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EDITORIAL It augurs well for parliamentary democracy and the nation that parties sink their differences once it comes to any national issue. Such camaraderie manifested abundantly when Congress Chief Whip in Rajya Sabha did not seek any clarification on the Prime Minister's statement announcing extension of ceasefire in Jammu & Kashmir. Pranab Mukerjee referred to it as very sensitive issue and message should go to the world loud and clear that entire country is united on the imperative need to bring peace to the troubled State of Jammu & Kashmir. ....more The Standing Committee on Defence has tabled a very damaging report in Parliament as regards preparedness of IAF to meet present and emerging challenges. The report takes the Government to task for not adequately responding to urgent and essential needs of IAF. It declares that 2 years hence 40% of the IAF fleet would be obsolete. The main criticism ....more |
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The end : Bush walks By M J Akbar Geography Museum - By Dr M L Wangoo Prof. M L Raina |
EDITORIAL It augurs well for parliamentary democracy and the nation that parties sink their differences once it comes to any national issue. Such camaraderie manifested abundantly when Congress Chief Whip in Rajya Sabha did not seek any clarification on the Prime Minister's statement announcing extension of ceasefire in Jammu & Kashmir. Pranab Mukerjee referred to it as very sensitive issue and message should go to the world loud and clear that entire country is united on the imperative need to bring peace to the troubled State of Jammu & Kashmir. It is equally heartening to note that it happened in Rajya Sabha where opposition has clear majority. Only a day earlier opposition censor motion against the Government was carried by large margin. It is as well a welcome sign in that no other opposition party sought any clarification which is their right otherwise. It has been the consistent wont of the opposition to find faults with whatever the Government did or propose even though it happened to be for the good of the nation and its teeming millions. This time round the opposition showed marvellous gesture reflecting unity of purpose. In retrospect one may mention passing of unanimous resolution by both Houses of Parliament declaring J&K as integral part of India including PoK. To be precise, present gesture shown by the opposition is extension of the Unanimous Resolution. With such widespread support, Vajpayee Government is definitely better equipped to push through the peace agenda, albeit step by step. Consensual approach on national issues is indispensable for successful functioning of democracy. There are several national issues on which there is lack of unity. Once things are opposed for the sake of opposition it weakens the national will to tackle ticklish issues. For instance, nuclear weaponisation in the wake of Pokhran II blasts has been criticised by main opposition party i.e. Congress. Leftist bandwagon has been quite blunt and aggressive in its criticism when they say that India does not need nuclear weapons or for that matter any deterrent. Indeed, it is a matter of far reaching ramifications. Flanked by nuclear China and nuclear Pakistan, India cannot survive as a nation unless it also has credible nuclear deterrent. Conventional armed forces can be subjected to blackmail and even disabled with even a mild nuclear strike by the enemy. In fact, Japan which was a formidable power had to opt for surrender when two atom bombs were dropped by America on Hiroshima and Nagasaki. Such is the impact of nuclear first-strike. It would have been more prudent for the Congress Party to take part of the credit for nuclear weaponisation programme. In fact, Congress Governments at the Centre are very much a party to it. First Pokhran test was conducted during Indira Gandhi's spell in 1974. Ever since development programmes continues. Agni missile was developed and declared technology demonstrator by Narsimha Rao Government and then capped. The file for carrying out nuclear tests remained on the table of successive Prime Ministers but none of them gave the nod. Vajpayee or for that matter NDA or BJP gets the credit because no time was lost to opt for the tests and consequent weaponisation. It would have been in the fitness of things to take at least 90% credit but instead they opted for criticism. Predicament of the leftist bandwagon can be judged from the fact that they are neither here nor there with the fall of Communist empire world over. They still like to be seen as part of the old order. National security demands full backing irrespective of party or other interests. One hopes that main opposition party will not allow itself to be swayed by cheap gimmicks or petty interests once it comes to national security. Another issue that defies national consensus is liberalisation of economy. It is really Congress baby. Narsimha Rao Government rejected socialistic pattern of society and opted for massive economic reforms corresponding to capitalist regime or better call it global economy. Manmohan Singh as the Finance Minister initiated many reforms which yielded rich dividends. Same policy was continued by UF Government led by Deve Gowda and IK Gujral despite surviving on the crutches of leftist parties who were opposed to liberalisation. In the same vein in NDA Government led by Vajpayee has done nothing new but only taken the Congress policy forward for global integration of the Indian economy. It is strange that Congress has been wriggling out of it off and on. Compulsions of leftist parties can be understood but Congress being the initiator of such reforms must take the message forward by extending full support to the NDA Government. Lack of such support and rampant criticism has hindered flow of FDIs thereby setting the clock back. Foreign investors want unity of purpose as regards economic policies so that whichever party is in power keeps the economic policies