EDITORIAL
Stop
milking the tragedies !
It cannot be said that the
politicians keep on a lookout for the dastardly tragedies
to be wrecked. Yet, it cannot be ignored that color
returns to the most pinched political cheek with the news
that a tragedy, somewhere has broken out. When it is the
State of Jammu and Kashmir, the tinge is ever more shiny.
Muscle flexing starts, a glint comes into the old eye and
the most tongue-tied ones get to speak their ....more
PANDITS,
A DISINTEGRATING COMMUNITY ?
Twelve years in exile is
not a light joke. It, probably, is the most seething
tragedies of the modern Indian State, a glaring example
of the State having failed a whole community of its
citizenry. Kashmiri Pandits represent the last vestiges
of the ancient Kashmiri culture and ethos that somehow
had survived the medieval....more
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Pak
Military government
hijacks Muslims
Conference in PoK
By:- Samuel Baid
The military Government of Gen Pervez Musharraf seems to
have hijacked the Muslim Conference which emerged as the
ruling party after the July 5 .......more
Curing
passengers
of green channel phobia
By Deepak Arora
A beaming Anand Kumar has just landed at the Indira
Gandhi International Airport (IGIA). He is a happy man.
He is back home after his first-ever trip ....more
Omens
from Katunayake !
By Jayant Muralidharan
The omens from Katunayake bode ill for the ultimate
success of the Sri Lankan Armed Forces
counter-insurgency operations against the LTTE and even
for the continued unity and territorial integrity of Sri
Lanka......more
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EDITORIAL
Stop milking the
tragedies !
It cannot be said that the
politicians keep on a lookout for the dastardly tragedies
to be wrecked. Yet, it cannot be ignored that color
returns to the most pinched political cheek with the news
that a tragedy, somewhere has broken out. When it is the
State of Jammu and Kashmir, the tinge is ever more shiny.
Muscle flexing starts, a glint comes into the old eye and
the most tongue-tied ones get to speak their hearts out.
So far so good. For, if the political leadership of this
country would not awaken to the calamities facing it, who
would ? They, after all, are the people who would
organize the public opinion, effect decisions and bring
relief and rescue. Politicians in a democracy are the
ultimate succors. They can stir the sleeping giant called
the public, and steer the nation towards action and
solutions. If they want to, that is. If not they would
strand it into the confusions of politicking, leading the
nation away from straight path into labyrinthine detours
of personal and party interest. That, unfortunately, is
what one sees political activation occasioned by
recurring tragedies more often ending in. Now it is not
just a feeling, but a conclusion of sorts with the people
that the political parties are not interested in
resolving the problems but like to keep them on boil for
their political ends.
Take the two major parties
on the scene. BJP has had a very clear policy on J&K.
Since the time of Shyama Prasad Mukerjee's death, the
party has been calling for action, speedy and clear
action, in the State. Today, after three years at the
helm, that action is still to be formulated. National
Conference has been one party that has been selectively
targeted by the militants in the valley of Kashmir. In
fact, the Party never tires of accusing others of being
hand in gloves with the militants, because there hardly
has been any concerted killing of party workers except
those of NC. Almost every member of the ruling party has
suffered a direct hit from the militants. The mandate of
1996 was actually sought and obtained for a speedy
elimination of the gun culture and a return to normalcy.
Today the party is about to complete its full term in
power, almost absolute power, in the State. What is
preventing it from taking resolute action against the
raging terrorists? Other parties see in every unfolding
tragedy an opportunity to score political points. No
sooner does the news come than the Congress is ready with
teams and assessments. Yet when the very first killing
occurred in Doda in early 1990s its perennial spokesman
explained for days that it was a mere love affair gone
berserk. This may be the route to temporary personal and
party gains but it certainly is not the way to save the
nation.
Today, the need is not to
send rival teams into the affected area, to make
political claims, or to demand resignations all around.
