pyrrhic victory. Lahore is an excellent
example. If there are solutions then they
are best cooked over a slow fire, rather
than a two-day conflagaration.
It is
dangerous to underestimate the virtues of
silence. Mr Vajpayee is a highprofile
orator but a low-profile individual; his
natural style is accommodative rather
than aggressive; and he understands that
in a democracy too much candour can be
injurious to one's health. Some things
are best internalised. The temptation to
confuse silence with weakness is a
mistake. The Prime Minister, doubtless
absorbing a lifetime of lessons from the
Mahabharata, is a charioteer on this
battlefield, letting the horses of his
own side (including a mare or two) race
and let off their enormous emotional
steam till they could be retargeted
towards a defined destination. There must
have been those who argued that he should
have used the authority of his position
and his personal stature in his party to
overcome objections and sign the
declaration in Agra. Lahore has shown him
that a brittle agreement does not last;
to last, it must have consensus of all
concerned. If that takes time, so be it.
Paradoxically, Mr Vajpayee has been
strengthened by his flexibility. Since he
did not insist on his own inclinations,
he proved to his party that he would not
place himself above it. Mr Vajpayee knows
that if any long term peace has to be
reached with Pakistan then its process
must have the support of the BJP. He is
not worried about parties like the Shiv
Sena; but he needs the consent of Mr
Advani and of the majority of his party.
He will get it before his visit to
Pakistan; indeed he will not go without
it. The one thing that Mr Vajpayee has
ensured, and this is critical, is that
the dialogue continues. His step-by-step
risk management obeyed the democratic
process: ministers, allies and all
political parties over the three days. He
will speak to the nation through
Parliament. But the one message that came
through clearly was that baat cheet to
chalni chahiye. There was no serious
objection. The process continues. The key
to the India-Pakistan relationship lies
in another paradox: success will only
come when there is no victory. But it
takes times to appreciate and achieve
that.
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Decaying
electoral process
S
Venkatesh
India
prides itself on being the largest
democracy but independent observers have
pointed out how each successive election
shows an alarming downward slide in the
observance of free and fair elections
which the hall mark of a vibrant
democracy.
Criminals
serving a jail sentence for heinous
crimes get elected making a mockery of
the electoral process. Political parties
hardly think twice before handing out
tickets to candidates with a criminal
background - suffice it if they can get
elected.
The
Election Commission can pat itself on the
back for trying to enforce inner
democracy by insisting on parties holding
periodic elections. For the record in
1996, the Commission put the political
parties on notice and insisted that they
follow their constitution and hold
regular party elections. The major
national and regional partis duly heeded
the directive.
But what
is the truth? Elections are generally
recognised to be farcical. The roll of
membership of most parties is suspect.
The parties are highly centralised; the
"High Command" or the so-called
"Central leadershp" will take a
decision is a common enough refrain.
Mostly, it
is the wish of a single individual which
dictates the course of the most important
decision. "Consensus" is a ploy
used by the leader to gauge the so-called
multiplicity of views where as the
decision is usually already made and is
known to those who are being consulted
too. It is no surprise that several
political parties have become tools for
political manoeuvre and gaining influence
for self-serving individuals and cliques.
A
citizen's initiative for democratic
reforms called the Lok Sabha had made
some studies recently on the ground
realities covering four leading political
parties in Andhra Pradesh, also known
these days as the Cyber Pradesh. The
exercise has shown the hollowness of the
tall claims made by these parties.
The root
of the matter is the way the political
parties function and conduct themselves.
For, unless the parties act in the
highest democratic spirit, any other
attempt to improve the democratic system
could do little to improve the situation.
In this
context, the consultation paper on th
working of political parties especially
in relation to elections and reform
options prepard by the Constitution
Review Panel is important. The document
speaks of the need for a comprehensive
legislation to regular the functioning of
the political parties in India. The
legislation, it suggests, should provide
conditions for constitution of a
political party and for recognition,
registration and de-registration.
The
present practice is that political
parties are registered and recognised
only for the limited purpose of
allocation of poll symbols. What the
paper suggests is that political parties
should be asked compulsorily to register
themselves, by law. Also, the law should
prescribe not only the conditions for
establishment of a political party but
also Provision for regulating the
functioning of political parties.