intact. In fact, liberalisation suffers and to that extent country loses. In this context one may mention change of guard in White house. As regards American economic and security interests both Republican and Democrats sink their rivalry and speak with united voice. It would in the fitness of things to expect from the 114 year party as also from other opposition parties to be supportive of national issues once it comes to subserving national interests. The Standing Committee on Defence has tabled a very damaging report in Parliament as regards preparedness of IAF to meet present and emerging challenges. The report takes the Government to task for not adequately responding to urgent and essential needs of IAF. It declares that 2 years hence 40% of the IAF fleet would be obsolete. The main criticism of the committee is on the LCA (Light Combat Aircraft) project which was initiated in 1983. This aircraft was meant to replace ageing Mig fleet as the front line fighters. Prototype was inaugurated with great fanfare. First test flight was stated during this month end. Like earlier deferments, this is not surprising that test flight has been postponed indefinitely. Test flight in itself is not the only step. Many improvements and modifications go into place after the successful test flight. Initial forecasts were that at least a squadron would be delivered to IAF in the year 2003. IAF top brass which have been closely monitoring the development of LCA firmly opines that it would not be until the year 2012 at the minimum or even 2015 when the LCA could be inducted into IAF. Thus a project that commenced in 1985 gives the delivery in 2015, a clear gap of 30 years. By that time all the systems incorporated would have gone obsolete. IAF won't accept obsolescence. Worst part of it is that Rs 3000 crore have already been pumped in the LCA project. By the year 2015 it could touch 15000 crore. It is abhorrent and incoherrent thought totally unacceptable. You can't leave IAF at the mercy of LCA. Again, Mig-21 which has been referred as 'Flying Coffins' show no signs of having a month free of crash. Upgradation programme of Mig 21's is behind schedule by two years. Acquisition of AWACS (Airborne Warning and Control System) remains elusive. Advanced Jet Trainers fail to cross the negotiation stage. Delivery of SU-30 is beyond stipulated schedule. It is time that LCA project is reviewed in its entirety as it is not the funds but other factors that are slated to deliver an obsolete fighter to IAF and that too 15 years hence. Government must come out with correctives to give strategic edge to IAF without any further delay. |
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The end : Bush walks into the sunrise By M J Akbar When George Bush looked like he would lose to John McCain, let alone Al Gore, he unleashed his reserve force on the man who would wash him away with a flood of populism laced with wit. This was the Christian Fight, a conservative phalanx that is more loyal to Moses than to Jesus, has never encountered the Sermon on the Mount, and instead of offering the other cheek generally extracts two eyes for one. Abortion is a big issue in America at all times; for the conservatives, to use an appropriate metaphor, it is a life and death issue. Bush was campaigning in South Carolina when a man who probably thought he was being useful asked Bush what he would do when President about ''all these bastards'' born to women on welfare. George Bush looked genuinely angry, and replied; ''First, sir, we must remember that it is our duty to love all the children''. It has been observed that the difference between George Bush and Al Gore during this extremely boring campaign was that the former became human, once in a while, while the latter resolutely refused to do so. Gore never responded in either joy or anger; he was programmed to say what his target base wanted to hear. It is a relief to report that man triumphed over machine once again, although probably for the last time. It is accepted as fact that this was the narrowest victory in the history of American democracy, that but for a aberration called the electoral college Gore would have been waiting today to become the next President of the United States. This fact hides a truth. The truth is that Al Gore was defeated by some nine percentage points, for this should have been the margin of his victory, and this was the difference by which he was ahead in the opinion polls in mid-September. In any calculation such a lead six or seven weeks before an election is called impregnable. Gore was the candidate of an economic boom, the beneficiary of the goodwill generated by the longest period of sustained growth in American history, heir and partner of a man who would have won without a serious contest but for another aberration in the system. Prosperity and victory are natural brothers. Bill Clinton and Al Gore had snatched office against the odds from the senior Bush with a single slogan: ''It's the economy, stupid!'' Gore could have become President by simply retaining that slogan, telling Bush Jr what he had told Bush Sr, that he was better qualified to protect prosperity precisely because he had created it. Instead he converted a nine- point lead into a pointless defeat. The defeat was pointless because George Bush had no point to make. He was not offering any unique vision of America. compassionate conservatism is about as solid as a snowflake in Texas. If he had a bait, it was a tax cut, an idea that was properly minced by Gore as a gift to the rich. Thanks to Bill Clinton, more Americans have become rich, but not enough to become the decisive element in an election. There was nothing else on the positive side that differentiated him from Gore. On the other hand, Bush carried the terrible burden of Black anger against white Republicans. The continuing empowerment of Blacks made them an enormous asset for Gore. Gore had everything going for him, except himself. His judgement was deeply flawed. Gore is alleged, by