The need is to sit together, all parties all opinions,
the State as well as the central leaderships and chalk
out one comprehensive action plan to fight the menace
out. The people have heard enough shocks and
condemnations; enough pious reiterations, too. They want
to see some clear-sighted action. It certainly is not
difficult to comb the whole of the twenty or so thousand
square miles that comprise the Valley and the adjoining
hills of Jammu where the terrorists are practically
ruling the roost. But it is, apparently, difficult for
the politicians to get over the personal calculations and
political games. But how long can the gaming of people go
on ? The people want that they all get together, sit
together and start acting. Quickly, Resolutely. And, that
they stop milking the tragedies for political cream.
PANDITS, A DISINTEGRATING
COMMUNITY ?
Twelve years in exile is
not a light joke. It, probably, is the most seething
tragedies of the modern Indian State, a glaring example
of the State having failed a whole community of its
citizenry. Kashmiri Pandits represent the last vestiges
of the ancient Kashmiri culture and ethos that somehow
had survived the medieval onslaugth but is threatened
with a clear extinction in the free India. The exodus of
KPs proves that the intolerances stalking the Valley,
which Pakistan calls ''freedom fighters'', and many of
the civil liberties oganizations of the country misread
as ''aspirations'', are nothing but masked religious
bigotries which could not accept even a 5% dilution in
their midst. Their fate lays bare the tall claims of
Hurriyat and others who are presenting the communal war
in Kashmir as a democratic quest of sorts.
The Governments, State and
Central, cannot be absolved of their failure in
protecting this ethnic minority. Though they have tried
to alleviate some of the sufferings of these exiles, the
measures have been largely inadequate. Social
organizations in the State and outside have also done
their bits but the tragedy is too large to be mitigated
by individual efforts. The adhocism adopted by the
Government to deal with the problem has only worsened
their plight. Now, new sad dimensions of the problem are
coming to light. The social structure, which was one of
the strengths that saw it through centuries of
prosecution, is now breaking asunder. The joint family
system has been shattered by the migration and the
subsequent ghetto-life in tents and tenements. Sometime
back surveys had revealed that the community is already
running a negative population growth. A recent report in
this paper highlighted what could be the cause of this
negative growth. The family life is under great strain in
the community. The report showed that the divorce rate in
the couples in the prime fertility age-group has seen an
alarming increase. A third of all cases before the
matrimonial Court are said to be those of KPs. For a
community where there were practically few divorce cases
a decade ago, it is a serious development.
Other reports have pointed
to an abnormal increase in the metabolic diseases among
the migrant community. Diabetes is said to be rampant,
almost of epidemic proportions. Psychosomatic diseases,
biophysical effects of stress and strain, cases of
cancer.. all are noticeably evident. The whole community
is faced with a despondence with neither a clear
direction nor any hopes of future. There is pressing need
to rehabilitate this community before the situation takes
an irreversible turn. Though there has been talk of
certain moves in the direction, they neither display
vision nor innovations. They certainly do not appear to
take the gravity of the situation into consideration.
Firstly, the Valley is in an increasingly tightening grip
of terrorism, the original cause that forced the
community out still stalks the Valley. The approach
appears to be to 'lure' the migrants back with virtual
bribes instead of clear assurance of security they
demand. The proposed 'clusters' would be more
restricting, more stressful than the camps at Jammu.
There is every possibility that they would become new
targets for militants to perpetrate more Cherjis, more
Atholis there. The government needs to be more
understanding of the 'migrants' demands and plight. It
needs to do better, needs to be more responsive in a
political, pragmatic way than rehashing tame bureaucratic
working-papers as 'solutions'.
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Pak
Military government hijacks Muslims
Conference in PoK
By:-
Samuel Baid
The
military Government of Gen Pervez
Musharraf seems to have hijacked the
Muslim Conference which emerged as the
ruling party after the July 5 elections
in Pakistan occupied Kashmir. First, it
tooks away the party's right to elect its
own leader of the legislature party by
appointing Sardar Sikander Hayat Khan as
the Prime Minister ignoring the
overwhelming support party's President
Sardar Abdul Qayyum enjoyed among the
legislators. Two, the Pak Government
forced on occupied Kashmir Maj. Gen.