A party
thus registered should declare its
allegiance to the constitution and the
sovereignty and integrity of the nation.
This is intended to keep out parties,
which overtly or covertly try to
dismember the nation.
The
legislation that the working paper
envisages would enjoin on political
parties to abide by the spirit of
democracy in teir internal management and
operation. They (parties) should also
observe inner party democracy in their
decision-making process and hold
elections to various levels of the party
organs at least once in three years.
Another
salient feature of the proposal is that
it seeks to guarantee seats in
legislature for women. How? By making
political parties give representation to
women in at least 30 per cent of the
organisation positions at every level!
Another
key element dwelt by the consultation
paper relates to political funding. It is
proposed that there should be a
compulsory declaration by political
parties about their receipts of funds and
expenditure in a systematic and regular
way. An impendent body may prescribe the
form of accounts of receipts and
expenditure and declaration about the
source of funds. This body should also be
entrusted with the job I scrutinising the
accounts of political parties. Candidates
should be legally bound to declare their
assets and liabilities before the
returning offices at the time of filing
nomination for any elected post.
Interestingly,
another suggestion relates to holding
demonstrations and rallies a favourite
tool of all parties to "Ventilate
their anger or celebrate happiness".
The working paper holds the view that
holding huge rallies and demonstrations
hardly serves any purpose - an opinion,
political parties of all hues are likely
to reject outright. The paper says that
in this age of high-tech it is far more
effective to use the electronic media
than public rallies to convey any set of
demands. Such a practice, it is said,
would also obviate the need for political
parties to raise funds by questionable
means for meeting expenditure on such
huge demonstrations.
The
Constitution Review Panel's position
paper goes on to say that the money thus
saved could be utilised for more fruitful
things like educating the voters through
door-to-door contacts and sensitising
their own party-members in regard to
various controversial issues facing the
nation.
It has set
out the criteria for registration of a
national party - at least 10% valid votes
polled by all candidates in at least one
half of the states. If the parties secure
the required percentage of ten per cent
of total votes cast in any of the states,
that party can be designated as a state
party. Other condition is that only
parties or a pre-poll alliance of
political parties registered an national
parties with the Election Commission be
allowed to contest for the Lok Sabha.
State parties may contest the State
legislature and the Council of States,
that is, the Rajya Sabha.
The Paper
wants the criteria and conditions for
de-registration of political parties
shoudl be defined and that the decision
of the Election Commission in this
respect should be final, subject to
judicial appeal to the High Court or the
Supreme Court.
The other
suggestions include certain
pre-conditions for parties seeking
registration like declaration that they
would shun violence for political gains
not resort to casteism and communalsim
for political mobilisation. There are
also does and don'ts to improve the
democratic system, curbing
criminalisation in politics, checking
proliferation of political parties etc.
It is a
moot point whether all these suggestions
no doubt immensely laudable as also the
stipulation that candidates should
declare their assets and background in
advance (strengthened by a recent
judgement of the Delhi High Court) would
be faithfully followed by political
parties assuming that they make up their
collective mind to make them legal.
Of course,
there is the question how seriously the
recommendations of the Constitution
Review Panel will be taken by the parties
in power and out of power.
...
Syndicate Features
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Role
of Women in Agriculture
Poonam Parihar
It is an
established fact that rural women contribute
significantly in various farm operations in a
country like India. The farm women are not far
behind from their counterpart from developed
countries in all aspects of life. They perform
various tasks both in agriculture as well as at
home.
Women play a
pivotal role in producing staple crops, Rice,
Wheat and Maize which provide up to 90 per cent
of the rural poor's food intake. Although their
activities vary from place to place, women are
mainly responsible for sowing, weeding, applying
fertilizers and pesticides and harvesting and
thrashing. Men tend to do the large scale of
cropping especially when it is highly mechanized,
while women generally work on smaller plots and
home gardens, practising a low input type of
farming from a technological point of view.
Women's work is
most often unpaid since they produce food for the
house-hold rather than cash crops for the market.
It is precisely this division of labour that
makes women the "invisible Actors" in
development. Because they have limited land
ownership rights and are not wage earners.