his well-wishers, to be quite human in private, but he refused to reveal his natural self, cavorting during the debates like a puppet under instructions. Since he is a terrible actor, his intelligence looked like pomposity, and his challenge wore a coat of condescension. But nothing could have been more suicidal than the distance he deliberately created between himself and the man who had given eight years as vice president. To imagine that Clinton was a liability was stupidity. No market research is a substitute for intelligence; and it has been clear to the meanest intelligence that Clinton would have won a third term were it possible. How could such a consistent victor, a master of political judgment and a brilliant campaigner be considered a liability? If Clinton had a flaw it was his widely advertised promiscuity. If therefore he was at liability he could only be a liability to his wife, Hillary. She never rejected his political embrace. She rode the Clinton charisma to a handsome victory in New York. Gore realised he had been badly advised only in the last week of the campaign when Clinton intervened to great effect, and nearly pulled Gore out of the trough that he had dug for himself. Sense came too late. Americans are pleased that they emerged through this ''crisis'' without tanks on the streets. This may be another fact that hides the truth. Countries with parliamentary democracy know that a free vote and clarity are not always synonymous. Britain and India knew of a hung Parliament long before Florida discovered a hung chad. Tanks do not roll out because there is no clear majority after an election. Americans see the rest of the world through television, and television sees the rest of the world through tanks, so the confusion is forgivable if not understandable. The truth may be more uncomfortable: Americans did not much care about the outcome because they did not care for either of their options. You cannot rage against the dying of Tweedledum if all you have is Tweedledee as the alternative. A second truth may be more comfortable. Americans are not too worried about who is in power because they have consciously, since Ronald Reagan, whittled down the role of government in their lives. The Republican base got worked up only when it became convinced that the White House was being stolen from them; it was angered by theft. The only group that was genuinely passionate about the result was Black America. because government still means a great deal to it. Blacks believe that Democrats spend more on their welfare, care more for them. Does one or the other make any difference to India? Yes. President Bush is far less interested in creating chalk circles around CTBT, to begin with. For Democrats that is a line drawn in stone. The world hinges around the confirmation of the present nuclear club as the only centre of gravity for the foresecable future. Republicans appreciate that India may not want to surrender the hegemony of Asia to China. This does not mean that Washington will ever endorse India's positions. But Republicans like those who help themselves better than those who ask for protection. That is why they are so impressed with China. Which brings us to the bad news. In the immediate future, China will gain more, in economic terms, from a Republican administration. Bush will respect China's economic strength because it exists, and ask us why we are where we arek which is a good question. It is my guess that the old equation between the Republicans and Pakistan has become a nonsense. It was an accident that President Eisenhower was a Republican; a Democrat in the Cold War of the Fifties would have had exactly the same policies. (Democrat John Kennedy fell asleep during his meeting with Indian hero Jawaharlal Nehru. Of course President Kennedy could have been tired from the night before.) India has no experience of a Republican administration in Washington since the defeat of the Soviet Union. Pakistan could be surprised to find a more realistic appreciation of the dangers that it has spawned in the region. The Republicans are oil men; they know the meaning of energy, and they know the potential havoc from the forces that are being spawned over the last decade in Pakistan. This is going to be more complicated than simple lines from the past might suggest. President Bush has a father who went to war in the most dangerous place in the world; his secretary of State is his father's top general and his vice President is his father's defence secretary. He has not chosen his father's team; he has only chosen those who who shared his father's views on the Islamic world. It is always instructive to end with a little-known fact in the hope of making it slightly better known. President George Bush Senior came very close to declaring Pakistan a terrorist State. There is work ahead for
Islamabad, and absolutely no room for complacency in
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Prof. M L Raina A few months ago Hizbul Mujahideen sent its ball of ceasefire flying into the Central Government's court.But before the ball could bounce, the 'service' was declared faulty by the 'third umpire' and the same was suddenly declared closed. The declaration of unilateral ceasefire came with a bang but ended in a whimper. Now the Centre has taken the initiative and hurled its ceasefire ball into the court of the opposite camp. How it is played remains to be seen. Political gimmickry changes with changing events and situations as dictated by political expediency. The somersault by some leaders of the Hurriyat Conference is a case in point. When Hizbul Mujahideen declared the unilateral ceasefire, the Hurriyat became jittery and disapproved of the formers' stance, because it thought it was paling into insignificance. Now it is the Hurriyat that is trying to occupy the centre-stage. Its Chairman has gone so far as to declare that he is not for merger with Pakistan. Much can be said on both sides. Inconsistency is an important component of political manoeuverings of