Sardar Mohammad Anwar Khan as the Muslim
Conference's Presidential candidate
before the party could select a candidate
after the refusal of Sardar Qayyum to
fight for this post. One should not be
surprised if the Pak Government also
replaces Sardar Qayyum as the Party
President.
Pakistani
Press reports suggest that Sardar Qayyum
felt hurt when the Army picked up Sardar
Sikandar Hayat Khan to be the Prime
Minister although its was the former who
streered the party to victory at the July
5 elections. The party won 30 of the 48
seats of the Assembly against 17 of the
Pakistan People's Party (PPP) which had
ruled here since 1996. Of the 30 Muslim
conference members 22 supported Qayyum
for the Prime Ministership. When miffed
Qayyum refused to stand for the
Presidential election the same number of
members wanted his son Sardar Attiq Ahmed
Khan to be the party's Presidential
candidate.
It will be
in order to give a brief background to
Qayyum -Sikandar relations here. After
the June 1991 Assembly elections, Qayyum
become the Prime Minister while Sikander
Hayat was made the President. Soon after
the elections, Sikander Hayat began
accusing the Prime Minister of corruption
and his son Attiq of misusing his
father's position. He described Attiq as
an extra constitutional element within
the Muslim Conference. Hayat went public
with these allegations and consequently
they broke up and led their own factions
of the Muslim Conference. However, the
two patched up before the July 5
elections to give a joint fight to the
PPP. But the developments after the
elections indicate that this patchup was
only politically expedient: the gulf
between them remained and the party
workers maintained their earlier
distance.
Sardar
Qayyum had served the interests of the
Pakistan Establishment since 1947
although at times he showed a rebellious
mood. For example, in February 1975 when
Sheikh Abdullah was re-installed as the
Chief Minister of the State of Jammu and
Kashmir, Qayyum was unceremoniously
removed as President of occupied Kashmir
by the Federal Security Force of the
Pakistani Prime Minister Zulfikar Ali
Bhuttoo. Qayyum then wrote a letter to
Sheikh Abdullah appealing to him to help
liberate occupied Kashmir where, he said,
people had no rights. The text to this
letter was published by an Urdu journal
of Srinagar "Aina".
Before the
1991 elections there were reports that
the ISI and the Army wanted to drop
Qayyum in favour of some new person. But
since Mr. Nawaz Sharif's Islami Jamhoori
Ittehad (IJI) has come to power in
Islamabad Qayyum was allowed to survive.
But this time, much before the elections,
it had become evident that he had lost
the confidence of the Army. In September
last year he surprised everyone when he
told a meeting of the Organisation of the
Islamic Conference (OIC) in New York that
Indian Prime Minister Atal Bihari
Vajpayee was genuinely interested in
peace in Kashmir. Later he supported the
Ramazan ceasefire Mr. Vajpayee announced
in Kashmir and opposed the Pakistani and
the Hurriyat Conferences insistence on
tripartite talks involving India,
Pakistan and the Hurriyat. He was of the
view that the Hurriyat should not be
involved in India-Pakistan talks in
initial stages.
Within
occupied Kashmir, Qayyum was critical of
the activities of Jehadi groups who he
feared would destablise the whole
political system not only in occupied
Kashmir but also in Pakistan. For this
reason he criticised the Jammat-i-Islami,
which he said was more corrupt than any
other party. Perhaps it was his campaign
against the Jammat that more of its 33
candidates won in the July 5 elections.
In 1996 the Jammat had one seat and none
this time.
A campaign
of villification was launched against
Qayyum as an Indian agent. Calling
somebody an Indian agent is a more
threatening allegation in Pakistan than
calling somebody an Acmediyya.