Women in
agricultural families perform many farm related
activities both within and outside the household
in most parts of the country. women are involved
in most of the operations in agriculture. So far
as crop husbandry is concerned, women participate
in almost all activities right from preparatory
tillage to harvest and even in post harvest tasks
like processing, storage and marketing, seed
cleaning, seed grading, sowing, dibbling,
planting, transplanting, weeding, thinning,
gap-filling, inter culturing, harvesting,
threshing, shelling, hulling, winowing, feeding
cattle and looking after mulch animals and
poultry birds. Activities such as processing and
storage at home are performed exclusively by
women. Studies conducted by Malik et al (1998)
reveal that an assessment for one hectare farm
women averages 640 hrs for inter cultural
operations like weeding, 384 hrs for irrigation,
150 hrs for transplanting of organic manures and
seeds sowing and 984 hrs for harvesting and
threshing. Her total work of 3485 hours in a year
is more than the combined work of man who works
for 1212 hrs and a pair of bullocks which works
for 1064 hours.
According to a
report released by the United Nation Food and
Agriculture Organisation (FAO), Women in rural
areas of the developing world will be called upon
to play a key role in feeding the additional 2.1
billion persons who will have expanded the world
population by the year 2030.
The development of
our country especially in rural areas largely
depends upon the women. It is an established fact
that women were first agriculturists when men
used to be busy in hunting and tending livestock.
Our agriculture policy is still dominated by the
false view that farmers are men and women are
only housewives.
Though the women
participation in agricultural operations has been
significant, their performance is not recognized
in terms of participation, supervision and
decision-making.
The following
suggestions are enumerated for Socio-Economic
upliftment of farm women:
Knowledge
and skills of women should be incorporated into
the development of modern farm technologies by
the scientists.
Men and
women should be viewed as equal partners in the
home and farm and professionals should become
more aware of the role of women in agriculture,
their needs and problems.
Relevant
technologies suited to women, specific farm
activities should be evolved. Research should
focus reducing drudgery, providing for labour
diversification and improving energy conservation
while providing for higher and more stable
incomes.
Women
should be evolved on every aspect of research,
decision making and technology development and
transfer.
Knowledge
and skill transfer to rural women should be
tailored to their socio-economic condition and
literacy status. Participation of women should be
promoted in areas like Sericulture Dairy,
Bee-keeping, Mushroom-cultivation, Poutry, Goatry
and Waste land development which are found to be
better managed by women.
Training
programme should be organised for
entrepreneurship development among farm women.
Increased
employment of women in the extension system
should be encouraged.
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Review
the Indus water treaty
Bharat Jhunjhunwala
Agra talks having
led nowhere, it is time to develop a clear
perspective on the Kashmir problem. Kautilya can
be of help. Let us see what Arthasastra has to
say about our present predicament.
Mainstream
thinking is that peace is the route to prosperity
and war to poverty. Kautilya thought otherwise.
He suggests that whether to make peace or war
depends on which of the two help a king become
prosperous while weakening his enemy.
Whether peace is
to be made with a king, or war, he says, is to be
determined by the respective strengths:
"Whoever is inferior to another shall make
peace with him; whoever is superior in power
shall wage war" (7.1). Kautilya goes on to
say that one shoud observe neutrality only when
equal.
This is not to say
that economic progress is to be neglected. On the
contrary, Kautilya says that which of these
policies is adopted would depend upon which of
these helps in economic development. "A wise
king shall observe that form of policy which, in
his opinion, enables him to build forts, to
construct buildings and commercial roads, to open
new plantations and villages, to exploit mines
and timber and elephant forests and at the same
time to harass similar works of the enemy"
(7.1). The key mesage is that economic progress
does not necessarily build on peace. Expansion of
one's kingdom or area of influence through war
can also lead to economic development.
The objective
quite clearly is economic prosperity. If a king
is inferior then he will ensure his prosperity by
making peace with the stronger enemy. If a king
is strong, he should seek the same by expanding
his area of influence -- if necessary by waging
war. "Agreement of peace shall be made with
equal and superior kings; and an inferior king
shall be attacked," says Kautilya (7.3). He
gives the simile of an earthen pot. "Just as
the collision of an unbaked mud-vessel with a
similar vessel is destructive to both, so war
with equal kings brings ruin to both. Like a
stone striking an earthen pot, a superior king
attains decisive victory over inferior king"
(7.3). The costs of such a war, in Kautilya's
opinion, are small in relation to the gains.