any motivated political party. The Hurriyat Chairman can't be an exception. All one can do is to hope that better sense prevails on him and his comrades-in-arms. Leaders and intellectuals of various hues have reacted favourable to Mr. Vajpayee's ceasefire declaration and they feel that peace must be given chance and all out efforts made to bring normalcy to the turbulence torn Valley of Kashmir. This declaration of ceasefire they feel is an opening for a meaningful dialogue on the Kashmir imbroglio. The Centre has shown its willingness to engage the Hurriyat Conference in a dialogue. What is up the sleeves of this conglomerate of so many parties will unfold itself by and by. Let us presume that the proposed talks for peace take off and peace in the Valley becomes a reality one day. But what difference will it make if one may ask to the tormented and bedevilled Kashmiri Pandits, the aborigines of Kashmir who have become aliens in their own country. Their history is a long Saga of sufferings. When there was peace in the Valley, they were always at war with the hostile environs. They were left with no choice but to reconcile themselves to the second class citizen status accorded to them, and bear discrimination, oppression and humiliation they were subjected to by whichever party was in power. Some sections of the society too heaped indignities on them. The psychological trauma which became a part of their life increased in intensity in the early days of militancy. It sends a Shiver down one's spine to recollect those horrible days when death and disaster loomed large for the entire KP community. It is native to believe that Kashmiri Pandits will lead a reasonably normal and comfortable life in the terror ravaged Valley which is stated to be a ghost of its former self. The 'stigma' of their being Indian agents will not let them rest in peace. One can't help recalling that Prof. Abdul Gani Bhat, the present Chairman of the Hurriyat, once gave a love-hate statement that KPs were welcome back, but where would they live as their houses had been burnt down. Burnt by whom? He was silent on that. This was a pure piece of hypocrisy which is typical of those who like to wish Pandits away for good. An erstwhile colleague of this writer (he is presently in Pakistan) once said in company-half in jest and half in earnest that "there are two schools of thought; according to one KPs should be killed and according to another they should be harassed, so that they run away from the Valley on their own. And he laughed a sinister laughter. His KP 'friends' laughed this statement away, without attaching importance to what seemed then a fit of nonsense. But later events proved that this gentleman was speaking aloud about what was brewing up to hound the Pandits (Kafirs) out of the Valley. No one knows better than the KPs as to what was being cooked in the cauldron of negative politics. Two obsessions had gripped 'Jihadis- (a 'Nizame Mustafa' b) Pushing out the KPs, dubbed Indian agent, from the land of their birth. The first obsession left no scope for the KP community to lead a dignified life and the second could not be resisted for fear of the gun. Some selective killings were carried out to harass the entire Hindu Population out of the Valley. Threatenings appeared in the print media that if Pandits did not leave within the stipulated time, they would have to face "dire consequences''. They ran for life and rest is history............... Strangely enough, both the State and Central Governments have taken Kashmiri Pandits for granted. Kashmir is their birth place and they can't be lift to languish outside. The State Govt. has been issuing statements from time to time, all these years (just for public consumption) that KPs will be taken back to the land of their ancestors with dignity, but precious little has been done so far. If they have to survive as a community, they have to go back and rediscover their roots in the vale of Kashmir, their native land and live with honour. The Govt. may try to push the community back into the 'inferno' to brighten the light of the flickering lamp of 'Secularism' their. Sometimes we here about the setting up of security zones for the 'Rehabilitation' of Kashmiri Pandits, as a stop gap arrangement. These have proved a hoax, thus far. Even if these are established now or when peace is once again restored, what will be the fate of the Kashmiri Pandits. Certainly, worse than what it was before. Setting up so security zones is not the answer to the complex problems of these hapless people. Equally complex is the problem of their return. Had they left Kashmir of their own sweet will on a long excursion of then years or more in the plains, return to their homes would have been a routine matter. But they were made to flee at gun point. Many bottle-necks have to be removed before conditions are created that are conducive to their safe return and honourable stay without and fear of getting exposed to humiliation and "Dire Consequences" once again. The return of KPs to Kashmir is not as easy and simple as the powers that be would have us believe. The Central Govt. will do well to invite the representatives of the Kashmiri Pandit community at this juncture and make them a party to peace talks on Kashmir and give them a chance to air their views on the subject of their resettlement in the Valley and that too on their terms. Once bitten twice shy. Kashmiri Pandits have burnt their figures already. Their return is as such a very sensitive issue which can't be tackled efficaciously without their active participation in the proposed peace talks. KPs are at cross roads. Individual opinions, idiosyncrasies, and personal whims will not lead the community anywhere. They have got to work unitedly, put their heads together and strengthen their representative bodies so that a tough stand is taken at this critical hour on the dignified return of the community and the modalities worked out to this end discreetly. |
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