Amid this
spate of allegations the Army did not
find it difficult to isolate Qayyum. The
dramatic style in which Maj. Gen Anwar
was forced on occupied Kashmir was
noteworthy. It was announced on July 28
that one Maj. Gen. Sardar Mohammad Anwar
Khan of Rawalakot (in-occupied Kashmir)
had tendered his resignation from the
Army. A simultaneous report said that
occupied Kashmir Government had, by an
ordinance, amended the rules that
prevented a Government servant to take
part in politics before the expiry of two
years after his retirement of resignation
from Government service. The amended
rules allowed a Government servant to
take part in politics whenever he wanted
after his retirement or resignation. The
next report said Maj. Gen Anwar was going
to Muzaffarabad to file his nomination as
the Presidential candidate of the Muslim
Conference. The party legislators were
taken aback but the high command had to
obey the orders from Islamabad.
Maj. Gen
Anwar got 36 votes in the election of
August 1 as against 18 of his PPP rival
Latif Akbar. The electoral college
consisted of the 48 members of the newly
elected Assembly and six of the
"Azad" Jammu and Kashmir
Council. According to the 1974 Interim
constitution of occupied Kashmir, the
Prime Minister of Pakistan is the
chairman of the Council, but since there
is no Prime Minister in Pakistan at
present, Gen Musharraf, being the Chief
Executive, is the chairman, He has
nominated five persons on the council
from Pakistan. In addition to them the
Minister for Kashmir and Northern Areas
Affairs can also vote in the Presidential
election although after the formation of
the council in 1975 there was no
provision for such a Ministry.
The
Council also has six members elected by
the occupied Assembly including its Prime
Minister. The President of occupied
Kashmir is the vice-chairman. Thus the
total strength of the council adds up to
13.
The
background to the formation of this
council, or for that matter the very
production of the 1974 constitution for
occupied Kashmir by Mr. Zulfikar Ali
Bhutto, was that Sardar Qayyum as the
President of this territory had joined
hands with his opponents in Pakistan and
introduced some Islamic laws to embarrass
Mr. Bhutto. The most damaging for Mr.
Bhutto was the declaration of Ahmediyyas
as a non-Muslim minority in occupied
Kashmir in April 1973 through a
resolution of the Assembly. This was the
time when Mr. Bhutto's opponents were
demanding that Ahmediyyas be declared
non-Muslims in Pakistan. There were
charges that Mr. Bhutto had won the 1970
elections with the money and active
support of Ahmediyyas who then occupied
high positions in the country.
The
constitution Mr. Bhutto designed for
occupied Kashmir drastically limited its
Assembly's power to legislate. Under this
constitution, the Assembly cannot make
laws pertaining to foreign affairs,
defence, currency, foreign trade and
foreign aid. The AJK Council, which
virtually acts as the upper House of
occupied Kashmir, does not allow the
Assembly even to make those laws about
which there is no constitutional
restriction. For example, a few years ago
some members of the Assembly wanted to
adopt a resolution permitting schools in
occupied Kashmir to teach Kashmir
history. That was not allowed. Critics of
the Pakistani control over this part of
Kashmir say that Kashmiri children do not
know who are their heroes. They are
taught that Pakistani heroes are their
heroes. They are even made to sing the
Pakistan national anthem as their own.
Thus the
elected Assembly does not mean anything
to the people of PoK. It consists of
members who take an oath before the
elections that they support the ideology
of Kashmir's accession to Pakistan. In
1996 more than two dozen nominations were
rejected by the Election Commission
because the candidates refused to sign
this undertaking. Again, for the July
elections the Election Commission
rejected 80 nominations on the same
grounds. Those who protested are still in
jail. Among them is Jammu and Kashmir
Liberation Front (JKLF) Chief Amanullah.
Thus the Assembly does not represent all
sections of the Kashmiris society. The
present Prime Minister Sikander Hayat
told Nawa-i-Waqt in 1992 that the
Government in Occupied Kashmir was no
more than an ineffective municipal
administration.
Despite
all these restriction on the occupied
Kashmir Government and Assembly, there is
the Article 56 in the 1974 constitution
which allows the Pakistan Government to
remove any Government in this territory.
We saw in 1991, before elections, how
then Prime Minister Rathore was bodily
carried from Muzaffarabd to a jail in
Rawalpindi by Army men because he had
begun to defy the Pakistani
Establishment. He was released only after
a new government was installed.