What is to be done
if an equal king does not want to make peace?
Then, says Kautilya, "the same amount of
vexation as his opponent has received at his
hands should be given to him in return; for it is
power that brings about peace between any two
kings: no piece of iron that is not made ret hot
will combine with another piece of iron"
(7.3). Pakistan, has vexed India by disowning the
Simla and Lahore declarations. India could create
a similar Vexation for Pakistan by disowning the
Indus Water Treaty.
Even if a king has
to keep peace he should ever try to weaken his
enemy: "If a king things that keeping
an agreement of peace, I can undertake productive
works of considerable importance and destroy at
the same time those of my enemy; or I can destroy
the works of my enemy by holding out inducements
such as remission of taxes and large profits, I
can empty my enemy's country of its
population" then he may increase his
resources by keeping peace" (7.1.) The
emptying of the enemy's country of its population
should, in the current times, be understood as
emptying it of wealth. Accordingly, the effort
should be not to use trade for mutual benefit,
but to use trade to weaken the enemy. The
extending of MFN stutus to Pakistan, for example,
has to be evaluated from the standpoint whether
it is emptying Pakistan of its wealth
or not; rather than making peace. Our Commerce
Ministry should work on a plan to cripple
Pakistan's trade to our advantage.
Kautilya suggests
that if an enemy is sinking out of its own
internal contradictions, then one should not
interfere and let him become weaker. "A
neighbouring foe, when has taken himself to evil
ways, he becomes assailable; and when he has
little or no help, he becomes destructible;
otherwise (i.e. when he is provided with some
help), he deserve to be harassed" (6.2).
Further, he says, one may allow his enemy to grow
in strength and to attain success for the time
being if he is like to become weaker "by
squandering his wealth, that his subjects are
disaffected, as he has neither a friend or a fort
to help him; that a distant king is desirous of
putting down his own enemy" (6.2).
The strategy
suggested by Kautilya is to allow the enemy to
fall under its own contradictions. The internal
disaffection in Pakistan and its losing of a
friend in the USA are pointers in this direction.
In fact, the success of Agra, lies in further
isolating Pakistan from the international
community. In any future conflict the role of
distant kings -- Russia, United
States, Israel and Saudi Arabia -- will be
crucial. Musharraf may have scored points within
the domestic politics of Pakistan by remaining
belligerent. That is not important. The
selfrestraint shown by India, if it leads to
isolation of Pakistan from these distant kings,
will enable India to deal with it more strictly
in future.
Kashmir is not
about Kashmir. Kashmir is about Security Council
and the role of India in the world politics.
Kautilya advises the king to "throw his
enemy's power into the shade with the help of
those who are hostile or conspiring against his
enemy" (6.2). This is the success of Agra.
India observed self-restraint after Kargil, India
invited Musharraf for talks, India agreed to talk
Kashmir. If these can be projected properly in
the international community then the summit would
have been a resounding success.
The tricky problem
is dealing with the people of Pakistan. Kautilya
advises that a king should ever try to win over
the disaffected subjects of his enemy. He says
that if the greedy, impoverished, and
oppressed subjects of an enemy do not come over
to his side then he should make peace with the
enemy. It is here that India needs to do more
homework. The people of Pakistan, though
impoverished and oppressed, do not yet come to
the side of India. Here is may be more a problem
of religion than politics. Indo-Pak disputes
inevitably to take on the hue of a Hindu-Muslim
one. It is here that India must seek out
nationalist Muslim leaders and, through them,
seek to win over the people of Pakistan. Many
Muslim leaders have come out openly against the
Hurriyat. Such leaders have to be supported in
their endeavour to win over the people of
Pakistan against their own Generals. King's chief
messengers, "pretending to be friendly
towards the enemy, should highly speak of the
strength of his army and of the likelihood of the
impending destruction of his enemy's men. By
these or other means they should win over the
enemy's men" (13.1).
The Agra summit
should not be considered to be a failure. That is
generally the view of those who want peace at any
cost and are naive about realpolitik. What is
required now is (1) prepare for a war; (2) review
the Indus Water Treaty and MFN status to
Pakistan; (3) establish dialogue with the
international community to isolate Pakistan; and
(4) use nationalist Muslim leaders to win over
people of Pakistan. Agra would have done well to
crystallize our future path.
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