Sardar
Qayyum, when the agreed to the nomination
of Maj. Gen Anwar as Muslim Conference's
Presidential candidates without as much
as a whimper, he must be thinking of the
plight of Mr. Rathore in 1991. Sardar
Qayyum was then the President of occupied
Kashmir. Mr. Rathore belonged to the ppp.
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Curing
passengers of green channel phobia
By
Deepak Arora
A beaming
Anand Kumar has just landed at the Indira
Gandhi International Airport (IGIA). He
is a happy man. He is back home after his
first-ever trip abroad to Hong Kong with
his wife and two little children. He
collects the baggage and walks through
the green channel at the airport.
Jacques
Borker, a Parisian and a tourist, arrives
at Delhi and is out of the airport
quickly after passing unhindered through
the green channel. So does Neeta
Malhotra, a Non-Resident Indian. She is
back in India from Washington for a
three-week vacation with her two
daughters-Pooja and Ruchika.
They are
among the thousands of people who pass
through the green channel as a routine.
Unhindered. No questions asked: thus
giving a new humane face to the Customs
and to the country-India. Gone are the
days when a person dreaded returning from
abroad. There was always a lurking fear
of the men in whites. However, the
situation has taken a turn for the
better. At present as many as 98 per cent
of passengers make use of the green
channel. In other words, out of 18,02,130
incoming passengers arriving at Delhi as
many as 17,66,058 use the green channel
facility.
Says Mr. R
K Gupta, Commissioner (Customs), Delhi:
"Our aim is to project the friendly
and humane face of the customs. We are
here to facilitate passengers' fast
movements, if he or she is clear from
security of smuggling concerns."
However, this does not mean that men in
white have altogether stopped checking
passengers. "We do so at
random," says Mr. Gupta. "We
now have better equipment in the form of
X-ray machines and hidden cameras. The
staff is better trained and have been
equipped to trace suspicious looking
passengers."
As a
result, nearly 250 passengers were caught
for misusing the green channel in the
past two months. Such a catch to about
0.1 per cent of the total people using
the green channel.
Giving an
example, he said, last month the
preventive staff caught two suspicious
but gentleman-looking persons going
through the green channel. On examination
of their baggage, it was found that they
were carrying suitable goods beyond the
exemption limit of Rs. 12,000. What
surprised the staff was that they
willingly agreed to pay the duty of Rs.
three lakh. Normally, passengers do not
pay such high duty easily. They crib and
plead. This made the staff more
suspicious and took them for physical
examination. Hold and behold, what was
found. Each carrying 22 mobile phones
bandaged on their legs.
Speaking
on the concerns in the developed
countries, Mr. Gupta said the prime worry
abroad is security and drugs. It must
also be remembered they have better
security gadgets such as X-ray machines
and other equipment. In fact, all there
baggage belts have X-ray machines which
makes it easier to identify the
suspects." As compared to that
"we not only have to deal with
security, threats, and drugs and
narcotics, but also smuggling of goods,
wildlife products and fake currency.
Despite that the green channel
walk-throughs have increased from 60 to
65 per cent way back in 1991-92 to 97 to
98 per cent in the year 2000-01."
In fact,
the red channel counters have also come
down from 11 in 1991-92 to five in
2001-01. The five red channels also
include a separate priority counter for
senior citizens, unaccompanied minors and
single passengers accompanied by
children. Besides, the customs have also
opened a facilitation counter each for
tourists and NRIs for declaration of
gold, silver, currency and traveller
cheques and mishandled baggage.
The
Customs have also become less intrusive
over the year with the liberalising of
import regime. With cheaper and better
quality goods and brands available within
the country, passengers are bringing in
less and less of imported goods. The
other factor, which prevents people from
cheating, is the increase in the free
baggage allowance. Says Mr. S P Srivastav
(Chief Commissioner Customs): "there
has been an increase in free baggage
allowance from Rs. 3,000 in 1991-92 to
Rs. 12,000 at present." This
allowance is comparable with most
airports in the developed and developing
countries. Besides that the Government
has allowed professionals such as
doctors, journalists and photographers to
bring in professional tools like
stethoscope, blood pressure machine,
laptop and camera without paying and
duty. Besides, the baggage duty has also
been brought down gradually from 255 per
cent in 1991-92 to 210 per cent in
1992-93 to 155 per cent in 1993-94 to 60
per cent in 2000-01.
It may be
pointed out that the tradition of
charging customs duties at ad valorem has
been there in India for a long time. In
Kautilya's time, the general import duty
was 20 per cent ad valorem. During the
time of the Moghuls, import duties upto 5
per cent ad valorem were being levied.
During the British rule also, import and
export duties were being levied at ad
valorem rates on many items. Tradition of
imposing customs duty on imported
merchandise based on the actual value of
the imported merchandise has been
prevalent in India since the Artha
Shastra days, over 2000 years ago. The
General Agreement of Tariffs and Trade
(GATT) is now following the same system.
For better
facilation of passengers, officials
advise that if you are going out India
and you intend taking out with your
articles of high value such as a camera,
laptop, video camera, video cassette
recorder or jewelry, be sure to ask the
Customs Officer, at the time of your
departure, for an Export Certificate for
such articles. He will examine these and
certify that they are being taken out of
India by you. Keep this certificate safe
with you and when you return to India,
show it to the Customs Officer who will
then be able to pass these free of duty.
The advantage of having the E.C. is that
the concessions you are entitled to, when
you return, are not affected.
For Indian
residents and foreigners residing in
India, the duty-free concessions are for
used articles of personal wear, excluding
jewellery but including one wrist watch,
articles of personal use for taking care
of the daily necessities of life. For
those coming from Nepal, Bhutan, Myanmar
of China the allowance is Rs. 3,000 for
those of 12 years and above and Rs. 750
for those below 12 years. As for as
cigarettes, cigars, tobacco and alcoholic
liquors go, one may include in this duty
fee allowance 200 cigarettes or 50 cigars
or 250 gms tobacco and alcoholic liquor
and wines upto one litre each.
The items
not allowed fee firearms and cartridges
of firearms exceeding 50; cigarettes
exceeding 200 or cigars exceeding 50 or
tobacco exceeding 250 gms; alcoholic
liquor and wines in excess of one litre
each; any article that does not accompany
you (i.e unaccompanied baggage); gold in
any form other than ornaments; silver in
any form other than ornaments. A
passengers who has been residing abroad
for over one year is allowed to bring
jewellery, free of duty, worth Rs. 10,000
in the case of male and Rs. 20,000 in the
case of a female. A person is allowed to
bring in 10 kg of gold and 100 kg of
silver after a stay of six months abroad.
The duty on gold is charged at the rate
of Rs. 250 per 10 gms and for silver Rs.
500 per kg, which is to be paid by the
passenger in convertible foreign
currency.
Although
the Customs have become more friendly
over the years, they warn that any
non-declaration, misdeclaration and
concealment of imported goods is an
offence and could result in confiscation,
fine, penalty and even prosecution.
Possession of narcotic drugs, import of
firearms as baggage and taking out exotic
birds, wild orchids and wild-life, both
flora and fauna, is strictly prohibited.
-CNF
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Omens
from Katunayake !
By Jayant Muralidharan
The omens from
Katunayake bode ill for the ultimate success of
the Sri Lankan Armed Forces
counter-insurgency operations against the LTTE
and even for the continued unity and territorial
integrity of Sri Lanka.
Two conclusions
stand out, loud and clear, for anyone who cares
to notice them from the details of the
LTTEs precision attack on the Katunayake
air base and the adjoining Bandaranakike
International Airport on July 24:
First, the LTTE is
up and kicking and has lost nothing of its fierce
motivation and elan despite the heavy casualties
inflicted by the Sri Lankan Air Force (SLAF) for
the last one year by taking advantage of its air
superiority, consequent upon the arrival of new
Israeli aircraft and advisers.
Second, the Sri
Lankan Armed Forces, blinded by misplaced elation
over the success of their air strikes against the
LTTE, failed to take the basic precaution of
preempting the only option available to the LTTE
in the face of its difficulties in having its
stock of antiaircraft ammunition and missiles
replenished penetrate the air bases and
destroy the aircraft on the ground.
This shows that
the island-states military and political
leadership is none the wiser after nearly two
decades of counter-insurgency operation and
continues to fight the LTTE more with weapons
than with its mind.
There is no doubt
that the LTTE is the most ruthless terrorist
organisation that fights for its political
objective with no holds barred. This negative
image of the organisation should not blind the
Sri Lankan armed forces to the fact that the LTTE
is also a highly intelligent and
futuristic-thinking terrorist organisation that
thinks of innovative solutions to its
difficulties, and has a seemingly inexhaustible
supply of determined cadre volunteering for
suicide missions to carry out these solutions.
After the Aum
Shinrikyo incident involving the use of sarin gas
in Tokyo in 1995, security experts have been
debating with increasing concern the dangers of
terrorist organisations acquiring weapons of mass
destruction (WMD) and threatening to use them one
day in a desperate move to achieve their
political objectives.
The LTTE is one
organisation which has the intelligence,
innovative spirit and the narcotics-fed funds to
acquire a WMD capability if it decides to go in
for one. One of the lessons from the precision
attack on Katunayake for the intelligence
agencies not only of Sri Lanka, but also
other countries, including India is to
rule out nothing when it comes to the LTTE and
co-operate in identifying and neutralising any
search by it for a WMD capability.
Anyone with even a
rudimentary idea of the way the LTTE thinks and
operates should have anticipated in LTTE strike
to destroy aircraft on the ground since it had
lost its capability in the air.
It is, therefore,
surprising that the SLAF failed to anticipate the
attack on the Katunayake air base. There were two
possibilities open before the LTTE - penetrate
the security perimeter of the air base through
suicide operators moving on the ground or
initially penetrate it through a microlite
aircraft, a capability which its cadres in West
Europe and Canada had acquired in the 1990s, and
then facilitate the entry of more suicide cadres
through the breach provided by the microlite.
The details
available so far show that no microlite was used
and that the penetration was probably done by
wading through a drainage canal exiting from the
air base. The details also indicate that the
maximum damage to the aircraft of the SLAF and
the SL Airlines was, most probably, caused with
rocket- propelled grenade (RPG) launchers of
Soviet vintage which the Afghan Mujahideen, now
forming part of the Taliban, and the
Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) of Pakistan had
captured in large numbers from the arms depots of
Kabul after the collapse of the Najibullah regime
in April, 1992.
In the past, the
ISI and its creation, the Harkat-ul- Mujahideen
(HUM), had supplied at least three consignments
of weapons seized from Kabul, including the
launchers and anti- aircraft guns and missiles,
to the LTTE in return for its assistance in
narcotics smuggling, and in shipping arms
consignments to the Muslim separatists in
Southern Philippines, and to the Chechen
terrorists in Russia through a Turkish port.
The damage has
been heavy for the SL Airlines and potentially
heavy for the countrys tourism-dependent
economy. The damage to the SLAF is more
psychological than material for the present. It
is still estimated to have, if the figures of
SLAF losses given by the Government are correct,
30 combat aircraft/helicopters in flying
condition, which should enable it to keep up the
air strikes, but on a reduced scale. Fortunately,
the LTTE has not displayed any capability for
destroying runways. Not yet. The damage to the
credibility of the island-nations political
leadership is the most severe. Reports from the
country since the military stopped the LTTE
advance towards Jaffina last year have indicated
an air of political and military over-confidence,
unwarranted by ground realities, and a consequent
dragging of feet in the search for a political
solution. The success of Colombos
diplomatic efforts in persuading the UK and other
West European Countries to curb LTTE activities
from their territory seems to have added to this
over-confidence.
Having neglected
to expedite the search for a political solution,
the Sri Lankan President, Ms Chandrika
Kumaratunga, faces a difficult choice if
she resumes and accelerates the search
immediately it will be seen by public opinion as
knee-jerk reaction from a position of weakness
and, if she does not, further escalation of LTTE
terrorist activities is a grim possibility. INAV
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